AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors: pjk and fwr. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary. IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.

SPECIAL EVENTS

World War One-centric Online Google Hangout Session

Tomorrow morning, Wednesday, April 15, at 9am-10am

The Office of the Historian, U.S. Department of State

The focus of the discussion will be our WW1/Embassy France “Views From the Embassy” project,
the larger context of diplomacy (and diplomats’ actions) of the era,
and how it influences us today.
We hope to tease out some of the content and issues covered in our Huffington Post miniseries
(“Rendez-Vous With History,” “The Rugby-Loving U.S. Consul in St. Étienne,” and “The Marvelous Millie B.”).

Invited participants will include Mark Taplin, former chargé d’affaires at Embassy France
(ambassadors & diplomats then vs now);
Dr. Pierre Purseigle (WW1-era France, UK, and Belgium), University of Warwick;
Dr. Giovanna dell’Orto (press & public opinion), University of Minnesota.
Our moderator will be Patrick Gregory, former BBC journalist and editor.

For further information, please see the event page, http://goo.gl/J7nfZR.
The session will be broadcast live, and archived afterwards on the Department’s YouTube stream.

The public can leave questions on the event page or Tweet them using the #WW1Diplomacy hashtag.

AFIO's Spring Luncheon Friday, 8 May 2015 Traitors, Leakers, and Insider Spies John "Chris" Inglis NSA's former Deputy Director and highest ranking civilian officer speaking on "Hackers, Financial Safety, Bulk Data Collection, ISIS Recruitments, Snowden and more" and Bryan Denson Investigative Reporter with The Oregonian on The Spy�s Son: The True Story of the Highest-Ranking CIA Officer Ever Convicted of Espionage and the Son He Trained to Spy for Russia Tysons Corner, VA Register HERE to assure seating

	1 p.m. speaker: Chris Inglis, the former Deputy Director, NSA (2014). His remarks will be OFF THE RECORD.

	11 a.m. speaker: The Oregonian Investigative reporter and Pulitzer Prize finalist Bryan Denson speaks on his research on "The Spy�s Son: The True Story of the Highest-Ranking CIA Officer Ever Convicted of Espionage and the Son He Trained to Spy for Russia" the riveting story of the Nicholsons―father and son co-conspirators who deceived their country by selling national secrets to Russia.

Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Bryan Denson begins his presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; Chris Inglis presents at 1 p.m. Event closes at 2 p.m. Morning presentation is on the record; Inglis' remarks are Off The Record.
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA, across from Tysons II Mall. Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf Register HERE

One of the inspirations for The Imitation Game, on this rare US visit...
who will lecture and sign his book for the
National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Members and Guests

Dr. Andrew Hodges
Sr. Research Fellow, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford
author of Alan Turing: The Enigma [source for the movie The Imitation Game]

Wednesday, 20 May 2015
10 am - 1 pm
Patuxent Greens Golf Club
14415 Greenview Dr, Laurel, MD 20708

$55 for guests; $25 for members. Includes lunch.
The ballroom at the club is being used and provides plenty of space to meet the swelling interest in this program. Do not miss this by failing to register NOW. Registration remains open until 15 May 2015.
More information and Registration here.

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

How the US Thinks Russians Hacked the White House. Russian hackers behind the damaging cyber intrusion of the State Department in recent months used that perch to penetrate sensitive parts of the White House computer system, according to US officials briefed on the investigation.

While the White House has said the breach only affected an unclassified system, that description belies the seriousness of the intrusion. The hackers had access to sensitive information such as real-time non-public details of the president's schedule. While such information is not classified, it is still highly sensitive and prized by foreign intelligence agencies, US officials say.

The White House in October said it noticed suspicious activity in the unclassified network that serves the executive office of the president. The system has been shut down periodically to allow for security upgrades.

The FBI, Secret Service and US intelligence agencies are all involved in investigating the breach, which they consider among the most sophisticated attacks ever launched against US government systems. The intrusion was routed through computers around the world, as hackers often do to hide their tracks, but investigators found tell-tale codes and other markers that they believe point to hackers working for the Russian government. [Read more: Perez&Prokupecz/CNN/8April2015]

US Reporter Held in Iran Facing 'Espionage' Charges. A Washington Post journalist detained in Iran for over eight months is accused of "espionage" and "acting against national security," the semiofficial Fars news agency reported Sunday.

The report did not elaborate on the source of the information, but the agency is regarded as close to Iran's hard-liners.

Iranian officials have previously said Jason Rezaian is facing "security" charges and that he will stand trial before the Revolutionary Court - which mainly hears sensitive cases involving national security.

Rezaian's lawyer, Leila Ahsan, declined to comment on the specific charges against her client, but told The Associated Press she had finished studying the text of the indictment and would brief Rezaian's family in the coming days. Ahsan added that she visited Rezaian in prison last month. [Read more: Dareini/AP/12April2015]

Chinese Hackers Target Southeast Asia, India, Researchers Say. Hackers, most likely from China, have been spying on governments and businesses in Southeast Asia and India uninterrupted for a decade, researchers at internet security company FireEye Inc said.

In a report released on Monday, FireEye said the cyber espionage operations dated back to at least 2005 and "focused on targets - government and commercial - who hold key political, economic and military information about the region."

"Such a sustained, planned development effort coupled with the (hacking) group's regional targets and mission, lead us to believe that this activity is state-sponsored - most likely the Chinese government," the report's authors said.

Bryce Boland, Chief Technology Officer for Asia Pacific at FireEye and co-author of the report, said the attack was still ongoing, noting that the servers the attackers used were still operational, and that FireEye continued to see attacks against its customers, who number among the targets. [Read more: Wagstaff/Reuters/13April2015]

Russia 'Busts Satellite Spy Ring': Space Commander. Russia has uncovered a group of spy satellites, the head of its space command said in a film broadcast Sunday, which warned of "enemy" satellites that could masquerade as space junk.

"Very recently, specialists of the department of space intelligence centre uncovered a newly created group of space satellites... made for radio-technical reconnaissance of equipment on Russian territory," said the commander of Russian Space Command, Oleg Maidanovich.

Space Command is a division of the military responsible for warning of missile and air strikes and controlling Russia's defence satellites.

Maidanovich declined to say which country or countries the satellites belonged to. [Read more: AFP/11April2015]

Egyptian Military Reshuffle Includes Intelligence, Navy, Second Field Army. A major reshuffle in the ranks of the Egyptian military was announced Sunday, with the head of the military intelligence, the navy chief and the Second Field Army chief all being replaced.

The new military intelligence chief, General Mohamed al-Shahat, graduated from the department of infantry and was the head of the Second Field Army. He replaced General Salah al-Badry, who was given the title of Assistant to the Minister of Defense.

The movement is "unrelated to any events," but aims to besiege "extremist groups" in North Sinai, "pump new blood" in the military leadership, and found a new strategy based on intelligence, a military source told Youm7.

Of the most important files that the military intelligence manages is relations with Palestine and its national reconciliation as well as peace talks with Israel. [Read more: TheCairoPost/12April2015]

Senate Creates Secret Encyclopedia of US Spy Programs. Trying to get a handle on hundreds of sensitive, closely held surveillance programs, a Senate committee is compiling a secret encyclopedia of American intelligence collection. It's part of an effort to improve congressional oversight of the government's sprawling global spying effort.

Sen. Dianne Feinstein launched the review in October 2013, after a leak by former National Security Agency systems administrator Edward Snowden disclosed that the NSA had been eavesdropping on German Chancellor Angela Merkel's cellphone. Four months earlier, Snowden had revealed the existence of other programs that vacuumed up Americans' and foreigners' phone call records and electronic communications.

"We're trying right now to look at every intelligence program," Feinstein told the Associated Press. "There are hundreds of programs we have found...sprinkled all over. Many people in the departments don't even know (they) are going on."

Feinstein and other lawmakers say they were fully briefed about the most controversial programs leaked by Snowden, the NSA's collection of American phone records and the agency's access to US tech company accounts in targeting foreigners through its PRISM program. Those programs are conducted under acts of Congress, supervised by a secret federal court. [Read more: Dilanian/AP/12/April2015]

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

The 16 Best Spy Novels by Real-Life Spies. We all love reading spy novels, but sometimes we cringe at how they stretch credibility. The solution: read spy novels written by real-life spies. Here are 16 can't-miss stories by men and women with first-hand knowledge of spycraft. [Read more: OregonLive/April2015]

Spying on the US Submarine That Spies for the NSA and CIA. Everyone saw the USS Annapolis come home last year. It returned, poignantly, on Sept. 11, and there was a seriousness amid the usual dockside fanfare - sailors meeting newborn children for the first time, a school band playing "Anchors Aweigh." But there was no mention of the boat's secret missions.

From March to September 2014, the US submarine's 152-man crew cruised the deeps of the Mediterranean, Red Sea and Arabian Gulf, earning a earning a coveted Battle "E" for their efficiency in doing all the fleet had asked of them. Which involved ... what, exactly? They covered 34,000 nautical miles, participated in one multinational exercise, and made port calls in Portugal, Spain, Bahrain, and Gibraltar, according to official Navy reports.

There was something else, according to the sub's captain, Commander Chester T. Parks. "During this time," he told reporters, "Annapolis completed four missions vital to national security."

Technically, his boat is a fast-attack submarine, responsible for tracking and killing enemy subs and surface ships when shit goes down. But the Annapolis was equipped for a very special top secret task, one that didn't involve its Mark 48 ADCAP torpedoes - or any shooting weapons at all. It was a mission that wasn't yet accomplished as the boat ported and the crew embraced their families on the dock at Submarine Base New London, Conn. [Read more: Weinstein&Arkin/PhaseZero/7April2015]

Leadership Lessons From the CIA. Timothy Kilbourn spent almost 30 years as a military analyst with the CIA. He was the deputy director of two divisions, dean of the Sherman Kent School for Intelligence Analysis and served for several years as the daily briefer to President George W. Bush.

Kilbourn spoke about his experiences and views on leadership in an interview with Tom Fox, a guest writer for On Leadership and a vice president at the nonprofit Partnership for Public Service. Fox is also the head of the organization's Center for Government Leadership. [Read more: Fox/WashingtonPost/13April2015]

Section III - COMMENTARY

The CIA Gets a Makeover. CIA Director John Brennan has just done what many of his predecessors at the agency surely dreamed of doing over the past few decades, which is to put the existing organizational chart in a shredder and redo it.

Brennan's makeover order came in a March 6 memo to the workforce titled "Our Agency's Blueprint for the Future." It was written in anodyne, business-school language, and it hasn't received much media coverage. But the message was blunt: The CIA's current management structure is too loose and archaic for a world that's on fire.

"What's broken that needs to be fixed?" Brennan mused in a conversation with reporters last month. "I have a feeling that Kodak executives in the 1990s were asking themselves the same question, and, sure enough, things just passed them by."

Brennan is basically right. The CIA's culture is broken. The hero of my most recent novel, The Director, muses on his first day on the job that maybe the famous campus in Langley should be blown up and turned into a theme park. He settles for removing the statue of the CIA's founding father, William "Wild Bill" Donovan, from the lobby. [Read more: Ignatius/WashingtonPost/9April2015]

Latest Leak Exposes Israeli Military Intelligence's Achilles' Heel. The affair of the soldier to be indicted on Sunday in military court over alleged intelligence leaks to right-wing friends reflects the difficulty the Israel Defense Forces Military Intelligence has, as opposed to smaller agencies like the Shin Bet security service or the Mossad, in protecting classified information.

MI is more vulnerable to leaks because of its broader contact with the outside world. Civilians, new draftees, reserve soldiers - every year more and more people are added to the circle of those exposed to its secrets.

It seems that the case of the soldier, Ya'akov Sela, shows weaknesses in the system that might be quite common. Relatively rapid initial security vetting, which is not always sufficient to uncover potential security risks; too loose supervision of those already in the intelligence system and who are considered "one of us"; and a lack of strict compartmentalization in day to day work.

Sela was inducted into the army's program for ultra-Orthodox soldiers, in which great efforts are made to satisfy the needs of the draftees. He was relatively old, 25, married and a father, had medical problems, and was stationed at a base a few minutes away from his home in the settlement of Bat Ayin. (The fact that a settler from an ultra-Orthodox, nationalistic background was drafted into a program designed for ultra-Orthodox full-time yeshiva students shows the broad interpretation the IDF gives to the term "ultra-Orthodox," and the possibility that the number of "authentic" ultra-Orthodox serving in the army may be lower than the army claims.) [Read more: Harel&Cohen/Haaretz/12April2015]

Why US Intelligence Is Right About Iran. In 2002, the intelligence community produced a flawed estimate of Iraq's nuclear, biological and chemical weapons capabilities. Intelligence analysts had very little reliable information at their disposal, especially because weapons inspectors had been out of the country for several years. Making matters worse, the George W. Bush administration began to lean on the community to exaggerate the Iraqi threat, and it used intelligence to sell the war to Congress and the public. Despite the patchy and unreliable underlying information, intelligence reports became increasingly assertive about the growing danger posed by Saddam Hussein's illusory arsenal.

In 2007, the intelligence community produced another controversial National Intelligence Estimate (NIE). This time the topic was Iran's nuclear program. Unlike the first case, this estimate was prepared under the assumption that it would remain classified, and analysts were surely surprised when then-President Bush ordered its publication. The estimate became the target of intense criticism, especially from Republicans who accused intelligence agencies of undermining the administration's aggressive posture toward Iran. Former secretary of state Henry Kissinger called it "policy conjecture" masquerading as objective intelligence. Peter Hoekstra, the former House intelligence committee chairman, called it a "piece of trash."

In reality, the NIE was accurate and prescient. It concluded that Iran had disbanded its organized nuclear weapons research program in 2003. At the same time, it noted that Iran was continuing enrichment work apace and that Iran would have sufficient material for a bomb by 2015 if it chose to enrich its uranium stockpile to weapons grade. This prediction, which was supported in later threat assessments, has been borne out in International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reports and open source analyses. Meanwhile there is no evidence to suggest that Iran had resuscitated its weaponization effort at any point between 2003 and 2007. If the estimate was so naive, as critics would have it, they are at a loss to find proof that it was substantively wrong.

Despite all the criticism, intelligence on Iran's nuclear program has been a success story. [Read more: Rovner/WashingtonPost/13April2015]

Activity-Based Intelligence: Revolutionizing Military Intelligence Analysis. Information-age technology is advancing at a stunning pace, yielding increasingly complex information architectures, data accessibility, and knowledge management "all of which have created the conditions for a leap in intelligence processes," stated Lieutenant General Robert Otto, the Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR).1 The vast amount of information that the Intelligence Community (IC) collects demands a transformation in the way the Department of Defense (DOD) intelligence enterprise processes, organizes, and presents data. The enterprise must embrace the opportunities inherent to big data while also driving toward a unified strategy with the IC. The primary strategy thus far has been acquisition based, looking to industry and research and development organizations to provide the next best tool and software, rather than addressing the more existential requirement of advancing analytical tradecraft and transforming antiquated intelligence analysis and processing methods.

In our current diffuse and multipolar threat environment, the DOD intelligence enterprise faces the daunting task of discerning abnormal and/or significant activities from normal patterns of activities. To truly revolutionize and fundamentally change from an individual exploitation process to analysis-based tradecraft, the enterprise needs to harness the potential of big data, replacing the methodology of individually exploited pieces of data with an activity-based analysis approach, known as Activity-Based Intelligence (ABI). Use of the ABI methodology will enable our intelligence analysts to focus on hard problems with critical timelines as well as normal day-to-day production activities across the spectrum of conflict. This methodology will aid in the development and understanding of patterns of life, which in turn will enable analysts to differentiate abnormal from normal activities as well as potentially defining a "new normal." Furthermore, the sharp incline in the amount of data, recent information technology (IT) advances, and the ABI methodology impel significant changes within the traditional DOD intelligence production model of PCPAD (planning and direction, collection, processing and exploitation, analysis and production, and dissemination). [Read more: Atwood/NDUPress/7April2015]

Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries and Upcoming Events

Research Requests

University of Texas El Paso Graduate Student seeks to interview AFIO Members who served in CIA as Operations Officer or Analyst for class project - possible publication in Student Journal.
Greetings, my name is Hector Escobar and I am a graduate student at the University of Texas at El Paso (UTEP) pursuing a Master’s of Science Degree in Intelligence and National Security Studies (INSS). I am conducting interviews for a research project for my Introduction to Intelligence Analysis class (INSS 5303). My research topic deals with understanding the personal aspects regarding: motives, perceptions, and costs relating to working within the U.S. Intelligence Community as an Intelligence Officer & Analyst for the CIA. I believe this study will be beneficial to the understanding of what it takes to work as an Intelligence Officer & Analyst to better inform those whom are interested in the topic. I was wondering if it was at all possible for you to post an "INTERVIEWEES WANTED" on the AFIO website to see if any of your members would be interested in participating in my project.

OUTLINE- "During this study, I will be asking questions regarding the personal experiences within the Central Intelligence Agency as an Intelligence Officer/Analysts. This interview will include a total of 10 questions, in which you can give as much information as you like. Also, if there are any questions you would rather not answer or that you do not feel comfortable answering we will exclude them from the interview. All the information will be kept confidential. Only myself and my professor Dr. Michael Landon-Murray will have access to the interview information. I will keep the collected information on my personal computer, and will delete the interview data as required by law. You are also granted the right to remain anonymous, if you’d feel more comfortable." This is a class project that may be published in a Student Journal which will be determined after completion. (I am in the process of getting the project approved by UTEPs IRB.)

Criteria to meet to participate:
1. Former Intelligence Officer and or Analyst previously employed at the Central Intelligence Agency

To participate or if you have questions contact me via email: hjescobar@miners.utep.edu, or by phone (915) 215-3612

Obituaries

Nowell A. Cochrane. Nowell Alexander Cochrane of Queenstown passed away peacefully at his home on Jan. 16, 2015. He was 69.

Nowell was born in Baltimore on Jan. 20, 1945, to Rev. Nowell Hague Cochrane and Mary Elizabeth (nee Alexander). He was a 1963 graduate of McDonogh School in Owings Mills. After graduation, he joined the Army and served in Vietnam with MACV as an advisor from 1964 to 1966. Upon his return, he completed his B.A. at the University of Maryland and attended the Defense Language Institute, where he learned Japanese, after which he spent much of his 12 years in the military focused on East Asia before joining the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) as an Operations Officer. In 2000, he retired from the CIA and joined Booz Allen Hamilton, where he continued to support the nation.

Nowell spent the entirety of his adult life serving his country and his family. His proudest moments were the births of his children and grandchildren, and the 2007 recognition of his unit as a CIA Trailblazer.

Throughout his travels and posts across the world, he remained a Maryland boy through and through, and nothing made him happier than watching the Orioles over steamed crabs with a beer in hand.

He will be remembered for his incredible wit, sense of humor, intelligence and integrity. As the only child of divorced parents, his family was everything to him - and as anyone who knew him can attest to, this included the beloved dogs that accompanied him throughout his life: Sandy, Spunky, Huey and fat Gus. [Read more: TheStarDemocrat/17January2015]

AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Wednesday, 15 April 2015, at 9-10am - ONLINE - World War One-centric Online Google Hangout Session

World War One-centric Online Google Hangout Session.

The Office of the Historian, U.S. Department of State

The focus of the discussion will be our WW1/Embassy France “Views From the Embassy” project,
the larger context of diplomacy (and diplomats’ actions) of the era,
and how it influences us today.
We hope to tease out some of the content and issues covered in our Huffington Post miniseries
(“Rendez-Vous With History,” “The Rugby-Loving U.S. Consul in St. Étienne,” and “The Marvelous Millie B.”).

For further information, please see the event page, http://goo.gl/J7nfZR.
The session will be broadcast live, and archived afterwards on the Department’s YouTube stream.

15 April 2015, 1 pm - Washington, DC - John Sano, former DD/NCS, CIA speaks on "A New Era of HUMINT: How the Intelligence Workforce Continues to Evolve" at the Institute of World Politics

John R. Sano, Former Deputy Director, National Clandestine Service, CIA, and currently the Vice President of AFIO, is also a Professor of Intelligence at the Institute of World Politics. His keynote address at the Fifth Annual Reagan Intelligence Lecture will be "A New Era of HUMINT: How the Intelligence Workforce Continues to Evolve."
Sano will discuss how changing demographics have affected the intelligence community, and in particular the human intelligence workforce. He will review generational and technological changes, as well as changes in motivations within this workforce.
John Sano spent 28 years in CIA and was appointed the National Clandestine Service's (formerly the Directorate of Operations) Deputy Director in November 2005 by then DCI Porter Goss. Mr. Sano came to this position after having previously served as Chief of the East Asia Division in the Directorate of Operations from January through November 2005.
As Deputy Director, Mr. Sano chaired the NCS' Senior Leadership Team and oversaw the day-to-day management of the country's Clandestine Service. In addition, Mr. Sano was an active member of the CIA's Executive Management Team and regularly briefed senior Administration as well as Congressional Committee members on matters of national security and worldwide covert operations. Through his extensive interaction with other senior Intelligence Community members to include the National Security Council and Congress, Mr. Sano played an integral role in the establishment and direction of the newly formed NCS.
Previous positions within the CIA included serving as a Chief of Station in two foreign and one domestic location, as well as nearly 15 years of overseas experience in Asia, Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Among other senior assignments, Mr. Sano was the CIA's chief of North Korean operations in the early 90's and directed the CIA's efforts during the Balkan conflict in the mid-90's.
At IWP, he teaches a course on Covert Action and National Security.

Please contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions about this event.
Please note that this event is strictly off the record.
Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, D.C. 20036.
Register here.

Thursday, 16 April 2015, 6 - 9pm - West Bloomfield, MI - The AFIO Michigan Chapter Hosts Col. Scott Reid, Ohio National Guard.

The AFIO Michigan Chapter evening event features a presentation by Col. Scott Reid of the 180th Fighter Wing of the Ohio National Guard. There will also by an update on chapter business.
Location: Pine Lake Country Club, 3300 Pine Lake Rd, West Bloomfield Township, MI.
RSVP to afiomichigan@gmail.com Space is limited.

18 April 2015, Kennebunkport, ME - The AFIO Maine Chapter hosts tech expert John Robb on "Saudi Arabia in the Crosshairs."

Author, technology expert, entrepreneur and political analyst, John Robb has a B.S. in aeronautical engineering from the USAF Academy and an M.A. in Public and Private Management from Yale University. He served as a pilot with Delta and Seal Team 6 as part of a global counter-terrorism unit.
John is cofounder of a company now a global leader in financial performance testing and ran a company which was the pioneer of weblogs.
John is known for his book Brave New War, (2007) describing a new form of warfare he calls open space warfare that enables small groups of violent individuals to go to war against nation states and win. He is frequently asked to speak before employees of DOD, FBI, CIA and other government agencies.
From this perspective Robb examines the type of warfare engaged in by ISIS and the vulnerabilities of Saudi Arabia. He notes that Saudi Arabia is surrounded by Shia guerrillas and al Qaeda. Their only defense is a wall now under construction. There is infiltration from other groups and a lack of support within Saudi Arabia. Will Saudi forces fight? Other factors include the location of the major Islamic holy cities in Saudi Arabia and the aims of ISIS, and the effect of the fall of Saudi Arabia on the world oil market and economy.
PLEASE NOTE CHANGE IN MEETING LOCATION. The meeting is open to the public and will be held at 2:00 p.m., Saturday, April 18, 2015, at the Community House, 8 Temple Street, Kennebunkport, Me. For information call 207-967-4298.

Tuesday, 21 April 2015 - MacDill AFB, Florida - The AFIO Suncoast Chapter hosts Robert Minehart, Senior Policy Advisor to the Ranking Member ― House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.

Robert Minehart, Senior Policy Advisor to the Ranking Member ― House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence joined the Intelligence committee in 2005 and has been a go-to NSA expert. Lawmakers have different opinions on the NSA issue, but Minehart, 56, uses his technical know-how to explain how the programs work. He personally believes national security and privacy are not mutually exclusive. "[At the NSA] we never ever collect against an American unless there are proper court orders.... We would be fired instantaneously," he said. Minehart's badge now gives him access to the 17 different agencies and organizations the committee oversees, and he likes to bring lawmakers along. "When you walk up [to a satellite] and it's the size of a Greyhound bus, that puts things in perspective," he said. Secrecy is omnipresent. The committee's workspace is a secure area, but walking in the hallway, "your mind has to completely shift," Minehart says. "I don't usually talk to media."

LOCATION: MacDill AFB Surf�s Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Please RSVP by 15 April to the Chapter Secretary for yourself and include the names and email addresses of any guests. Email or call Michael Shapiro at sectysuncoastafio@att.net. You will receive a confirmation via email. If you do not, contact the Chapter Secretary to confirm your registration. Check-in at noon; opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at 1230 hours, followed by our speaker.
FEE: You must present your $20 check payable to �Suncoast Chapter, AFIO� (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, don�t cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don�t show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.

Friday, 24 April 2015, 6-10pm - Scottsdale, AZ - The AFIO Chapter of Arizona hosts 3rd Annual James Bond 007 Scholarship Fundraiser Event

MISSION: To provide scholarship support to students pursuing university programs in the Security, Defense & Intelligence fields. Ticket Price $85.00 per person BLACK TIE OPTIONAL. Location: The Orange Tree Golf Resort, 10601 N 56th St, Scottsdale, AZ 85254
RSVP: 0072015@afioaz.org Online Ticket Purchase: http://www.afioaz.org (Visa, Discover, MC, PayPal) By Mail: 8707 E. San Martin Drive, Scottsdale, AZ 85258

Wednesday, 29 April 2015, 5:30-9pm - New York, NY - AFIO New York Metro Meeting Features Joseph Wippl, former CIA Clandestine Services Officer, on Aldrich "Rick" Ames, worst CIA traitor ever: his personality, his motivation for espionage and the impact on all Soviet agents of the CIA.

Joseph Wippl is a former CIA officer who spent 30 years as an operations officer in the National Clandestine Service (NCS). Wippl served overseas in Bonn, West Germany; Guatemala City; Luxembourg; Madrid, Spain; Mexico City; Vienna, Austria; and Berlin, Germany. On assignments in CIA headquarters, he served as the Deputy Chief of Human Resources, as the Senior NCS representative to the Aldrich Ames Damage Assessment Team, as Chief of Europe Division and as the CIA�s Director of Congressional Affairs. Wippl has coordinated extensively with other members of the US IC. He currently teaches at Boston University. Prior to that he occupied the Richard Helms Chair for Intelligence Collection in the NCS training program. Wippl has taught at BU since 2006 where he serves as Director of Graduate Studies, Professor of the Practice of International Relations; BU Pardee School of Global Studies at Boston University.

Location: Society of Illustrators building, 128 East 63rd St, between Park Ave and Lexington Ave.
COST: $50/person Cash or check, payable at the door only. Dinner to follow talk & Q&A. Cash bar. RESERVATIONS: Strongly suggested, not required, Email Jerry Goodwin afiometro@gmail.com or phone 646-717-3776.

Friday, 08 May 2015 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO's Spring 2015 luncheon features the NSA's former Deputy Director, Chris Inglis, and Journalist Bryan Denson on Father and Son Traitors who stole secrets for Russia

Chris Inglis, former National Security Agency Deputy Director will discuss "Hackers, Financial Safety, Bulk Data Collection, ISIS Recruitments, Snowden and more." Investigative reporter and Pulitzer Prize finalist Bryan Denson speaks on his research on "The Spy�s Son: The True Story of the Highest-Ranking CIA Officer Ever Convicted of Espionage and the Son He Trained to Spy for Russia" the riveting story of the Nicholsons―father and son co-conspirators who deceived their country by selling national secrets to Russia.
Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Bryan Denson begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; Chris Inglis begins presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning presentation by Bryan Denson is on the record; Chris Inglis' remarks are Off The Record.
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
Registrations accepted HERE while space remains.

Saturday, 09 May 2015, 11:30am-2:00pm - Melbourne, FL - Pearl Harbor Scholar Thomas Kimmel addresses AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter on "The Story Within the Pearl Harbor Story."

Thomas Kimmel is a graduate of the US Naval Academy, former Special Agent of the FBI and grandson of Admiral Husband E. Kimmel, Commander of the Pacific Fleet on 7 December 1941. Admiral Kimmel was, says Kimmel, shamelessly scapegoated, reduced in rank, and disgraced after the Japanese attack. Kimmel comes from a family of distinguished scholars and government servants dedicated to protecting America, so Tom found it particularly troubling that his grandfather was accused from the well of the House of Resentatives for having failed to prevent both WWII and the Cold War. Tom has devoted years of his life to the study of the topic, and uses these speaking opportunities to respond to the allegations. Tom Kimmel served on three warships during the Vietnam War and attended John Marshall Law School before beginning his FBI career in 1973. He served the FBI and the nation with distinction for 25 years, investigating organized crime in Cleveland, serving on the House Appropriations Committee Surveys and Investigations Staff at CIA Headquarters, and ending his FBI career as Assistant Special Agent in Charge of the Philadelphia Division, heading the Foreign Counterintelligence and Terrorism Programs during the first attack on the World Trade Center in 1993.
Since retiring, Tom has served, as well as in other capacities, as a consultant to the Bureau on major spy scandals at both the FBI and the CIA. Location: Indian River Colony Club, At Ease Club, 1936 Freedom Dr, Melbourne, FL 32940.
For reservations and information, contact FSC Chapter President at afiofsc@afio.com.

28 May 2015, 11:30am - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Andre LeGallo Chapter hosts Capt. Lee Rosenberg, USN, ret. and Managing Director of Navigating Preparedness Associates.

Topic will be "Insider Threat: It's Not Just Cybersecurity." Timing of program: 11:30AM no host cocktails; meeting starts at noon.
Location: United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Ave, SF (between Sloat/Wawona).
E-mail RSVP to Mariko Kawaguchi at afiosf@aol.com and you will be sent an Eventbrite link to register. Alternately, mail a check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, PO Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-members $35. $35 at the door. RSVP is required.

Thursday, May 28, 2015, 5:30 - 8:30pm - Atlanta, GA - The AFIO Atlanta Chapter-in-Formation and Harvard Club of Georgia host reception for Prof Kristie Macrakis on Prisoners, Lovers, and Spies. There is no charge.

Professor Kristie Macrakis, an AFIO member and Harvard alum who teaches history at Georgia Tech, specializes in the history of espionage. She�ll discuss her 2014 book Prisoners, Lovers, and Spies: The Story of Invisible Ink from Herodotus to al-Qaeda. In it, she presents a fascinating cat-and-mouse game between spies who conceal their reports in plain sight and counterintelligence agents trying to intercept and detect them―and all the clever methods employed. As a friend of AFIO, this event is free for you and your guests.
5:30 - 6:30 p.m.: Cocktail Reception
6:30 - 7:30 p.m.: Presentation by Prof. Kristie Macrakis, followed by Q&A
7:30 - 8:30 p.m.: Cocktail Reception
Location: Womble Carlyle, Skyline Room (25th Floor), Atlantic Station, BB&T Building, 271 17th St NW Ste 2500, Atlanta, GA 30363-1017
RSVP or questions to Brian Hooper, bhooper@wcsr.com or 404.879.2440. If you can�t attend but are interested in participating in the new chapter, please let him know.

Other Upcoming Events

Friday, 17 April 2015, 1-4pm - Washington DC - Meet a Spy: Robert Wallace at the International Spy Museum

Briefing at the International Spy Museum Store and �Meet a Spy� � uncover the world of espionage and intelligence with people who practiced professionally. Meet the former director of the CIA�s Office of Technical Service (OTS) and spy gadget master, Robert Wallace. Tickets: Free! No reservations required. Visit www.spymuseum.org

19 - 22 April 2015 - Napa, CA - IAPSC Annual Conference on "Old Growth vs New Growth - The Future of Consulting."

The International Association of Professional Security Consultants (IAPSC) host their annual conference at the Meritage Resort & Spa in Napa, California.
From the age of our client to the use of social media for marketing, so many aspects of the security industry are changing and they're changing the way in which consultants run their business. In order to keep up with the changing demand, demographics, and business dynamics, it's important for security professionals to take a good look at the future of consulting. The 2015 conference program content is focused on helping the security professional understand how they used to or are currently doing business compared to how, as consultants, they may want to think about doing business in the future, how the "new" generation of decision maker will make decisions vs. how past consumers have conducted business, and what new trends, market niches, and areas of concern may come out of recent and future security risks.

From cultural and campus security to security risks stemming from threats of infectious disease outbreaks and terrorism to building your business from your current customer base, the 2015 conference will provide a broad range of sessions to lift your business to the next level. Here are some more themes at this event: Protecting Our National Treasures...Requiring Top Notch Protection, and Then Some!; Technical Security Panel - CCTV and Video Management; Terrorism and National Security - How It Affects US Business; Security Risks Involved with Ebola and Other Infectious Disease; Technical Security Panel - Access Control; Panel Discussion: Gaining Support from Management and Corporate Security; Technical Security Panel - Smart Buildings; One-On-One Website Consultations with Dave Stevens; Security Consulting Challenges for Two-Year Institutions: Providing a Framework for Effective Security Assessment Engagements; Effective Place Management; Gone Phishing: How to Protect Yourself and Your Clients from Cyber Security Attacks; Using Social Media to Increase Brand Awareness & Customer Retention; Technical Security Panel - Outdoor Analytics & Detection; and Security Opportunities in Drone Security.
Explore and attend this conference. Quick Links:
Conference Program
Download Conference Brochure
Lodging
General Information

Tuesday, 21 April 2015, 6:30pm - Washington DC - The Rosenbergs: The 'Definitive' Debate at the International Spy Museum

More than sixty years after their execution in June 1953 for conspiring to steal atomic secrets for the Soviet Union, in a few hardbitten, blind-to-facts circles, the debate still rages about the Rosenbergs' guilt or innocence. Especially among their family members and friends. Mike Meeropol, the son of Julius and Ethel, has spent his life whitewashing, fine-tuning, and nit-picking the perfidy of his parents� secret lives, their trials, their well-deserved convictions for espionage, and ultimately their executions. Sam Roberts, journalist for The New York Times, is the author of The Brother, a book written with exclusive access to David Greenglass, Ethel�s brother, whose testimony almost single-handedly convicted the couple in the era before classified VENONA decrypts were released to show they were guilty as charged. In this debate, these Rosenberg scholars - with different perspectives on a case long-settled by intelligence scholars - will take on the divisive issues and key questions that remain to the few holdouts despite the declassification of intelligence files from the United States and the Soviet Union that prove they were guilty and deserving of the punishment they received.
As a voice of reason, Dr. Vince Houghton, historian and curator of the International Spy Museum and an expert on nuclear intelligence, will moderate this debate on the Rosenbergs treason and punishment.
Tickets: $15, Members of the Inner Circle: $12. Visit www.spymuseum.org

Thursday, 23 April 2015, 1-4pm - Lexington, VA - NSA's Declassification and Release of William Friedman�s Official Papers

Please join us for a series of presentations on William F. Friedman, George C. Marshall Foundation�s Friedman Collection and the Declassification and Release of William Friedman�s Official Papers. With representatives from the National Security Agency and the National Archives and Records Administration
This program is a part of the George C. Marshall Legacy Series sequence on Codebreaking. Marshall Library in the George C. Marshall Foundation VMI Parade, Lexington, Virginia Reservations required by calling Leigh McFaddin at 540-463-7103, ext. 138 or by email to mcfaddinlh@marshallfoundation.org
Read the full invitation for more information.

26 April to 3 May 2015 - Berlin and Vienna - ESPIONAGE IN EUROPE: Now and Then - a New York Times Journey with AFIO Member/former CIA Officer, Jon Wiant.

Reserve now to travel on this exciting eight day intelligence excursion. "Espionage in Europe: Now and Then" is a journey focused on history & context. From the Cold War to present day government phone-hacking. Berlin and Vienna are two of Europe's capital cities that have seen more than their fair share of activity. Explore how, why and who was involved, the back stories and realization that it will never go away.
Join us on a unique tour to Berlin and Vienna, to learn about both underground goings on and those taking place in plain site, how World War II shaped Cold War intelligence operations and why our espionage bases in Berlin and Vienna became the dangerous front lines of our conflict with the Soviet Union. The Times-selected expert accompanying this trip is Prof. Jon A Wiant, retired Deputy Assistant Secretary of State, former White House director of intelligence policy and former member of the CIA. To hear more about this tour, listen to Jon Wiant speak, during a recent webinar.
Cost: $7,450 pp, +$1,000 single supplement. Deposit $500. Itinerary: 8 days, 7 nights. Activity Level: More active trips involving hiking over moderately strenuous and varied terrain, usually - but not always - with vehicle support and at elevations most often below 10,000 feet, or trips with significant hiking days, wilderness camping, or other mandatory activity. On some trips, you can elect to skip a day�s hike, depending on logistics. Questions? Call 855-698-7979.

Wednesday, 20 May 2015, 10 am - 1 pm - Laurel, MD - Dr. Andrew Hodges, Oxford, presentation and signing at NCMF luncheon

Dr. Andrew Hodges, Sr. Research Fellow, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, author of Alan Turing: The Enigma [source for the movie The Imitation Game] Hear this luminary on his rare US visit... to lecture and sign his book for the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Members and Guests.

Dr. Hodges was elected a fellow at Wadham College in 2007 and appointed Dean in 2011. In 2012, he became a Senior Research Fellow in the Mathematics Institute at Oxford. Dr. Hodges has worked extensively on Twistor geometry and its application to fundamental physics. In the cryptologic community, he is perhaps better known for his work as the biographer of Alan Turing. His book, "Alan Turing: The Enigma," has been called one of the 50 essential books of all time in the British press and is the inspiration for the highly acclaimed film, "The Imitation Game."
Location: Patuxent Greens Golf Club, 14415 Greenview Dr, Laurel, MD 20708. $55 for guests; $25 for members. Includes lunch. The ballroom at the club is being used and provides plenty of space to meet the swelling interest in this program. Do not miss this by failing to register NOW. Registration remains open until 15 May 2015.
More information and Registration here.

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