PSYCHOLOGY OF INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, by Richards J. Heuer, Jr., Center for the Study of Intelligence, 1999. It may be available from the National Technical Information Service. The author had a distinguished career in CIA for 45 years. Many chapters were originally written for the Directorate of Intelligence. Should become a textbook support to teaching intelligence. (RoyJ)
Reviewed in AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #45-99 13 Nov 1999
PSYCHOLOGY OF INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, by Richard Heuer, Jr, CIA, 1999 Recently posted on the web page of CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI), this new book has foreword by Doug MacEachin and an Introduction by Jack Davis.
Heuer, a 1950 graduate of Williams College was recruited into the CIA by Richard Helms while a graduate student at UC Berkely in 1951. In 1975, after 24 years in the Directorate of Operations, Heuer moved to the DI. At the time he retired in 1979, Heuer headed the methodology unit in the DI's political analysis office. NOTE: The Introduction by Jack Davis summarizes the work and is especially recommended.
Reviewed in AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #01-00, 1-00
PSYCHOLOGY OF INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, by Richard J. Heuer, Jr.(CIA ret) , CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI) , 2000. How do you beat cognitive biases? How do you set aside preconceived mind-sets and mental models? The author emphasizes the importance of not only analyzing the substance of intelligence problems, but also of understanding the analytic thought processes. He maintains that thinking analytically is a skill like carpentry or driving a car -- it can be taught, it can be learned, and it can be improved with practice. Heuer examines cognitive biases -- subconscious pre-conceptions that impair objectivity and skew analysis in such areas as evaluation of evidence, recognition of signs of change, perception of cause and effect, and estimation of future probabilities. Heuer offers techniques for confronting such biases and diluting their impact. This book is written in a clear, crisp, concise, jargon-free mode that is readily understandable. It is of value not only to other intelligence professionals -- that is, to managers, trainers, collectors, and technicians but also to anyone that has to analyze or make judgements, decisions, and predictions about problems and choices that arise in the course of day-to-day life. Psychology of Intelligence Analysis is available from NTIS, 800-553-6847 or 703-605-6000, for $47 plus $5 handling fee; quote order number: PB99- 928007KPV. Most major credit cards accepted. Order via e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org. Fax order to: 703-605-6900. See NTIS Web site: http://www.ntis.gov. CONTACT: Renee Edwards, Public Affairs Director of the National Technical Information Service, 703-605-6400 or email@example.com" (Heibel)
Reviewed in AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #03-00,