AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #43-15 dated 3 November 2015

NOTE: Users of Apple products recently discovered that the internal links (table of contents, etc.) to many emailed newsletters they receive, including AFIO's Weekly Notes, no longer work.
It turns out this is a bug in iOS 8 onwards that Apple has yet to fix. If that is the case for you, use the following link to view this newsletter online.

If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.
[Editors' Note are now below the CONTENTS]
REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section V - Jobs, Books, Obituaries and Upcoming Events

Jobs

Field Intelligence Element (FIE) Director, Energy and Global Security Directorate sought by Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, Illinois (Southwest Suburb of Chicago)

Books

Obituaries

Upcoming Events

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events

For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events 

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors:  pjk, le and fwr.  They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.
CAVEATS: IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.

SPECIAL Announcements


Celebration of Hugh Tovar's Life
Friday, 6 November 2015
2 - 6 p.m. at Knights of Columbus Hall
Arlington, VA

The family of Hugh Tovar are having a Celebration of Hugh's Life on Friday, November 6, 2015 from 2-6 pm at the Knights of Columbus Hall, 5115 Little Falls Road, Arlington, VA..They would be happy if those who knew Hugh in OSS, CIA, or AFIO would join them. Hugh Tovar, former head of CIA Covert Action and Counterintelligence Staffs, once served on AFIO's Board, and wrote articles for our publications.

No RSVP is needed. Your attendance at the ceremony would be appreciated by Hugh's widow, Pamela Balow. She looks forward to meeting you on November 6.


Virtual AFIO Luncheon

Did you missing AFIO's 30 October luncheon? Though the content from most of our luncheons cannot be released in audio or video, we have permission to share the morning presentation with you.

Douglas WALLER presentation at AFIO Luncheon 2015 October 30

This is a presentation by historian Douglas Waller discussing his latest book "Disciples: The World War II Missions of the CIA Directors Who Fought for Wild Bill Donovan."

For a 5-minute glimpse at pre-luncheon arrivals, and the great assortment
of books and gifts available at our events, a video is here.

Nothing replaces the benefits of meeting with colleagues face-to-face
so members are urged to consider attending one or more of our year 2016 events
which will be announced here in the Weekly Notes or on our website.


Editor Peter Oleson has supplied a number of new articles in the hopper
for AFIO's forthcoming "Guide to the Study of Intelligence."

These latest drafts are available on our website prior to publication in the journal and,
in 2016, as an 800+-page ebook and print-on-demand reference work.

Intelligence and diplomacy have an intimate relationship. But it is not always harmonious. As Ambassador G. Philip Hughes and Peter Oleson explain in their article, “Diplomacy & Intelligence: Strange Bedfellows,” the two are mutually dependent, are beneficial for the nation when they work together, but often cause problems for each other.

• Dr. Robert Clark in his article on protecting intelligence sources and methods tries to explain the confusing maze of classification and compartmentation of sensitive intelligence. He traces the origins of security classification, how it is applied to the various INTs, and the modern compartmentation system.

• Updated on 31 August 2015 - After World War I the US became a major target for foreign espionage. Former FBI counterintelligence officer David Major and co-author Professor Peter Oleson trace the modern history of foreign espionage against America and highlight many of the major counterintelligence cases that have occurred.

• UPDATED on 01 September 2015 - Intelligence reached a zenith in World War II. Professor Peter Oleson’s examination of the impact of intelligence in World War II details how the Allies, whose pre-war intelligence capabilities were minimal, suffered from Axis surprises but eventually prevailed by breaking Axis codes and ciphers and building an international intelligence behemoth.


To view these, be certain you have the latest version of whatever PDF viewer you are using. If it is Adobe Reader or Acrobat and you cannot open some or all of the above PDFs, it means your PDF viewer is out-of-date.
Use this link to update your viewer to the latest free version. After installation, return to this page to view these articles.


Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

DNI Brings Intel Community a Little Out of Its Shell. The intelligence community is making an effort to increase transparency. A new policy released Oct. 27 will aid the release of some intelligence documents and provide more information about missions.

Analysts say the Intelligence Community Transparency Implementation Plan will attempt to address concerns about the country's most clandestine clique, as favorability and trust in intelligence institutions have eroded since Edward Snowden and WikiLeaks exposed the National Security Agency's collection of bulk phone data.

"Many Americans now question the IC's commitment to lawfulness and to privacy and civil liberties," Director of National Intelligence (DNI) James Clapper said during a speech at George Washington University Tuesday in Washington.

He added that while exposing more intelligence information gives adversaries an inside look into how data is collected on them, it is worth the cost to keep the confidence of the public. [Read more: Maucione/FederalNewsRadio/27October2015]

Open Source Center (OSC) Becomes Open Source Enterprise (OSE). The DNI Open Source Center has been redesignated the Open Source Enterprise and incorporated in CIA's new Directorate of Digital Innovation.

The Open Source Center, established in 2005, was tasked to collect and analyze open source information of intelligence value across all media - print, broadcast and online. The OSC was the successor to the Foreign Broadcast Information Service (FBIS), which gathered and translated world news coverage and other open source information for half a century.

"As part of the Agency modernization effort announced by Director Brennan earlier this year, the DNI Open Source Center (OSC) changed its name to the Open Source Enterprise (OSE) on October 1, 2015," said CIA spokesperson Ryan Trapani. "OSE remains dedicated to collecting, analyzing, and disseminating publicly available information of intelligence value. The organization's new name reflects the broad relevance and scope of the open source mission."

"OSE retains its role as the Intelligence Community's (IC) center of excellence for open source collection, analysis, and tradecraft," he added. "Director Brennan also retains his role as the interagency Open Source Functional manager." [Read more: Aftergood/FAS/28October2015]

British Intelligence Services Opening the Doors to Next Generation Cyber Spooks. British intelligence services GCHQ, MI5 and MI6 has decided to start growing its own cyber talent by creating its own Higher Apprenticeship.

It's not so much an opportunity to be the next James Bond, more like the next Q - GCHQ, MI5 and MI6 are searching for technically-minded apprentices.

The British Intelligence Higher Apprenticeship in IT, software, internet and telecoms could be "a tempting alternative to a university degree - and a unique way to start a career," according to a GCHQ press release.

The Apprenticeship is a two-year foundation degree scheme run by GCHQ at its Cheltenham HQ. There is an optional third year to obtain a full degree. [Read more: SCMagazine/28October2015]

US Intelligence Head: CIA Did Not Pull Officers From Beijing After OPM Hack. The CIA did not pull officers from Beijing in the wake of the Chinese hack of millions of sensitive personnel records disclosed earlier this year, the nation's top intelligence official said Monday.

Asked at a Defense One national security conference whether CIA officers were removed from Beijing, Director of National Intelligence James R. Clapper Jr. said "No."

He did not elaborate.

The Washington Post
, citing current and former US officials, reported in September that the agency had pulled officers as a precautionary move. A CIA spokesman declined to comment Monday. [Read more: Nakashima&Goldman/WashingtonPost/2November2015]

Pentagon Spy Agency Hires First British Deputy Director. The Pentagon's principal spy agency is appointing a British Air Force officer as its first deputy director in charge of improving "integration" between US intelligence units and spy agencies of other English-speaking countries.

US intelligence agencies have long had close relationships with their British counterparts, but former and current US intelligence officials said this is the first time they knew of a US spy agency naming a foreigner to a top executive position.

In an official announcement, the Pentagon said that the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) had chosen Air Vice Marshal Sean Corbett of Britain's Royal Air Force (RAF) as its first "deputy director for Commonwealth Integration."

The Pentagon said that Corbett, presently the RAF's top professional intelligence officer, would be top advisor to DIA director Lt. Gen. Vincent Stewart on defense and intelligence issues concerning an alliance of English-speaking countries known as the "Five Eyes." [Read more: Hosenball/Reuters/30October2015]

Iran Closing Technology Gap With Israel, Military Intelligence Chief Warns. The Military Intelligence chief said Israel and Iran are engaged in a technology war in which the Islamic Republic is rapidly narrowing the quality gap.

Maj. Gen. Herzl Halevi, speaking at a closed lecture Thursday, added that if the anxiety generated by the videos of Palestinians stabbing Israelis on social media had existed in 1948, Israel would not have won the War of Independence.

He also revealed that recently, MI abandoned an operation at the last minute because of a letter the corps received from a low-ranking officer in its 8200 signals intelligence unit.

Halevi was speaking to a few dozen donors and faculty members of the College of Management at the Rothchild Bank in Tel Aviv. It was an uncharacteristic appearance for Halevi, who in the year since he succeeded Aviv Kochavi has maintained a low profile. [Read more: Ravid/Haaretz/1November2015]

S. Korea's Intelligence Service Hosts Hacking Competition to Boost Defense Against N. Korean Cyber Attacks. Despite agreeing on a truce on August following the alleged North Korean landmine blast that led to the death of two South Korean soldiers at the demilitarized zone, South Korea is still not letting its guard down as it hosts a hacking competition to prepare for possible North Korean cyber-attacks.

On March 17, Independent reported that South Korea's nuclear power plant operator suffered a cyber-attack in December 2014 and prosecutors found that the codes used for the attack was similar to the ones used by North Korean hackers.

"The malicious codes used for the nuclear operator hacking were the same in composition and working methods as the so-called 'kimsuky' that North Korean hackers use," a statement released by the Seoul central prosecutors' office noted.

CNN also noted on April 23 how the "Dark Seoul" cyber-attack on 2013 crippled 48,000 computers at major banks and broadcasters, wiping out all the contents of their hard disks. [Read more: Tuason/KoreaPortal/28October2015]

Tunisia Plans to Set up Security & Intelligence Agency. Tunisian authorities Thursday decided to endow the country with its own security and intelligence national agency to help in preventing and warding off terrorist threats and acts.

A concerted meeting between the Tunisian Head of State Beji Caid Essebsi, Prime Minister Habib Essid, Speaker of the Parliament Mohamed Ennaceur along with several government officials and security authorities was held to discuss the project.

The future national agency will deal with internal security issues and participate in regional security programs with neighbouring countries.

The idea has been in the pipeline for a long time. Back last year in November, Tunisian minister of defence Ghazi Jeribi announced the creation of the agency which he said received approval from the whole cabinet, but the project was not materialized. [Read more: Tagba/NorthAfricaPost/30October2015]

US, Ghana Strengthen Maritime Intelligence. US service members completed a Tactical Intelligence Support to Maritime Operations Centers for the Ghanaian Navy Oct. 12-23 at Ghana's Navy Trade Training School at Sekondi, Ghana.

This two-week introduction to intelligence was the first of four planned "train-the-trainer" courses for the fiscal year.

US Navy and Marine Corps service members taught Sixteen Ghanaian sailors, along with two senior members of Ghana's Marine Police Unit of the Ghana Police Service.

The course was designed as both an introduction to the intelligence process, particularly in support of their media operations centers, and to prepare the students to become intelligence instructors for the Ghanaian Navy's internal intelligence courses. [Read more: Marines.mil/30October2015]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Controversial Green Beret Retires Quietly With High Award. Legendary Green Beret officer Jason Amerine, who was subjected to a nine-month criminal investigation after he criticized the FBI's hostage rescue efforts, was awarded one of the military's highest decorations, the Legion of Merit, in a quiet retirement ceremony Friday at the Pentagon.

"Intentionally or not, it was an admission of guilt" for subjecting the war hero to a criminal probe last year because he had discussed the FBI's poor hostage-rescue record with a member of Congress, said an Army officer who attended the ceremony. The officer spoke on a not-for-attribution basis because of the issue's continuing sensitivity. At the time he spoke with the member of Congress, Lieutenant Colonel Amerine was in charge of the Army's effort to find and rescue Sergeant Bowe Bergdahl.

Amerine was one of the Army's most celebrated soldiers for his heroic actions in combat in Afghanistan soon after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. Vastly outnumbered by the Taliban, his team earned three Silver Stars, seven Bronze Stars and 11 Purple Hearts for routing the insurgents. His story was immortalized in The Only Thing Worth Dying For, a New York Times best-seller. In January 2002, President George W. Bush made him a guest of honor at his State of the Union address.

But Amerine ran afoul of the FBI when he told Representative Duncan Hunter, a Marine veteran and Republican member of the House Armed Services Committee, how bureaucratic politics had scuttled a deal he had worked out with the Taliban for Bergdahl's release. When the FBI learned of Amerine's criticism, it complained to the Army's chief of staff for intelligence, General Mary Legere, who prompted the Criminal Investigation Command to open an investigation. Amerine's pay was halted, he was booked and fingerprinted, and his retirement was put on hold. Bergdahl, meanwhile, was released on far worse terms than Amerine worked out, according to a Newsweek investigation in September. [Read more: Stein/Newsweek/31October2015]

Lyman Kirkpatrick: "Hell on Wheels". The CIA, in celebration of both the 25th anniversary of the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) and National Disability Employment Awareness Month, is honoring historical Agency figures who served with distinction and a disability, leaving a lasting impact on the Agency and in American history.

Lyman Kirkpatrick had been chief of operations in CIA's clandestine service for only a few months when he returned from an overseas trip with what he thought was a bad cold. It turned out to be polio, and he spent the next several months in the hospital and then at a rehabilitation facility. Some years later, he wrote about the determination and grit that enabled him not only to return to work but to perform at a high level in two of the Agency's most senior jobs-Inspector General and Executive Director-Comptroller. "I feel very strongly that many others can do what I am now doing but are constrained from attempting to do it by fear of the unknown and innocence of the facts," he wrote.

A veteran of the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), Kirkpatrick joined CIA when it was created in 1947. He served as a division chief and as executive assistant to a very demanding CIA Director, Walter Bedell Smith. Kirkpatrick was a man with a privileged past and a bright future - until he contracted polio while on a tour of Asia. He had played football at Princeton and survived air raids and artillery and machine-gun fire during World War II. He was, in his own words, "disdainful of the damage that could be done by a disease." As the 36-year-old intelligence officer lay, helpless, in his hospital bed, he felt almost overwhelmed by the lack of knowledge about what his new future held for him.

On his return to work, Kirkpatrick found that the career path he had set for himself was now blocked - less because of his own self-doubt than the doubts of others about his ability to handle the workload. Although he wouldn't be able to advance in the clandestine service as he originally intended, the Agency did accommodate his disability, and he retained posts at the top of the CIA hierarchy for the next 12 years. [Read more: CIA.gov/30October2015]

Home of Spy, Who Inspired James Bond's 'M', to Be Transformed Into 007 Gadget-Filled Super-Pad. The home of the spy who helped inspire 'M' in James Bond is to be transformed from bland offices into a 007 gadget-filled super-pad.

Retired naval commander Mansfield Smith-Cumming was first director of the Secret Intelligence Service - MI6 - when it was set up in 1909.

He was known as 'C' and lived at 21 Queen Anne's Gate in Westminster, London.

The eccentric spy chief would use the Grade I listed property as his office and private home with members of the public unaware of what went on behind the imposing building. [Read more: WesternDailyPress/29October2015]

From the Hardwood to the CIA, Gordon a Leader. Sue Gordon led the Duke women's basketball team from 1976 to 1980 as the only three-time captain in its history. Now, after more than 25 years at the CIA, she helps lead the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency as its Deputy Director.

Gordon, then Sue Monroe, found herself at one of those tryouts at the start of her first year. That initial season, Gordon said, was the beginning of a transformative arc she watched the program undergo during her four years at Duke.

"It felt like kind of old school girls basketball," Gordon said. "Our uniforms were generic, we played on East Campus, and we didn't have any money. I can tell you all the players, they were all fierce, but they're not names that anyone knows of."

By her second season, the program began to visibly change. Debbie Leonard was hired as the new head coach, the team moved from East Campus to Cameron Indoor Stadium, scholarships became available to players and instead of playing teams like Elon, Guilford and Campbell College, Duke began playing teams like North Carolina, N.C. State and Maryland. [Read more: Neu/GoDuke/28October2015]

Got a Clearance? Getting a Job Just Got Harder. As the Office of Personnel Management begins rolling out its notifications to personnel affected in the breach of approximately 20 million current or former security clearance holders and applicants, the negative effect on cleared recruiting is already being felt.

In a survey of recruiters and hiring managers in the cleared space, 77 percent said the breach affected hiring, with 30 percent calling that effect "significant."

In a separate survey of more than 300 cleared job seekers, 9 percent said the OPM breach had significantly affected their job search or online networking activities, 14 percent said it has been affected somewhat, 43 percent said no, and 32 percent were not sure.

"The OPM breach, along with the more than 20 percent reduction in the total number of security-cleared personnel over the last 18 months, have contributed to a roller coaster year in the world of cleared recruiting," said Evan Lesser, founder and managing director of ClearanceJobs.com. "There are fewer cleared professionals for employers to hire, and since the OPM data breach, we're seeing many cleared workers flee the industry to pursue a career in the uncleared private sector where their skills are equally in demand." [Read more: Kyzer/GovernmentExecutive/26October2015]


Section III - COMMENTARY

What I Learned at the CIA Conference on National Security. The Central Intelligence Agency can draw a fairly complete cross-section of the entire US intelligence community to a conference. Yesterday was its second annual public conference on national security, "The Ethos and the Profession of Intelligence" at The George Washington University campus in Washington, DC. Speakers included CIA Director John Brennan, NSA Director Admiral Mike Rogers, director of national intelligence James Clapper and even former MI6 Chief John Sawers and former Israeli National Security Advisor Yaakov Amirdror.

Many of the themes discussed at the conference revolved around the profound changes that technology is placing on the intelligence business. For example, just as America leverages the "digital dust" that our adversaries leave online to trace their activity, so too can our adversaries use that same information to track our own agents. The impact of all of the digital traces that we leave today on the ability of the intelligence community to conduct covert action around the world has been a topic of significant discussion lately. In the past a cover story might involve just a few strategic pieces of information, while today it must involve a rich tapestry of digital traces to look authentic, which requires understanding the "patterns of life" of the digital age.

Surprisingly, the Internet of Things and cybersecurity was more heavily discussed in some of the panels than traditional terrorism. The panelists noted the extreme leveling force of cyberattacks in that even small nations and non-state actors are able to field substantial offensive capability that can cause heavy damage to large nation states. A nearly identical theme was expressed several weeks ago by Chief of Staff of the Army General Mark Milley several weeks ago in a Foreign Affairs event, showing the growing concern across both intelligence and military communities in the leveling effect of cyberwar. [Read more: Leetaru/Forbes/28October2015]

State Snooping and Why I Trust Our Spies More Than Apologists for Treachery. A battle royal begins this week in Parliament. Advocates of national security will be pitted against those who claim to fight for personal privacy.

At stake is the Government's new Investigatory Powers Bill, codifying the rights of the intelligence services and police to monitor our most intimate personal communications - mobile phones, internet and social media.

Opponents of aspects of the measure, and perhaps of the whole package, include not merely the likes of Jeremy Corbyn, civil liberties lobbyists and most of the staff of the Guardian newspaper, but also renegade Tory MP David Davis and a knot of like-minded backbenchers.

They have already gone to war against earlier emergency legislation, arguing it represented a ‘snooper's charter', giving the intelligence services, especially the GCHQ surveillance centre, intolerable rights of intrusion. 

It is just possible that cross-bench critics could wreck the new measure. Were this to happen, most of us would regard it as a disaster for the safety of society. [Read more: Hastings/DailyMail/1November2015]


Section V - Jobs, Books, Obituaries and Upcoming Events


Jobs

Field Intelligence Element (FIE) Director (Req. 400316)
Energy and Global Security Directorate
Argonne National Laboratory
Lemont, Illinois (Southwest Suburb of Chicago)

Argonne National Laboratory is a Department of Energy national laboratory with over 1,500 scientists and engineers performing world-class research aimed at solving the nation's energy, environmental and security challenges.  Argonne is located 25 miles southwest of Chicago on a beautiful 1,500-acre campus. 

Description:
The FIE Director, as the DOE Senior Intelligence Officer’s (SIO) representative at Argonne National Laboratory, is the principal official within Argonne responsible for oversight, compliance and reporting under Executive Orders 12333 and 13462, the DOE “Procedures for Intelligence Activities”, DOE-IN policy and policy guidance for Field Intelligence Elements and for the Strategic Intelligence Partnership Program (SIPP).  Within Argonne, the FIE Director is the principal official responsible for the protection of classified intelligence information, in accordance with the Executive Orders and applicable Director of Central Intelligence Directives, Intelligence Community Directives, and other relevant DOE-IN policies and policy guidance.

In addition, the FIE Director has oversight authority and responsibility for activities performed by Argonne employees and subcontractors that have been granted SCI accesses by DOE when those activities use SCI resources.  The FIE Director prepares special administrative reports as required, and routinely handles sensitive and confidential correspondence and material.

In this position, you will: Build, nurture, and strengthen interdisciplinary collaborations among stakeholders including external scientific and industrial entities within the intelligence community; Assist Argonne directorate and division leadership in identifying, developing, enhancing, and managing research programs and associated funding within the intelligence community; Oversee and manage quality control aspects of all Strategic Intelligence Partnership Program (SIPP) projects conducted inside the Argonne FIE; Prepare and contribute to technical analyses, reports and presentations on national and homeland security topics.

To be considered you must have: Master’s Degree and 15 years work experience or equivalent or Ph.D. and 10 years work experience or equivalent; Detailed knowledge of the intelligence Community and all applicable Executive Orders, and DOE Procedures for Intelligence Activities; Ability to interact with research sponsors and maintain effective sponsor relationships within the intelligence community; Ability to identify and develop new sources of research funding within the intelligence community; Knowledge of how the Strategic Intelligence Partnership Program (SIPP), secure IT, and cyber security function; Operational and technical leadership, management oversight, negotiations, relationship building, decision making, strategic planning, and verbal and written communications.

Desirable: Knowledge of ANL policies, strategic plans, procedures, organizations, managers, and functions. It is preferred that the degree(s) be in a scientific or engineering disciplines. Successful applicants for this position must provide proof of U.S. citizenship and will be required to possess and maintain Q and SCI clearances. We offer a competitive salary and an excellent benefits package.

We offer a competitive salary and an excellent benefits package.  For consideration, please apply via our website at: http://1.usa.gov/1iNYeit.  

Books

Inside the CIA Red Cell: How an Experimental Unit Transformed the Intelligence Community. Around midnight on Sept. 12, 2001, then-Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet summoned his chief of staff, John Moseman, and the CIA's deputy director of intelligence, Jami Miscik, to his seventh-floor office in the Original Headquarters Building in Langley, Virginia. In the aftermath of the previous day's unprecedented terrorist attacks, senior White House officials were confident that there were additional plots against the US homeland - and that the CIA needed to better anticipate the range of threats that officials should be prepared for. Tenet decided to form a group of contrarian thinkers to challenge conventional wisdom in the intelligence community and mitigate the threat of additional surprises through "alternative analysis." On that evening, his instructions were simple: "Tell me things others don't and make [senior officials] feel uncomfortable."

The following morning, Miscik and two senior analysts formed the CIA's Red Cell, which has been a semi-independent unit within the agency ever since. It is devoted to "alternative analysis," which includes techniques like "what ifs," Team A/Team B exercises, and premortem analysis, all of which are used to identify holes in a plan, model an adversary to understand their weaknesses, or consider all of the conceivable ways a plan can fail beforehand. The term "Red Cell" was chosen by Tenet personally; he believed it sounded alluring and conspiratorial. Previous comparable units had received limited time and freedom to truly think outside the box. As the recently declassified June 2005 CIA Office of Inspector General's review of pre-9/11 analysis determined, there was only one example of alternative analysis produced by the Counterterrorism Center's Assessments and Information Group, and its analysts "recall utilizing no alternative analysis, and ‘did not have the luxury to do so." [Read more: Zenko/ForeignPolicy/30October2015]


Obituaries

Frederick C. Oeffner, Had Distinguished NSA Career. Frederick Charles Oeffner, 78, of Lewes, passed away Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015, at his home surrounded by his loving family after over a two and a half year battle with metastatic prostate cancer.

Fred was born Feb. 9, 1937, in Paullina, Iowa, son of the late Frederick John Oeffner and Selma Oeffner Fiddelke. Due to the threat of an impending midwestern snowstorm, Fred was born in-town in his aunt's home rather than on the family farm. Fred graduated from Paullina High School in 1955, where he lettered in football, baseball and theater. Upon graduating from Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, in 1959 from the ROTC program, he was commissioned in the US Navy.

The last tour of duty of his two-year Navy stint was at the Pentagon in Washington, DC, where he served in the Chief of Naval Operations Command Center during the Cuban crisis. During that time, he met his future wife, Joan (Allender), whom he met on a blind date and married in June 1962.

In October 1961, Fred began his 35-year career at the National Security Agency, Ft. Meade, Md. [Read more: CapeGazette/29October2015]


Upcoming Events

AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Wednesday, 11 November 2015, 11:30 a.m. - Scottsdale, AZ - The AFIO Arizona Chapter hears Lt Gennaro Buonocore, USN on ISIS.

Guest Speaker is LT Gennaro Buonocore, USN discussing "ALL YOU WANTED TO KNOW ABOUT ISIS BUT YOU WERE AFRAID TO ASK..."

Lt. Buonocore was assigned as the PAO of SEAL Team Seventeen in Coronado, CA. Since joining SPECWAR he has deployed as the Deputy PAO for Combined Joint Interagency Task Force – Syria (2015), as the History Documentation Officer for SOCOM’s JSOC Task Force 94-7.1 in Afghanistan (2014) and as the PAO for SEAL Team Four in Afghanistan (2012/2013). Prior to his U.S. Naval service, Buonocore served as a reserve Civil Affairs officer and Economics Functional Specialist for the Italian armed forces reserves in Iraq and Afghanistan. He is a visiting lecturer in Threat Finance at the Italian Institute for Defense Research Studies (ISTRID) and is the adjunct faculty for Comparative National Security Analysis at Excelsior College’s School of Public Service. His first book Failure of the European Multiculturalism - The Islamist Crusade, which documented the phenomenon of European groomed jihadists, was published in May 2012. His second book, The Afghan Paradox, a study of the US involvement in Afghanistan, was published in June 2014. LT Buonocore is fluent in Italian, Spanish and French. He is conversational in Persian Tajik (Dari). Widely recognized as a Middle East and the Mediterranean basin’s expert, he has chaired the board of directors of PARSA, the NGO which has been operating in Afghanistan since the end of the Soviet invasion. LT Buonocore holds a current Department of Defense Top Secret (SCI) security clearance.

Location: McCormick Ranch Golf Club 7505 E McCormick Pkwy, Scottsdale, AZ 85258

IMPORTANT REMINDER: WE WILL NEED YOUR RSVP no later than 72 hours ahead of time. WE ARE charged for the no-shows and please remember, we are a small organization with a humble coffer! We would therefore APPRECIATE that you all respond to this email to confirm your presence (or not). Please note our meeting fees will now be as follows: $25.00 BADGES: please remember, many of you have been given your badge, if you do not have one please email me with the information you would like on your badge. The cost for a badge with a magnetic strip is $5.00 ▪ Full Name ▪ Title (past career, organization, etc) For reservations or questions, please email Simone at this address, or this one, or call and leave a message on 602.570.6016

14 November 2015, 11:30 am - 2:30 pm - Melbourne, FL - The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hears from Robert Witte on the "Financial Aspects of Anti-Terrorism."

Robert Witte specializes in the financial aspect of anti-terrorism. He has a Bachelor’s degree from the University of South Florida in Criminology with a concentration of Anti-Terrorism. Robert is a former US Marine who currently works for a company which monitors global activity of terrorism that would affect Citibank branches. He was deployed in 2009 for Operation Iraqi Freedom. Robert's company bridges the gap between Law Enforcement and the private financial sector.
Location: Indian River Colony Club At Ease Club, 1936 Freedom Dr, Melbourne, FL 32940
11:30 AM - 12:15 PM: Social Hour; greet old, new members and guests (cash bar) 12:15 PM: Sit-Down lunch
TO ATTEND: Prepaid reservations are required which must be received by November 6, 2015. Complete the form below and mail with your check payable to the order of AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter and then contact FSC Chapter President at afiofsc@afio.com.
Please note: Late reservations cannot be accommodated. We regret we cannot accept walk-ins.
$27/pp. Menu choices: Turkey with stuffing, gravy and vegetable (T) or, Salmon Caesar Salad (S). All of the above come with rolls and butter, coffee, tea and Chef’s choice of ice cream. Vegan, Vegetarian and Gluten-free meals are available upon early request. Prices include tax & gratuity. Questions: Contact AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter President at afiofsc@afio.com.

Saturday, 14 November 2015 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter hears from Dan Mulvenna, former RCMP Counterespionage Expert, on “Russian Illegals: KGB, SVR & GRU–1922 to the Present.”

Our speaker will be Daniel J. Mulvenna. The title of his presentation will be “Russian Illegals: KGB, SVR & GRU–1922 to the Present.” Included will be the relatively recent and terrific operation, an overview and insight into a brilliant decade-long FBI operation (with big assist by the CIA) codenamed “Ghost Stories.” This is the story of the June 2010 arrest of two SVR illegals operating in the US that was all over the news at the time, and for their swap for four Western assets imprisoned in Russia. There are many dimensions of this story which have not been covered in the media, which should be of considerable interest to us.
Mr. Mulvenna retired from the Royal Canadian Mounted Police Security Service (now the Canadian Security Intelligence Service) after 22 years in Criminal, Counterintelligence, and Counter Espionage operations.
He worked successively as a senior field investigator in Russian operations; Head of the GRU, Illegals, and KGB Desks; and subsequently on national counterintelligence programs and joint projects with allied intelligence and security services from RCMP HQs.
For 12 years he was an instructor/lecturer on counterintelligence and counter terrorism to US agencies at the Counterintelligence Center, and CT/CI Training Partners in Washington, DC. Was also a featured speaker at intelligence conferences in the US, Canada, the U.K. and Netherlands. He is the founder/leader of the “Spy Moscow” conferences and guided tours of intelligence facilities/sites (1997, 1999, and 2003). Lecturer and group leader of 2008 Cold War Conference, Cambridge, University, England and in Moscow.
Finally, he is a Retired Senior Executive responsible for Global Security & Risk Management for two multinational corporations with extensive operations in over 50 countries. He retired after 18 years, but presently serves as an international security and crisis management consultant to corporations and institutions.

The cost of the luncheon is $24.00 per person. Pay the Club after the meal. Spouses, family, interested guests and potential members are always cordially invited.

Location: Country Club of Orange Park. Questions and reservations: Quiel Begonia at qbegonia@comcast.net call 352-332-6150.

16 November 2015, 12:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA - The AFIO - LA Chapter luncheon meeting with LA County Sheriff Jim McDonnell on Communications between Law Enforcement and Intelligence Agencies

Los Angeles County Sheriff Jim McDonnell will be the guest speaker for our November 2015 AFIO-L.A. Meeting. Sheriff McDonnell will be discussing the topic of improved communication between local law enforcement agencies and federal intelligence agencies, since September 11th and the role the Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) played in improving mutual cooperation and shared gathered intelligence.
Bio of Sheriff Jim McDonnell
On December 1, 2014, Jim McDonnell took the oath of office and was sworn in as the 32nd Sheriff of Los Angeles County, the nation's largest sheriff's office and the seventh largest law enforcement agency in the United States, with 16,400 members and 400 reserve deputies.
Sheriff McDonnell served for 29 years at the Los Angeles Police Department, where he held every rank from Police Officer to second-in-command under Chief Bill Bratton. During his time at the LAPD, he earned that Department’s highest honor for bravery, the Medal of Valor, and led LAPD through the implementation of significant reforms. He helped create the blueprint for LAPD’s community-based policing efforts that have now become a model for law enforcement agencies throughout the nation.
For five years, Sheriff McDonnell served as the Chief of the Long Beach Police Department. In that role, he implemented numerous improvements that resulted in safer communities, increased morale, and enhanced community relations.
Sheriff McDonnell holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Criminal Justice from St. Anselm College in Manchester, New Hampshire and a Master’s Degree in Public Administration from the University of Southern California. He is also a graduate of the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s National Executive Institute and has completed executive education programs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government.
TO REGISTER: Lunch will be served for this event, please note the event is taking place on a Monday, more details to follow. Inquiries to AFIO_LA@yahoo.com.

Thursday, 19 November 2015, 11:30am - Monument, CO – “Current Status of Law Enforcement” a presentation by El Paso County Sheriff Bill Elder at the AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter.

Bill Elder’s law enforcement career started as a volunteer with the El Paso County Sheriff’s Office in 1978. He was hired full time in January 1979, and graduated from the Colorado Springs Police Academy later that year. Bill spent the next 20 years serving under four different Sheriff’s, holding assignments from Dispatcher, Deputy, Sergeant and Lieutenant. Along with many years as a Patrol deputy, he was assigned to the Investigations Division, managed the Communications Center, Civil and Fugitive Units. After his promotion to Lieutenant, he served as a Patrol Shift Commander. His last assignment was in the Metro Vice, Narcotics and Intelligence (Metro VNI) Division. As a Lieutenant and an acting Captain, he supervised one of the largest multi-jurisdictional drug task forces in the state of Colorado. Bill Elder was elected as the 28th Sheriff of El Paso County in November 2014.

Event location: Monument Hill Country Club, 18945 Pebble Beach Way, Monument, CO 80132. For more information and to register please respond to robsmom@pcisys.net.

Saturday, 21 November 2015, 2 p.m. - Kennebunk, ME - The Maine Chapter meeting features the topic "Islam in Today's Global World - The Politics of Feminism in Islam," presented by Anouar Majid, PhD, General Manager of University of New England Morocco and Director of the Center for Global Humanities at the UNE.

The Maine Chapter of AFIO welcomes Dr. Anouar Majid, Vice President for Global Affairs and Communications, the founding director of the Center for Global Humanities, and the founding chair of the Department of English, at the University of New England. Majid is also the General Manager of UNE in Tangier, Morocco.

Majid, who is both an insider and historian, will speak about "Islam in Today's Global World - The Politics of Feminism in Islam."

Majid has published widely on relations between Islam and the West. He is the author of Islam and America: Building a Future Without Prejudice (Rowman & Littlefield, 2012; new preface, 2015); We Are All Moors: Ending Centuries of Crusades Against Muslims and Other Minorities (University of Minnesota Press, 2009); A Call for Heresy: Why Dissent is Vital to Islam and America (University of Minnesota Press, 2007), Freedom and Orthodoxy: Islam and Difference in the Post-Andalusian Age (Stanford University Press, 2004), Unveiling Traditions: Postcolonial Islam in a Polycentric World (Duke University Press, 2000), and the novel Si Yussef (Quartet, 1992; Interlink, 2005). Majid's articles and op-eds have appeared in Cultural Critique, Signs, Chronicle Review, Washington Post, and other publications. He was the co-founder and editor-in-chief of the print magazine Tingis, a Moroccan-American magazine of ideas and culture, and now edits it online at Tingismagazine.com

The meeting, which is open to the public, will be at the Brick Store Museum program center, 4 Dane Street, Kennebunk. For more information call 207-967-4298.

8 December 2015 - MacDill AFB, FL - AFIO Suncoast Chapter's final 2015 meeting is the presentation of Chapter Scholarships to Students

We will award our scholarships to the selected students at this meeting. Students are welcome. A special Student fee of $5.00 is offered to full time students working toward a career in intelligence or related studies.
LOCATION: MacDill AFB Surf’s Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Please RSVP to the Chapter Secretary for yourself and include the names and email addresses of any guests. Email Michael Shapiro at sectysuncoastafio@att.net. You will receive a confirmation via email. If you do not, contact the Chapter Secretary to confirm your registration. Check-in at noon; opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at 1230 hours, followed by our speaker.
FEE: You must present your $20 check payable to “Suncoast Chapter, AFIO” (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, don’t cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don’t show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.

8 December 2015 (Tuesday) - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Andre LeGallo Chapter hosts FBI Special Agent Stonie Carlson.

FBI Special Agent Stonie Carlson will discuss the efforts of the FBI and the US Marshal's Fugitive Task Force to locate and arrest violent fugitives in the San Francisco Bay Area. The US Marshals Fugitive Task Force is the only fugitive task force in the area and includes approximately 22 full-time personnel and incorporates several local, state and federal law enforcement organizations. Each law enforcement organization draws a unique skill set, bringing tactical, technical and intelligence resources under one umbrella and one mission. Please RSVP here.
Reservation and pre-payment is required before November 30, 2015 (fee goes up on December 1, 2015). The venue cannot accommodate walk-ins. Please contact Mariko Kawaguchi, Board Secretary at afiosf@aol.com for questions.


Other Upcoming Events

Saturday, 14 November 2015, 11 a.m. - 1 p.m. or 1 to 3 p.m. - Washington, DC - Take a SPY TOUR of WASHINGTON DC.

Explore the Spy Capital of the World You and up to 50 other intrepid tourists will go undercover on a mission to explore the darkest corners of DC’s top secret background on a True World Ops Bus Tour. You’ll discover the secrets behind notorious spy sites in and around the nation’s capital. The content of the tour is suitable for younger audiences and your ticket includes a box lunch and a bottle of water. Use the promo code ILOVESPIES to receive 30% off. REGISTER HERE

Sunday, 15 November 2015, 1 pm-4 pm - Washington, DC - Lena Sisco - You're Lying! Meet An Interrogator at the International Spy Museum

The International Spy Museum Store hosts a signing with Lena Sisco and her book You’re Lying! Lena Sisco is a former military intelligence officer and interrogator who has trained Department of Defense (DoD) personnel in detecting deception, interrogation, tactical questioning, elicitation, counter elicitation, and cross cultural communications for more than 11 years. She is the president and cofounder of The Congruency Group, LLC, and a senior instructor at the Body Language Institute in Washington DC. She has appeared on numerous television shows, including Dr. Drew, HLN, and Access Hollywood. She has a BA degree from the University of Rhode Island and an MA degree from Brown University, and resides in Virginia Beach, Virginia.
Lena wrote You’re Lying! because no matter what your profession or life circumstances, you need the skills to take control of a situation, detect deception, and reveal the truth. While you probably won’t ever have to interrogate a detainee who doesn’t want to tell you about an upcoming terrorist attack―as Lena has―You’re Lying! will help you deal with that salesperson trying to rip you off, the kid bullying your child who claims innocence, a cheating spouse, or dissembling boss. As the adage says,
knowledge is power. Lena interrogated numerous members of Al Qaeda and the Taliban while stationed at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, then taught those skills to Defense Department personnel for years afterward. Her ability to build rapport, accurately read body language, and employ effective questioning techniques led to numerous successes that saved American lives.
You will also learn her easy-to-follow five-step program on how to accurately detect verbal (both spoken and written) and non-verbal deceptive tells, how to conduct an effective line of questioning, and what to do after you identify the lies we all face every day. Take the knowledge in You’re Lying! and empower yourself.
Don’t get fooled again.
Tickets: FREE! No reservation required. Visit www.spymuseum.org

Monday, 16 November 2015, 6:30pm - Washington, DC - Black Ops: Deception, Influence and Propoganda at the International Spy Museum

So called “Covert Action” operations capture the public’s attention, but in reality they are often a government’s last resort. Propaganda, disinformation, misdirection and various kinds of influence operations usually precede headline-making flashy operations. These forms of persuasion are as old as recorded history and still in use today: from the propaganda claims of an Egyptian Pharaoh, to the “Big Lie” of the Nazis, and continuing with the daily broadcasting of controlled or cooperative media in China, Iran, North Korea, and other places.

Both Russian operations in Eastern Ukraine and horrific acts of terror by ISIS are all manifestations of the global war of ideas. So what can the public really expect to know about what the Intelligence Community calls, “covert action ops? William D. Murray, a retired senior executive and field operations officer in the CIA, will break down some famous cases and a few lesser-known operations. Murray served as field commander for the Agency in some of the most challenging and dangerous areas of the world and was detailed to the US Senate to represent the CIA in the drafting of the Intelligence Act of 2004, giving him a unique perspective on the dark arts of intelligence.
Co-sponsored by the Council on Intelligence Issues.
Tickets: $10. Register at www.spymuseum.org

17 November 2015, 11:30am - 2 pm - McLean, VA - The Defense Intelligence Forum [DIAA] meets to hear Russell Breighner on "Putin's Days are Numbered."

Mr. Russell G. J. Breighner will speak on “Putin’s Days are numbered!” Mr. Breighner extensive Russian expertise was gained from a wide variety of assignments involving Russia and his graduate program in Russian Studies from Georgetown University. Some of these assignment were: (1) working on Soviet Strategy and Doctrine, (2) investigating Soviet Inland Waterways and Ports, (3) drafting a chapter for the largest NIE (over 400 pages) ever: “ Soviet Military Research and Development,” and (4) following Russian activities on a daily basis. He received a personal note of congratulations from the NIC Chairman, Robert Gates. For years, he chaired the Threat Advanced Steering Group for the Joint Cruise Missile Program Office. A further example of his understanding of complex weapon system was demonstrated when he advised Senator Warner that the use of Electromagnetic weapons would degrade the Serbian electrical and electronic systems. This use reduce the Serbian power by 70% in some cases. For this he received the Senatorial Republican Medal of Freedom.
His undergraduate degree in Russian Language and Literature is from the University of Maryland. He has a PhD (ABD) in Russian Studies from Georgetown University and is the author of several books.
Location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA. Pay at the door with a check for $ 29.00 payable to DIAA, Inc
This forum will follow a modified Chatham House rule.
Make reservations by 16 November at diforum@diaalumni.org. Include names, telephone numbers, and email addresses. For each attendee, choose among chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna, sausage with peppers, or fettuccini with portabella for your luncheon selection. Please send in your luncheon selection to reduce your wait time.
Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 per person, payable to DIAA, Inc. Checks are preferred, but will accept cash; however, credit card payment are discouraged.

Thursday, 19 November 2015, 7 pm - Washington, DC - Presentation by former CIA officer Sandy Grimes on "Circle of Treason: A CIA Account of Traitor Aldrich Ames and the Men he Betrayed"

Hear the story of Sandra Grimes and her late co-author Jeanne Vertefeuille, and their personal involvement in CIA's effort to identify the reason for the wholesale loss of its Soviet assets in 1985 and 1986. In 1991, that road led them to hunt for a KGB spy in the CIA and to their identification of the "mole" as case officer Aldrich Ames, a long-time acquaintance and co-worker in the Soviet East European Division in the Directorate of Operations. In February 1994 the FBI arrested Ames and two months later he pled guilty to espionage and was sentenced to life in prison. Sandra Grimes is a twenty-six year veteran of CIA Directorate of Operations who spent the majority of her career working against the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe.
•$15/individuals/online - $20/individuals/at the door
•$25/couples/online - $35/couples/at the door
•$10 college student special!
•Questions? events@yumastudycenter.org.
•TO PAY ON-LINE: Go to the Payment Page.
Location: Yuma Study Center, 4101 Yuma St NW, Washington DC 20016.

Friday, 20 November 2015, 1-4 pm - Washington, DC - Meet An F-4 Pilot: Mark Hewitt - In-store Book Signing at the International Spy Museum

Uncover the world of espionage and intelligence from people who practiced professionally! Visit the International Spy Museum Store and meet an F-4 pilot. Mark A. Hewitt has always had a fascination with spyplanes and the intelligence community’s development and use of aircraft. He flew F-4s in the Marine Corps and served as Director of Maintenance with the Border Patrol and the Air Force, as was an Associate Professor for Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University before leading aviation activities and aircraft operations for international corporations in the Washington DC area. He is the author of "Special Access" and "Shoot Down". His novels have been approved by the CIA Publication Review Board.

Shortly after takeoff, a jumbo jet explodes over the waters of Long Island. Witnesses claim the aircraft was shot down by a surface-to-air missile; the government insists a mechanical malfunction brought down the airplane. An old CIA file is uncovered which details the President was warned-to preclude commercial airliners from being shot out of the sky either pay a ransom or suffer the consequences.

Just as the Agency identifies the shadowy man responsible for the shoot down of the airliner, the Libyan dictator Gaddafi is overthrown, sparking a race between the CIA and terrorist networks to win the ultimate terrorist prize-hundreds of man-portable, shoulder-launched, anti-aircraft missiles. Duncan Hunter and his top secret airplane once again team up with an expert crew to find the anti-aircraft missiles ahead of the al-Qaeda and Muslim Brotherhood, and kill the man who shoots down airliners for profit.

Tickets: FREE! No reservation required. Visit www.spymuseum.org


Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER -- click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's) or author's) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015. Please note AFIO's new address: AFIO, 7700 Leesburg Pike Suite 324, Falls Church, Virginia 22043. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com

Click here to return to top.