AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #22-20 dated 2 June 2020
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries, Jobs
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
Special Items for our members:
"Operation Overlord: OSS and the Battle for France" - Now available online
Saturday, 6 June 2020, marked the 76th anniversary of D-Day when more than 150,000 American and Allied soldiers stormed the beaches of Normandy to save the world from tyranny. The OSS Society has produced an award-winning short documentary about D-Day: "Operation Overlord: OSS and the Battle for France" tells the story of Allied special forces whose daring exploits changed the course of World War II. The film includes an introduction by The Honorable Leon Panetta. It was written and directed by Carl Colby, an award-winning documentary filmmaker whose father, William Colby, jumped into Nazi-occupied France as an OSS Jedburgh. The film's executive producer is Charles Pinck, The OSS Society's president.
Canadian Intelligence Assessments on Iraq, 2002-2003:
The partial release of Canadian intelligence assessments on Iraq during 2002 and 2003 has made it possible for the first time to examine the role that intelligence played in informing the Chrétien government's decisions in the lead-up to the war in Iraq. Canadian assessments of US policy on Iraq, Baghdad's weapons of mass destruction capabilities, the regional implications of an invasion, and the subsequent internal instability of Iraq proved to be largely accurate, in contrast to much of the analysis on Iraq by other members of the Five Eyes intelligence partnership. Read full paper "Getting it right: Canadian intelligence assessments on Iraq, 2002-2003" by Alan Barnes which appeared28 May 2020 in the journal Intelligence and National Security. [CCentner]
Revolutionary Extremist Groups Lighting American Cities Ablaze – Where Was the FBI? by Charles "Sam" Faddis June 1, 2020 in AND Magazine.
If you watched the video of the killing of George Floyd and were not horrified, I suggest you spend some time in intense self-reflection. I fear your immortal soul may be in peril. The man was murdered. If you are engaged in peaceful protesting of Floyd's killing, I support you fully. You are exercising your rights as an American citizen. You are demanding this nation do better and that there be a reckoning for a wrong done.
On Sunday night, New York's Deputy Commissioner for Intelligence and Counterterrorism John Miller detailed his office's investigation into why the New York City protests have become so violent and damaging. "They prepared to commit property damage and directed people who were following them that this should be done selectively and only in wealthier areas or at high-end stores run by corporate entities." "And they developed a complex network of bicycle scouts to move ahead of demonstrators in different directions of where police were and where police were not for purposes of being able to direct groups from the larger group to places where they could commit acts of vandalism including the torching of police vehicles and Molotov cocktails where they thought officers would not be." "We believe that a significant amount of people who came here from out of the area who have come here as well as the advance preparation, having advance scouts, the use of encrypted information, having resupply routes for things such as gasoline and accelerants as well as rocks and bottles, the raising of bail, the placing of medics," Miller said. "Taken together, (this) is a strong indicator that they plan to act with disorder, property damage, violence, and violent encounters with police before the first demonstration and or before the first arrest."
Faddis article continues here...
Who Is Providing The Bricks (And Other Props) For The Riots? by AND Magazine Staff June 1, 2020
Dallas protestors film a pallet of bricks placed in front of what is believed to be a courthouse, as the young man in the video says that he's not going to say what building this is but that he "did jury duty three months ago" and "you all don't keep no bricks right there." Unidentified organizers were directing the crowd where to go. They had pallets of 100 bricks ready for rioters. This wasn't random chaos.
Charlie Kirk took to Twitter to ask why the FBI is not investigating what appears to be "organized terror" in our cities. "Who is funding it?" he asks. A protester tweeted: "White people conveniently dropping off a pallet of bricks during a protest. Where are these bricks coming from?"
View videos, tweets, and other commentary here... And then see if you can assist FBI below, seeking to ID anarchists.
FBI Seeking Your Assistance...provide tips here
Election Security Issues - View from Two Sides
Is Ballot Fraud Real?
Side One: The Heritage Foundation Report
The United States has a long and unfortunate history of election fraud. Attached is a list of election fraud cases from across the country, broken down by state, where individuals were either convicted of vote fraud, or where a judge overturned the results of an election. This is not an exhaustive list but simply a sampling that demonstrates the many different ways in which fraud is committed. Preventing, deterring, and prosecuting such fraud is essential to protecting the integrity of our voting process. Look over this PDF of these cases, explore the thousands of other cases on the database (but not in the report).
Next Tuesday we provide Side Two - a response by The Brookings Institution refuting the significance of the ballot fraud convictions.
One of the special benefits of membership in AFIO: access to CIA's inhouse gift shop — the EAA Store.
It requires a quick preapproval process described here to all newly joined and current AFIO members. And then allows you to purchase online their unusual logo'd gift items for self or colleagues. Here is the latest photo EAA released on May 22nd featuring some of their newest items:
Newly Released, Overlooked, or Forthcoming Books
The Button: The New Nuclear Arms Race and Presidential Power from Truman to Trump
The President has the power to end the world in minutes. Right now, no one can stop him.
Since the Truman administration, America has been one "push of a button" away from nuclear war—a decision that rests solely in the hands of the President. Without waiting for approval from Congress or even the Secretary of Defense, the President can unleash America's entire nuclear arsenal.
Almost every governmental process is subject to institutional checks and balances. The authors ask, "Why is potential nuclear annihilation the exception to the rule?" For decades, glitches and slip-ups have threatened to trigger nuclear winter: misinformation, false alarms, hacked warning systems, or even an unstable President. And a new nuclear arms race has begun, threatening us all. At the height of the Cold War, Russia and the US each built arsenals exceeding 30,000 nuclear weapons, armed and ready to destroy each other—despite the fact that just a few hundred are necessary to end life on earth.
Perry, Secretary of Defense in the Clinton administration and Undersecretary of Defense for Research and Engineering in the Carter administration, and Collina, the Director of Policy at Ploughshares Fund, a global security foundation in Washington, DC, provide the terrifying history of nuclear launch authority, from the faulty 46-cent microchip that nearly caused WWIII to President Trump's tweet about his "much bigger & more powerful" button. Includes interviews with former Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton, former Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis, Congressman Adam Smith, Nobel Peace Prize winner Beatrice Fihn, senior Obama administration officials, and others.
Book may be ordered here.
Rigged: America, Russia, and One Hundred Years of Covert Electoral Interference
"As a CIA operations officer, I served through the most complicated periods of the Cold War. David Shimer's book gives a riveting account of that traumatic period. Shimer knows why and how we engaged in covert action, and what we were up against. He also knows the policies we must modify, if we are to succeed in the 2020s. This is a truly significant book; by all means, read it." —Ambassador Donald Gregg, Former CIA Station Chief and National Security Advisor to VP George H.W. Bush
Shimer provides a review of the hidden history of covert electoral interference past and present by the US and by Russia. He discusses decades of secret operations employed to shape electoral outcomes, melding historical research with 130 interviews withl officials in the Obama and Trump administrations, CIA and NSA directors, and a former KGB general.
Throughout history Russian and American operations sought to influence the way voters think, rather than tampering with actual vote tallies. The author claims he is "casting aside partisanship and sensationalism," to expose what Russia achieved in 2016, how the Obama administration responded, and why Putin has also been interfering covertly in elections across the globe in recent years, while American presidents have largely refrained from doing so. Shimer claims that this these intrusions can harm Democrats and Republicans alike. Russia's central aim, he says, is to undermine and disrupt our democracy.
Book may be ordered here.
Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution [techno-fiction]
"Burn-In is a fantastic, compelling, and authoritative look into the future—a future that is equal parts amazing and terrifying. ...Peter Singer and August Cole establish themselves both as masters of the techno-thriller and as scientifically-grounded futurists. Woven into their riveting, page-turning tale of a brilliant FBI agent's future hunt for a diabolically clever, tech-savvy criminal are important lessons about the extremely difficult issues that lie ahead surrounding the use of AI, robotics, augmented reality, and ubiquitous surveillance. It is a terrific read!" —General David Petraeus (U.S. Army, Ret.), former Commander of the Surge in Iraq, U.S. Central Command, and Coalition Forces in Afghanistan and former Director of the CIA
A technothriller, following a hunt for a terrorist through the streets of a future Washington DC. Baked into the story are over 300 factual explanations and predictions, with 27 pages of nonfiction endnotes to show their source from the real world. Through a vivid story and characters, you learn about everything from how AI works and its planned applications to its impact on the future of politics, business, security, etc.
"This perceptive near-future techno-thriller from Singer and Cole (Ghost Fleet) warns of the unintended consequences of rapid technologic change . . . For all the emphasis on high-tech fears, the authors tell a very human story." —Publishers Weekly
"A near-future SF thriller starring an FBI agent and one damn smart robot . . . lots of clever details . . . a great premise for a series . . . just keep those suckers away from Putin." —Kirkus Reviews
Book may be ordered here.
Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTSNew Intelligence Chief Takes Over as Community Has Altered Work Operations for Pandemic. President Trump's controversial pick to be director of national intelligence was sworn in on Tuesday, which comes as the intelligence community has modified workforce operations to accommodate the novel coronavirus pandemic.
In March, President Trump tapped Rep. John Ratcliffe, R-Texas, for the position for the second time. Last summer Ratcliffe quickly withdrew from consideration after questions were raised about his qualifications (the law requires extensive intelligence experience) and dubious claims on his resume. Nevertheless, on May 21 the Senate confirmed Ratcliffe, 49-44, along party lines. In addition to taking on a role where his predecessors have clashed with the president, he takes office during unprecedented times. The Office of Personnel Management directed federal agencies to "maximize telework" during the pandemic, but it's more complicated for the 17 intelligence agencies due to the classified nature of their work.
The Office of the Director of National Intelligence "continues to monitor the COVID-19 pandemic and adjust its response, in accordance with [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] and OPM guidance," an ODNI official told Government Executive. The office "has reduced staff contact through a variety of options including staggered shifts, flexible schedules and social distancing practices."
The official said the office is balancing continuity of operations and the need to protect workforce health. [Read more: Buble/GovernmentExecutive/28May2020]
Macri, Argentinian Ex-Spy Agency Chiefs Face Probe Over Alleged Illegal Espionage. Federal prosecutor Jorge Di Lello said Friday that former president Mauricio Macri and a number of his former officials should face a judicial investigation into alleged illegal espionage charges presented by AFI intelligence trustee Cristina Caamaño.
A federal judge will determine whether to authorsze an investigation and possible charges.
In her deposition, Caamano asked state prosecutors to investigate Macri and said "emails from almost 100 people were spied on without any court order," according to sources.
Also indicted were ex-AFI chief Gustavo Arribas, his former second-in-command Silvia Majdalani and the latter's brother-in-law Darío Biorci, together with a number of unidentified agents. [Read more: BuenosAiresTimes/29May2020]
Pakistan Uses Terror-Tracking Tech Against Virus. Pakistan's intelligence services are deploying secretive surveillance technology used to locate terrorists to track coronavirus patients and the people they come into contact with.
In a program touted by Prime Minister Imran Khan, the government has turned to the powerful Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI) for help in tackling the virus, which is spreading at an accelerating rate across Pakistan.
Details about the project have not been released, but two officials told AFP that intelligence services are using geofencing and phone-monitoring systems that ordinarily are employed to hunt high-value targets including homegrown and foreign terrorists. [Read more: APF/28May2020]
Turkey Will Assist Guinea in Maritime Security, Share Military Intelligence. The Turkish parliament in January ratified a Turkey-Guinea military cooperation framework agreement that includes assistance in maritime security, cooperation in the defense industry, military intelligence and logistical systems, and the holding of joint exercises.
According to the text of the agreement, obtained by Nordic Monitor, Turkey will assist Guinea in maritime security in the Gulf of Guinea and piracy, which has increased off the west coast of Africa despite preventative measures. The agreement states in Article 4 that Turkey and Guinea will focus on "capacity building at sea and maritime security, fighting against piracy and armed robbery at sea."
The International Maritime Bureau (IMB) indicated that the Gulf of Guinea remains a hot spot for piracy, accounting for the vast majority of seagoing hostage seizures and kidnappings globally, and that 82 percent of maritime kidnappings between January-September 2019 worldwide occurred in the Gulf of Guinea. [Read more: NordicMonitor/2June2020]
Air Force to Consolidate Intelligence Contracts for Air, Space. The U.S. Air Force is conducting market research to potentially consolidate services from as many as two dozen intelligence analysis contracts into a single vehicle, according to a request for information released on May 29.
The proposed program, known as NOVASTAR, will support the National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) in its mission to "discover and characterize air, space, missile, forces, and cyber threats to enable full-spectrum multi-domain operations, drive weapon system acquisition, and inform national defense policy," according to an attached sources-sought notice.
The proposed contract would deliver "research, development, and sustainment of new and existing hardware, systems, and software capabilities enabling scientific and technical intelligence production" for the Air Force and broader intelligence community. The majority of the work will take place at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base in Dayton, Ohio, where NASIC is located. [Read more: Cornillie/Bloomberg/2June2020]
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Sabotage and Subversion: How Secret
Agents Helped Win WWII. In 1940, following the fall of
France, Winston Churchill authorized the establishment of a
volunteer fighting force to wage a secret war against Hitler's
armies. This unique force became known as the Special Operations
Executive (SOE), and their main mission was sabotage and subversion
behind enemy lines. Despite being shrouded in controversy, and being
viewed with suspicion by other agencies - the Secret Intelligence
Service (SIS) didn't want their information-gathering operations
disrupted with blown up bridges and factories - the SOE survived
World War II and actually played a big part in winning the war for
NSA's Cyber Wing Looks to Safeguard COVID Research and Expand Outreach.
The National Security
Agency's cybersecurity directorate is focusing its resources on
protecting medical research related to the COVID-19 pandemic and
assisting critical infrastructure that can help speed up America's
economic recovery, according to the agency's Deputy Director George
Lack of Emphasis on Secure Teleworking is a National Security Risk. Today, due to COVID-19, hundreds of thousands of Department of Defense (DoD) and Intelligence Community (IC) workers are now working on confidential documents and having confidential meetings while leveraging smartphones and other commercial mobile devices. These same devices are inherently risky due to the relative ease with which they can be exploited for espionage by bad actors using the cameras and microphones to capture confidential information.
Confidential information is the lowest classification level of information obtained and used by government and is defined as information that would "damage" national security if publicly disclosed.
The idea that leaked confidential information risks national security is acknowledged in security policy guidance banning the use of commercial mobile devices, but only at the office, unless the cameras and microphones are physically disabled. Putting smartphones in lock boxes when working in or visiting a DoD or IC office has become almost routine.
Lock boxes aren't a complete solution, however. When not in the office and actually mobile, the "hope and a prayer" risk mitigation has been in effect. This was accepted because telework was not widely adopted. [Read more: Campbell/SecurityBoulevard/1June2020]
The Impact of Spycraft on How We Secure Our Data. The cyber security industry has come a long way since its inception. The ancestors of cyber were the men and women working at Bletchley Park during the Second World War, long before the introduction of what we would consider modern cyber security practices – but even before then, humans used codes and ciphers to keep information safe for millennia. Even Julius Caesar popularised a cipher which was named after him.
More recently, developments have been driven by the intelligence and defence sectors, which have a real need to uncover as well as keep sensitive intelligence safe. Some of these innovations were showcased recently at the Science Museum's Top Secret exhibition, which ran from July 2019 to February 2020 to coincide with the 100th anniversary of GCHQ, the UK's intelligence, security and cyber agency.
It also gives us the context as to where developments have originated, and the ways in which they will subsequently impact how businesses keep their data safe from cyber criminals in the future. [Read more: Hughs/ComputerWeekly/1June2020]
The Coronavirus Pandemic Should Change the Way We Look at National Security. The Covid-19 pandemic is changing how we approach national security. It is giving tangible form to issues that had been brewing in the emergent digital environment and putting America's security challenges in urgent relief.
Despite effort and some accomplishment, advancement against new threats has been slow. This is in part because the effects of a changed world were not immediately visible, and the limitations of our existing approach were not strategically relevant enough to command attention and action. And, democracies tend to be slow to act short of crisis.
The current pandemic has accelerated our response to this changed world. It has pulled the future forward, forcing a new look at national security. Now, we must adapt how we operate to reflect this reality, and act with urgency.
Here are five things that should change about our approach to national security because of this crisis. [Read more: Gordon/CNBC/28May2020]
Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries, Jobs
Call for Papers by the University of Texas at Austin for the 2020 "Bobby R. Inman Award" for Student Scholarship on Intelligence
Austin, Texas – The Intelligence Studies Project of The
University of Texas at Austin announces the sixth annual
competition recognizing outstanding student research and writing
on topics related to intelligence and national security. The
winner of the "Inman Award" will receive a cash prize of $5,000,
with two semifinalists each receiving a cash prize of
$2,500. This competition is open to unpublished work by
undergraduate and graduate students enrolled in degree programs at
accredited U.S. higher education institutions during the
2019-20 academic year. The deadline for submitting
papers is June 30, 2020.
Aber Dearfield, NSA Executive Manager
Andrew Falkiewicz, Asst Dir USIA and to DCI; Served Nixon & Bush
IT Acquisitions Subject Matter Expert for Intelligence Community Client; Other Openings in Reston and Bolling AFB
E3/Sentinel has a funded opening for an IT Acquisitions Subject Matter Expert with specific experience in IT architecture requirements to support an IC customer. Candidate will assist in developing innovative business strategies and procurement policy/processes. Only candidates with TS/SCI clearances will be considered. Contact Rosanna Minchew email@example.com for more details.
E3/Sentinel has multiple openings for Contracts Specialists, Acquisition Analysts, Cost/Pricing Analysts and Contracts Closeout Specialists. Positions in Reston and at Bolling AFB. TS/SCI required to be considered for interview. Polygraph preferred. Contact Rosanna Minchew firstname.lastname@example.org for more details.
instructors at the University of Texas at El Paso (US)
Two Positions at James Madison University for Assistant or Associate Professor - Intelligence Analysis
James Madison University (JMU) located in Harrisonburg, VA, seeks
applicants for two faculty positions in its Bachelor's Degree
Program in Intelligence Analysis (IA). The appointments will be at
the Assistant or Associate Professor level and will reside within
the larger School of Integrated Sciences. The IA program offers a
multidisciplinary undergraduate degree with an emphasis on
methodology and technology to prepare students to become analysts,
with a specialization in intelligence analysis. Its graduates have
been successful in securing positions as analysts in both the
public and private sectors, to include the Intelligence Community,
military and law enforcement organizations, defense contractors,
and major consulting firms. The program emphasizes methodology and
synthesizes critical and creative thinking methods with
technological tools for data collection, visualization, and
analysis with situational knowledge of a problem's political,
economic, social, and technological context with strong
communicative and professional skills to support decision-making.
More information or applications may be found here.
Do not let Social Distancing slow your career. New Positions Available with Thomson Reuters
Many other jobs available with Thomson-Reuter. Email Brian Lemley for a list with descriptions and links.
FireEye Has Many Intelligence Positions Available For You - Worldwide - Contract, Full-time, Part-time, Interns
Explore the many career and contractor intelligence jobs available here. Jobs openings in Cyber Security include - Advisory, Architecture, Digital Forensics & Incident Response, Penetration Testing, Threat Research. They positions are needed here: New York, Chicago, Manila, Reston, Dallas, Atlanta, Suitland, Singapore, Denver, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Doha, Stockholm, London, Milpitas, multiple cities in Australia, Washington, Indianapolis, Tampa, Santiago, Alexandria, Seattle, Carlsbad, Houston, San Francisco, Arlington, Dubai, Amsterdam, Ft Belvoir, Minneapolis, Mexico City, San Diego, Boston, El Segundo, Philadelphia, San Antonio, Chiyoda, Ft Huachuca, Ft Gordon, Ft Meade, Ft Shafter, Kuwait City, Seoul, Sttutgart, Salt Lake City, Austin, Dublin, Bangalore, Cork, Colorado Springs... Explore the many career and contractor intelligence jobs available here.
AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....
RESCHEDULED from Spring: Friday, 23 October 2020, 10:30 a.m. - 2 p.m. - Tysons, VA - AFIO National Fall Luncheon features Washington Post columnist David Ignatius, and Author, former Post reporter Stephen Vogel
HOLD THE DATE: The morning speaker will be David
Ignatius, author of the upcoming intelligence
novel, The Paladin: A Spy Novel [WW Norton, May
2020]. Ignatius is a Washington Post columnist
and has been covering the Middle East and CIA for nearly three
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
Upcoming virtual (and a few live, post-quarantine) events at the International Spy Museum. Click event to explore and register for event. All virtual events require pre-registration.
Thursday, 4 June 2020, noon – 12:30pm EDT - Virtual - "Words Matter: How We Talk About the Pandemic" is topic of this discussion hosted by Georgetown University Press et al.
Georgetown University Professor in the department of linguistics
Deborah Tannen on Words Matter: How We Talk About the Pandemic.
Thursday, 25 June 2020, noon – 12:30pm EDT - Virtual - "Russian Cyber Operations in a Year of Crisis" is topic of this discussion hosted by Georgetown University Press et al.
US Naval Postgraduate School Lecturer Scott Jasper on Russian
Cyber Operations in a Year of Crisis.
NEW DATE - Saturday, 24 October 2020, 5:30 p.m. - Washington, DC - Save the Date! PenFed Foundation's 2020 Night of Heroes Gala
PUT ON CALENDAR AND HOLD THE DATE: The Pentagon Federal (PenFed
Credit Union) Foundation will be hosting their spectacular Night
of Heroes Gala on Saturday, 24 October 2020 at the Mandarin
Oriental in Washington, D.C. Last year's annual gala raised over
$1.5 million and honored children of military families.
In addition to the new Royal Blue long sleeve shirts, and the gray long sleeve hooded sweatshirts, the AFIO Store also has the following items ready for quick shipment:
NEW: LONG and Short-Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo and New Mugs with color-glazed permanent logo
your support for AFIO with our new Polo Shirts. Be the first to
buy these new, high quality, subtle heathered grey short
sleeve shirts, and dark blue long sleeved shirts, of
shrink and wrinkle resistant fine cotton with a soft yet
substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal.
Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues,
family, and friends. Only $45 each including shipping.
Long-Sleeved Shirts and Hooded Sweatshirts with embroidered AFIO Logo
Show your support for AFIO with our new long-sleeved Polo Shirts and Hooded Sweatshirts.
Both items are high quality and shrink resistant and feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal. The color of the long-sleeved Polo Shirts is royal blue; the price is $55 and includes shipping.
The Hooded Sweatshirts are dark grey; the price is $70 and includes shipping.
Purchase a shirt and sweatshirt for yourself and consider as
gifts for colleagues, family, and friends.
NEW: Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. (We left out all that lead-based glaze and hidden toxins in those mugs made in China being sold by other organizations). Also sturdy enough to sit on desk to hold pens, cards, paperclips, and candy.
This handsome large, heavy USA-made ceramic mug is dishwasher-safe with a glazed seal. $35 per mug includes shipping. Order this and other store items online here.
Intelligence Community Mousepads are a great looking addition to
your desk...or as a gift for others.
These 2017 mousepads have full color seals of all 18 members of the US Intelligence Community on this 8" round, slick surface, nonskid, rubber-backed mouse pad with a darker navy background, brighter, updated seals. Also used, by some, as swanky coasters. Price still only $20.00 for 2 pads [includes shipping to US address. Foreign shipments - we will contact you with quote.] Order MOUSEPADS here.
Guide to the Study of Intelligence and When Intelligence Made a Difference
"AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence" has
sold out in hard-copy.
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