AFIO Intelligence Notes Issue
18 May 1998
AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are a 1998 initiative to
enhance services to AFIO members and to encourage them to recruit new
members. We need new members!
WINs are produced by Editor Roy Jonkers, and includes adaptations
of articles produced by RADM Don Harvey (USN ret) and AFIO members.
WIN re-transmission is not permitted except without concurrence of
the WIN Editor.
WIN Back issues are stored on the AFIO Homepage
SECTION I - Harvey's Nuggets
SECTION II - Jonkers' Bullets
SECTION III - Member's Missives
SECTION IV - AFIO Announcements, Jobs and Services
LAST CALL! TWO DAYS TO GO - NOT TOO LATE
AFIO SYMPOSIUM on NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE PRIORITIES - 20 May 98,
Tysons Corner Marriott, McLean, Virginia, 0800 - 1600.
The AFIO Symposium on NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE PRIORITIES is getting
close - only two days to go. We have some seats left. ATTEND, and
make a TAX-DEDUCTIBLE donation to AFIO.
WALK-IN's accepted, BUT CALL the AFIO office at 703 790 0320 if
you can -- or if you need more information.
Cost is $99 , which is 90% TAX DEDUCTIBLE donation to
SECTION I - INTELLIGENCE COMMENTARIES &
- INDIA NUKES INTELLIGENCE FAILURE? - Washington has been in an
uproar over India's surprise nuclear tests at their facility near
Pokharan on May 11 & 12 with much finger pointing at the CIA.
Those that see an "intelligence failure" are evidently operating
under the assumption that the US Intelligence Community can know
everything that is going to happen anywhere in the world. A rather
While it may be difficult to keep a secret from US intelligence,
it certainly isn't impossible. In this case, the Indian government
was trying very hard, and succeeded, in keeping their secret. Is that
so surprising? I suppose we could spend another $10 or $20 billion on
intelligence, but even if we did, I don't believe we could expect
them to know everything. It's an impossibility....
Also, not much has really changed. We've known for over two
decades that India possessed nuclear weapons. Their first test was 24
years ago. Likewise, we know that Pakistan, Israel and perhaps North
Korea also have nukes. And South Africa once had nukes. We know all
that. The only thing that's new, is that India is now announcing they
have the nukes that the world has known about since 1974.
Another thing. The finger pointers have blamed the CIA, which
shows how little they know about the US Intelligence Community. While
all the analytical organizations (CIA, DIA, INR) should be watching
something like this, nuclear matters are the particular
responsibility of the Energy Department's intelligence shop
about 80 analysts who are, for the most part, nuclear physicists, and
whose specific job is to worry about nuclear proliferation.
Of note on this matter, both The Washington Post and the
Washington Times speculate that press "leaks" in 1995 and 1996 are
probably one reason for this warning "failure." In 1995 (and perhaps
again in 1996), Indian preparations for a nuke test were detected by
US intelligence and our government applied diplomatic pressure on
India, successfully, to head off those tests. But both times there
were stories in the press that provided details of what clues
intelligence had detected and how. Those press stories probably
helped India to conceal their preparations this time.
Finally, it seems that an obscure anti-Indian newsletter, Charhdi
Kala International, which circulates among the Sikh community in
British Columbia, had this in its May 7th edition, four days before
the test: "Preparations for an Indian nuclear blast have been
confirmed by our sources in India (who so far have never been wrong
having millions of pairs of eyes and ears fixed to the ground) who
report all kinds of feverish activities in the vicinity of
Pokharan..." (NY Times, 5/15). (JMcC)
Indeed, if we had open source analysts reading every publication
in every language in the world instantaneously every day, and could
instantly the kernels of wheat from the mountains of chaff, perhaps
we could approach open source exploitation perfection. Obviously
explanations for the annoying but non-critical delay in intelligence
reporting in this instance have to do with national collection and
analysis priorities and resource allocations as much as with
successful Indian technical cover and deception. The Chairman of the
Senate Select Committee on Intelligence was highly indignant on day
one, but has since moderated his reproaches. The Chairman of the
House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, the Hon. Porter
Goss, focused his critique on the lack of HUMINT resources. He has
long advocated increased priority and funding for clandestine HUMINT
intelligence capabilities, and this instance may be helpful to this
ISRAEL ESPIONAGE VS US - The long-running effort to gain the
release from prison of Jonathan Pollard, convicted of spying for
Israel 13 years ago, took another turn when the state of Israel
belatedly recognized Pollard as its agent - something denied up to
now. The official statement announced that "Jonathan Pollard acted as
an Israeli agent handled by those serving as senior officials of the
Bureau for Scientific Relations (LEKEM)." Pollard was made a citizen
of Israel two years ago. Relentless pressure will continue. (WT 12
May 98 p A13) (RJ)
CIVIL RIGHTS LEGISLATION IMPACTS INTELLIGENCE - A Human Rights
Information Act introduced in the House and Senate, covering
Guatemala and Honduras in the first instance, would require the CIA,
State Department, Justice Department, the Pentagon and other federal
agencies to apply more liberal standards of declassification to Cold
War records covering repression of leftist groups and guerillas. The
prescribed standards would be the same as those applied to the recent
declassification of thousands of pages on the 1963 assassination of
President John Kennedy. There is pressure to access documents
revealing the close US ties to the local military in these countries
in the name of "justice for the victims."
The CIA urged Congress to reject the legislation, stating that it
had already gone to "extraordinary lengths" in disclosures and that
its ability to recruit foreign spies would be severely damaged.
"Sources will be imperiled and the mission of the CIA - to support
the Congress and the President - will be disadvantaged." (WP 12 May98
page A7) (RJ)
AFGHANISTAN - The high-stakes pipeline struggle between the US,
Russia, Pakistan and Iran, among others in South Asia, is one of the
most intriguing anywhere. Unocal heads a consortium of international
oil companies to build the 800 mile pipeline from Turkmenistan to
Pakistan via Afghanistan, a $2 Billion project. The Saudi's have a
15% stake, and Saudi intelligence is deeply involved in supporting
the Taleban. Pakistan favors the pipeline and has been arming the
Taleban, who control most of Afghanistan.
Iran wants to block the pipeline and keep the US out of the
region. It is engaged on a program of destabilizing covert action
within Pakistan by stirring up sectarian fighting between Sunni and
Shi'ite Muslims. Iran is also arming and training the Northern
Alliance battling the Taleban. The Russians generally seek to limit
US interests in the area. A story deserving of Kipling and the Khyber
pass, with intelligence machinations and covert action galore. (WT
11April98 p A7, Timmerman) (RJ)
- CHANGE OF PACE - For a darkly humorous story to break the day,
we offer the following:
A few months ago, there was an opening with the CIA for an
assassin. These highly classified positions are hard to fill, and
there's a lot of testing and background checks involved before you
can even be considered for the position.After sending some applicants
through the background checks, training and testing, they narrowed
the possible choices down to three persons: two men and one woman,
but only one position was available. The day came for the final test
to see which one would get the extremely secretive job. The CIA men
administering the test took one of the men to a large metal door and
handed him a gun. "We must know that you will follow your
instructions no matter what the circumstances," they explained.
"Inside this room, you will find your wife sitting in a chair. Take
this gun and kill her." The man got a shocked look on his face and
said, "You can't be serious! I could never shoot my own wife!"
"Well," says the CIA man, "you're definitely not the right man for
this job then."
So they bring the second man to the same door and hand him a gun.
"We must know that you will follow instructions no matter what the
circumstances," they explained to the second man, "Inside you will
find your wife sitting in a chair. Take this gun and kill her." The
second man looked a bit shocked, but nevertheless took the gun and
went in the room. All was quiet for about five minutes, then the door
opened. The man came out of the room with tears in his eyes. "I tried
to shoot her, but I just couldn't pull the trigger and shoot my wife.
I guess I'm not the right man for the job". No," the CIA man replied,
"You just don't have what it takes to be an assassin for the CIA.
Take your wife and go home."
Now they turn to the woman for her test. They lead her to the same
door to the same room and handed her the same gun. "We must be sure
that you will follow instructions no matter what the circumstances.
This is your final test. Inside you will find your husband sitting in
a chair. Take this gun and kill him." The woman took the gun and
opened the door. Before the door even closed all the way, the CIA man
heard the gun start firing. One shot after another for 13 shots. Then
all hell broke loose in the room. They heard screaming, crashing,
banging on the walls. This went on for several minutes, then all went
quiet. The door opened slowly, and there stood the woman. She wiped
the sweat from her brow and said, "You guys didn't tell me the gun
was loaded with blanks! I had to beat him to death with the
Contributors to SECTION I - J. MacCartney (JMcC), Editor (RJ)
SECTION II - BOOKS &
CIA DRUG ALLEGATIONS BOOK - Ned Dolan writes: On Monday morning,
the local DC Pacifica station - wpfw-fm - carried an interview with
former San Jose Mercury News reporter Gary Webb on his new book
called, like his articles, DARK ALLIANCE. It is to be out this week
expanding on his stories about CIA's drug associations and
Running for 500 pages, he said, it has an introduction by Maxine
Waters. He expects reviews in major papers. It was being offered as a
premium for the fund raiser being held by the station.
PATTERNS OF GLOBAL TERRORISM, 1997, Department of State
Publication 10535, released April 1998. Congress requires an annual
report from the State Department on international terrorist
incidents. This unclassified report includes overviews of all areas
of the world,m including a chronology, background information and a
staistical review of significant terrorist incidents in 1997. State
also provides Congress with a classified annex to this report
describing the extent to which foreign governments are cooperating
with the US Government in preventing future terrorist incidents. This
publication is a concise and useful reference for quick fact-checking
for news organizations and security orces, the legal profession and
one of the major targets, the business community. (IB)
SECTION III - BULLETIN BOARD
The DICK GRANT Chapter, Missoula, Montana. On 22 May Frank Bessac
will speak about his experiences in Tibet and Mongolia. All AFIO
members in the area are invited.
The Chapter is also supporting ROTC awards, and is actively and
successfully recruiting new AFIO members, using special Chapter
inducements. Local area personnel are invited to join the chapter and
its programs accomplishing AFIO objectives. Contact Chapter President
Charlie Crookshanks tel/fax 406 728 3432.
NEW FLORIDA CHAPTER - Efforts are underway to start a new chapter
in the Jacksonville, FL area. Interested personnel please contact
MIDWEST Chapter will hold their 8th ANNUAL INTELLIGENCE SEMINAR at
Great Lakes Naval Station, Chicago for June 26 /27th.
The AUTUMN 98 function is a working tour of the CANADIAN Military
Intelligence and Security School at Camp Borden, Ontario, Canada, set
for October 16 & 17th.
RESERVATIONS are being accepted for both summer and fall
functions, and ALL AFIO members and guests are invited to attend. For
details, directions and reservations, contact Midwest Chapter
President Angelo DiLiberti at (847) 931-4184, or Don Clark (630)
834-2032, or email HYPERLINK mail to: < firstname.lastname@example.org >
QUERIES AND ANNOUNCEMENTS
Any offer or appeal by non-AFIO organizational entities are
provided without signifying any endorsement, verification or position
FBI/ OSS/ CIA QUERY - I am looking for anyone who knew Winston
Mckinley Scott (1909-1971), FBI(1942-1944), OSS (X-2, London), CIA
(first COS in London, COS Mexico City 1956-69). I represent his son
Michael Scott who was 15 when his father died. We have been trying to
obtain information on Win for the last 5 years.- Contact
VIENNA X-2 QUERY - I'm a professor at Penn State seeking
information on Edward Philip Barry (E. P. Barry) who was, according
to Robin Winks of Yale, the head of X-2 in Vienna at the end of WWII.
I believe he stayed in Europe setting up in Zurich during the post
war period. If any of your members recollect anything about Mr.
Barry, and his role in X-2 and subsequent intelligence activities in
SSU/CIA, I would appreciate hearing from them. Contact Alan Block
- OSS QUERY - Ms Margaret Chandler Bell would like to hear from
anyone knowing her grandfather, who was part of OSS. Name: William
Knox Chandler (went by "Knox"). Date of Birth: April 12, 1900, Date
of Death: July 12, 1943. She understands that he worked on the "farm"
in or around Clinton, Maryland in the '40's. Prior to working for
OSS, he was a professor ofEnglish at Vanderbilt in Nashville. It was
reported that he died by his own gun, after shooting an OSS
stenographer, Rosemary Sidley (from Chicago). They apparently were
"having some kind of an affair." Any information is appreciated.
Contact Email: <email@example.com>
- RESEARCH INFO NEEDED: James Olmstead is doing historical
research concerning aspects of the cold war for film scripts. Several
projects concern intelligence operations as well as aspects of the
history of some intelligence agencies. He needs first hand
information from those who were part of the operations. His work
focuses on the period between 1953 and 1964. Topics include:
Assassination of JFK; Bay of Pigs; Mongoose; Cuban Missile Crisis;
"Black Box" projects connected to the DEW Line or disarmament.;
Intelligence operations in the state of Ohio from 1919 to 1969; KKK
investigations; Left Wing Student investigations. Contact
- MOSCOW SPY TOUR - Retired Canadian counterintelligence officer
conducted a unique "spy tour of Moscow" in 1997 for 17 historians,
writers, journalists and retired intelligence professionals from the
US and UK, and is offering the opportunity to participate in a
similar tour 6-10 September 1998. Dan Mulvenna is an intelligence
historian and bibliophile who has been traveling and working in
Russia for the past ten years, developing a broad range of contacts
with KGB/SVR/SFB members. His tour consists of site visits,
briefings, and receptions and dinners with senior Russian
intelligence agency personnel. Participants must make their own
flight and hotel arrangements. In addition, the tour costs $1,500,
covering briefings and speaking fees, two formal receptions/dinners,
and lunch, coach travel in and around Moscow and all admission site
fees. Serious inquiries only <firstname.lastname@example.org>
JOBS / POSITIONS
- LOOKING FOR POSITION - AFIO member with military and CIA
background and extensive experience in aviation operations, technical
support, marketing and management for both the Government and private
industry (e.g. United Technologies Corporation/ Pratt &Whitney;
Offshore Helicopter Company), with knowledge of Spanish, is seeking
new career opportunities commensurate with experience and background.
Willing to relocate worldwide and travel. Inquiries may be directed
at the AFIO central office (email@example.com).
- LOOKING FOR POSITION - AFIO member, former CIA operations
officer and military intelligence officer, with global
information-gathering skills, seeks business intelligence management
position. Extensive overseas time in Latin America, Africa, and the
Middle East. Comprehensive National Intelligence Community
experience. Originated and guided to completion complex information
gathering operations in high pressure environments. Proven ability to
analyze, plan and exectute effective action.
Thorough knowledge of information technologies. Excellent writing,
research/analysis skills. MS in Strategic Intelligence, Spanish
If interested email AFIO central Office (firstname.lastname@example.org)
AFIO CALENDAR 1998
- AFIO Symposium - US INTELLIGENCE PRIORITIES SURVEY - Tysons
Corner Marriott Hotel, McLean, Virginia 20 May 1998 - 0730 - 1600.
Walk-in's accepted. Bring check for $99 (90% tax deductible) to AFIO.
(Tel 703 790 0320)
- AFIO Luncheon - 1 June 1998 - 1030 - 1400, Fort Myer, Va.
REGISTER NOW! Speakers: Admiral Studeman and Professor Chandler. Send
check for $26 (AFIO members and guests) or $29 (others) to AFIO
- AFIO SPECIAL Luncheon - 21 July 1998 - 12:30 - 2:30 at Fort
George G. Meade, Maryland, National Cryptologic Museum. Send check
for $22 (AFIO members and guests), or $29 (others) to AFIO.
- AFIO Luncheon - 14 September 98, Fort Myer, Va. Speakers to be
- AFIO CONVENTION & SYMPOSIUM - Theme: Espionage and
Counter-espionage. Miami Beach Convention Center, 19-21 November
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