AFIO Intelligence Notes Issue 34
8 September 1998
NOTE: This WIN contains important information on the AFIO Symposium
and Convention. Please retain it for future reference.
NOTE: LAST CALL for the AFIO LUNCHEON 14 SEPTEMBER, Fort Myers
Officers Club, Arlington Virginia, 10:30 -14:00. ATTENTION: be
prepared for increased security checks at the gate. You must show a
Dr. Hamilton Merritt, Nobel Prize Nominee, and Major General (USA
ret) Jack Singlaub & SOG Crew. Send check for $26 (members and
guests) or $29 (non-members) to AFIO 6723 Whittier Ave, ste 303A,
McLean Va 22101-4533. Call Mrs Gretchen Campbell at 703 790 0320.
NOTE: Chapter President's Suggestion: Recruit a Buddy Month -
each member sign up a member or associate member. Each member can
support AFIO's objectives in this way, wherever you are.
SECTION I - INTELLIGENCE COMMENTARIES & BRIEFS
RUSSIA - A former director of the National Security Agency (NSA),
LTG William Odom (USA ret), now a senior fellow at the Hudson
Institute, in analyzing the widely reported economic and governmental
problems in present-day Russia, used an interesting analogy to depict
" Think of the Russian economy as a professional football league.
On game day, the teams arrive at their fields to play before sellout
crowds. The players look around to discover there are no referees.
Nor is the field lined off to mark the boundaries, yard lines and
goal lines. To get the game underway, each teams's owner sends one of
its own to officiate. Predictably, the referees only make calls
favorable to their team. At half-time, gamblers send their agents to
bribe the referees. The fans, knowing that skill doesn't determine
the outcome, become unruly. The game turns into a melee. Meanwhile,
most of the gate receipts disappear mysteriously and the players end
up receiving no salaries."
This is an approximation of the way the Russian economy operates,
according to General Odom. The state is not strong enough to impose
order. They cannot dictate the rules. They may write rules for teams
and owners, but they cannot enforce it. Nor can they prevent theft at
the box office, or extract adequate fees from the owners to pay for
rules to manage the league for the season. Nonetheless, said the
general "Western governments continue to act as if controlling legal
institutions exist and that the rules are fair."
We must, concludes the general, shift away from our obsession with
democracy in Russia and put our emphasis on creating a " . .l system
that limits the state's power and guarantees private property and
civil rights..." The football analogy is apt, but the conclusion
provides the startpoint for a three-martini policy discussion.
(Wpost 6 Sep 98, pages C1 and 5) (RoyJ)
NEW DIRECTOR FOR RUSSIA'S FSB - The Federal Security Service (FSB)
has recently had its director, Nikolai Kovalev, abruptly dismissed
by President Boris Yeltsin. The replacement, Vladximir Putin, is a
career intelligence officer and a top presidential advisor. A likely
explanation for the dismissal is that it was not Kovalev's faults but
Putin's virtues that led to the chang. Putin rose to prominence as
one of the main advisors to St Petersburg's first libaral mayor, and
was adept at entertaining foreign visitors in excellent German.
Putin has promised tougher controls on strategic exports and on
leaks via the Internet. He also promised to improve the FSB's image
in the Russian press. That task should not be too difficult in view
of the FSB's recent practice of heavy-handed pursuit of environmental
activists as criminals while demonstrating ineptness in dealing with
Economic security is now the FSB's top priority. As a result, the
state's code-cracking and snooping capabilities could be put at the
service of the tax collectors. Overall the trend appears to be for
the FSB to gradually regain many of the powers it held as the KGB in
the Soviet Union. (Economist 1-7Aug 98 p4) (DonH)
GERMAN SPY PROBLEMS - Three German agents of the BND (Bundes
Nachrichten Dienst) went on trial in Munich in July on charges of
selling Russian military secrets to British MI6 agents in the early
nineties. The BND officers were part of a large-scale Western
operation, nicknamed Operation Giraffe, to buy secret information and
materials from Soviet officers during the Red pullout from eastern
Germany. The operation was dogged by problems, and the trial is
shedding an unwelcome light on BND practices.
The trial merely reveals the top of an iceberg relating to allied
intelligence cooperation and competition. It relates to German
attempts to persuade the US to return the Stasi files that Washington
bought from East Germans agents in a major CIA coup in 1990. Under
German law all files of the former East German Government belong to
Bonn, but this is not enforceable on Washington. The court case
hints that CIA's Stasi files may contain important and sensitive
information, potentially affecting German political figures.
During the Cold War, West Germany and its political and
intelligence structures were riddled with Stasi agents. Washington
and London are said to be still reluctant to share information with
an organization which leaked like a sieve during the Cold War, and
suspect that the BND may continue to be infiltrated by Russian
agents. The trial is deemed to be undermining German aspirations to
increase its importance as a European partner of CIA and MI6. . (The
Telegraph, 12 Jul98, London) (RoyJ)
WORLD WAR II PLOTTING TO KILL HITLER - Official records
declassified by the British show that Britain's Special Operations
Executive (SOE) began to consider a plot (named Operation Foxley) in
June 1944 to kill Hitler when an agent asked London for approval of
an assassination attempt during a visit by the Fuehrer to southern
France. Winston Churchill and Anthony Eden were kept informed of the
planning which had received the blessing of Britain's joint military
The released memoranda also include opposing views amidst the
plotting. One of the dissenters, labeled "X" and later identified as
R.H. Thornely, a British Army officer who ran the German section of
SOE, argued that Hitler was such an incompetent military planner that
he was actually an asset to the allies. "As a strategist, Hitler has
been of the greatest possible assistance to the British war effort,"
wrote X in one of the memos. Eventually, X's views won out, and the
operation was canceled in April 1945. Hitler shot himself a few weeks
later. (Wpost 24Jul98) (DonH)
MI-5 ESTABLISHES OFFICIAL WEBSITE - The British
counter-intelligence service, MI-5, has established its own site on
the web - - - <http://www.mi5.gov.uk> and has emphatically
stated what MI5 does not do. "The service does not kill people or
arrange their assassination." The service also rejected accounts of
its operatations as recounted in former agent Peter Wright's memoirs
"Spycatcher." The allegation that 1970's MI5 Chief Roger Hollis was a
double agent for the Soviets was rejected as well.
The writ of MI5 appears to run broadly. "Threats to national
security often come from abroad. Security threats to British
interests anywhere in the world fall within the scope of the
service's functions." Enunciating a standard American agencies would
hope to achieve, the site sternly warns:" No members of the public is
permitted to see any Security Service files, except for historical
records which have been declassified and released by the Public
It is not known what MI5's reaction would be to a request from the
Prime Ministers staff for roughly 1,000 personal files of individuals
in previous administrations. (AFP 29 Jul 98, London) (DonH)
TRAVEL INTELLIGENCE - Now that we have a price on our heads, the
prudent will want to check conditions overseas, particularly in
exotic travel destinations. Check:
Australia's Consular Travel Advice <
Canadian travel information <
British travel advice <www.fco.gov.uk>
Pinkerton Global Intelligence Services
Air Security International
Fielding's Danger Finder <www.fieldingtravel.com/df/index.htm>
(USA Today21 Aug 98 page 2D) (RoyJ)
SECTION II AFIO SYMPOSIUM & CONVENTION
AFIO SYMPOSIUM & CONVENTION
5, 6 and 7 November 98
AFIO National Symposium and Convention.
SECURITY AND TECHNOLOGY CHALLENGES FOR INTELLIGENCE: THE FUTURE IS
We are in process of assembling, or have assembled, a superb cast
of eminent speakers - a great opportunity for an update on a wide
range of intelligence activities and to broaden your horizons on
both contemporary and future intelligence and counterintelligence
issues. This is a shouldn't miss / can't miss event!
For purposes of attracting attendance beyond AFIO, there is a
breakout between SYMPOSIUM and AFIO CONVENTION sessions.
First let me address the CONVENTION. The Convention starts
Thursday 5 November at 4pm with a General Membership Meeting at the
Tysons Corner MARRIOTT Hotel, including a review of new AFIO
directions and initiatives. It will be followed by a Social Hour and
Chairman's Reception , and then, an AFIO AWARDS BANQUET.
FOR THE FIRST TIME there will be an AFIO AWARDS ceremony at the
Banquet - we are looking forwards to making awards to AFIO members
for outstanding contributions to AFIO and its objectives - - - by
presenting the DAVID ATLEE PHILLIPS and General RICHARD STILLWELL
awards (commemorating the founding/first and second Presidents of
Additionally there will be an Award to a high-profile JOURNALIST
for quality commentaries and reporting on intelligence-related
matters in printed media. The name for that award will be announced
as soon as has been cleared with the family concerned.
For those unable to attend the Symposium proceedings, a barely
break-even donation of $100 to AFIO will enable you to attend the
above Thursday CONVENTION portion of the conference.We hope that most
of you will sign up for the entire package, including the Symposium.
REGISTER EARLY. To get into CIA we must have your SOCIAL SECURITY
NUMBER etc. at least TWO WEEKS before the start.
The SYMPOSIUM sessions start Thursday 5 November 1 p.m. to 4 p.m.
at the Tysons Corner Marriott, and continue on Friday 6 November at
This first Symposium session will concentrate on Security issues.
Session Chairman Ted Shackley (CIA ret), has lined up three
outstanding speakers (all confirmed) to address counterintelligence,
terrorism, executive protection and Russian organized crime, all most
relevant topics. The first speaker will be the Staff Director of the
Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Taylor Lawrence.
The SYMPOSIUM will continue on Friday 6 November at 0800 at CIA
In the first session, chaired by AFIO President Peter Earnest, a
stellar cast of speakers will outline intelligence strategies,
beginning with the DCI, the Chairman of the House Permanent Select
Committee on Intelligence, and the Director INR, Department of State,
The second session, chaired by LTG (USA ret) James Williams will
address challenges for intelligence, including technological
developments affecting intelligence capabilities, methodologies, arts
and crafts. Top drawer speakers will include the Directors of the
National Reconnaissance Office ( NRO) and the National Security
Agency (NSA), a Department of Justice Attorney from FINCEN (Financial
Crimes Center), and the Director of the Sandia Laboratories Center of
Technology - ALL CONFIRMED - - and the Director of the Los Alamos
National Laboratories (invited) . A social hour will conclude the
On Saturday morning there will be an optional no-host CONVENTION
breakfast, particularly aimed at out-of-area attendees, with the
Chairman, President, and members of the Board of Directors and
Officers, at the Marriott Hotel
LET US KNOW SOONEST IF YOU PLAN TO ATTEND - IT HELPS US IMMENSELY
Thursday 5 Nov. - SYMPOSIUM sessions, Tysons Corner Marriott
13:00 - 1600 - SYMPOSIUM sessions on Terrorism, Executive
Kidnapping and Russian Organized Crime. Session I
Chairman: Ted Shackley (CIA ret)
Thursday 5 November - CONVENTION
1600 - 1800 AFIO CONVENTION General Membership Meeting. Chairman:
Bill Kvetkas, AFIO Chairman of the Board. Presentations by AFIO
President Peter Earnest and Executive Director Roy Jonkers on the
status and progress of the Association.
1830 - 2130 Convention Reception and AFIO Awards Banquet. Dress -
coat and tie.
Chairman: AFIO President Peter Earnest.
FRIDAY 6 Nov. 0800 - 1800 - SYMPOSIUM at CIA HEADQUARTERS,
SYMPOSIUM REGISTRATION 0700 - 0800 AT CIA HQS
Session II - Chairman Peter Earnest (CIA ret)
0800 - 0850 DCI - the Future of CIA and the Intelligence
0850 - 0940 HPSCI Chairman - Congressional Perspective on the
Future of Intelligence BREAK
1010 - 1100 - Director INR, US Department of State - Intelligence
Support to Diplomacy
Session III Chairman: LTG James Williams (USA ret)
1100 - 1145 Director National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) - the
Strategic Plan for US Overhead Reconnaissance Intelligence
1145 - 1230 - Director Sandia Laboratories - Emerging
Technologies for the new Millenium
1400 - 1450 - Director Financial Crime Center (FINCEN) - Int'l
Financial Crime Detection
1450 - 1540 - Director National Security Agency (NSA) - Cyber War
Trends and Issues.
1600 - 1700 - Director Los Alamos National Laboratories -
Non-proliferation and nuclear security
1700 - 1800 - Social Hour. DCI invited to attend.
Saturday 7 November 98 - 0830 Informal No-Host CONVENTION
Breakfast Session with members of the AFIO Board of directors and
Register Early! Let us know if you intend to attend - it helps us
with planning! Bring your spouse to the Banquet - the Tysons Corner
shopping malls are next door.
1) CONVENTION AND SYMPOSIUM combined package price $225 (
including General Membership meeting, Reception, Banquet, Friday
lunch and Social Hour at CIA).
2) SYMPOSIUM ONLY (Thursday 5 Nov 1 - 4pm, Friday 6 Nov 8am - 6
pm) - (includes lunch and social hour) (NO Convention) - $145.
3) CONVENTION ONLY (Thursday 4 PM - 10 PM), including Banquet -
(NO Symposium) - $100.
HOTEL - Tysons Corner Marriott Hotel - 8028 Leesburg Pike, Vienna
Va - 703 734 3200 Ask for weekend rate. No bloc of rooms
has been set aside or reserved. RESERVE early! The front-desk rate
quoted was $ 84 per night.
SECTION III - BULLETIN BOARD
- NORTHEAST FLORIDA CHAPTER MEETING - AFIO applauds the first
organizational Dinner Meeting of the "emerging" Northeast
Florida/Southern Georgia Chapter on Friday 11 September 1998. Our
hats are off to Bishop Melli and his crew, and also to the SUNCOAST
Chapter (Bob Savallesh and Nat Aldermann) for their outstanding
support to this invaluable initiative.
The meeting will be held in the private Astula room of the Holiday
Inn in Palatka, on the beautiful St John's river, at 6:00 pm. There
will be an Open Bar, the famous Seafood and Carved Beef Buffet,
all-you-can-eat shrimp, crab-legs, fish, etc. at $12.95.
There also will be an interesting after-dinner speaker, Brigadier
General William A. Webb (USAF (ret), an Asia expert, who will speak
on China and its role as an international power. A short business
meeting will conclude the evening. All area members and prospective
members are invited! LAST CALL - For reservations or information,
contact Col Barney Barco (352) 475 2351, or email
-CHAPTER MEMBERSHIP INCENTIVE - The GRANT Chapter, Missoula,
Montana, has an active speaker program and is providing special
incentives to new members. Contact President Charlie Crookshanks
TAPS - Richard A. Sampson, Vice President of AFIO's San Diego
Chapter, died 30 July 1998 at the age of 71. After service in the
Navy in the 1940's and later as an Army Reserve officer, he served
with distinction in the Central Intelligence Agency's Office of
Security for 25 years, retiring in 1976. After two further decades
in private industry, he retired again as Director of Security for
GDE Systems Inc., but remained active as Adjunct Professor at Webster
University's San Diego campus, and as AFIO Chapter VP. We bid
farewell to a valued colleague. (ref. Darryl Thibault, San Diego
Chapter President 619 233 0020)
INTELLIGENCE PAMPHLET - Dr. John Macartney has updated his AFIO
Monograph primer on the US Intelligence Community. He is willing to
send it free to Professors as an email attachment. It is 41 pages and
takes about 420KB in Wordperfect 6. Note that it will NOT be useable
in any other program such as MS Word, because of all the clip art,
text boxes, etc. Dr. Macartney will retain copyright, but will extend
free useage for educational use, when asked. He is also looking for
feedback since he is working to expand the monograph into a short
book. He is inviting comments and critiques. Contact him at
<email@example.com>. The updated monograph can also be obtained
from AFIO. Send check for $10 to: AFIO (Monograph), 6723 Whittier
Ave, Ste 303A, McLean Va 22101-4533.
- PCIC EXPO - Career Development for Intelligence Professionals -
will be held 11-12 November, 1998, Tysons Corner Marriott, 8028
Leesburg Pike, Vienna, Va. Check <firstname.lastname@example.org> or call Lori
Tugman at 703 379 8400 for attendance, exhibiting or advertising.
SPECIAL INCENTIVE - AFIO members wishing to purchase commercial
exhibit space will receive a special discount.
- JOB WANTED - Experienced and seasoned professional, with long
residences in Indonesia, Japan and Italy, who speaks the languages
and knows the cultures, is looking for appropriate consulting or job
opportunity. Contact <email@example.com>
-JOBS OFFERED - CIA advertises "The Ultimate International
Experience" in the clandestine service for extraordinary individuals
who want more than a job. Refer the qualified and the curious to
CIA's website at <www.odci.gov/cia> .
- NOTE - The WIN commentaries are produced by the AFIO WINs Editor
and Executive Director Roy Jonkers. Contributions by others, notably
by RADM Don Harvey and Dr. John Macartney, are clearly
- NOTE - WIN re-transmission is not permitted without specific
AFIO concurrence, except for individual single instances for
recruiting a new AFIO member.
- NOTE: AFIO MEMBERSHIP or associate membership is open to US
citizens who subscribe to AFIO's principles and objectives - see
AFIO's Homepage www.afio.com.
EVERY MEMBER RECRUIT (at least one) NEW MEMBER(S)!
Recruit a friend or acquaintance - do your part for AFIO and its
objectives. Get credit for sponsoring new members!
Let us know if you have a receptive prospect - we'll be pleased to
send him/her a membership application. We need new members to keep
AFIO healthy and on course - -
For back issues, updated periodically, see the AFIO Homepage www.afio.com.
Return to AFIO Home Page