WIN #46-04 dtd 13 December 2004

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by AFIO for non-profit educational uses by AFIO members and WIN subscribers. IF YOU DO NOT WISH TO RECEIVE THESE NOTICES....SEE REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS AT BOTTOM

FRIDAY, 14 January 2005 - Tyson's Corner, VA –

A F I O   W I N T E R   L U N C H E O N

Postcards are on the way to all Members of Record in the Washington/MD/VA area. Sign up now before the rush begins and space runs out.

"The Hidden Worldwide Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies -- Islamic Terrorist Extremism - Abroad and Within - Europe's Late Awakening"

 by Dr. George Friedman, Founder/Chairman, Stratfor, Strategic Forecasting, Inc.,

Author of the recently released and riveting  "America's Secret War"

- morning speaker -

AND

"The Political Tug-of-War over Money and Power -The Intelligence Community Restructure Battle"

by Philip D. Zelikow, Executive Director, 9/11 Commission, National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States,

- afternoon speaker -

-           Discussing problems the Commission faces with adoption of its findings and what he foresees in a restructuring of the intelligence community.

Time:  10:30 a.m. for badge pick-up.

Friedman speaks at 11 am; lunch at noon; Zelikow at 12:45; close at 2 pm.

$35/person - current AFIO members and their guests, only.

Where: Tyson's Corner Holiday Inn.

Directions at Reserve right away with Visa, MasterCard or AMEX via email to afio@afio.com, by fax to 703.991.1278, or by voice to 703.790.0320. Newly released intelligence books will be on display and on sale.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents] [This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition recipients. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. However, due to recent changes in AOL's security standards, members using AOL will not be able to receive HTML formatted WINs from AFIO and will thus be receiving our Plaintext Edition. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail. NON-HTML recipients may view HTML edition at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm

SECTION I -- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

   National Intelligence Reform Act Awaits President’s Signature

   Operative Accuses CIA of Retaliation

   DIA Officers Say Special Forces Abused Iraqi Prisoners

   NSA, CIA Say Nothing about Tap on U.N. Atom Chief’s Phone

SECTION II -- CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

   Baghdad Station Head Warns of Deteriorating Situation

   Fear Hamstrings Intel Collection in Iraq

   Controversy over New Stealth Satellite

SECTION III -- CYBER INTELLIGENCE

   IT Groups Praise Parts of Intel Reform Act

   TSA Testing Biometric ID Card

   "Playgirl" Virus Attacks Chechen Websites

SECTION IV -- BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES

   Books

      Backgrounder on Special Forces

      Al-Qa’ida in Europe

      Undermining Societies Ecological Foundations

   Issues

      The Best Spies Didn't Wear Suits

      SIGINT vs. HUMINT in War on Terror

      CIA Has Bases in Pakistan’s Tribal Area

SECTION V -- CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES, CORRECTIONS, COMING EVENTS, OBITUARIES

   Careers in DHS

    JUST IN. 17 New Career Positions at Dept Homeland Security-HQ - Make it your Resolution for 2005 to apply for one.

   Notes

      NOCs to Keep Money From Cover Jobs

      Tenet to Publish Memoirs

Queries

      Sailor Seeks Old Friend

   Coming Events

      10 January 05 - Washington, DC - Spies on Screen: Behind the Scenes of BBC Video’s MI-5 - International Spy Museum

      FRIDAY, 14 January 05 - Tyson's Corner, VA - A F I O   W I N T E R   L U N C H E O N

      1 February & 8 February 05 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories: America Held Hostage - 444 Days to Freedom (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum

      8 - 10 February - Crystal City, VA - New Intel Conference Debuts

      24 February 05 - Washington, DC - Spies of the Kaiser - Lunchtime Author Debriefing and Book Signing - International Spy Museum

      1 March & 15 March 05 - Washington, DC - Sisterhood of Spies: Shady Ladies in Espionage (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum

      10 March 05 - Washington, DC - Spy Book: The Encyclopedia of Espionage - International Spy Museum

      21 - 22 March 05 - Washington, D.C. - EMININT 2005

      23 - 24 March 05 - Fairfax, VA - NMIA National Intelligence Symposium

      6 - 9 April 05 - Chicago, IL - SCIP Annual Conference

     15 - 16 April 05 - Saratoga Springs, NY - Cryptologic Veterans Reunion

      18 - 21 April 05 - SFSAFBI Western Regional Conference

      20 - 21 April 05 - Langley, VA - AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium

      21 April 05 - Washington, DC - 2005 MOAA Career Fair - DC Convention Center

      22 - 24 April 05 - Grapevine, TX - SFSAFBI South Central Regional Meeting

      25 - 28 April 05 - Philadelphia, PA - 2005 DoDIIS Worldwide Conference

      27 - 30 October 2005 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

SECTION I -- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE REFORM ACT AWAITS PRESIDENT’S SIGNATURE - Congress has sent an Intelligence Reform Act to President Bush, which he is expected to sign this week. When he does, it will signal the biggest IC overhaul since the CIA was founded in 1947, The Economist reported online on 8 December.

   (http://www.economist.com/agenda/displaystory.cfm?story_id=3468986)

   The act creates a National Intelligence Authority, presided over by a National Intelligence Director, the Council on Foreign Relations reported online on 9 December.

   (http://www.cfr.org/background/intel_reform.php)

   The NIA is to coordinate IC efforts and will be independent of the Executive Office of the President.

   The NID will be the principal intelligence adviser to the President and have responsibility for counterterrorism and intelligence related to national security. He will not be a member of the Cabinet.

   The NID will have budgetary authority over civilian intelligence programs and participate with the Defense secretary in creating the budget for military intelligence programs. The NID will also be responsible for submitting a national intelligence budget to the president.

   The NID will have authority over the CIA, NSA, NGA, NRO, DIA, INR at the State Department, TFI at the Treasury, the FBI’s Office of Intelligence and Counterterrorism and Counterintelligence Divisions, the DoE Office of Intelligence, the DHS Directorate of Information Analysis and Infrastructure Protection and its Directorate of Coast Guard Intelligence.

   DoD retains direct control of the intelligence arms of the Army, Navy, Air Force and Marines.

   The act will also:

· Create a National Counterterrorism Center to coordinate the work of the IC.

· Establish a unified network to share more intelligence information among federal, state, and local agencies and the private sector.

· Declassify the annual intelligence budget.

· Create a Privacy and Civil Liberties Board to monitor government counterterrorism agencies for violations of civil and privacy rights.

· Establish an Analytic Review Unit in an ombudsman’s office to take a second look at National Intelligence Estimates and other analytical products to ensure their accuracy and to search for and correct bias.

· Add border patrol agents, install cameras in baggage-handling areas of airports, increase cargo inspections, and take other measures designed to secure borders, transportation, and critical infrastructure.

· Promote outreach to the Muslim world in order to improve the image of the United States abroad and slow terrorist recruiting.

   The act does not directly address a recommendation of the 9/11 Commission that there be a single congressional committee with responsibility for overseeing the work of the IC. Currently, more than 80 House and Senate committees and subcommittees deal with intelligence, a situation the 9/11 Commission called dysfunctional. The Senate has appointed a task force to examine ways to implement the commission’s recommendations on this issue. (DKR)

OPERATIVE ACCUSES CIA OF RETALIATION - A senior CIA operative asserts that his superiors told him to falsify a report on Iraqi WMD and retaliated when he refused to do so, the Washington Post reported on 9 December.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A49647-2004Dec8.html)

   The operative remains under cover but is described as a 23-year CIA veteran of Middle Eastern descent who has spent much of his career on covert operations to gather intelligence on WMD. In a lawsuit he has brought before the U.S. District Court of Washington, he alleges that in 2002, when he attempted to report routine intelligence from a human asset, his superiors thwarted him. He was then approached by a senior desk officer who insisted that the plaintiff falsify his reporting. When he refused, the management of the CIA Counterproliferation Division ordered that he remove himself from any further handling of the unnamed asset.

   In September 2003, the plaintiff was placed on administrative leave without explanation, the lawsuit says. Eight months later, the IG’s office told him he was under investigation for diverting to his own use monies provided him for payment to human assets. The agency also began a counterintelligence investigation of allegations that he had sex with a woman asset.  The same managers who had asked him to falsify reports made the allegations, the lawsuit claims.

   Five days after learning of the investigations, the lawsuit says, he was told that a promotion was being canceled because of pressure from DDO James Pavitt. Pavitt has declined to comment, the Post said. In August 2004, the operative was terminated for unspecified reasons.

   Anya Guilsher, a CIA spokeswoman, said the agency could not comment on the lawsuit but added, "The notion that CIA managers order officers to falsify reports is flat wrong. Our mission is to call it like we see it and report the facts."  (DKR)

DIA OFFICERS SAY SPECIAL FORCES ABUSED IRAQI PRISONERS - A memorandum sent last June by the DIA chief VADM Lowell Jacoby, USN, to DoD Under-Secretary for Intelligence Stephen Cambone, charged that DIA officers had witnessed the abuse of prisoners in Iraq by a Special Forces unit, the Daily Telegraph (London) reported on 12 December.    (http://www.opinion.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2004/12/09/wabus09.xml&sSheet=/news/2004/12/09/ixworld.html)

   The memo was based on reports by two DIA interrogators assigned to a holding camp in Baghdad over the summer. They protested after seeing Iraqi prisoners with burns on their backs, bruising, and complaining of kidney pain. One of the DIA officers reported witnessing a Special Forces unit punch a prisoner who as a result required medical attention.

   When the DIA pair complained, SF officers threatened them, according to the memo, and instructed them not to leave the compound without permission, informed them that their e-mails were being screened and ordered them not to talk to anyone in the United States.

   The memo became public last week after civil rights groups sued for its release under the Freedom of Information Act. (DKR)

NSA, CIA SAY NOTHING ABOUT TAP ON U.N. ATOM CHIEF'S PHONE - The NSA said it had no information to provide about intercepts of phone calls made by Mohamed ElBaradei, DG of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Washington Post reported on 12 December. The CIA refused to comment on the reported tapping.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A57928-2004Dec11.html)

   The Post gave three otherwise unidentified U.S. officials as the source of its report. The officials, who had seen transcripts, said the Bush administration was scrutinizing dozens of intercepts in a search for ammunition to oust ElBaradei from his post as head of the U.N. agency.

   At IAEA headquarters in Vienna, officials said they were not surprised about the eavesdropping. "We've always assumed that this kind of thing goes on," spokesman Mark Gwozdecky said. "We wish it were otherwise, but we know the reality."

   ElBaradei is accused by some U.S. officials of purposely concealing details of Iran's nuclear program from the IAEA board. Another official said there is disagreement within the administration between Undersecretary of State for Arms Control John R. Bolton, said to be eager to see ElBaradei ousted, and departing Secretary Powell, over whether it would be better to spend diplomatic capital trying to persuade the board to be tougher on Iran than get rid of ElBaradei. (DKR)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

SECTION II -- CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

BAGHDAD STATION HEAD WARNS OF DETERIORATING SITUATION - A classified cable sent late in November by the departing head of station in Baghdad warned that despite important progress, the situation in Iraq was deteriorating and may not rebound any time soon, the New York Times reported government officials as saying.

   (http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/07/international/middleeast/07intell.html?oref=login&th)

   The cable was sent at the end of the CIA officer's tour of duty. Officials said senior agency officials who recently visited Iraq had echoed the basic conclusions in his assessment.

   Progress in the political process had been made and the Iraqis were resilient, the officials said, but according to the head's cable, the security situation was likely to get worse unless there was considerable improvement by the Iraqi government in its ability to assert authority and to build the economy.

   An official who read the cable praised it for being unusually candid. (DKR)

FEAR HAMSTRINGS INTEL COLLECTION IN IRAQ - Threats of bomb attacks and reprisals keep soldiers behind armor and citizens silent in Iraq, hamstringing efforts to gather intelligence, the Washington Post reported on 11 December.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A56158-2004Dec10.html)

   The search for information about Iraq's insurgency has become the most crucial task facing battlefield commanders as they struggle to subdue insurgency in Sunni Arab areas. But intelligence gathering is difficult in a region increasingly gripped by fear.

   Casual contact with Iraqis, essential in cultivating intelligence sources, is nearly impossible. MI people often travel in the eight-wheeled Stryker, a menacing sight, encased in grilling against rocket-propelled grenades and with  .50-caliber machine gun mounted. There is also a shortage of interpreters.

   U.S. forces, stretched thin, are increasingly isolated from Iraqis cowed by insurgent reprisals against anyone who cooperates with the Americans.

   For information, U.S. forces rely on mass arrests that frequently antagonize the population, hit-and-miss traffic stops and the few frightened Iraqis who help U.S. forces, often to avenge the murder of a family member by the insurgents.

   MI have concluded that the insurgency is being directed to a greater degree than previously recognized from Syria, where former Saddam Hussein loyalists have found sanctuary and are channeling money, including funds from sources in Saudi Arabia and Europe, together with other support to the insurgents, the Washington Post reported on 8 December.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A45326-2004Dec7.html) (DKR)

CONTROVERSY OVER NEW STEALTH SATELLITE - The NRO is building a new generation of spy satellite designed to orbit undetected, in a highly classified program that has provoked opposition in closed congressional sessions where lawmakers have questioned its necessity and rapidly escalating price, the Washington Post reported on 11 December, citing U.S. officials.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A56171-2004Dec10.html)

   The system could take photographs only in daylight hours and in clear weather, current and former government officials say, according to the New York Times.

   (http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/12/politics/12spy.html?oref=login&th)

   Previously undisclosed, the project has risen in cost from an estimated $5 billion to nearly $9.5 billion. The NRO has already spent hundreds of millions of dollars on the program, officials said.

   The new stealth satellite is to be launched in the next five years and is intended to replace an existing stealth satellite. Non-stealth satellites can be tracked and their orbits predicted, thus enabling governments to attempt to hide weapons or troop movements.

   Opponents of the new satellite program argue it is not a good match against today's adversaries, such as North Korea and Iran, which have placed their nuclear weapons programs underground and inside buildings to avoid detection from the air.

   The satellite in question would be the third and final version in a series developed in a classified program formerly known as Misty, officials said.

   The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence has twice tried to kill the project, according to knowledgeable officials, while strong support for it has come from the Senate and House appropriations committees, the House intelligence committee and the CIA. (DKR)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

SECTION III -- CYBER INTELLIGENCE

IT GROUPS PRAISE PARTS OF INTEL REFORM ACT - IT trade groups praised a provision in the National Intelligence Reform Act adopted last week that could speed up security clearance for vendors and contractors, Computer World reported on 9 December. http://computerworld.com/governmenttopics/government/legislation/story/0,10801,98154,00.html

   But the Information Technology Association of America said it was dismayed that Congress stripped the act of language that would have elevated the lead cybersecurity position at DHS from director level to assistant secretary. ITAA and other organizations believe that the director level is too low to successfully push cybersecurity goals in the public and private sectors. ITAA called on Congress to elevate the position as soon as possible next year. (DKR)

TSA TESTING BIOMETRIC ID CARD - The TSA will oversee spending $25 million this fiscal year to road test a universal secure identity card loaded with biometric and personal data and tied to government watch lists, MSNBCV reported on 10 December.

   (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6680324)

   The Transportation Worker Identity Credential will allow workers at railroads, ports, mass transit agencies and airports to carry a single card to access secure areas. At present, many workers have to carry several ID cards.

   The credit-card sized device will contain fingerprints, an iris scan, palm geometry and a digital photo. It will have microchip and magnetic strip technology, along with holographic images and ultraviolet printing for added security. Biometric and personal data will be tied to various government watch lists of names and data of known or suspected terrorists.

   Although the card being tested is intended for use by transportation workers only, privacy groups fear it may turn into a forerunner for a national ID card. (DKR)

"PLAYGIRL" VIRUS ATTACKS CHECHEN WEBSITES - An email virus that poses as pictures of a nude glamour model is being used to attack separatist Chechen Web sites, the London-based Register reported on 9 December.

   (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2004/12/09/maslan)

   An infected attachment, labeled Playgirls2.exe, contains a malicious code designed to launch denial-of-service attacks and spreads across network shares. Running the attachment further spreads the e-mail worm as well as turning infected PCs into participants in distributed denial-of-service attacks.

   "These websites play a key role in the propaganda war between the Chechen rebels and the Kremlin," according to a senior technology consultant. "Clearly whoever has written this virus wants to make it harder for the Chechen separatists to publish information about their cause on the Internet. Whether you agree with the intention or not - spreading a virus to do this is clearly criminal behavior." (DKR)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

SECTION IV -- BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES

Books

   BACKGROUNDER ON SPECIAL FORCES - Linda Robinson, Masters of Chaos: The Secret History of the Special Forces (Public Affairs, 288pp, $26)

   Robinson, a journalist specializing in national security affairs, chronicles the role of the U.S. Army’s Special Forces over the past 15 years and its operations in Somalia, the first Gulf War, the Balkans, Afghanistan and the Gulf again.

   Drawing on interviews with some 30 operators, the book offers a collective portrait of these dedicated specialists in unconventional warfare.

   She describes how they organize and train friendly local people as they did Iraqi Shii and Kurdish militias. Then there is their role in calling in aerial fire in support of U.S. or allied forces in far away lands.

   Robinson provides a good backgrounder on a type of military operators that are likely to have increasing importance in America’s 21st century conflicts. (DKR)

   AL-QA’IDA IN EUROPE - Evan F. Kohlmann, Al-Qaida’s Jihad in Europe: The Afghan-Bosnian Network (Berg Publishers, paperback, 288pp, $19.95)

   Kohlmann deals with a theater of radical Islamist activity that most Americans are only peripherally aware of: al-Qa’ida’s penetration of Europe, beginning with jihadis who joined their co-religionists, the Bosniaks, in the war with the Serbs.

   Many of the Saudis, Egyptians, Algerians and Yemenis who fought in Afghanistan found themselves at a loose end with the end of the war there in 1992. Unable to return home, where they risked incarceration or worse, Bosnia provided an attractive destination where they set up training camps and, by September 1992, began to launch attacks on Serb forces.

   When the fighting in Bosnia was over, terrorist sleeper cells appeared in the streets of cities elsewhere in Europe, including the 9/11 hijackers in Hamburg, the bombers of Paris Metro stations and those who carried out the devastating attacks on Madrid’s railroad stations.

   Kohlmann has produced a valuable study of the threat of Islamist violence in the West. (DKR)

   UNDERMINING SOCIETIES’ ECOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS - Jared Diamond, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (Viking Books, 592pp, $29.95)

   Diamond wrote the Pulitzer winning Guns, Germs, and Steel in which he located the roots of human civilizations in flora, fauna, climate and geology. Now he compares civilizations that have undermined their ecological foundations, sometimes with fatal results.

   He describes the economic and social collapse of the Easter Island people, the Mayans and the Greenland Norse, explores the effects of population growth, over-farming, over-grazing and over-hunting. Looking at contemporary Montana, China and Australia, he warns that technologically advanced civilization are very far from solving the problems that plagued past primitive communities.

   Diamond assessment of growing environmental havoc around the planet Earth sometimes approaches despair. But he also sees cause for hope in such examples of sustainability as New Guinea's efficient agriculture, Japan's protection of forests and green consumerism initiatives.

   Whether or not one accepts Diamond’s arguments, they are brilliantly set out, drawing on a variety of scientific knowledge. (DKR)

Issues

   THE BEST SPIES DIDN’T WEAR SUITS - This was the title of an opinion piece by Charles T. Pinck, President of the O.S.S. Society, and Dan Pinck, an O.S.S. veteran and author of "Journey to Peking: A Secret Agent in Wartime China." Their views were published in the New York Times on 10 December.

   (http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/10/opinion/10pinck.html?th)

   Prior to World War II, there were a number of intel services in various governmental bodies, but a central oversight body only came into being when President Franklin Roosevelt set up a civilian agency in the White House in July 1941. He did so at the urging of Wild Bill Donavan, a Wall Street Lawyer, Republican, and Medal of Honor winner in World War I. Donovan was named Coordinator of Information.

   Then, six months after Pearl Harbor, Roosevelt set up the Office of Strategic Services with Donavan at its head. He did so despite determined opposition from FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover. The Pincks quote Donavan as saying that his greatest enemies were in Washington, not in Europe.

   The Pincks consider that perhaps Donovan's greatest skill was his ability to recruit talented men and women from varied backgrounds, whether Ivy Leaguers, Wall Street types or even forgers taken out of prison. Donavan accepted the risks that go with intelligence work and would tell O.S.S. personnel that "you can't succeed without taking chances." He was also willing to take responsibility for failures as well as for successes.

   Donovan's O.S.S. was a freewheeling organization, not an insipid bureaucracy of career-minded professionals. Rather than favoring formal decision-making and committees, he operated on good sense, instincts and experience, giving his staff latitude to accomplish their missions as they saw fit.

   The O.S.S. took in nearly all the interests of the CIA and other parts of today's IC. Its special operations branch later became the model for the military's Special Forces. Donovan understood the importance of covert action and the need for actionable intelligence long before many others.

   Two years after disbanding the O.S.S. at the end of the war, President Harry Truman realized his mistake and created the CIA. From the start, however, the CIA differed from the OSS by being a permanent governmental institution and its early leaders were distinguished for their abilities in political infighting.

   The Pincks find that the agency, as a peacetime organization, often pursued efficiency rather than effectiveness and tended to play it safe when picking employees and projects. During the Cold War, when data collection was often more important than covert action, this was not a fatal flaw, but in the hot war against terrorism it would be crippling, say the Pincks.

   In the future, the IC should remember the somewhat haphazard way the O.S.S. chose people, as unconventional warfare requires unconventional people. A terrorism czar will be effective only if that person is, like Donovan, truly independent and above bureaucratic infighting. The new leader must also have great leadership ability, something Donovan was said to have in spades.

   All the bureaucratic and legislative changes in the world won't matter, the Pincks conclude, if we don't find the right person for the job. (DKR)

   SIGINT VS. HUMINT IN WAR ON TERROR - Under a headline reading "Electronic eavesdropping fails to hear whispered secrets," the Baltimore Sun reported on 9 December on weaknesses in NSA SIGINT in intel gathering on terrorists, something more effectively conducted by HUMINT.

   (http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/custom/attack/bal-te.hummint09dec09,0,425726.story?coll=bal-home-headlines)

   According to Michael Kenney, a Pennsylvania State University professor specializing in terrorist groups and drug cartels, terrorists and drug-traffickers know they that to avoid electronic surveillance they cannot use cell phones. Human intelligence is needed to stay on their trail, says Kenney. “The irony is that less-sophisticated forms of communications are a lot harder for us to intercept with all of our sophisticated equipment," he says. "And the terrorists know it, and they know to exploit it."

   Not that the NSA has failed to provide important intel on terrorist activities. For example, the 9/11 Commission found that the agency often generated conclusive elements in analysts' jigsaw puzzles and set off alarm bells elsewhere in the government. But, according to the Sun, recent events have revealed NSA shortcomings in surveillance related to the war on terror.

   Not surprisingly, NSA's chief, Lt. Gen. Michael V. Hayden, USAF, told the Baltimore/Washington Corridor Chamber of Commerce this year the agency is seeking to restructure its self and change so as to avoid  "elegantly graceful decline." (DKR)

   CIA HAS BASES IN PAKISTAN'S TRIBAL AREA - The CIA established a series of small, covert bases in the rugged mountain frontier of northwest Pakistan in late 2003 to hunt for Usama bin Ladin, the New York Times reported on 13 December.

   (http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/13/international/asia/13osama.html?th)

   The agency had concluded that local tribesmen and foreign militants were sheltering UBL there and that he controlled operatives dedicated to attacking the United States.

   However, Pakistani officials have strictly supervised CIA officers stationed there, escorting them everywhere they go and limiting their ability to operate. This has made it virtually impossible for the officers to gather intelligence effectively, according to officials familiar with the operation, speaking on condition of anonymity.

   Pakistani officials say Americans are instantly identifiable and are escorted to prevent them from being kidnapped, killed, or their presence exposed, which would be damaging to the Pakistani government.

   Pakistan has said that UBL is not in the country but many U.S. intel officials are confident he is and is as dangerous as ever.  On 13 December, Pakistani officials denied that the CIA had set up bases near the Afghan border, AP reported.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A60598-2004Dec13.html?nav=headlines)

   "There are no CIA cells in Pakistan ... in our tribal areas, and there is absolutely no truth in this New York Times report," said army spokesman Maj. Gen. Shaukat Sultan. (DKR)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

SECTION V -- CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES, CORRECTIONS, COMING EVENTS

Careers

    JUST IN. Start 2005 with a smart career move to DHS. 17 vacancy announcements for positions at the Department of Homeland Security-headquarters. These positions are also posted on www.usajobs.opm.gov. DHS looks forward to receiving resumes from qualified AFIO candidates. For vacancies with DHS components including FEMA, Coast Guard, etc., please check their postings on www.usajobs.opm.gov.


Attorney-Advisor (Immigration),GS-0905-12/15
PROGRAM AND MANAGEMENT ANALYST,GS-0343-13
Assistant Director, Training and Education,GS-0340-15
General Engineer/General Physical Scientist,GS-0801-15
Management and Program Analyst,GS-0343-13/14
Information Technology Specialist (OS),GS-2210-14
Management & Program Analyst,GS-0343-12/13
Policy Analyst,GS-0301-14
Supervisory Accountant,GS-0510-14/15
INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH SPECIALIST,GS-0132-13/14
INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH SPECIALIST,GS-0132-12
Human Resources Specialist (Employee/Labor Relations),GS-0201-14/15
Procurement Analyst,GS-1102-15
ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICER,GS-0341-09/11
PROGRAM ANALYST,GS-0343-13/14
Program Analyst,GS-0343-12
Program Specialist,GS-0301-14/15

Notes

   NOCS to Keep Money From Cover Jobs - Congress has approved allowing CIA officers working overseas under nonofficial cover to keep salaries from their civilian jobs even when they exceed what they would have been paid by the federal government, the Washington Post reported on 9 December.

   (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A53518-2004Dec9.html)

   Until now operatives who earned more than their government pay while working as NOCs were required to hand over all of the excess to the government, former senior intelligence officials said.

   The changes are contained in the FY 2005 intelligence authorization bill approved by Congress on 7 December. "We lost very good officers when they decided, why should I generate this kind of income and give it back?" a former official told the Post. "They decided to do [the cover job] for real and quit the discomfort that came with being with the CIA."

   The legal changes are part of a major effort to get more and better HUMINT on terrorist groups by encouraging CIA officers to take NOC positions. But a former senior agency official said, "If they think this NOC business is a magic bullet, they are out of their minds."

   "Tell me what the cover job is going to be in Syria -- selling insurance? Selling popcorn?" he asked. "Do we expect to fool anyone by sending an officer to Iraq as a security guard by day and having him recruiting Iraqis as agents by night?" (DKR)

   Tenet To Publish Memoirs - Former DCI George Tenet has signed up with the Crown Publishing Group to write his memoirs, ending an extensive bidding war that involved more than a dozen publishers, AP reported on 7 December. Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but were widely believed to be worth at least seven figures.

   Tenet will candidly discuss what it was like working for two administrations, two political parties, and two very different national security teams, according to a statement by Crown, a division of Random House, Inc.

   Tenet's former spokesman, Bill Harlow, said he was "confident that the director will be able to be candid, without running into any difficulties with the clearance process." (DKR)

Queries

   Sailor Seeks Old Friend - Bob Heim writes: “I was in the U. S. Navy stationed with Rod Briece in San Diego in 1969-1970. I know he used to instruct at Mt Hood Community College and was a member of AFIO. I've lost track of him and wondered if you might know how I could contact him?” If you have any information, please write b_0_b_46@talkamerica.net

Coming Events

    10 January 05 - Washington, DC - Spies on Screen: Behind the Scenes of BBC Video’s MI-5 - International Spy Museum - From suicide bombers to treason, much of the BBC’s hit series MI-5 – seen in the U.S. on A&E – seems dangerously close to the truth about the UK’s security intelligence agency. Discover the difference between fact and act at this thought-provoking, fun, and revealing evening hosted by MI-5 espionage consultant, Mike Baker, former CIA covert field operations officer and current CEO of Diligence LLC. You’ll watch action-packed clips, discuss their inspiration and authenticity, and take home your very own screener of an episode from the series’ second season plus a special bonus feature. Advance copies of the MI-5 Volume 2 DVD will also be on sale at the session, prior to their public release.

   Tickets: $15. Members of The Spy Ring: $12. Space is limited – advance registration required! To register, please email: membership@spymuseum.org or call (202) 654-0942

   FRIDAY, 14 January 2005 - Tyson's Corner, VA - A F I O   W I N T E R   L U N C H E O N - The Hidden Worldwide Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies -- Islamic Terrorist Extremism - Abroad and Within - Europe's Late Awakening by Dr. George Friedman, Founder/Chairman, Stratfor, Strategic Forecasting, Inc., Author of the recently released and very riveting "America's Secret War" - morning speaker - AND The Political Tug-of-War over Money and Power -The Intelligence Community Restructure Battle by Philip D. Zelikow, Executive Director, 9/11 Commission, National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, - afternoon speaker -, Problems the Commission faces with adoption of its findings and what he foresees in a restructuring of the intelligence community.

   Time:  10:30 a.m. for badge pick-up. Friedman speaks at 11 am; lunch at noon; Zelikow at 12:45; close at 2 pm. $35/person - current AFIO members and their guests, only.

   1 February & 8 February 05  - Washington, DC - Inside Stories: America Held Hostage - 444 Days to Freedom (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum - When Iranian students took Americans hostage 25 years ago, the U.S. worked feverishly to resolve the crisis – from the failed “Operation Eagle Claw” – to the ultimately successful “Canadian Caper” rescue. Now hear the details – many never-before revealed – from crucial players, including former CIA Director Admiral Stansfield Turner; former CIA officer Tony Mendez; members of the elite Delta Team; former hostage and author of In the Shadow of the Ayatollah: A CIA Hostage in Iran William J. Daugherty; and former U.S. Department of Agriculture Attaché in the U.S. Embassy in Tehran and the “sixth man” of the “Canadian Caper” Lee Shatz. With Mendez moderating their stories about the covert operations, secret negotiations, and rescue missions you’ll find out how it felt to be in their shoes with danger around the corner and the clock ticking. The speakers will also share their thoughts on the Iranian situation today.

   Tickets: $40. Members of The Spy Ring: $35. Space is limited – advance registration required! To register, please email: membership@spymuseum.org or call (202) 654-0942

   8 - 10 February 05 - Arlington, VA - National Intelligence Conference and Exposition (INTELCON) debuts at the Hyatt Regency Crystal City. INTELCON'S goal to bring together intel professionals and members of Congress in an informal setting on neutral ground to provide educational enhancement and discuss common issues. Veteran intelligence specialist John Loftus is directing the INTELCON Program. Based upon the theme of “Widening the Intelligence Community,” the Conference offers five two-day Program Tracks – Federal Civilian, DOD/Military, State and Local Law Enforcement, Business, and Private Sector. There will be eight, full-day Professional Enhancement Seminars, Luncheon and keynote addresses. There will also be a vendor exposition with companies and products relevant to intelligence interests. Its organizer is Federal Business Council of Annapolis Junction, Maryland.

   For more information, please visit: http://www.intelcon.us, or contact: David Powell, Federal Business Council, 10810 Guilford Road, P.O. Box 685, Annapolis Junction, Maryland 20710 Tel. (301) 206-2940, Fax: (301) 206-2950, david@fbcdb.com

   24 February 05 - Washington, DC - Spies of the Kaiser - Lunchtime Author Debriefing and Book Signing - International Spy Museum - In the early twentieth century, the British were obsessed with the possibility of German spies operating in their midst – so much so that all Germans in the United Kingdom were catalogued and eventually interned. Was the German spy threat real? What was German intelligence really up to? Armed with information from untapped German sources and recently declassified British documents, International Spy Museum historian and AFIO member Thomas Boghardt will reveal the true scope of German covert operations, their objectives, and the dramatic British response. Join this author for an informal chat and book signing from 12PM to 1PM. No registration required!

   1 March & 15 March 05 - Washington, DC - Sisterhood of Spies: Shady Ladies in Espionage (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum - Spies come in all shapes and sizes… sometimes the shapelier the better. Using their often under-estimated intellect and feminine wiles, women have influenced events and gathered critical intelligence throughout history. Who better to blow the cover of the sisterhood of spies than two charter members? Retired Senior U.S. Army Counterintelligence Special Agent Connie Allen and former CIA Chief of Disguise Jonna Mendez will brief you on these shady ladies, exploring the roles held and progress made by women in the world of espionage. Whether you’re interested in Mata Hari’s tactics of seduction, wives with secret lives, Cold War-era operations in Moscow, or the recent “outing” of Valerie Plame, this session is sure to redefine your interpretation of feminine persuasion.

   Tickets: $40. Members of The Spy Ring: $35. Space is limited – advance registration required! To register, please email: membership@spymuseum.org or call (202) 654-0942

   10 March 05 - Washington, DC - Spy Book: The Encyclopedia of Espionage - International Spy Museum - From “Angels” to “Z priorities,” the second edition of the definitive reference to the world of espionage features over 2,500 entries. Spies, agencies, organizations, and operations, are carefully uncovered and detailed in this accurate and accessible resource for aficionado and layman alike. Join authors Norman Polmar and Thomas B. Allen as they discuss intelligence successes and failures throughout history. Join this author for an informal chat and book signing from 12PM to 1PM. No registration required!

   21 - 22 March 05 - Washington, DC - EMININT 2005 - The National Security and Law Society of the American University Washington College of Law is hosting a two-day professional symposium on Emerging Issues in National and International Security. The meeting will address the pressing issues of the day in the fields of national and international security. The symposium will consist of expert panels equally distributed between the fields of foreign policy, intelligence, and law, discussing such topics as: The Risks of Cross-Cultural Profiling; The Emergence of a New Intelligence Mindset; Climate Change, Infectious Disease, and Resource Shortages as Threats to International Security; The Fourth Estate and National Security Policy: Reporters or Watchdogs?; Comparative Counter-Terrorism Policies; Personal Information Privacy in the Post-9/11 World; Homeland Security Law and Private Industry; Whistle-blowing and the Intelligence Community; Torture, Interrogation, and Human Rights in the Global War on Terror; and Reconciling an Active Role for First Responders in Homeland Security with Budgetary Appropriations. The speakers represent the pinnacles of their respective fields, coming from five countries and across the United States. They represent academic experts, senior U.S. government policymakers, and corporate leaders.  They have written books, made laws, established companies, and otherwise shaped the field of National Security.  There is something for everyone in this symposium, and few attendees will fail to take something away from it. Note: This event requires paid registration for non-students.

   For registration or further information, visit http://wcl.american.edu/org/nsls or email nsls@wcl.american.edu. CLE credit is available.

   23 - 24 March 05 - Fairfax, VA - NMIA National Intelligence Symposium - NMIA will hold its annual symposium on 23 Wed - 24 Thurs 2005 at Northrop Grumman Corporation, 12900 Federal Systems Park Drive, Fairfax, VA 22033. For more information, please visit http://www.nmia.org

   6 - 9 April 05 - Chicago, IL - SCIP Annual Conference - At the Hyatt Regency Chicago, an event not to miss. A great organization under new leadership.  Info at: http://www.scip.org/chicago. SCIP is at 1700 Diagonal Rd Ste 600, Alexandria, VA 22314; (703) 739-0696.

   15 - 16 April 05 - Saratoga Springs, NY - Cryptologic Veterans Reunion - The reunion is being organized by the New England Chapter, Naval Cryptologic Veterans Association. Contact Bob Marois, Tel:  (518) 237-0015; E-mail: marois@acp.edu; Website: http://www.ncva-ne.org

   18 - 21 April 05 - SFSAFBI Western Regional Conference - For more information, please visit http://www.socxfbi.org/Conference/Conferences.htm

   20 - 21 April 05 - Langley, VA - AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium - For more information, please visit http://www.afcea.org/calendar/eventdetails.asp?offset=10&EventID=227

   21 April - Washington, DC - 2005 MOAA Career Fair - DC Convention Center – The Military Officers Association of America is holding their annual Career Fair, to be held at the Washington, DC Convention Center on Thursday April 21, 2005. Join local, national, and international employers -- including Lockheed Martin, AT&T Government Services, Anheuser Busch Companies, Inc., Raytheon, the State Department, and the FBI -- who are there to meet and recruit qualified and proven leaders, and their spouses, to fill a wide variety of key positions. Others seeking to recruit at this event are asked to register before January 14, 2005 for lower fees. The rate of $1,500.00 includes a carpeted 10' x 10' pipe-and-drape booth, company sign, skirted table, two chairs, employer lounge, two lunches, and all-day beverage service. In addition, they receive a link from their website  and 60 days of electronic resume access. Booths will be assigned on a first-come, first-served basis. At last year's event, the MOAA reports that over 2,100 candidates (most with security clearances) with leadership, management, and operational experience attended.

   Click on the following link for the 2005 MOAA Career Fair Registration Form: https://www.moaa.org/TOPS/CareerFair2005/registration If you have any questions, contact their Career Fair Manager - toll free 877-553-8677 or by email at: moaacareerfair@aol.com 

 22 - 24 April 05 - Grapevine, TX - SFSAFBI South Central Regional Meeting- For more information, please visit http://www.socxfbi.org/Conference/Conferences.htm

   25 - 28 April 05 - Philadelphia, PA - 2005 DoDIIS Worldwide Conference, For further details visit http://www.federalevents.com or contact: Howard Blumberg, Government Relations Manager, National Conference Services, Inc. (NCSI), 6440 Dobbin Road Suite C, Columbia, MD. 21045; 888-603-8899, ext. 224 (toll-free) blumberg@ncsi.com, http://www.ncsi.com

   **** 27 - 30 October 2005 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA and at other secured venues. PUT THIS DATE ON YOUR CALENDARS. ****

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS:  We do not wish to add clutter to your inbox. IF YOU ARE AN AFIO MEMBER WHO RECEIVE THIS DIRECTLY FROM afio@afio.com, then TO DISCONTINUE RECEIVING WINs/EBBNs -- click on the following link: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name in body of message, click SEND, we will remove you from WINs. If someone else forwarded this to you [contrary to our policies] and you do not want them, forward to us the full WIN you received and we will be able to identify who sent it to you and remove that person from our membership and distribution lists. Your problem will be solved and you will be doing both of us a favor. Otherwise, we will be unable to remove you from our list. If this link doesn't open an email on your system, just send a message to afio@afio.com letting us know you wish to be removed from WINs/EBBNs mailings. Provide your name and email address where you are receiving them.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor(s) or author(s) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at https://www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more! (c) 2004, AFIO, 6723 Whittier Ave, Suite 303A, McLean, VA 22101. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 790-0264; Email: afio@afio.com