Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by AFIO for non-profit educational uses by AFIO members and WIN subscribers. IF YOU DO NOT WISH TO RECEIVE THESE NOTICES....SEE REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS AT BOTTOM
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SECTION I -- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
NIC SEES IRAQ AS NEW TERRORIST TRAINING GROUND
WHITE HOUSE GETS SENATE TO SCRAP INTERROGATION LIMITS
GRANER SENT TO STOCKADE FOR 10 YEARS
SECTION II -- CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
UKRAINIAN INTEL AIDED PRO-WESTERN OPPOSITION LEADER
GRU ASSASSINS, FETED BACK IN RUSSIA, LIKELY TO GO FREE SOON
SECTION III -- CYBER INTELLIGENCE
FBI ON VERGE OF SCRAPPING COMPUTER SYSTEM OVERHAUL
SECTION IV -- BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES
"NIC 2020" MAPPING THE GLOBAL FUTURE - Just Released Online
CORDESMAN ON SAUDI ARABIA
CONFESSIONS OF A ‘MODERATE’ ISLAMIST
DOJ IG SUPPORTS FBI WHISTLEBLOWER
SECTION V -- CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
EXPANDING FBI CI TRAINING PROGRAM
DHS HAS JOB OPENINGS
CHANGES IN SECURITY CLEARANCE PROCESS - STREAMLINING
HUNT OVER FOR IRAQI WMD
MI6 HIRES QUALITY CONTROL MANAGER
Queries and Authors Seeking Assistance
GERMAN RESEARCHER SEEKING U.S. INTEL OFFICERS
Cherkashin Book Review
Renditions and Latin Interrogative Pronouns
19 January 05 - San Francisco, CA - "Reforming Intelligence - The Challenge of Control and Oversight in New Democracies" - AFIO SF Bay Event
25 January 05 - Tysons Corner, VA - Potomac Chapter, NMIA hosts Peter Teets, Director NRO at Luncheon
1 February & 8 February 05 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories: America Held Hostage - 444 Days to Freedom (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum
1 - 3 February 05 - Dulles, VA - The MASINT Association is cooperating with Association of Old Crows, the DIA, NRO, NMA and the MASINT Committee to present the Third Annual MASINT Conference
8 - 10 February - Crystal City, VA - New Intel Conference Debuts
24 February 05 - Washington, DC - Spies of the Kaiser - Lunchtime Author Debriefing and Book Signing - International Spy Museum
1 March & 15 March 05 - Washington, DC - Sisterhood of Spies: Shady Ladies in Espionage (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum
10 March 05 - Washington, DC - Spy Book: The Encyclopedia of Espionage - International Spy Museum
21 - 22 March 05 - Washington, D.C. - EMININT 2005
23 - 24 March 05 - Fairfax, VA - NMIA National Intelligence Symposium
6 - 9 April 05 - Chicago, IL - SCIP Annual Conference
15 - 16 April 05 - Saratoga Springs, NY - Cryptologic Veterans Reunion
18 - 21 April 05 - SFSAFBI Western Regional Conference
20 - 21 April 05 - Langley, VA - AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium
21 April 05 - Washington, DC - 2005 MOAA Career Fair - DC Convention Center
22 - 24 April 05 - Grapevine, TX - SFSAFBI South Central Regional Meeting
25 - 28 April 05 - Philadelphia, PA - 2005 DoDIIS Worldwide Conference
27 - 30 October 2005 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA
SECTION I -- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
NIC SEES IRAQ AS NEW TERRORIST TRAINING GROUND - Iraq has replaced Afghanistan as the training ground for the next generation of professionalized terrorists, according to a National Intelligence Council report, Mapping the Global Future, released on 13 January, AP reported. www.registerguard.com/news/2005/01/14/a3.nat.post.0114.html
The NIC, which functions as a think tank for the DCI, said Iraq provides terrorists with a training ground, a recruitment ground, and the opportunity for enhancing technical skills. David Low, national intelligence officer for transnational threats, said in a briefing on the report, that there is the likelihood that some of the jihadists not killed in Iraq will disperse to various other countries. "At the moment,'' NIC Chairman Robert Hutchings said, Iraq “is a magnet for international terrorist activity.”
Looking elsewhere, the NIC foresaw Pakistan, a key U.S. ally in the war against Islamist extremism, as continuing to be buffeted by political turmoil, sporadic violence, with its military continuing to be involved in politics as an Islamist following grows in its ranks. www.dawn.com/2005/01/16/top10.htm
By 2020, some terrorist group is likely to conduct an attack using biological weapons, the report foresees. Over the next 15 years, successes in the war on terrorism and IT advances are likely to result in an increasingly decentralized terrorist threat. The future is likely to hold an eclectic array of groups, cells and individuals. Such smaller groups are expected to overshadow al-Qa'ida by 2020.
Acts of bioterrorism would be particularly suited to these smaller and better-informed terrorist groups, the report says. While it is less likely terrorists would obtain a nuclear weapon, they are expected to continue to attempt to do so, through theft or purchase, particularly in Russia or Pakistan. The likelihood that a terrorist attack involving a nuclear weapon occurs before 2020 cannot be ruled out, it adds.
Terrorist attacks in the future are expected to involve conventional weapons with new twists to keep counterterrorist planners off balance. Among possible new strategies are the use of simultaneous attacks in widely separated areas, use of advanced explosives and UAVs and possible cyber attacks.
While the United States and its interests will continue to be prime targets, attacks may be increasingly directed at Western Europe and Middle East countries.
The report is the third released by the NIC, following previous ones that covered periods through 2010 and 2015.The report is based on discussions held with more than 1,000 independent experts over the past year.
States armed with nuclear weapons are expected over the next 15 years to improve the survivability of their forces and delivery systems and to develop the capability to penetrate missile defense systems, the report says.
The forecast sees China and India spearheading an expansion of Asian political and economic influence throughout the world. It also sees many Arab countries at a crossroads as globalization spreads. While the United States remains the dominant power, it will face increased competition from growing economic powers in Asia and challenges from political Islam. (DKR)
WHITE HOUSE GETS SENATE TO SCRAP INTERROGATION LIMITS - At the urging of the White House, Congressional leaders scrapped a legislative measure last month that would have imposed new restrictions on the use of extreme interrogation measures by U.S. intel officers, the New York Times reported on 13 January. www.nytimes.com/2005/01/13/politics/13intel.html?oref=login
Defeat of the proposal affects the CIA's secret detention and interrogation of top terror leaders like Khalid Shaykh Mohammed, the mastermind of the 9/ 11 attacks, and about three dozen other senior members of al-Qa’ida and its offshoots.
Legislation adopted by 96 to two Senate votes would have explicitly extended to intelligence officers a prohibition against torture or inhumane treatment, and would have required the CIA as well as the Pentagon to report to Congress about the methods they were using. But in closed-door negotiations, Congressional officials said, four senior members from the House and Senate deleted the restrictions from the final bill, following opposition from the White House.
In a letter to members of Congress, sent in October, national security adviser Condoleezza Rice opposed the measures on the grounds that they provided legal protection to foreign prisoners to which they are not now entitled.
Democrat Congressional officials said they believed the Bush administration was trying to maintain legal latitude for the CIA to use practices more extreme than those permitted by the military. (DKR)
GRANER SENT TO STOCKADE FOR 10 YEARS - Spec. Charles A. Graner Jr., 36, was sentenced to 10 years in a military stockade on 15 January for his role in abusing Iraqi prisoners at Abu Ghraib, the Washington Post reported. www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A11973-2005Jan15.html
Graner, in an unsworn pre-sentencing statement, not subject to cross-examination, said that superior officers instructed him to take actions that he knew would violate the Geneva Conventions. "I know the Geneva Conventions, better than anyone else in my company," Graner said, "And we were called upon to violate the Geneva Conventions."
Graner named a series of Army officers who he said ordered mistreatment of prisoners, particularly of intelligence holds believed to have information about the Iraqi insurgency.
Those named included Col. Thomas M. Pappas, commander of the 205th Military Intelligence Brigade in charge of the prison and Lt. Col. Steven Jordan, an MI officer, as well as various MP officers.
Witnesses in Graner's court-martial said Jordan was a regular visitor to Graner's cellblock and was aware of all the abuse that led to the criminal charges. The Army says Jordan is under investigation.
According to Graner's lawyer, Guy Womack, speaking after the verdict was rendered, "The unanswered question is why won't the Army punish any of the officers who were responsible?"
Graner said guards were told to terrorize the inmates to make it easier for CIA agents and military intelligence officers to question them.
Graner worked as a Marine MP and as a guard at Pennsylvania's Greene State Correctional Institution before being sent to Iraq with the Army Reserve. He was sentenced the day after a 10-member military jury found him guilty on five charges of assault, maltreatment and conspiracy. His offenses included knocking a blindfolded prisoner unconscious, smashing an inmate's legs with a steel rod and forcing seven naked inmates to form a human pyramid.
In addition to imprisonment, Graner was demoted to private and given a dishonorable discharge, despite his pleading to be allowed to remain in the army. (DKR)
SECTION II -- CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
UKRAINIAN INTEL AIDED PRO-WESTERN OPPOSITION LEADER – Officers of the Ukrainian SBU (Security Service of Ukraine) and GUR (military intelligence) acted to prevent Interior Ministry forces from breaking up opposition rallies that were key to bringing to power pro-Western presidential candidate Viktor Yushchenko, according to the New York Times in a lengthy and detailed report on 17 January.
As more than 10,000 Interior Ministry troops armed with guns, clubs, helmets and shields prepared to move against demonstrators in Kiev's Independence Square on the night of 28 November, an undercover SBU colonel warned opposition leaders what was afoot while senior intelligence officials worked their secure telephones to persuade the Interior Ministry to turn back. At least one army general helped them.
The intel officials warned that using force against peaceful rallies was illegal and could lead to prosecution and that if ministry troops came to Kiev, the army and security services would defend civilians, according to an opposition leader who witnessed some of the exchanges and GUR head Oleksander Galaka who made some of the calls.
SBU chief Col. Gen. Ihor P. Smeshko coordinated several of the contacts, according to Maj. Gen. Vitaly Romanchenko, leader of the military counterintelligence department. On Smeshko's orders he warned Lt. Gen. Sergei Popkov, commander of the Interior Ministry forces to stop. The ministry called off its alarm.
Throughout the crisis over the election fraud, a struggle was waged by top intelligence officers who chose not to follow the plan by President Leonid Kuchma to pass power to Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich. Taking such a position is rare in former Soviet states, the Times noted, where the security agencies have often been the most ruthless instruments of state power.
Intel officers funneled information to Kuchma's rivals, provided security for opposition figures and demonstrations, sent public signals about their unwillingness to follow Kuchma’s line and engaged in a psychological battle with state officials to soften responses against the protests. Directly and indirectly, their work supported Yushchenko, now president-elect.
Other factors that sustained the revolution that formed around Yushchenko included Western support, the protesters' resolve, cash from wealthy Ukrainians, coaching by foreign activists who had helped topple presidents in Georgia and Serbia, an unexpected show of independence by the Supreme Court and support by a television station, Channel 5, which Kuchma never shut down. Long before the election, intel officials and the opposition opened quiet lines of communication.
The 38,000-member SBU is the Ukrainian offshoot of the Soviet KGB and has a reputation for blackmail, arms trading and links with Russian security services and organized crime. It remains highly factionalized and is infiltrated by Russia.
Its previous chairman, Leonid Derkach, was fired under international pressure, accused of organizing the sale of radar systems to Iraq. Kuchma then appointed Smeshko, a Western-oriented career MI officer as SBU chairman in 2003. The general had previously been posted to embassies in Washington and Zurich and his appointment was seen as an effort to smooth relations with the West.
Whether the collaboration was a convergence of political aims, or a pragmatic understanding that Yushchenko's prospects were rising, is subject to dispute. Yulia Tymoshenko, one of Yushchenko's closest allies, said many SBU officers, including Smeshko, merely hedged their bets. Other Yushchenko supporters say the officers risked their lives and careers. (DKR)
GRU ASSASSINS, FETED BACK IN RUSSIA, LIKELY TO GO FREE SOON - Two GRU operatives, convicted in Qatar last June of assassinating a former Chechen president but returned to Russia, received a hero's welcome on arriving back in Moscow, the Sunday Telegraph (London) reported on 16 January.
During the flight home on a Russian government aircraft, they were served celebratory drinks and later greeted by dignitaries and a red carpet at Vnukovo airport. Television journalists were asked to switch off their cameras as the operatives left the aircraft and were whisked away to an unknown location.
On 15 January, Dmitry Peskov, an aide to President Vladimir Putin, said: "In Russia's eyes they are innocent. There is no need for any further court procedure." It is believed they will be kept in a soft prison and released quietly after a short interval, the Telegraph reported from Moscow.
The men, referred to in court documents as Anatoly Belashkov and Vassily Bokchov, were given life sentences after being convicted by a Qatari court in June. They were handed over to the Russians in December. (See "Convicted GRU Assassins Returned to Russia From Qatar," WIN #48-04 dtd 27 December 2004)
Zelimkhan Yandarbiyev was Chechen president for two years from 1996. He was added to the U.S. and U.N blacklists of terror suspects in 2003. He had lived in Doha for three years. He was killed when his car exploded on 13 February last year, soon after he left a mosque where he had been praying. His 13-year-old son was injured. The Russians were arrested six days later at a diplomatic residence and charged with murder.
Putin sent Igor Ivanov, the former foreign minister, to negotiate their handover. The men complained of being unable to conduct Orthodox Christian rites in the prison, which the Telegraph suggested might have been a factor in their transfer. President Putin phoned the Qatari emir on the agents' release to thank him for the handover, according to the Kremlin. (DKR)
SECTION III -- CYBER INTELLIGENCE
FBI ON VERGE OF SCRAPPING COMPUTER SYSTEM OVERHAUL – The FBI is on the verge of scrapping a $170 million computer overhaul that was considered critical to the campaign against terrorism but has been riddled with technical and planning problems, bureau officials said on 13 January, the New York Times reported.
In an attempt to save the program, the bureau hired a research company for $2 million to evaluate the mounting problems in creating a paperless work system and to determine whether any parts of the project could be salvaged, officials said. One idea under strong consideration was for the bureau to use off-the-shelf software instead of the expensive customized features it has unsuccessfully sought to develop.
The FBI has struggled for a decade to escape a paper-driven culture and replace antiquated computer systems that have hindered counterterrorism and criminal investigations. Director Mueller together with members of the 9/11 Commission and other national security experts, have said the success of improving the bureau's cyber resources was critical to domestic security.
Officials blame technical and financial missteps, a rapid turnover in the bureau's IT personnel, difficulties in developing a system that is both secure and accessible to investigators, and, perhaps most critically, a resistance among some veteran agents who favor pens and pads over computers.
Members of Congress have joked that their grandchildren could send e-mail messages and search databases more easily than F.B.I. investigators could. (DKR)
SECTION IV -- BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES
Just Released. "NIC 2020" MAPPING THE GLOBAL FUTURE: REPORT OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL'S 2020 PROJECT - This third unclassified report by NIC takes a long-term view of the future, providing over-the-horizon analysis. The project's goal: to provide US policymakers with a view of how the world could evolve, identifying opportunities and potentially negative developments that might warrant action. This paper is useful for stimulating discussions at educational and policy institutions. The NIC consulted experts from around the world in a series of regional conferences to offer a global perspective. They organized conferences on five continents to solicit the views of foreign experts on the prospects for their regions over the next 15 years. Project employed information technology and analytic tools unavailable in earlier NIC efforts. They created an interactive website which contains several tools including a "hands-on" computer simulation that allows novice and expert alike to develop their own scenarios. This "International Futures" model is now available to the public to explore. For PDF copy of NIC2020 report: 2020.pdf [6.69 MB]
CORDESMAN ON SAUDI ARABIA - Anthony H. Cordesman, Saudi Arabia Enters the Twenty-First Century: The Political, Foreign Policy, Economic, and Energy Dimensions. (Praeger, 588 pp. $65)
Cordesman, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, is particularly known for his thorough military analyses, particularly of forces in the Middle East. In this work, his analysis covers the broader picture of Saudi society and the problems besetting it.
In doing so, Cordesman in effect exposes the hollowness of facile talk of democratizing the Arab world. About the kingdom, he writes,
“At present, Saudi society is too conservative, welfare-oriented, and lacking in political experience and modern economic institutions for ‘democratization' to push the Kingdom in the right direction or meet its social needs."
Cordesman warns that the kingdom is more threatened from within than without by reduced oil revenues, a swelling population of frustrated youth, limited economic diversification, and the poisonous influence of the retrograde and fanatic Wahhabi clerisy. Saudi action against Wahhabi terrorism, especially in tracking its funding by rich and well-connected Saudi families, will be crucial to overcoming tensions with Washington.
Cordesman's message is that there is still time for the Saudi family to initiate necessary reforms, but the window of opportunity is closing. (DKR)
CONFESSIONS OF A ‘MODERATE’ ISLAMIST - Montasser al-Zayyat, The Road to Al-Qaeda: The Story of Bin Laden's Right-Hand Man (London: Pluto Press, paperback, 137 pp. $19.95)
Zayyat, an Egyptian lawyer and Islamist, has written an account of Ayman al-Zawahiri, the Egyptian physician considered the brains behind jihadi poster boy Usama bin Ladin.
Much of the interest offered by this work lies in its recounting differences between members of Egyptian terrorist organizations Gama‘a al-Islamiyya, and Gama’a al-Jihad, which Zawahiri led until merging with al-Qa’ida in 1998 to form the International Front for Fighting Jews and Crusaders. In dispute was whether Shaykh Umar Abd al-Rahman, now in a U.S. jail for plotting the destruction of several New York City landmarks, was capable of being a leader despite being blind.
Zayyat tells how he first met Zawahiri in 1982 when both were up before the Egyptian Higher State Security Court for involvement in the assassination of President Anwar Sadat the previous year. After a decade and more of Islamist terrorism and Egyptian repression, Zayyat fell out with Zawahiri in 1997 when he supported a cease-fire while Zawahiri sought continuation of jihad.
In Zayyat’s view, no Islamist can be a friend of the United States in view of all the crimes it has committed and continues to commit against Muslims, especially Arab Muslims. He also declares his infinite respect for Shaykh Umar and a close and longstanding friendship with Rifa‘i Taha, leader of Gama‘a al-Islamiyya that carried out the massacre of European tourists in Luxor in 1997.
Zayyat favors the abandonment of violence directed at the Egyptian regime but he remains much the same fascistic, Islamist ideologue as Zawahiri. That does not stop Zayyat from considering himself a moderate. (DKR)
DOJ IG SUPPORTS FBI WHISTLEBLOWER - Accusations by an FBI contract linguist fired after complaining about suspected security breaches and misconduct in the bureau's post-9/11 translation service had some basis in fact and are supported by documents and other witnesses, the DoJ IG Glenn Fine reported on 14 January, according to the Washington Times.
In an unclassified summary of a secret, 100-page report issued in July, Fine found the bureau should have more thoroughly investigated accusations by the linguist, Sibel Edmonds.
"The allegations, if true, had potentially damaging consequences and warranted a thorough and careful review by the FBI, which did not occur," the IG said.
Edmonds, an Iranian Azeri raised in Turkey who speaks fluent Persian and Turkish, worked under an FBI contract from September 2001 to March 2002, when she was terminated on the grounds of having used her home computer to write a memo that contained classified information.
The FBI said an investigation into Edmonds' accusations was continuing and that Director Mueller told senior bureau officers to protect employees against retaliation for raising concerns.
Fine said the evidence did not show that a co-worker of Edmonds, who was not identified, had disclosed classified information, but the matter should have been better investigated. He said that while the co-worker passed a lie-detector test, polygraph examinations are not ideal yet no further tests were conducted.
Fine, citing the case of FBI agent Robert Hanssen, arrested as a Russian spy, said had the bureau performed a more careful investigation of Edmonds' allegations, it would have discovered evidence of significant omissions and inaccuracies by the co-worker related to these allegations.
Fine said that Edmonds did not qualify for whistleblower protection as she was a contractor rather than a bureau employee. However, Fine continued, the bureau could not show, by clear and convincing evidence, that it would have terminated her contract absent her accusations.
Edmonds said in a statement that after three years the government was finally admitting that the FBI acted improperly in firing her and also affirmed that her reports of serious problems within the agency were based on fact. But, she said, the FBI had yet to conduct a thorough investigation into the accusations.
In a lawsuit last year, she told FBI executives that a fellow translator of Turkish at in the Washington field office had a relative at a foreign embassy and might have compromised national security by passing wiretap information to an investigative target.
The unclassified summary resulted from a request by Sens. Patrick J. Leahy, Vermont Democrat, and Charles E. Grassley, Iowa Republican, who complained about Edmonds' termination and about work inside the FBI's translation program. (DKR)
SECTION V -- CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
[IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse these inquiries or offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding or supplying any information.]
EXPANDING FBI CI TRAINING PROGRAM - SOS International is looking for candidates for part-time work in support of an expanded FBI counterintelligence training program. They are looking for candidates in most all of the major cities in the US who are available on an on-call basis to support CI training to FBI agents and state and local law enforcement agencies on counterintelligence investigative techniques. All candidates must have at least 7 years of documented CI experience and at least a Bachelor's Degree. Previous instructor experience is also desired for instructor positions. Interested candidates should contact SOS International immediately at 703-391-9680 and ask for Mike Herl (x1022), Jon Witt (x1024) or Bill Arnold (x1025) or e-mail the above individuals with a copy of their resume to firstname.lastname@example.org, email@example.com, or firstname.lastname@example.org. More information about SOS International and other position openings with SOS International can be found at www.sosiltd.com
DHS HAS JOB OPENINGS -- DHS has 16 vacancies at its headquarters. Details of the positions may be seen at www.usajobs.opm.gov. If you have any questions about these vacancies, please contact Kathleen.email@example.com
The positions open are:
Managment & Program Analysis Officer GS-0343015
Procurement Analyst GS-1102-14/15
Departmental Representative to the National Counterterrorism Center GS-0301-SL
Grants Management Officer GS-0501-13/14
Grants Managment Officer GS-0501-14/15
Executive Assistant GS-0301-12/13
Human Resources Specialist GS-0201-13/14
Human Resouces Specialist GS-0201-13/14
Administrative Officer GS-0341-15
Telecommunications Specialist GS-0391-13
Supvervisory Information Technology Specialist GS-2210-15
Procurement Analyst GS-1102-14/15
Program Mgr for Emergency Preparedness and Response and Tribal Coordination GS-0301-13/14
Program Manger GS-0301-12/14
Supvy Program Analyst GS-0343-14/15
General Biological Scientist GS-0401-14/15
IMPORTANT NEW SECURITY CLEARANCE CHANGES NO LONGER A SECRET - An often overlooked provision in the 500-plus page Intelligence Reform Act will make a big business difference to federal government contractors. The security clearance process for defense, intelligence and law enforcement work has been streamlined...with major implications for moving people more quickly on to classified projects. Put this important change in the law to work for your enterprise. Learn the details and get the jump on the competition. Attend the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA) Breakfast Seminar on Security Clearance Reform, January 25, 7:30 am, at the Sheraton Premiere Tysons Corner Hotel in Vienna, VA. For more information visit the ITAA website at www.itaa.org/events/event.cfm?EventID=1205 or contact ITAA Conference Director Shannon Zelsnack at 703-284-5322 or firstname.lastname@example.org. [PSM]
HUNT FOR IRAQI WMD OVER - The hunt for WMD in Iraq has come to an end with top CIA weapons hunter Charles Duelfer home and analysts of the Iraq Survey Group back at Langley, the Washington Post reported on 12 January. www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A2129-2005Jan11.html
In interviews, officials who served with the ISG said the violence in Iraq, coupled with a lack of new information, led them to fold up the effort shortly before Christmas. In September, Duelfer, who led the weapons hunt in 2004, submitted an interim report to Congress that contradicted nearly every prewar assertion about Iraq made by top Bush administration officials. A senior intelligence official told the Post that Duelfer's findings will stand as the ISG's final conclusions and will be published this spring.
Intel officials said there is little left for the ISG to investigate because Duelfer's last report answered as many outstanding questions as possible.
Congress allotted hundreds of millions of dollars for the weapons hunt but a DIA spokesman said the entire budget and the expenditures would remain classified. (DKR)
MI6 HIRES QUALITY CONTROL MANAGER - MI6 has hired a quality control watchdog to safeguard the quality of its intelligence after criticisms about information supplied ahead of the war in Iraq, the Daily Telegraph (London) reported on 12 January.
A report on the Secret Intelligence Services, drawn up under Lord Butler and filed last July, found it had only five main sources on the ground in Iraq. It also gave more credence to untried agents than normal and had agents working beyond their expertise. A Foreign Office spokesman said an official, known as "R", was appointed within weeks of the report to check the credibility of intelligence flowing into MI6's London headquarters.
"One of the first ideas," the spokesman said, "was to go back to the drawing board to ensure that all intelligence sources were validated." This has involved separating officers responsible for collecting intelligence from those assessing its reliability. Since the invasion of Iraq, MI6 has withdrawn three of its main pre-war sources because of reliability concerns.
A businessman with management experience had already been appointed before the report's release to check the agency's overall operations. (DKR)
GERMAN HISTORIAN WISHES CONTACT WITH FORMER U.S. INTEL OFFICERS: German historian wishes to contact former U. S. intelligence officers in Austria and Germany for research and book on “Klatt” (Luftmeldekopf Südost of Abwehr Vienna). The German historian Winfried Meyer is researching for a book on Luftmeldekopf Südost (1941-1945) and its head Richard Kauder (“Klatt”). He is also interested in Kauder’s postwar biography, when Kauder cooperated with SCI/Austria in 1945/46, was interned and interrogated in the MIS Interrogation Center at Oberursel/Germany (“Camp King”) in 1946/47 and watched and protected against Russian efforts to spy him out and to abduct him by 430th CIC Detachment in Austria from 1946 onwards. In connection with this research Winfried Meyer is interested in recollections and photographs of SCI/Austria (1945/46), 430th CIC (1946-55) and “Camp King” and its personnel (1946/47), and he would especially like to get in contact with the following former U. S. intelligence officers in Austria and Germany or with relatives of them: Barry, E. P., Capt., SCI/Austria (1946); Greene, Harris C(arl), 430th CIC Det. (1946); Konig, Jules, Capt. in 1946 CO SCI/Austria (1946); Lamb, Thomas W., Special Agent, 430th CIC Det. (1948/49); Silver, Arnold M., MIS/USFET (1946/47). Whoever might be able to help him with recollections, photographs and information which might be helpful in tracing the five officers or relatives of them, is kindly asked to contact: Dr. Winfried Meyer, Darmstaedter Str. 2, D-10707 Berlin, Germany Phone: **49-30-8821419, email: email@example.com
Re. Cherkashin Book Review: "I think generally it's better to use Soviet or KGB terminology, not our own, in describing Cherkashin's job: He wasn't Deputy Chief of Station in Washington; he was Deputy Rezident." We agree. [Thanks to bg]
JCP Comments on Washington Post's Reports About CIA's Rendition Flights. Nota Bene: Wrong case for Latin interrogative pronoun. [Thanks to WalterJ]
Wednesday, 19 Jan 05 - San Francisco, CA - AFIO's Jim Quesada Chapter in San Francisco Bay hosts cocktails and dinner featuring speaker Ken Dombroski from the Center for Civil-Military Relations, Naval Postgraduate School. Topic: Reforming Intelligence - The Challenge of Control and Oversight in New Democracies. Event starts at 6:30, dinner at 7:15 p.m. at the United Irish Cultural Center's St Patrick's Rm, 2nd Flr, 2700 45 Ave, between Sloat and Wawona. Reservations are $35 members; $45 nonmembers. Contact Rich Hanson at 415-776-3739
25 January 05 - Tysons Corner, VA - NMIA Potomac Chapter Luncheon with Peter B. Teets, Director NRO by The Potomac Chapter of the National Military Intelligence Association. Tyson's Corner Marriott Hotel. To attend: sign up via the Potomac Chapter Website http://www.nmiapotomac.org Cost is $30 per person, payable at the door by cash or check. Registration deadline is Jan. 21, 2005
1 February & 8 February 05 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories: America Held Hostage - 444 Days to Freedom (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum - When Iranian students took Americans hostage 25 years ago, the U.S. worked feverishly to resolve the crisis – from the failed “Operation Eagle Claw” – to the ultimately successful “Canadian Caper” rescue. Now hear the details – many never-before revealed – from crucial players, including former CIA Director Admiral Stansfield Turner; former CIA officer Tony Mendez; members of the elite Delta Team; former hostage and author of In the Shadow of the Ayatollah: A CIA Hostage in Iran William J. Daugherty; and former U.S. Department of Agriculture Attaché in the U.S. Embassy in Tehran and the “sixth man” of the “Canadian Caper” Lee Shatz. With Mendez moderating their stories about the covert operations, secret negotiations, and rescue missions you’ll find out how it felt to be in their shoes with danger around the corner and the clock ticking. The speakers will also share their thoughts on the Iranian situation today. Tickets: $40. Members of The Spy Ring: $35. Space is limited – advance registration required! To register, please email: firstname.lastname@example.org or call (202) 654-0942
1 - 3 February 05 - Virginia - With the Association of Old Crows, the MASINT Association is cooperating with the DIA, NRO, NMA and the MASINT Committee to present the Third Annual MASINT Conference at the NRO on 1 – 3 February 2005. The 3rd Annual MASINT Conference will address the strategic role of MASINT in the National Security Community. Sessions include Perspectives on MASINT Workforce Development; MASINT: An Enabler for Persistent Surveillance; Lessons Learned as they Apply to the Future; and, MASINT Support to Domestic and Civil Applications. Participants in the conference will hear from a wide range of speakers from government, the academic community, and industry. Attendance at the Conference is appropriate for those interested in the ever broadening role of MASINT in supporting National Defense, Homeland Defense and Civil initiatives. Keynote Presentations are scheduled for: *Congressman Peter Hoekstra (R-MI), Chair, House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) * Vice-Admiral Lowell “Jake” Jacoby, Director, Defense Intelligence Agency *LtGen James Clapper USAF (Ret.), Director, National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency *Peter B. Teets, Director National Reconnaissance Office
The Conference will be held at the NRO at the TS/SI/TK NOFORN level from 1 – 3 February 2005. Registration closes COB 17 January 2005. Further information and registration is at: www.crows.org/EVENTS/2005/0201205_MASINT/O5MASINT_Preview.htm. The MASINT Association Phone: 571-214-2415
8 - 10 February 05 - Arlington, VA - National Intelligence Conference and Exposition (INTELCON) debuts at the Hyatt Regency Crystal City. INTELCON'S goal to bring together intel professionals and members of Congress in an informal setting on neutral ground to provide educational enhancement and discuss common issues. Veteran intelligence specialist John Loftus is directing the INTELCON Program. Based upon the theme of “Widening the Intelligence Community,” the Conference offers five two-day Program Tracks – Federal Civilian, DOD/Military, State and Local Law Enforcement, Business, and Private Sector. There will be eight, full-day Professional Enhancement Seminars, Luncheon and keynote addresses. There will also be a vendor exposition with companies and products relevant to intelligence interests. Its organizer is Federal Business Council of Annapolis Junction, Maryland.
For more information, please visit: http://www.intelcon.us, or contact: David Powell, Federal Business Council, 10810 Guilford Road, P.O. Box 685, Annapolis Junction, Maryland 20710 Tel. (301) 206-2940, Fax: (301) 206-2950, email@example.com
24 February 05 - Washington, DC - Spies of the Kaiser - Lunchtime Author Debriefing and Book Signing - International Spy Museum - In the early twentieth century, the British were obsessed with the possibility of German spies operating in their midst – so much so that all Germans in the United Kingdom were catalogued and eventually interned. Was the German spy threat real? What was German intelligence really up to? Armed with information from untapped German sources and recently declassified British documents, International Spy Museum historian and AFIO member Thomas Boghardt will reveal the true scope of German covert operations, their objectives, and the dramatic British response. Join this author for an informal chat and book signing from 12PM to 1PM. No registration required!
1 March & 15 March 05 - Washington, DC - Sisterhood of Spies: Shady Ladies in Espionage (2 Part Series) - International Spy Museum - Spies come in all shapes and sizes… sometimes the shapelier the better. Using their often under-estimated intellect and feminine wiles, women have influenced events and gathered critical intelligence throughout history. Who better to blow the cover of the sisterhood of spies than two charter members? Retired Senior U.S. Army Counterintelligence Special Agent Connie Allen and former CIA Chief of Disguise Jonna Mendez will brief you on these shady ladies, exploring the roles held and progress made by women in the world of espionage. Whether you’re interested in Mata Hari’s tactics of seduction, wives with secret lives, Cold War-era operations in Moscow, or the recent “outing” of Valerie Plame, this session is sure to redefine your interpretation of feminine persuasion. Tickets: $40. Members of The Spy Ring: $35. Space is limited – advance registration required! To register, please email: firstname.lastname@example.org or call (202) 654-0942
10 March 05 - Washington, DC - Spy Book: The Encyclopedia of Espionage - International Spy Museum - From “Angels” to “Z priorities,” the second edition of the definitive reference to the world of espionage features over 2,500 entries. Spies, agencies, organizations, and operations, are carefully uncovered and detailed in this accurate and accessible resource for aficionado and layman alike. Join authors Norman Polmar and Thomas B. Allen as they discuss intelligence successes and failures throughout history. Join this author for an informal chat and book signing from 12PM to 1PM. No registration required!
21 - 22 March 05 - Washington, DC - EMININT 2005 - The National Security and Law Society of the American University Washington College of Law is hosting a two-day professional symposium on Emerging Issues in National and International Security. The meeting will address the pressing issues of the day in the fields of national and international security. The symposium will consist of expert panels equally distributed between the fields of foreign policy, intelligence, and law, discussing such topics as: The Risks of Cross-Cultural Profiling; The Emergence of a New Intelligence Mindset; Climate Change, Infectious Disease, and Resource Shortages as Threats to International Security; The Fourth Estate and National Security Policy: Reporters or Watchdogs?; Comparative Counter-Terrorism Policies; Personal Information Privacy in the Post-9/11 World; Homeland Security Law and Private Industry; Whistle-blowing and the Intelligence Community; Torture, Interrogation, and Human Rights in the Global War on Terror; and Reconciling an Active Role for First Responders in Homeland Security with Budgetary Appropriations. The speakers represent the pinnacles of their respective fields, coming from five countries and across the United States. They represent academic experts, senior U.S. government policymakers, and corporate leaders. They have written books, made laws, established companies, and otherwise shaped the field of National Security. There is something for everyone in this symposium, and few attendees will fail to take something away from it. Note: This event requires paid registration for non-students. For registration or further information, visit http://wcl.american.edu/org/nsls or email email@example.com CLE credit is available.
23 - 24 March 05 - Fairfax, VA - NMIA National Intelligence Symposium - NMIA will hold its annual symposium on 23 Wed - 24 Thurs 2005 at Northrop Grumman Corporation, 12900 Federal Systems Park Drive, Fairfax, VA 22033. For more information, please visit http://www.nmia.org
6 - 9 April 05 - Chicago, IL - SCIP 20th Annual International Conference & Exhibition - At the Hyatt Regency Chicago, an event not to miss. Business intelligence, business planning and analysis, competitive intelligence, forecasting, market research, mergers and acquisitions, new product development, opporition research, proposal management, sales, strategic planning and analysis, technical intelligence. If you, or your company, are 'going places,' this is one of the places to go to make it happen. A total education and training event with following tracks: Academic; Global, Government & Security; innovation in Practice; Leadership & Management; and Tools, Techniques, and Networks. Keynote presentation by Bob Galvin, former Chairman, Motorola; Modest fee for full event. Info and registration at: http://www.scip.org/chicago. SCIP is at 1700 Diagonal Rd Ste 600, Alexandria, VA 22314; (703) 739-0696.
15 - 16 April 05 - Saratoga Springs, NY - Cryptologic Veterans Reunion - The reunion is being organized by the New England Chapter, Naval Cryptologic Veterans Association. Contact Bob Marois, Tel: (518) 237-0015; E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org; Website: http://www.ncva-ne.org
18 - 21 April 05 - SFSAFBI Western Regional Conference - For more information, please visit http://www.socxfbi.org/Conference/Conferences.htm
20 - 21 April 05 - Langley, VA - AFCEA Spring Intelligence Symposium - For more information, please visit http://www.afcea.org/calendar/eventdetails.asp?offset=10&EventID=227
21 April - Washington, DC - 2005 MOAA Career Fair - DC Convention Center – The Military Officers Association of America is holding their annual Career Fair, to be held at the Washington, DC Convention Center on Thursday April 21, 2005. Join local, national, and international employers -- including Lockheed Martin, AT&T Government Services, Anheuser Busch Companies, Inc., Raytheon, the State Department, and the FBI -- who are there to meet and recruit qualified and proven leaders, and their spouses, to fill a wide variety of key positions. Others seeking to recruit at this event are asked to register before January 14, 2005 for lower fees. The rate of $1,500.00 includes a carpeted 10' x 10' pipe-and-drape booth, company sign, skirted table, two chairs, employer lounge, two lunches, and all-day beverage service. In addition, they receive a link from their website and 60 days of electronic resume access. Booths will be assigned on a first-come, first-served basis. At last year's event, the MOAA reports that over 2,100 candidates (most with security clearances) with leadership, management, and operational experience attended.
Click on the following link for the 2005 MOAA Career Fair Registration Form: https://www.moaa.org/TOPS/CareerFair2005/registration If you have any questions, contact their Career Fair Manager - toll free 877-553-8677 or by email at: email@example.com
22 - 24 April 05 - Grapevine, TX - SFSAFBI South Central Regional Meeting - For more information, please visit http://www.socxfbi.org/Conference/Conferences.htm
25 - 28 April 05 - Philadelphia, PA - 2005 DoDIIS Worldwide Conference, For further details visit http://www.federalevents.com or contact: Howard Blumberg, Government Relations Manager, National Conference Services, Inc. (NCSI), 6440 Dobbin Road Suite C, Columbia, MD. 21045; 888-603-8899, ext. 224 (toll-free) firstname.lastname@example.org, http://www.ncsi.com
**** 27 - 30 October 2005 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA and at other secured venues. PUT THIS DATE ON YOUR CALENDARS. ****
FOR OTHER DATES BEYOND APRIL, SEE THE FULL LIST ON THE AFIO WEBSITE BULLETIN BOARD at
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