AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #31-06 dated 7 August 2006

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. WINs are edited by Ernest Hampson, Ph.D., with input from AFIO members and staff.
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Friday, 8 September 06 - Vienna, VA - AFIO National Fall Luncheon

Two compelling presentations

SPEAKERS:  Amb. J. Cofer Black, former Coordinator for Counterterrorism at the U. S. State Department, and former Director of the CIA's Counterterrorism Center, now Vice Chairman of Blackwater USA;
speaking on
"The Evolution and Future of Terrorism"

and Senior Pentagon Correspondent for the Washington Post/author, Thomas E. Ricks on his impressive new book: 
FIASCO: The American Military Adventure in Iraq
. Space limited.  $49 pp members; $59 pp non-members. 

To be held in a new location...at the Sheraton Premiere Hotel Ballroom, 8661 Leesburg Pike, Vienna, VA 22180. Three course gourmet luncheon will be served. Registration at 10:30 a.m.; Ricks at 11 a.m.; Lunch at noon; Amb. Black at 1:00 p.m.  Borders Books will have many new intelligence titles available to browse or purchase. Other authors will be present. Secure Online registration available here.  Members given preference on date of registration basis.


SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
IRANIANS RELEASE BIN LADEN SON TO HEAD AL QAEDA IN LEBANON WHILE LEBANESE REJECT PEACE DEAL
RICE PROMISES AID TO CUBA TO SUPPORT MOVE TOWARDS DEMOCRACY
BANGLADESH BECOMING NEW SAFE HAVEN FOR TERRORISTS?
INDIAN INTELLIGENCE WARNS OF TERRORIST THREAT TO NUCLEAR PLANT
SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
HEZBOLLAH'S ARSENAL- WHAT THEY HAVE AND WHERE THEY GOT IT
DOCTOR-SLEUTHS GATHER MEDICAL INTELLIGENCE TO DIAGNOSE WORLD LEADERS
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
HACKERS WILL TRY TO BREAK SECURITY IN MICROSOFT WINDOWS VISTA
AL QAEDA ON-LINE FORUM CALLS FOR SUNNIS TO UNDERMINE SHIITE HEZBOLLAH IN LEBANON
ARCHINT- SPY SATELLITES MAKE ARCHEOLOGICAL DISCOVERY
SECTION IV - BOOKS, SOURCES AND ISSUES
Books
With Their Backs to the World: Portraits from Serbia by Åsne Seierstad, trans. by Sindre Kartvedt
Shopping for Bombs: Nuclear Proliferation, Global Insecurity, and the Rise and Fall of the A.Q. Khan Network by Gordon Corera. Oxford Univ.
The Extreme Future: The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World for the Next 5, 10, and 20 Years by James Canton. Dutton,
 
SECTION V - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
Careers
Analytic Services seeking part-time Subject Matter Expert consultants with active security clearances
 
Notes
RAY SEMKO, AKA "THE D*I*C*E MAN," JOINS THE CI CENTER
          INSTITUTE OF WORLD POLITICS ANNOUNCES FALL COURSE SCHEDULE
 
Authors/Researchers Seeking Assistance
ANTHOLOGY OF SHORT SPY STORIES SOUGHT BY ISRAELI PUBLISHER/ASSOCIATION
 
Coming Events
12 August 06 - Melbourne, FL - Florida Satellite Chapter of AFIO host legendary Billy Waugh at luncheon at Colony Hall at the IRCC
          21 - 24 August 2006 - Denver, CO - The DNI's Information Sharing Conference & Technology Exposition, Intelink and Beyond: Dare to Share
21 - 25 August 06 - Baltimore, MD - 2006 DHS Security Conference and Workshop
23 - 25 August 06 - Raleigh, NC - Fourth Annual Raleigh International Spy Conference focuses on topic: Castro and Cuba: What Next?
29 - 30 August 2006 - New York, NY - The Society of Competitive Intelligence Professionals [SCIP] “Competitive Technical Intelligence Best Practice Forum.”
3-8 September 06 - Oxford, England - Spies, Lies & Intelligence Conference
8 September 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow
9 September 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
14-18 September 06 - Arlington, VA - The OSS Society and the Carpetbaggers will be co-hosting a Reunion at the Crown Plaza Hotel Reagan National Airport
16 September 06 - Kennebunk, ME.  The Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at 2:00 p.m. at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main St., Kennebunk.
17 September 06 - Washington, DC - The International Spy Museum presents "Third-String Catcher, All-Star Spy"
21 September 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter Meeting holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
22 September 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds dinner featuring noted intelligence historian David Kahn
          23 September 06 - Washington, DC - The Cold War Museum hosts a special Spy Tour of Washington.  Details at www.spytour.com
4 - 5 October 2006 - Bolling AFB, DC - Natl Military Intelligence Assoc 2-day conference on Joint Intel Ops Center with DIA
10 October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter - at MacDill AFB O'Club
          Saturday, 14 Oct 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956 POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS
20-21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - Texas Tech and CIA's Center for Study of Intelligence co-host "Intelligence in the Vietnam War,"
21 October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - the Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at 2:00 p.m. with author Colin Beavan at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main St., Kennebunk.
          22 - 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - talks, meeting, and colloquia on Israel and its future in the Middle East in face of terrorism.
3 - 5 November 06 - McLean, VA - AFIO National Intelligence Symposium with DHS on Homeland, Port and Border Security
          3 - 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach, NH - AFIO New England hosts meeting at beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel with two speakers.
10 November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of Remembrance"
          14 November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) Fall Luncheon
16 November 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
29 Nov - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - Institute for Defense and Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis & Processing"
1 December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow
6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
8 December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening meeting
12 December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club
12-14 December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V, The MASINT Association's Annual Conference
26-27 January 07 - Springfield, VA- Intelligence and Ethics 2007 and Call for Proposals
13 February 07 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter luncheon with Carl W Ford, Jr., former head of the State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)
3 March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
17-19 May 2007 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion
2 June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
8 September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
18-19 October 07 - Laurel, MD - Symposium on Cryptologic History sponsored by the Center for Cryptologic History.
1 December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting

SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

IRANIANS RELEASE BIN LADEN SON TO HEAD AL QAEDA IN LEBANON WHILE LEBANESE REJECT PEACE DEAL The German magazine Die Welt is reporting that the Iranian Republican Guard has released Saad bin Laden, 27, one of Osama bin Laden's oldest sons, to go to Lebanon and lead terrorist attacks against Israel. The alleged plan out of Tehran is for the bin Laden spawn to recruit and organize Lebanese refugees in Syria and turn them into a terrorist attack force. Reports have held that Iran put a number of Al Qaeda members under house arrest following the September 11th terrorist attacks on the U.S., and Saad bin Laden was among them. In 2004, these reports were confirmed by Iranian former foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi who announced that dozens of Al Qaeda were captured and held in Iran since 2001. He claimed that Iran would put them on trial. Western intelligence believed that Saad was part of a small Al Qaeda leadership group, running operations from the safety of Iran. Although the Shiite leadership of Iran are not necessarily partial to the Sunni-dominated Al Qaeda, experts believe that Iran keeps Al Qaeda members as bargaining chips, and allows them to operate from Iran against Western targets, which furthers Iranian interests. Al-Zawahiri, the second-in-command in Al Qaeda, recently called on Sunnis to respond to the conflict in Lebanon by fighting and becoming martyrs, although the statement fell short of calling for the direct support of Hezbollah. In a 2003 message to the "Jerusalem Force," a group sworn to the protection of Sadd and other top Al Qaeda members, Osama bin Laden named Saad as his successor, saying of the overthrow of Israel, "When that day comes, our son Saad will ride in triumph at the head of our great cause."
     Meanwhile, Lebanese Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri has rejected a peace plan crafted by the U.S. and France and circulated at the UN Security Council. The plan calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities, calling on Hezbollah to cease all military operatins and Israel to halt "offensive operations", although defensive strikes are allowed if Hezbollah attacks Israel. After a cease fire is in place, a foreign peacekeeping force would occupy a buffer zone between Lebanon and Israel and help the Lebanese army to deploy to the southern portions of their country in order to protect from future operations by Hezbollah there. Lebanon says the plan is unacceptable because it does not include the seven-point framework that the Lebanese Prime Minister established during crisis talks in Rome recently. The seven-point framework includes a total cease fire by Israel and an immediate withdrawal from Lebanese lands, and an exchange of prisoners. Berri claims the U.S.-French resolution is tilted unfairly towards Israel. The resolution further calls for the complete disarmament of Hezbollah and a clear definition of Lebanese borders, including the disputed Chebba Farms area. It also sets up an arms embargo against any entity in Lebanon besides the national government. The resolution is due to go to the Security Council for a vote next week, with another resolution to follow in a week or two to authorize the international peacekeeping force that would go into southern Lebanon.  [PJK/NYPost 3Aug06, Gittens/ABCNews 6Aug06, Mroue]

RICE PROMISES AID TO CUBA TO SUPPORT MOVE TOWARDS DEMOCRACY While the health of Cuban leader Fidel Castro remains in doubt following his recent stomach surgery, the U.S. is capitalizing on the uncertainty by having Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice broadcast over radio and TV Marti a message of support to Cubans that desire democracy. In her brief statement, Rice promised humanitarian aid and encouraged Cubans to work from home for the peaceful transition to a democratic government. However, most Cuban residents probably did not hear the message. The Castro government regularly blocks the Marti signal from the U.S. using equipment and technology given to it by the Chinese in trade for allowing the Chinese to set up signals monitoring stations directed against U.S. communications [see WINs Issue #23-06]. The primary recipients of the message, then, were the Cuban exiles and expatriates in Miami, whose elation at the possible demise of Castro has been boiling over into the streets. The message was careful to indicate that the U.S. did not want to overpower the Castro government, but let the Cuban people know that they were not alone in the aspirations for freedom. Cuban dissidents in Miami thought that even though the radio signal was blocked, the message would get through. [ABCNews 5Aug06, Pineda]

BANGLADESH BECOMING NEW SAFE HAVEN FOR TERRORISTS? Bangladesh is a secular democracy with a Muslim majority and considerable Hindu and Christian minorities. However, in order to achieve power, the current government of Prime Minister Khaleda Zia of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) fomented a partnership with the Islamic fundamentalist party Jamaat-e-Islami. Experts say that Jamaat has ties with both Al Qaeda and Pakistani intelligence who are turning Bangladesh into a "regional hub for terrorist operations that reach into India and Southeast Asia." The alliance with Jamaat gave Zia the votes she needed to form a coalition government. However, in payment for Jamaat's support in Parliament, she is giving away key positions throughout the country's infrastructure. Jamaat has systematically been placing its representatives in key civil service areas to include police, military and intelligence. These radical sympathizers then ignore as Jamaat-sponsored guerillas fashioned after the Taliban operate with impunity in the rural regions. The infiltration goes further and higher, as Zia appointed Matiur Rahman Nizami, a high-ranking Jamaat member as industries minister, where he has wide influence over sectors including banking, insurance, trucking, pharmaceutical manufacturing, department stores, newspapers and TV stations. A Bangladesh financial research group last year found that the Islamic fundamentalist yearly take from the Bangladesh economy is $1.2 billion. Reports out of Bangladesh show that the BNP and Jamaat are already preparing for next year's election by manipulating voter lists and taking control of the normally neutral caretaker government and elections commission. In its defense, the BNP says that by making Jamaat part of the government it gives voice and power to moderate Muslims to restrict the spread of radical Islam in its ranks. But critics counter that the infestation of Jamaat members and sympathizers in the government, such as Home Secretary Muhammad Omar Farooq, have enabled "suicide bombings, political assassinations, harassment of the Hindu minority, and an unchecked influx of funds from Islamic charities in Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf to Jamaat-oriented madrassas (religious schools) that in some cases are fronts for terrorist activity."  [CameronL/WashPost 2Aug06, Harrison]

INDIAN INTELLIGENCE WARNS OF TERRORIST THREAT TO NUCLEAR PLANT The Indian National Security Advisor M K Narayanan is warning that the country's nuclear power plants are under serious threat by the Islamic militant and terrorist organization Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT). Although Narayanan did not go into specifics, he said the government had intelligence that showed LeT was planning to attack one of the country's atomic plants. Reports say that security has been recently enhanced at Kaiga nuclear power plan in Karnataka. Narayanan finds that LeT, which is an integral part of Al Qaeda, is a greater threat than its parent organization, because of its contacts. Although there is no indication of LeT activity in the U.S., it does operate in Europe and Asia. Narayanan alluded to some consequences for his appearing on Indian television with this information. He said, "I think I may be ex-communicated after this. I may not be given information but this is enough for us for more than providing proof to anyone. I would like to be able to prevent this and get the module that is responsible." [PJK/TimesofIndia 29Jul06]


SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

HEZBOLLAH'S ARSENAL- WHAT THEY HAVE AND WHERE THEY GOT IT Hezbollah has stockpiled a number of short-, medium- and long-range rockets and missiles that it is now using against Israel in the current conflict. The mainstay of Hezbollah is the old Soviet-style "Katyusha." The Soviets effectively used the Katyusha to attack approaching forces during World War II. The rocket is said to produce an audible screech that can have a psychological effect on adversaries. Since they are small, inaccurate, and yield only a small destructive payload the Katyushas are designed to be fired in barrages. Hezbollah apparently has acquired a number of truck-mounted multiple rocket launchers which house a number of rocket tubes for near simultaneous firing of numerous rockets. It is believed that Hezbollah obtained its current inventory of Katyushas from old Soviet and Chinese surplus. The Katyusha is a short-range missile with a range of about 25 kilometers. Another short-range rocket that  Hezbollah TV in Lebanon showed recently was the so-called Ra-ad 1 which appears to be the Iranian built Shahin I, which has a range of only about 13 kilometers, but is capable of carrying a much larger warhead. Hezbollah has shown it also has some longer range rockets that can reach as far as Haifa. It is thought these medium-range rockets are probably the Iranian made Fajr-3, with a 45-km range; the Fajr-5, with a range of some 75km. There are also fears that Hezbollah has the Iranian Zelzal-2, with an estimated range up to 200 kilometers and a warhead of 600 kilograms. If Hezbollah does possess the Zelzal, it could reach Israel's largest population center in and around Tel Aviv. Despite the fact that none of these rockets are guided, when the target is a large metropolitan area with no constraints on hitting civilian population, they can be effective. [LawrenceS/BBC 18Jul06]

DOCTOR-SLEUTHS GATHER MEDICAL INTELLIGENCE TO DIAGNOSE WORLD LEADERS Although not released publicly, medical experts working for the CIA have deduced that Fidel Castro suffered either a bleeding ulcer or acute diverticulitis., which require his recent surgery and resulted in him relinquishing control of the Cuban government for the first time ever, to his brother Raúl. The CIA's Medical and Psychiatric Analysis Center (MPAC) gathers information from public and classified sources to make its best guess at the afflictions affecting important figures around the world. Due to his longevity and obvious importance, Castro has one of the largest files at MPAC. Dr. Jonathan Clemente, a Charlotte, N.C., physician who is writing a book about MPAC called "Cloak and Doctor" reports that there are about seven fulltime members of the group, and not all are physicians; some are anthropologists and psychologists. Clemente estimates the group is over 40 years old, starting in 1962 or 1963. MPAC seeks to develop physiological and psychological profiles of foreign leaders of nations, terrorist groups, cartels, etc. in order to help predict what the leaders may do in certain situations, or how the nation or group would react if the leader died. MPAC analysts look for clues to a leader's health in public statements and actions. For example, when Castro was attending a memorial honoring Che Guevera in October 2004 he tripped and fell. Clemente believes this action must have set off alarms at MPAC. "In the case of Castro's fall, the basic question to be answered was what precipitated this fall?" Clemente wrote in a recent article in International Journal of Intelligence and Counter Intelligence. "Was the floor wet? Was he pushed? Did he have a stroke or heart attack? Does he have vertigo? The leader's long-term ability to govern may be dictated by the nature of the medical event." Like any other intelligence operation, MPAC looks to all sources for answers. They will review a tape of the action if available, rely on public open source information, classified intercepts of communications and medical records, and they may even send an observer to see the "patient" up close and look for signs of disease. Clemente also says that sometimes they just get luck, such as a conversation overheard between Castro and Pope John Paul II in which Castro complained of arthritis, or an Esquire article in which Castro discussed with Mohammed Ali his diet in which he gave the specifics of how many calories he consumed per day and other diet details. The source they believe the least are public statements by governments about a leader's health. Another important leader that MPAC studies is Osama bin Laden. Despite reports in the media, bin Laden does not require dialysis but does have kidney stones. He also has an enlarged heart, low blood pressure and is missing two toes on his foot, necessitating the use of a cane. U.S. intelligence also learned that bin Laden travels with a personal doctor leading some to believe he may be a hypochondriac. NBC News obtained a copy of one former world leader's profile, which read, "Milosevic does not react well to stress. He has violent mood swings in part attributed to adult-onset diabetes and occasionally severe back problems, both of which he suffers from. His weight fluctuates; he tends to put weight on when under stress. When stressed, he becomes an even heavier smoker and drinker than normal. He prefers Scotch and pear brandy. The drinking in particular makes the diabetes worse. He controls the diabetes with insulin." MPAC meets twice a year to invite top flight medical academics in to review classified and unclassified information (the experts are vetted with background checks and polygraphs first) and render an opinion on a number of world figures. Meanwhile, a Cuban government statement says Castro is on the mend [TheAge]. [PJK/MSNBC 3Aug06/Windrem]

SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE

HACKERS WILL TRY TO BREAK SECURITY IN MICROSOFT WINDOWS VISTA In a dramatic move to improve its image in the security world, Microsoft is inviting top computer experts and hackers to try to penetrate the security protections of its new operating system Windows Vista. The software giant is not holding back either. Microsoft has asked, according to Jon Callas, chief technology officer at PGP (Pretty Good Privacy- an email encryption program), "people who don't like them, say nasty things, and have the incentive to find the things that are wrong." During the recent Black Hat conference, a forum for computer security experts and hackers, Microsoft released a trial version of Vista and asked for the 3,000 attendees to break its security, and report back on what they found. [Zaman 5Aug06]

AL QAEDA ON-LINE FORUM CALLS FOR SUNNIS TO UNDERMINE SHIITE HEZBOLLAH IN LEBANON Counter to reports that Saad bin Laden is leading Al Qaeda terrorists against Israeli forces in Lebanon (see earlier article in this issue IRANIANS RELEASE BIN LADEN SON TO HEAD AL QAEDA IN LEBANON WHILE LEBANESE REJECT PEACE DEAL), an alleged Al Qaeda website has called for Sunnis to create sleeper cells in Lebanon to thwart Israel's nemesis Hezbollah. However, some doubters believe the website called "Sawt al-Jihad" may be a front for Western or Saudi intelligence bent on creating animosity between the groups and short circuiting any alliance that may form. “Supporting Hezbollah and its victory will be a big problem for us,” said the Sawt al-Jihad Web site, “because this would mean an increase in the popularity of the rejectionists (Shiites) as a force that defeated the Jews, and the number of supporters for Hezbollah will increase.” The CIA, whose Open Source Intelligence Center translated the piece, said that Sawt al-Jihad is a longtime and accepted outlet for jihadis on the Internet and is affiliated with Al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia. The website says that the best outcome would be that Hezbollah and Israel "exhaust" themselves on each other. Despite calls from Al Qaeda's number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri for unity of purpose between Sunnis and Shiite, Al Qaeda and Hezbollah, most intelligence experts do not believe such an alliance is possible, although there is widespread acknowledgement that Al Qaeda wants in on the fight. The website invited viewers to email their suggestions and comments, which prompted some to believe this was a sting operations, probably organized by Saudi intelligence. [LawrenceS/CQ 2Aug06/Stein]

ARCHINT- SPY SATELLITES MAKE ARCHEOLOGICAL DISCOVERY Declassified imagery from the late 1960's CIA/DoD Corona project has led Australian researchers to uncover the remains of early human settlements in Syria. Using a process that imagery analysts call "change detection" Mandy Mottram, a PhD student at the Australian National University's School of Archaeology and Anthropology, said researchers could see differences in the soil colors that indicated possible human building and habitation. Mottram said that the 40-year old images, which were just declassified in the late 90's, were especially valuable because they show the land as it appeared before the recent rapid agricultural movement in the area. Analysis of the images give the archeologists clues as to where to search on the ground. Mottram says they've had remarkable success with the images; about a 95% strike rate. Probably the most significant finds were tools dating back 130-140,000 years that could have belonged to Neanderthals or early humans and some Acheulian tools that could be several hundred thousand years old. [PJK/News.com.au 3Aug06]

SECTION IV - BOOKS, SOURCES AND ISSUES

Books

With Their Backs to the World: Portraits from Serbia by Åsne Seierstad, trans. by Sindre Kartvedt, ISBN 0-465-07602-5, $15 The author examines the lives of 13 Serbians to provide perspective on how a nation could begin so many wars and lose them all. She looks at a wide range of Serbs, from ardent Milosevic supporters to a student who longs for membership in the EU. One thing she finds is a "disturbing enmity toward the U.S. and Muslims."  "Great wars," Seierstad observes, "start out as folk songs and camp-fire stories, and end in genocide and bloodbaths." [EAB]

Shopping for Bombs: Nuclear Proliferation, Global Insecurity, and the Rise and Fall of the A.Q. Khan Network by Gordon Corera. Oxford Univ., ISBN 0-19-530495-0, $28 This book looks at the history of A.Q. Khan, a Pakistani metallurgist who became the world's biggest proliferators of nuclear weapons technology. The account begins in 1971 after Pakistan lost its war with India and Khan vowed to himself to never let that happen again. His first entrance into the shadowy side of nuclear research was when he stole a centrifuge from his Dutch employer. He fled to Pakistan and offered his help to the government to build a nuclear weapon in reaction to India's nuclear program. Khan was finally arrested after 30 years of dealing nuclear technology to the likes of Libiya, Iran and North Korea. [EAB]

The Extreme Future: The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World for the Next 5, 10, and 20 Years by James Canton. Dutton, ISBN 0-525-94938-0, $25.95 Cantor was a student of Alvin Toffler in the 1970's and became a futures-planning consultant. He now examines the future of the world in this new book. The landscape that he paints examines crises brought on by fuel shortages and climate change, globalization initiated economic transformation, and a deepening of the war on terror which he says "has hardly begun." He spins these forecasts into a scenario where one effects the other and uses short vignettes to carry the reader along. [EAB]


SECTION V - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS

Careers

ANALYTIC SERVICES, DHS, SEEKS PART-TIME SUBJECT MATTER EXPERT CONSULTANTS. Analytic Services Inc.�s Homeland Security Institute, the Department of Homeland Security's only FFRDC, is seeking part-time Subject Matter Expert consultants with active security clearances. SMEs will support the definition of federal/state/local/private sector requirements and processes for both classified and unclassified intelligence production and distribution. All work will be done in the Washington DC area. Specifically, the project will: scope and clarify customer needs and demands to determine intelligence product requirements, recommend the revision of current intelligence distribution lists to better control and expedite dissemination to qualified users, assist in streamlining intelligence production processes for the most timely creation and dissemination of products. Former intelligence officers interested in making a continuing valuable contribution to Homeland Security and the War on Terror, please email a resume by August 31, 2006 summarizing personal experience pertinent to the above project tasks to William.Grayson@hsi.dhs.gov. In the cover email, please indicate level of availability (e.g., so many hours per month) and current security clearance status.

Notes

RAY SEMKO, AKA "THE D*I*C*E MAN," JOINS THE CI CENTER The CI Centre -- an AFIO corporate member -- has announced that Ray Semko, a security expert and creator/presenter of the well-known "Defensive Information to Counter Espionage (D*I*C*E)" security awareness briefings, has joined the Centre for Counterintelligence and Security Studies. Semko recently retired from the federal government after 30+ years of service, where he was a counterintelligence agent for the US Army and worked in the US Intelligence Community since 1971, including the Defense Security Service, National Security Agency, Department of Energy and Defense Intelligence Agency. He created his "Defensive Information to Counter Espionage" briefing in 1989 and soon became known as "The D*I*C*E Man." Many of you probably have attended one of his unique, highly entertaining and memorable D*I*C*E briefings at some point, and know what a powerful security message he imparts on the audience. See the CI Centre's D*I*C*E Man page for additional information (including testimonies from attendees and a new photograph) or to schedule a tailored two-hour briefing which meets your organization's unique requirements and needs: http://cicentre.com/diceman.html. [KristinaS]

THE INSTITUTE OF WORLD POLITICS IN WASHINGTON, DC - announces an expanded schedule of courses for the Fall 2006 term. The fall semester begins September 5 and runs through December 14, 2006. A total of 25 courses will be offered including American Founding Principles, American Intelligence and Counterintelligence, the Balkans, Chinese Grand Strategy, Military Strategy and Intelligence, Twentieth Century Politics and Diplomacy, the Western Moral Tradition, the History of Political Warfare, U.S. National Security Strategy, Islam in Contemporary Global Politics, Genocide and Genocide Prevention, and Economics for Foreign Policy Makers. Faculty and instructors in all courses are academic practitioners with relevant and extensive experience in the Department of Defense, US intelligence and defense agencies, the US Department of State, and universities of the US armed forces. Many have published books related to the subjects they teach. Registration dates are July 24-August 25, 2006. Tuition is $3300 per 4-credit course. Students may attend The Institute of World Politics in one of several categories: as M.A. candidates, as certificate students, and as continuing education students. IWP’s student body includes scholars from throughout the US, several countries and territories outside the US, various government agencies, the military, and professionals seeking advanced knowledge for application into the cultures of their industries and expanded influential opportunities for themselves and their employers. A complete listing and related application materials are available online at www.iwp.edu.

Authors/Researchers Seeking Assistance

ANTHOLOGY OF SHORT SPY STORIES SOUGHT BY ISRAELI PUBLISHER/ASSOCIATION - The Center for Special Studies (C.S.S) serves as the main commemorative site for the men and women of the Israeli intelligence services who have fallen in the line of duty. It is much more than a traditional memorial to the past. It is a living place that links the significant heritage of the intelligence community to the future generations through education. The Center’s focus on the study and research of intelligence and counter-terrorism demonstrates a commitment to the realization of national goals of the highest order. The Center operates as a nonprofit organization with volunteers’ support. Within the C.S.S is a fund in memory of the first head of the Mossad Reuven Shiloah. The fund is seeking to commemorate Reuven Shiloah and decided to publish a series of books in his memory. Two of those books have been produced: the first as: "Intelligence for Peace" -- a compilation of articles [in both Hebrew and English], and the second a translation to Hebrew of the memoirs of the late Admiral Fulvio Martini, former head of the Italian Intelligence service.
They are now preparing a third book -- an international anthology of short "spy" stories (fiction) and are seeking short stories (up to 3000 words) dealing with the individual operative, the intelligence officer running spy operations. The emphasis is on positive intelligence stories stressing the individual. They are seeking a collection of such stories from different parts of the world written throughout times. If you have written, or know of, appropriate, well written U.S. stories and are able to extend the rights to this publisher to place the work in the upcoming anthology, please respond. The anthology will be edited by the well known Israeli writer, translator and publisher Reuven Miran who is also an active member in the C.S.S. Replies or writings should be sent to: Mr. Yehuda Friedman at C.S.S at mlm@intelligence.org.il

Coming Events

12 August  06 - Melbourne, FL - The Florida Satellite Chapter of AFIO will host its luncheon at Colony Hall at the IRCC. The legendary Billy Waugh will be the guest speaker; a man whose career spans some 50 plus years in special operations -tracking Carlos the Jackal, coming face to face with Osama bin Laden are but a few of the stories he will share with us. For more information, contact BEKeith at: Bobbie6769@JUNO.com or phone: (321) 777-5561.

21 - 24 August 2006 - Denver, CO - After 11 successful years, the annual Intelink Conference has been renamed The DNI's Information Sharing Conference & Technology Exposition, Intelink and Beyond: Dare to Share. The new name represents sponsorship of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), and its responsibility for facilitating information sharing between federal entities, the Intelligence Community, state, local, and tribal entities, and foreign partners. The event will be held at the Hyatt Regency Denver, at the Colorado Convention Center.
The lessons learned from 9/11 clearly indicate that simply gathering and storing critical information is not sufficient. Rather, entities involved in protecting this nation at all levels must proactively share information, in order to ensure that everyone involved has as many pieces of the puzzle as are available, and can create the clearest and most accurate picture possible. Achieving this vision requires us to remove the barriers that today exist between different networks, and separate users from information, to evolve toward a true national intelligence enterprise.
Featured Plenary Session Speakers Include: The Honorable Dale W. Meyerrose, Associate Director of National Intelligence and Chief Information Officer; The Honorable John Grimes, Assistant Secretary for Defense for Networks and Information Integration (ASD NII)/CIO, Department of Defense; Amb Thomas McNamara, Program Manager Information Sharing Environment; RADM Arthur Lawrence, Assistant Surgeon General, Department of Health and Human Services; Dr. Thomas Fingar, Deputy director of National Intelligence for Analysis; and Dr. Eric Haseltine, Associate Director of National Intelligence for Science and Technology.
The afternoon agenda has been structured into 4 tracks: Track 1. Building and Governing the New Enterprise; Track 2. Better Intelligence through New Communications; Track 3. Reaching New Consumers; Track 4. New Tools and Technologies.
If you have not already registered, SIGN UP NOW. For more detailed agenda information and to register for the conference, please visit one of the following homepages: NCSI: http://www.ncsi.com/intelink06/index.shtml  or JWICS Intelink Central: http://www.ic.gov. SIPRNET Intelink Central: http://www.ismc.sgov.gov; or OSIS: http://www.osis.gov.

21 - 25 August 06 - Baltimore, MD - 2006 DHS Security Conference and Workshop will take place at the Sheraton Inner Harbor Hotel and Hyatt Regency Hotel. The conference will begin at 8:00 a.m. on Monday, August 21, and will have training developed specifically for State and Local security professionals. There is no registration fee for this conference. The Hyatt Regency Baltimore will house the Office of Security’s sessions, but you may stay in either hotel, they are located adjacent to one another. The Conference is expected to draw IT planning managers and security practitioners such as Information Systems Security Officers (ISSO), and Information Systems Security Managers (ISSM), as well as Administrative, Physical and Personnel Security Managers, State & Local Security Managers, and personnel from throughout the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) component organizations. To register for the conference and/or  to acquire additional information on the conference please go to http://www.fbcinc.com/conference2006/default.asp. When you register, please indicate that you are associated with the Office of Security; this will link you to a survey document that will assist us in planning appropriate room sizes for the selected presentations. To ensure that you receive the government room rate you must make your reservation before July 18th. Make room reservations by calling the Sheraton Inner Harbor Hotel at 1-888-962-8300 or the Hyatt Regency Hotel at 1-888-421-1442. For more information contact: Office of Security, Helen Stewart, (202) 205-3266, helen.stewart@dhs.gov

23 - 25 August 06 - Raleigh, NC - Fourth Annual Raleigh International Spy Conference focuses on topic: Castro and Cuba: What Next? From revolution to Cold War KGB leader, Castro and his era will end soon. Hear the experts -- Don Bohning, Humberto Fontova, Brian Latell, Tim Naftali, Art Padilla, and AFIO's President, Gene Poteat -- take you from the Bay of Pigs through the Cuban Missile Crisis, the intrigue of Castros role as the "Bridgehead" for the KGB-led Non-aligned Movement - including new revelations from the intelligence world and estimates of what will happen to Cuba and its relationship with the US after Castro. Put on your calendar and go to www.raleighspyconference.com or call the Spy Hotline at 919- 807-7917 to register early for this important event.

29 - 30 August 2006 - New York, NY - The Society of Competitive Intelligence Professionals [SCIP] “Competitive Technical Intelligence Best Practice Forum” will feature Wayne A. Rosenkrans, Jr., PhD of AstraZeneca Rosenkrans, the scientific and medical strategy director for external scientific affairs at AstraZeneca, will speak on how competitive technical intelligence (CTI) and strategy work together in successful organizations. CTI refers to the analysis of the external competitive environment in the context of internal issues, especially when technology is a factor. CTI can include scientific or technological threats, opportunities, or developments that impact a company’s competitive situation. “CTI is prevalent in a number of industries represented by our organization and a topic our members want to learn more about,” explains Alex Graham, SCIP’s executive director. “Professionals in many industries - pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, information technology, aerospace, chemicals, and transportation - can benefit from this forum.” Serving as a co-moderator with Martha Matteo, PhD [former CTI director at Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceutical, and SCIP board member] is Arik Johnson, founder and CEO of Aurora WDC and also a SCIP board member. The forum features discussion groups, networking opportunities, and a post-conference white paper summary of the event. The two-day forum will be at the Marriott Marquis Time Square in New York. For full details and to register, visit www.scip.org.

3-8 September 06 - Oxford, England - Spies, Lies & Intelligence Conference - From the historical certainties of World War II, through the treacheries and ultimate triumphs of the Cold War, we have emerged into an age when "Terror" is the West's new political and security watchword. This five-day conference brings together authors, experts and intelligence practitioners of international standing and examines the evolution of intelligence, espionage and deception across more than half a century.  direct all enquiries and bookings to: The Steward's Office, Christ Church OXFORD OX1 1DP. Tel: +44 (0)1865 286848 Email: conflict@chch.ox.ac.uk or to kerry.deeley@chch.ox.ac.uk

8 September 06 - Vienna, VA - AFIO National Luncheon  Two compelling presentations  SPEAKERS:  Amb. J. Cofer Black, former Coordinator for Counterterrorism at the U. S. State Department, and former Director of the CIA's Counterterrorism Center, now Vice Chairman of Blackwater USA;
speaking on "The Evolution and Future of Terrorism"  and Senior Pentagon Correspondent for the Washington Post/author, Thomas E. Ricks on his impressive new book: 
FIASCO: The American Military Adventure in Iraq
. Space limited.  $49 pp members; $59 pp non-members.  To be held at the Sheraton Premiere Hotel Ballroom, 8661 Leesburg Pike, Vienna, VA 22180. Three course gourmet luncheon will be served. Registration at 10:30 a.m.; Ricks at 11 a.m.; Lunch at noon; Black at 1:00 p.m.  Borders Books will have many new intelligence titles available to browse or purchase. Other authors will be present. Online registration available here.  Members given preference on date of registration basis.

9 September 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details.  Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.

14 - 18 September 06 - Arlington, VA - The OSS Society and the Carpetbaggers will be co-hosting a Reunion at the Crown Plaza Hotel Reagan National Airport. 1480 Crystal Drive, Arlington, VA, US, 22202. More information can be found at www.osssociety.org

16 September 06 - Kennebunk, ME.  The Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at 2:00 p.m. at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main St., Kennebunk. Guest speaker will be Janet Ray Weininger, daughter of Thomas "Pete" Ray, a CIA pilot killed in the 1961 Bay of Pigs invasion. Ray, whose body was kept on display in a Havana morgue, is remembered by Memorial Star 22 on  the Wall of Honor and in the Book of Honor at CIA headquarters. Following her successful recovery of  her father's body from Cuba, Weininger spearheaded the recovery mission of the remains of two CIA pilots from the remote mountains of Nicaragua in 1998 with support from CIA, a U.S. Army team from the Central Identification Laboratory in Hawaii, U. S. Army Black Hawk crews, and U.S. and Nicaraguan diplomats and military. Weininger has been honored by the U. S. Congress for her work and has appeared on national TV programs such as Good Morning America and in the press. Weininger is founder and president of Wings of Valor, a Miami, Fla. based charitable organization dedicated to rebuilding lives torn apart by war, poverty, and disaster. She has a degree in Business Administration and lives in Miami, Fla. with her husband, a Delta Airlines pilot. The meeting is open to the public. Contact 207-985-2392 for information.

17 September 06 - Washington, DC - The International Spy Museum presents "Third-String Catcher, All-Star Spy" This event celebrates American baseball player Moe Berg and his efforts as a secret agent of the OSS. From parachuting into Yugoslavia to clandestinely filming Japanese military installations, Berg was an active agent whose life as a touring baseball player was a perfect cover. Join historians, authors, friends, and fans in this exploration of Berg's career with a special presentation of a commemorative Moe Berg medal to relative Irwin Berg. The event will be held from 1:00-3:15pm at the Spy Museum, 800 F Street, NW, Washington, DC, Gallery Place/Chinatown Metrorail Station. The cost is $15; Members of The Spy Ring: $12; Advance Registration required. Tickets are non-refundable and do not include admission to the International Spy Museum. To register, call Ticketmaster at 202.397.SEAT, 800.551.SEAT or the Museum at 202.393.7798; order online at ticketmaster.com; or purchase tickets in person at the International Spy Museum. To infiltrate The Spy Ring, the Spy Museum's membership program, visit spymuseum.org or call 866.SPYMUSEUM.

21 September 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at Air Force Academy Officers Club in the Falcon Room, starting at 11:30, lunch served at 12:00 and meeting ends at 1:30 pm. Valerie J. McNevin, Esq., World Bank and financial crimes expert, who also was an AFIO National Board Member, will speak at the noon meeting. Lunch is the only $10.00. Questions or Reservations to Dick Durham, 719-488-2884. or Riverwear53@aol.com.

Friday Evening, 22 September 2006 - New York, NY - AFIO Metro New York Chapter hosts Dr. David Kahn: World-Famous Codebreaking Historian, speaking on "The Rise of Intelligence" Kahn holds a Ph.D in modern history from Oxford (England), and has taught courses on political and military intelligence at Yale and Columbia Universities, has spoken widely on intelligence, has testified before Congress on policy matters dealing with cryptology, and appears on television as an expert on the history of codes and ciphers. He is a founding co-editor on the scholarly quarterly "Cryptologia" and is a member of the boards of editors of "Intelligence and National Security" and of the "International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence." He is also bestselling Author of "The Codebreakers" (often called the bible of cryptology), "The Reader of Gentlemen's Mail", "Hitler's Spies", "Seizing the Enigma" and "Kahn on Codes." This will be a fascinating talk by a consummate intelligence historian!
PLACE: Society of Illustrators Building 128 East 63rd St, Manhattan - Between Park and Lexington Aves, New York City. TIME: Registration: 5:30 PM - 6:00 PM. FORMAT: Buffet Dinner Starting at 6:00 PM. Cash Bar. COST: $45. Per Person. In Advance or at the Door. Checks Payable to Jerry Goodwin, [President, AFIO Metro Chapter]; Advance Reservations not Required but Strongly Suggested and Much Appreciated by phone to 212-308-1450 or by email to afiometro@yahoo.com

23 September 06 - Washington, DC - The Cold War Museum hosts a special Spy Tour of Washington.  The Cold War Museum hosts a tour of various espionage sites in Arlington, Washington, and Georgetown; observe the former Café' where a Soviet spy escaped from his CIA handlers; listen in on a briefing about Civil War espionage at Lafayette Park; tour the Berlin Wall at the Newseum; and/or visit drop points used by agents such as FBI spy Robert Hanssen. Since its earliest days, Washington, D.C. has been the scene of international intrigue, espionage, and intelligence activity, as the U.S. government has tried to learn the plans of other countries while keeping its own plans secret. Key players in this non-ending drama include personalities as diverse as Rose Greenhow, Herbert Yardley, Major General "Wild Bill" Donovan, Aldrich Ames, and Robert Hanssen. This six-hour bus tour will introduce you to many of the locations in and around Washington that have been associated with intelligence and counter intelligence activities for the past two hundred years. Some walking is required. Optional stop at International Spy Museum not included in price. For more information, private bookings and additional information visit www.spytour.com or call the Cold War Museum at (703) 273-2381.

4 - 5 October 2006 - Bolling AFB, DC - National Military Intelligence Association hosts 2-day conference on Joint Intelligence Operations Center: Concepts and Reality with the Defense Intelligence Agency. The Conference will feature presentations by USD(I), the J2, the Combatant Commands, the Service Intelligence Chiefs and conclude with a discussion of resources by the Deputy Director, DIA. The conference will be conducted at the SECRET level at the DIAC on October 4-5, 2006. Further information available at www.nmia.org.

10 October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club, at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is Billy Waugh who was wounded five times in his seven and a half years as a Green Beret in Vietnam. Many of these years were spent behind enemy lines as part of SOG, a top secret group of elite commandos. Sergeant Major Billy Waugh retired in 1972 to continue his craft as an independent contractor with the CIA. In 1994, Waugh was the team leader of a four-man CIA group that laid the groundwork for the capture of Carlos the Jackal, the world's most wanted man at the time. At the age of 71 shortly after 9/11, he was one of the first on the ground as a team member of a combined Special Forces/CIA takedown unit inside Afghanistan. Earlier Waugh had kept surveillance on Osama bin Laden in Khartoum in 1991 and again in 1992 as one of the first CIA operatives assigned to watch the al Qaeda leader. His book, Hunting the Jackal, recounts a remarkable life of service. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com.

Saturday, 14 Oct 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956 POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS - The Cold War Museum will convene a distinguished gathering of diplomats, officials and historians in Fairfax County to discuss the 1956 Polish and Hungarian uprisings against the Soviets and Communism. Among those attending will be Polish and Hungarian dignitaries; Sergei Khrushchev, son of the late Soviet premier; David Eisenhower, grandson of President Eisenhower; Rep. Tom Davis, Congressman from Fairfax County; Dr. Charles Gati, historian from Johns Hopkins University; and Christian Ostermann, historian from the Cold War International History project. The daylong program will be at the South County Secondary School, 8501 Silverbrook Rd, Lorton, Virginia. South County students are assisting with conference logistics and 250 are scheduled to attend the event. Registration begins at 8:30 a.m.; program starts at 9:30 a.m. Fee is $25 pp, includes continental breakfast and lunch.
Morning sessions feature Hungarian and Polish panelists moderated by Dr. Charles Gati from Johns Hopkins University. An afternoon panel focuses on reflections of the 1956 events by Sergei Khrushchev, David Eisenhower, moderated by Christian Ostermann of the Cold War International History Program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington. Breakout sessions in the morning and afternoon will include the collection of oral histories from area Nike Missile and other Cold War veterans.During one of the breakout sessions a photo shoot for the Cold War Museum is planned with the dignitaries participating. Plans call for the museum’s permanent headquarters to be located on the grounds of the former National Nike Missile Site also in Lorton, Virginia. Following the conference, the Polish and Hungarian Embassies in Washington, DC will co-host an evening reception for invited guests. The Hungarian and Polish embassies, Fairfax County Economic Development Authority, the Hungarian Technology Council, as well as the Cold War Museum and the South County Secondary School, are hosts for the program. Sponsors include EnviroSolutions, Inc., K. Hovnanian® Homes, Marriott Fairfax at Fair Oaks, Northern Virginia Community College, and Verizon. For more information contact Francis Gary Powers, Jr., 703-273-2381; gpowersjr@coldwar.org

21 October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of Operation Jedburgh. Colin was born in New York City and grew up in Westport, Mass. He moved to England at age 18 and received both his bachelors and doctors degrees from the University of Liverpool. He now lives in New York City working full-time as a writer. While working on an article about his grandfather, Jerry Miller, and his career in OSS and CIA, he uncovered Operation Jedburgh and his grandfather's leading role. Operation Jedburgh tells the dramatic story of 300 American and Allied soldiers who were dropped behind enemy lines on D-Day to work with French Resistance and who launched a highly effective campaign against the Germans. Special forces procedures pioneered in this operation are still being used in Iraq and Afghanistan. The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main Street, Kennebunk at 2:00 p.m. Contact 207-985-2392 for information

20-21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - The Vietnam Center at Texas Tech University and CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI) will co-host a conference on "Intelligence in the Vietnam War," which will be held in Lubbock, Texas, at the Holiday Inn Park Plaza. The purpose of this conference is to examine intelligence activities in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and elsewhere as they impacted the Vietnam War. We welcome papers that discuss intelligence analysis and operations from all sides of the conflict and desire presentations that discuss US, RVN, DRV, VC, USSR, PRC, Warsaw Pact, and other intelligence activities as they related to the Vietnam War. While the focus will remain on historical events, it is our distinct hope that appropriate historical lessons might be drawn of more immediate application to current wars and conflicts. To that end, we are seeking paper and panel proposals on all subjects related to Intelligence in the Vietnam War to include but not limited to the following topics: Intelligence and counter-intelligence operations to include human, electronic, signals, and imagery intelligence; Terrorism and counter-terrorism; Infiltration operations into North Vietnam, the Viet Cong infrastructure, and elsewhere; Psychological operations; The Phoenix Program, Provincial Reconnaissance Units, and other attempts to neutralize the VCI; Rolling Thunder, enemy order of battle, the will to persist, and other analytical issues; Inter-agency cooperation and conflict between the CIA, DIA, and other intelligence organizations; The politics of intelligence (e.g. the producer v. the consumer in the development of estimative products); the use of RAND and other private analytical resources as intelligence; etc... This conference will offer students, scholars, intelligence officials, policy makers, and others with an excellent opportunity to discuss and learn from intelligence activities from America's longest war along with the many issues that surrounded these complex activities and events. If you are interested in providing either an individual presentation or a panel discussion, submit a proposal (single page or less) to Mr. Stephen Maxner, Deputy Director at the Vietnam Center at steve.maxner@ttu.edu or call (806) 742-9010 for more information. Deadline for submissions: August 1, 2006

22 - 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - 2 days of talks, meeting, and colloquia on terrorism facing Israel and its future in the Middle East. Event will examine the claims and challenges facing Israel as it increasingly becomes surrounded by ever more hostile enemies. The event will discuss Israel's right to exist as sought by all nations to live in peace and security; a review of the claim in 1917 with the Balfour Declaration, of the 1923 San Remo Conference, and the 1947 U.N. Resolution 181. Also examined will be the unresolved issue of a rapidly growing population of Arabs, unsettled by current Jerusalem statutes.
The event will feature presentations by: Honorable Congressman Joe Wilson (R-SC); Honorable Mr. Giora Eiland; Honorable Mr. Moshe Yaalon; Honorable MR.Yuval Shetinitz; Honorable Shemuel Ben Shemuel; Honorable Shabtai Shavit; Honorable Mr Arie Eldad; Honorable Ambassador Oded Eran; Honorable Mrs. Limor Livnat; Mr Rahanan Gissin; State Congressman Bill Herbkersman; Hilton Head City Judge Mrs Morrin Coffee Adri. To register or for further information contact: Orly Benny Davis 912-330-5020 ex 216, E-mail; orlyusa@aol.com.
Event is presented by Pomegranate Company Inc., and is sponsored by Park West Homes; cosponsored by Jewish Federation of Savannah, with support of Israeli Consulate General in Atlanta GA; Jewish National Fund; KKL; JEA of Savannah, ZOA CIPAC
Friends of The world Likud; and Hadassah Of Savannah

3 - 5 November 06 - Reston, VA - AFIO - DHS National Intelligence Symposium on Homeland, Port and Border Security  FOR YOUR Calendars. The AFIO National Symposium with the Department of Homeland Security will focus on DHS's Intelligence and Port and Border enforcement issues. The event will be held 3 November thru 5 November at the Hyatt Regency Hotel - Reston, 1800 Presidents St, Reston, VA 20190. Further information to be sent to all AFIO members in coming months. The hotel offers free shuttle to/from Dulles Airport.  Make your flight reservations now.

3 - 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach NH - AFIO New England Chapter meets at the beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel to hear speakers Professor William Tafoya and Joe Wippl, the new CIA Officer-in-Residence at Boston University. For further information or to register, contact chapter president Art Lindberg at alindberg10@comcast.net

10 November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of Remembrance" The ACICV Day of Remembrance, which includes a special Wreath Laying Ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknowns in the Cemetery and a Memorial Luncheon at Fort Myer, honors the memory of Army Counterintelligence veterans and associates who have passed away since the last Remembrance Day. Friends and supporters of ACICV and Army Counterintelligence are invited to attend. For additional information contact Ed Meiser at 1-518-371-8356 (e-mail: Leigh54@aol.com) or Elly Burton at 1-703-591-3848 (e-mail ellyb@starpower.net).

14 November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) has provided early "hold-the-date" notice that the DIAA Fall Luncheon will be held at the Columbus Club of Arlington, 5115 Little Falls Road, Arlington VA. Program details and directions to the event will be provided in mid-September.

16 November 06 - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at Air Force Academy Officers Club in the Falcon Room, starting at 11:30, lunch served at 12:00 and meeting ends at 1:30 pm. Speakers to be announced. Questions or Reservations to Dick Durham, 719-488-2884. or Riverwear53@aol.com.

29 Nov - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - The Institute for Defense and Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis & Processing: The latest on Intelligence Analysis policy, programs, and technology" - Pre-Conference Seminar and Main Chaired by: Ed Waltz, Chief Scientist, Intelligence Innovation Division, BAE SYSTEMS. IDGA’s Intelligence Analysis & Processing conference is a forum for industry professionals worldwide to network and exchange information about the latest advances in Intelligence Analysis & Processing challenges, methodology, and technology. The Intelligence Analysis & Processing Seminar preceding the conference will allow participants to increase their knowledge of some of the most important advancements in Intelligence Analysis & Processing through in-depth master classes. For more information: www.ipqc.com.

1 December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow

6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park , FL.

8 December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening meeting at Society of Illustrators Building, 128 East 63rd St, (between Park and Lexington). Check-in: 5:30 PM - 6:00 PM. Speakers to be announced. Buffet dinner, tables of eight. $45pp, includes drinks, coffee, dessert. Cash bar. Registration and more information available from Jerry Goodwin, Chapter President, at 212-308-1450, or email him at afiometro@yahoo.com.

12-14 December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V The MASINT Association's Annual Conference will be held with the National Reconnaissance Office. Write them at masintassoc@earthlink.net

12 December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officersï' Club, at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is James Pavitt. A 31-year veteran of CIA, who in 1999 was appointed Deputy Director for Operations to head what is now known as the National Clandestine Service, the CIA directorate responsible for the clandestine collection of foreign intelligence. He had served as Associate Deputy Director for Operations from July 1997 through July 1999. He served longer in that position than any DDO in the last 30 years until retiring from CIA and the DO in August 2004. After joining the Agency in 1973 as a Career Trainee, he served in a variety of intelligence assignments in Europe, Asia and at CIA Headquarters. In 1990, he was assigned to the National Security Council as the Director for Intelligence Programs. In June 1992, President Bush appointed him Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs and NSC Senior Director for Intelligence Programs. Mr. Pavitt began his intelligence career in the United States Army from 1969-1971 as an intelligence officer. Jim Pavitt is currently a principle at the Scowcroft Group and also serves as a member of the AFIO National Board of Directors. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com

AND FOR 2007 CALENDARS ....

26-27 January 07 - Springfield, VA- Intelligence and Ethics 2007 and Call for Proposals. The International Intelligence Ethics Association (IIEA) invites paper proposals by September 18, 2006; proposals for dinner table discussions on intelligence ethics in current events, by October 10, 2006, and proposals for lunch-with-an-author, by October 10, 2006. For further information, see http://intelligence-ethics.org/conference/07 or inquire at conference2007@intelligence-ethics.org.

13 February 07 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club, at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is Carl W Ford, Jr., former head of the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR), from 2001 until 2003. As Assistant Secretary of State for Intelligence and Research, he reported directly to the Secretary of State, Colin Powell, and provided intelligence support and analysis to him and other senior policy makers. He was directly involved in crafting policy related to the war on terrorism, the Iraq war and reconstruction, and issues regarding the Chinese military, nuclear proliferation, the Middle East peace process, and the North Korean military threat. Between 1965 and 1989, Mr. Ford served a tour of duty in Vietnam, was a U.S. Army Military Intelligence Officer, a Defense Intelligence Agency China Strategic Intelligence Officer, a CIA China military analyst, a professional staff member for East Asia on the Committee on Foreign Relations, and the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia at the CIA. Beginning in early 1989, Mr. Ford spent four years working at the Deputy Assistant Secretary and Acting Assistant Secretary levels in the Defense Department. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com.

3 March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details.  Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.

17-19 May 2007 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion We have activated a SAC IN/544th & Friends Reunion website to update you on our reunion planning efforts. The web site address is: http://sacintelreunion.com (note: there is no www in the address). The web site is still UNDER CONSTRUCTION, and will be for some time as we incrementally add/refine relevant reunion information. The initial web site data includes, among other items, a main (i.e. home) page with reunion overview information, and a "participant" link that contains a list of the SAC IN/544th & Friends alumni that we've contacted to date. We request that you review this list to identify anyone you may know who is not on the list and, in turn, contact them (info Marv Howell: marvh@cox.net) and advise them of our reunion plans and ask them to contact Marv to let him know if they are interested (or not) in attending the reunion. Your assistance in identifying and contacting other potential reunion attendees is key to our getting the word out to as many people as possible and is very important to our "sizing" the reunion and developing related reunion cost data. We're also pleased to report that we have signed a contract with the Embassy Suites reserving a ballroom with a capacity of 350 for our banquet on Saturday, May 19, 2007. Additionally, we have blocked 50 rooms at a special rate for our reunion attendees ($129 plus tax, double occupancy). We encourage attendees who plan on staying at the Embassy Suites to make their reservations at the earliest convenient date to be insured of getting the discounted group room rate. Reservations should be made either directly with the Omaha Embassy Suites (402) 346-9000, or through the Embassy Suites central reservation center at 1-800-362-2779, request the "SAC INTEL Reunion" block discount room rate, group code "SIR". For your convenience, our web site provides a link to the Omaha Embassy Suites web site. As regards reunion event planning, we're very proud to note that our reunion banquet keynote speaker, General Michael Hayden (SAC IN analyst & briefer '70-'72), has been confirmed by the Senate to be Director of the CIA. Additionally, we have reserved the Dougherty Conference Center for a symposium to be held on Friday, May 18, and have reserved the Bellevue Lied Activity Center for a presentation on SAC Intelligence's role in the Cuban Missile Crisis to be held on Sat May 19. More detailed information on these reunion events will be posted on our web site as soon as possible. Finally, we have decided on a pre-registration fee of $25 per attendee and would request that those who plan on attending the reunion mail their pre-registration checks, made payable to: "SAC IN/544 Reunion," to: Mike Catherall, 13006 Jan Circle, Bellevue, NE 68123. Early payment (i.e. within the next 30 - 60 days) of the pre-registration fee is encouraged to assist us with meeting reunion planning financial obligations to include payment of a deposit for the banquet ballroom. We look forward to hearing from you and seeing you this time next year in Omaha.

2 June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details.  Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.

8 September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details.  Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.

18-19 October 2007: Symposium on Cryptologic History sponsored by the Center for Cryptologic History, to be held at Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD. Further details available in early 2007.

1 December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.

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