AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #37-06 dated 18 September 2006

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. WINs are edited by Ernest Hampson, Ph.D., with input from AFIO members and staff.
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EDITOR'S NOTES: Questions or suggested items can be directed to WINsEditor@afio.com -Ernie Hampson.

Stop Waiting. Get Your Intelligence Career In High Gear
20 September [Wednesday] 2006
OPEN HOUSE AT IWP
There’s a new weapon in the academic arsenal. The Institute of World Politics Accredited graduate certificate and M.A. programs...Designed to deploy knowledge and understanding in the ethical use of power into unmapped areas of public diplomacy, political warfare, and intelligence. Be there Wednesday Evening, September 20, 5:30-8:00 pm RSVP http://www.iwp.edu/admissions/pageID.181/default.asp  or visit www.IWP.edu and look for Open House registration in right hand column.
www.iwp.edu  - 202.462.2101 - 1.888.KNOW.IWP 1521 16th Street, NW - Washington, DC 20036


AFIO National Symposium 2006
focuses on the Intelligence Duties and Office of the
Department of Homeland Security

Tentative Agenda

Secure Online Registration


To complete registration form OFFLINE
open and print the following PDF

PDF of both Agenda and Single-Page Registration Form, click here

The AFIO National Symposium for 2006 is looking closely at the Intelligence components of the vast Department of Homeland Security -  looking at Intelligence and law enforcement duties and issues - particularly port and border security. This important event will be held Friday 3 November to noon on Sunday, 5 November at the Hyatt Regency Hotel - Reston, 1800 Presidents St, Reston, VA 20190. Further information will be sent to all AFIO members-of-record this months with PERISCOPE.

 If making flight reservations now, plan to arrive on Thursday, 2 November, and depart late in the afternoon on Sunday, 5 November. The closest airport to Reston, VA is Dulles. The hotel provides free airport shuttle service to/from Dulles. The Event is located in a prime walking area filled with shops and superb restaurants. Easy parking.  To make your reservation online NOW at the special AFIO Symposium rate of $129/nite [single or double occup.] while still available, at the hotel that has been voted the BEST HOTEL in Fairfax County, click here and following the instructions: https://resweb.passkey.com/Resweb.do?mode=welcome_ei_new&eventID=32661 


SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
EX-CIA EUROPE CHIEF WAS WRONG- HIGH-LEVEL IRAQI SOURCE DID CONFIRM SADDAM'S WMD PROGRAMS
HIGH-PROFILE REPUBLICANS CHALLENGE BUSH ON CLARIFICATION OF GENEVA CONVENTION AND INTERROGATION TECHNIQUES
US OFFICIALS SEEK INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT TO TARGET TEHRAN'S BANKING
NORTH KOREANS DETERMINED TO CONDUCT NUCLEAR TEST
CIA ALLEGEDLY VIOLATING UN RULES BY BACKING SOMALI GOVERNMENT AGAINST ISLAMISTS
SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
JAPANESE PRIME MINISTER CANDIDATE CALLS FOR ESTABLISHMENT OF A 'CIA' FOR JAPAN
COMBATING TERRORISM CENTER IN FLORIDA HELPS CENTCOM KNOW THE ENEMY
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
A CYBER STORM REVEALS HOLES IN NATION'S INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SECURITY
SECTION IV - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
Careers
TWO TENURE TRACK INTELLIGENCE OR AMERICAN POLITICS FACULTY POSITIONS AT CSU SAN BERNARDINO
Notes
SECRETARY CHERTOFF ANNOUNCES APPOINTMENT OF DHS WMD INTELLIGENCE SENIOR ADVISOR
Assistance Sought
HO CHI MINH TRAIL PROJECT - In Washington This Week, Can Meet With You
Obituaries
CIA VETERAN OF THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS, CESAR DIOSADO, DEAD AT 85
Coming Events
20 - 23 September 06 - Offutt AFB, NE - the Midwest Chapter of AFIO holds group reunion at U.S. Strategic Command (SAC)
          20 September [Wednesday] 06 - Washington, DC - OPEN HOUSE AT Institute of World Politics
21 September 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter Meeting holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
          21 September 06 - Washington, DC - Spy Museum’s Scavenger Hunt - Spy Behind the Scene
22 September 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds dinner featuring noted intelligence historian David Kahn
23 September 06 - Washington, DC - The Cold War Museum hosts a special Spy Tour of Washington.
4 - 5 October 06 - Bolling AFB, DC - Natl Military Intelligence Assoc 2-day conference on Joint Intel Ops Center with DIA
10 October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter - at MacDill AFB O'Club
          11 October 06 - Washington, DC - From the Secret Files of the Spy Museum - Back Brief Cuba: Covert Ops, Castro’s Brother, and the Challenge of Tomorrow
12 October 06 - Washington, DC - Khrushchev’s Cold War: The Inside Story of an American Adversary at Spy Museum
14 October 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956 POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS
          19 October 06 - Washington, DC - National Portrait Gallery & Spy Museum present Spies on Screen - THIRTEEN DAYS
20 - 21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - Texas Tech and CIA's Center for Study of Intelligence co-host "Intelligence in the Vietnam War,"
21 October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - the Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at 2:00 p.m. with author Colin Beavan at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main St., Kennebunk.
21 October 06 - Washington, DC - The National Archives Presents The Cold War: An Eyewitness Perspective A Public Symposium
22 - 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - talks, meeting, and colloquia on Israel and its future in the Middle East in face of terrorism.
          24 October 06 - Washington, DC - Intrigue at the Willard - Spy School Workshop: Spy Museum event at Willard Hotel
          26 September 06 - Bolling Air Force Base, Washington, DC - the Joint Military Intelligence College Annual Conference 2006
          28 October 06 - Seattle, WA - AFIO Pacific Northwest Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of "Operation Jedburgh"
28 - 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - Call for Papers: The 3rd Conference on Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
3 - 5 November 06 - McLean, VA - AFIO National Intelligence Symposium with DHS on Homeland, Port and Border Security
3 - 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach, NH - AFIO New England hosts meeting at beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel with two speakers.
          4 November 06 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hears Dr. Jack Baghdassarian on "Origins of Islamic Terrorism"
          9 November 06 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories - Capturing Jonathan Pollard: The Real Story at the Spy Museum
10 November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of Remembrance"
14 November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) Fall Luncheon
16 November 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
          16 November 06 - Washington, DC - 6:30 pm - Domestic Spying: Anti-Terrorism or Anti-American?
18 November 06 - Kennebunk, ME.  The AFIO/ME Chapter will hear Todd DiFede, Supervisory Senior FBI Resident Agent for Maine
29 November - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - Institute for Defense and Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis & Processing"
1 December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow
6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
8 December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening meeting
12 December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club
12-14 December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V, The MASINT Association's Annual Conference
          20 January 07 - Kennebunk, ME. AFIO/ME will bring Maine's 9/11 memorial to Kennebunk for the meeting. Michael Clarke, Bath, Maine, firefighter
26 - 27 January 07 - Springfield, VA- Intelligence and Ethics 2007 and Call for Proposals
13 February 07 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter luncheon with Carl W Ford, Jr., former head of the State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)
3 March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
          10 March 07 - Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River Colony Club
12 May 07 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club
17-19 May 07 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion
2 June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
          4 August 07 - - Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River Colony Club
8 September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
18-19 October 07 - Laurel, MD - Symposium on Cryptologic History sponsored by the Center for Cryptologic History.
          3 November 07 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club
1 December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting

SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

EX-CIA EUROPE CHIEF WAS WRONG- HIGH-LEVEL IRAQI SOURCE DID CONFIRM SADDAM'S WMD PROGRAMS As reported in the WINs on 1 May, Tyler Drumheller, a 26-year CIA veteran and former Chief of the European Division, appeared on the CBS news magazine 60 Minutes [CBS/24Apr06] to criticize the Bush administration's handling of pre-war intelligence. One incident he explained to reporter Ed Bradley included a high-level source in Saddam Hussein's government, considered credible by CIA, who purportedly told the Bush administration in 2002 that Iraq had no WMD programs. Drumheller contended that President Bush was excited when he heard they were receiving reliable intelligence from Naji Sabri, Saddam's Foreign Minister, but chose to ignore the intelligence once he found out that it did not support his war plan. According to CBS, "Bradley inquired, 'So in the fall of 2002, before going to war, we had it on good authority from a source within Saddam's inner circle that he didn't have an active program for weapons of mass destruction?' 'Yes,' Drumheller said, proclaiming himself outraged."

Now, it appears, Drumheller was wrong. The recently published Senate report on pre-war intelligence [U.S. Senate/8Sep06] tells the opposite story about Sabri's intelligence. Starting on page 141 in an addendum entitled "Additional Views by Senators Roberts, Hatch and Chambliss," Sabri confirmed the following:

  • Saddam Hussein was actively and covertly developing a nuclear weapon, and was irate that Iraq did not have one already as money was not a concern.
  • Saddam's Nuclear Weapons Committee told him that they could have a weapon within 18-24 months of acquiring fissile material. The return of UN inspectors would not pose a threat to the program as Iraq had become expert in denial and deception.
  • Iraq was producing and stockpiling chemical weapons.
  • Iraqi scientists were experimenting with biological weapons but had no real program and no real success.
  • Iraq's "weapons of last resort" were chemical warheads mounted on missiles with mobile launchers that would be fired at enemy forces and Israel.

Of course, Sabri's contentions were mostly proved false in the aftermath of the US invasion.

The Senate report acknowledged Drumheller's appearance on 60 Minutes as well as subsequent interviews in which he maintained that Sabri said Iraq had no WMD programs.