AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #38-06 dated 25 September 2006

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. WINs are edited by Ernest Hampson, Ph.D., with input from AFIO members and staff.
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Saturdays, starting 30 September 06 in Washington, DC
The International Spy Museum and Gray Lines launch "Spy City Tours (tm)"
Spy City Tours(tm) will provide a tour of 25 locations of notorious spy cases in the nation's capital. The tours will include an on-the-bus briefing by a "Training Officer" on key sites linked to intelligence triumphs, disasters, and mysteries. Former intelligence officers will provide video briefings and tradecraft tips as the tour winds its way through the city. It will include offices, restaurants, and hotels that have been at the center of espionage, such as the French brasserie where a seductive agent used her wiles to elicit secret information from her infatuated U.S. State Department target, as well as the pub where CIA traitor Aldrich Ames gave up the names of 10 American spies in the Soviet Union, who were quickly executed. Video Briefings will include former KGB Major General Oleg Kalugin discussing what it was like to work undercover while stationed in Washington, DC, and by former CIA Operations Officer and Founding Executive Director of the Spy Museum, Peter Earnest, who will disclose spy concepts, lingo, and recruitment strategies. Also patching in via video will be former CIA Chiefs of Disguise, Tony and Jonna Mendez, who will demonstrate the art of the "quick change" and how to move through hostile territory without attracting attention. The tour is available each week on Saturdays at 2pm. Tickets for the tour are $79 and can be purchased online at www.grayline.com or by calling 1.800.GRAYLINE.


AFIO National Symposium 2006
focusing on the Intelligence Duties and Office of the
Department of Homeland Security

Banquet Speaker:  The Hon. Fred Thompson [confirmed]

Agenda

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The AFIO National Symposium for 2006 is looking closely at the Intelligence components of the vast Department of Homeland Security -  looking at Intelligence and law enforcement duties and issues - particularly port and border security. This important event will be held Friday 3 November to noon on Sunday, 5 November at the Hyatt Regency Hotel - Reston, 1800 Presidents St, Reston, VA 20190. Further information will be sent to all AFIO members-of-record this months with PERISCOPE.

 If making flight reservations now, plan to arrive on Thursday, 2 November, and depart late in the afternoon on Sunday, 5 November. The closest airport to Reston, VA is Dulles. The hotel provides free airport shuttle service to/from Dulles. The Event is located in a prime walking area filled with shops and superb restaurants. Easy parking.  To make your reservation online NOW at the special AFIO Symposium rate of $129/nite [single or double occup.] while still available, at the hotel that has been voted the BEST HOTEL in Fairfax County, click here and following the instructions: https://resweb.passkey.com/Resweb.do?mode=welcome_ei_new&eventID=32661 


SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
FIRST-EVER SUICIDE BOMBING IN SOMALIA TARGETS PRESIDENT
CIA GREEN BADGERS OUTNUMBER GOVIES AS CONTRACTOR SUPPORT TO INTEL COMMUNITY SWELLS
PAKISTANI ISI PURPORTEDLY THREATENING UK TERROR DEFENDANT
CANADIAN SUBJECT OF CIA RENDITION EXONERATED AFTER 4 YEARS OF SUSPICION AND 10 MONTHS IN SYRIAN DETENTION
HOUSE REPUBLICANS OKAY SENATE AND WHITE HOUSE COMPROMISE ON INTERROGATION TECHNIQUES
SAUDI GOVERNMENT DISPUTES FRENCH REPORTS THAT BIN LADEN IS DEAD
SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
POWERFUL SOUTH AFRICAN TRADE UNIONS SEEN AS "KING MAKERS" GET ATTENTION OF CIA
COUNTERTERRORISM EXPERTS IN ISRAEL DIFFER ON ASSESSMENT OF IRAN'S NUCLEAR THREAT
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
MILITARY INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONAL BULLETIN AVAILABLE AGAIN IN OPEN ACCESS
INTERNET CHATTER INDICATES MERGER OF ANSAR AL-SUNNAH ARMY OF IRAQ WITH AL QAEDA'S MUJAHIDEEN SHURA COUNCIL
DHS APPOINTS GARCIA AS CYBER SECURITY CHIEF
SECTION IV - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
Notes
BBC DOWNPLAYS CRITICISM OF ABC 9/11 DOCUDRAMA AFTER LEARNING OF CONNECTIONS TO RELIGIOUS RIGHT
          FRONTLINE PRESENTS THREE PROGRAMS IN OCTOBER ON THE GLOBAL WAR ON TERROR
PORTBLUE INTRODUCES COMMANDAWARE - HOSPITAL INCIDENT RESPONSE SYSTEM
Obituaries
HELENE DESCHAMPS ADAMS, WORLD WAR II SPY AND FRENCH RESISTANCE FIGHTER, DEAD IN NEW YORK AT 85
Coming Events
26 September 06 - Bolling Air Force Base, Washington, DC - the Joint Military Intelligence College Annual Conference 2006
28 - 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - Call for Papers: The 3rd Conference on Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
          Saturdays, starting 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - The International Spy Museum and Gray Lines launch "Spy City Tours (tm)."
4 - 5 October 06 - Bolling AFB, DC - Natl Military Intelligence Assoc 2-day conference on Joint Intel Ops Center with DIA
          4 October 06 - Laurel, MD - Eighth Annual National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Meeting at Kossiakoff Center, Johns Hopkins University
10 October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter - at MacDill AFB O'Club
          11 October 06 - Washington, DC - From the Secret Files of the Spy Museum - Back Brief Cuba: Covert Ops, Castro’s Brother, and the Challenge of Tomorrow
12 October 06 - Washington, DC - Khrushchev’s Cold War: The Inside Story of an American Adversary at Spy Museum
14 October 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956 POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS
          14 October 06 - Long Beach, CA - "Tea & Intrigue" - The Trans-Oceanic & New Americas Group is hosting an afternoon with Nigel West
          19 October 06 - Washington, DC - National Portrait Gallery & Spy Museum present Spies on Screen - THIRTEEN DAYS
20 - 21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - Texas Tech and CIA's Center for Study of Intelligence co-host "Intelligence in the Vietnam War,"
21 October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - the Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at 2:00 p.m. with author Colin Beavan at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main St., Kennebunk.
21 October 06 - Washington, DC - The National Archives Presents The Cold War: An Eyewitness Perspective A Public Symposium
22 - 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - talks, meeting, and colloquia on Israel and its future in the Middle East in face of terrorism.
          24 October 06 - Washington, DC - Intrigue at the Willard - Spy School Workshop: Spy Museum event at Willard Hotel
          28 October 06 - Seattle, WA - AFIO Pacific Northwest Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of "Operation Jedburgh"
3 - 5 November 06 - McLean, VA - AFIO National Intelligence Symposium with DHS on Homeland, Port and Border Security
3 - 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach, NH - AFIO New England hosts meeting at beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel with two speakers.
          4 November 06 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hears Dr. Jack Baghdassarian on "Origins of Islamic Terrorism"
          9 November 06 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories - Capturing Jonathan Pollard: The Real Story at the Spy Museum
10 November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of Remembrance"
14 November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) Fall Luncheon
16 November 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
          16 November 06 - Washington, DC - 6:30 pm - Domestic Spying: Anti-Terrorism or Anti-American?
18 November 06 - Kennebunk, ME.  The AFIO/ME Chapter will hear Todd DiFede, Supervisory Senior FBI Resident Agent for Maine
29 November - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - Institute for Defense and Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis & Processing"
1 December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow
6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
8 December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening meeting
12 December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club
12-14 December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V, The MASINT Association's Annual Conference
          20 January 07 - Kennebunk, ME. AFIO/ME will bring Maine's 9/11 memorial to Kennebunk for the meeting. Michael Clarke, Bath, Maine, firefighter
26 - 27 January 07 - Springfield, VA- Intelligence and Ethics 2007 and Call for Proposals
13 February 07 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter luncheon with Carl W Ford, Jr., former head of the State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)
3 March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
          10 March 07 - Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River Colony Club
12 May 07 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club
17-19 May 07 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion
2 June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
          4 August 07 - - Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River Colony Club
8 September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
18-19 October 07 - Laurel, MD - Symposium on Cryptologic History sponsored by the Center for Cryptologic History.
          3 November 07 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club
1 December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting

SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

FIRST-EVER SUICIDE BOMBING IN SOMALIA TARGETS PRESIDENT A suicide bomber on Tuesday rammed an explosive-laden car into the convoy of the Somali president Abdullahi Yusuf outside the parliament building in Baidoa, the country's governmental capital. The president escaped injury, but five others were killed including the president's brother. Six assailants in addition to the bomber were killed in a shoot out with the president's bodyguards. Yusuf leads the transitional government that was installed by the international community. After 15 years of warlord-led violence, this marks the first suicide bombing in Somalia and generated fears of a new kind of enemy in the war torn country. President Yusuf quickly blamed the attack on al-Qaeda. This attack comes in the wake of the country's traditional capital, Mogadishu, falling to Islamic rebels in June. Ethiopia, a mostly Christian nation, immediately condemned the attack and promised any support necessary to stabilize the Yusuf government. Ethiopia fears a strong fundamental Islamic government on its border. Ibrahim Shino, the deputy governor of Somalia's Bay region, where Baidoa is located said, "This evil act was organized by people linked to the Islamic Courts in Mogadishu. We have never seen such a coordinated attack in Baidoa." The transitional government has avoided blaming the Islamic Courts, the group that now controls Mogadishu and much of southern Somalia. Peace talks between the government and the Islamists have been held in Khartoum, Sudan, with both sides agreeing to form a joint military. The Islamists are blaming outside forces, namely Ethiopia, for the bombing. Regional experts say that Ethiopia has deployed troops into Somalia to protect the transitional government. Reports have stated that the CIA has deployed investigators in answer to Yusuf's call for international help in finding the perpetrators. However, Government spokesman Abdirahman Dinari denied that any CIA operatives have come to Baidoa. So far, six people have been arrested in connection with the bombing.  [PJK/Reuters 19Sep06,Yare/Garowe 21Sep06]

CIA GREEN BADGERS OUTNUMBER GOVIES AS CONTRACTOR SUPPORT TO INTEL COMMUNITY SWELLS When President Bush visited the new National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) last month, less than half of that organization's employees worked directly for the government. Most worked for outside contractors- nicknamed "green badgers" for the color of the security badge they wear. This trend is becoming common in the Intelligence Community (IC). Over the past five years, since 9/11, the CIA's contractor force has more than doubled, now outnumbering the fulltime government cadre of about 17,500. Many are veterans of the agencies they now support as contractors. The Director of National Security, John Negroponte, is concerned. Since the intelligence budget swelled by over $10 billion since the terrorist attacks in 2001, contractors have become a necessity to meet the growing need for intelligence. However, some say the dependence on contractors raises the security risk. Negroponte is worried that the increase has come more or less willy-nill and has ordered an examination of the use of contractors. All sixteen agencies that fall under the DNI are to turn over records of the contractors supporting them. Many agencies don't even know how many contractors they have. Ronald Sanders, a senior intelligence official in charge of the examination said of the rapid increase in the number of contractors, "I wish I could tell you it's by design, but I think it's been by default."  The IC now depends so heavily on its contracted support that if it were to go away, some say, they would have to close up shop. After 9/11, contracting enabled the IC to draw on a deep well of experienced retired officers who were eager to lend a hand in the Global War on Terrorism. However, the ubiquity of contractors in their midst now gives some senior government intelligence staffers pause. At some meetings, a fulltime CIA employee will look around the conference table and see more contractors than fellow government employees. It has given intelligence work a "mercenary aspect." "James L. Pavitt, who retired in 2004 as head of the CIA's clandestine service. "I would much prefer to see staff case officers who are in the chain of command and making a day-in and day-out conscious decision as civil servants in the intelligence business." Others point to the cost of so many contractors, pointing to the skyrocketing profits made by contracting firms. Paul Gimigliano, a spokesman for the CIA points out, "Contractors give the agency enormous flexibility and are an important part of our workforce. As partners, they help us build or enhance specific capabilities we need for a finite period." And not all of the contractors are involved in operations. Two thirds of the NCTC contractor force work in the Information Technology field, keeping the agencies computers and networks running. The CIA, however, is becoming more dependent on contractors directly involved in operations- more so than the other agencies who can bolster their numbers with military intelligence personnel detailed to them. Officials believe the swell of contractors will ebb as the CIA's large class of new recruits is fielded, but that is a process that will take years. [Harvey/LATimes 17Sep06/Miller]

PAKISTANI ISI PURPORTEDLY THREATENING UK TERROR DEFENDANT After testifying in his defense in a British courtroom that the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency helped to train Islamic terrorists, Omar Khyam refused to testify further, claiming that the ISI was threatening to harm his family if he said any more. Khyam, 24, is currently on trial, accused of leading a 2004 plot to bomb a London nightclub and shopping center. "The ISI has had words with my family in Pakistan regarding what I have been saying" about the agency, Khyam, 24, said on the stand Monday, "I think they are worried I might end up revealing more about them, and right now the priority has to be the safety of my family there. I am not going to discuss anything related to the ISI anymore or my evidence." According to Khyam's earlier testimony, he and the other defendants traveled to Rawalpindi, Pakistan in 2000 to train as holy warriors. He spent three months learning guerilla tactics and combat skills. While there, he said, ISI agents were culling the recruits for special explosives training, which Khyam said he did not receive. He testified that the ISI was preparing Islamic militants for a proxy war against India in the disputed region of Kashmir, which has been an area of violent contention between Pakistan and India, and was funding training camps, supplying weapons and logistics to operations in the area known as Free Kashmir. Further, he said that his group was comprised of foreigners who were not allowed to train with the local Pakistanis. Sajjan Gohel of the Asia-Pacific Foundation, a counter-terrorism think tank said that it was concerning that a key ally in the War on Terror was apparently intimidating witnesses in a terrorism case. Rhiannon Talbot, a professor at Newcastle University and an expert on terrorism law said that although witness intimidation is common in organized crime cases, it is unprecedented in British law to have a defendant claim he is being threatened by a foreign power. Khyam's defense appeared to be concluded, and the trial is expected to continue with another of the defendants testifying. [PJK/LATimes 20Sep06/Rotellaand Stobart]

CANADIAN SUBJECT OF CIA RENDITION EXONERATED AFTER 4 YEARS OF SUSPICION AND 10 MONTHS IN SYRIAN DETENTION Maher Arar, a Canadian citizen, was on a stopover at JFK International Airport in September, 2002 when he was picked up by US authorities, operating on a tip from Canadian intelligence that Arar had connections to al-Qaeda. Arar was deported to Syria where, he claims, he was subjected to ten months of torture and detention in deplorable conditions and forced to sign false confessions. Arar was allowed to return to Canada in 2003, and charges were never filed against him by any government. Recently, a Canadian panel vociferously exonerated Arar of any wrongdoing. Commissioner Dennis O’Connor, associate chief justice of Ontario, declared in a statement announcing the release of the report, "I am able to say categorically that there is no evidence to indicate that Mr. Arar has committed any offense or that his activities constitute a threat to the security of Canada." The panel, who reviewed the Canadian role in the incident and not the US role, found that Canadian police and intelligence provided the US with flawed and biased information about Arar, and that even after his return to Canada, officials continued to leak "confidential and sometimes inaccurate" information about Arar in order to protect "self-interests or government interests." The panel recommended Canada evaluate Mr. Arar's request for compensation "in light of the report's findings." Arar has also filed suit against the US government, alleging that US intelligence and security authorities violated his rights. The case was initially dismissed by a US District Court which cited concerns about exposing state secrets. Arar has appealed that ruling.  [PJK/NewStandard 20Sep06/Chen]

HOUSE REPUBLICANS OKAY SENATE AND WHITE HOUSE COMPROMISE ON INTERROGATION TECHNIQUES Duncan Hunter (R-CA), the last House holdout on the Senate-White House compromise bill that would define allowable CIA interrogation techniques and prosecution procedures for terrorist detainees, agreed to the language on Friday saying that he now prefers the compromise bill to the original language his committee had approved. Hunter believes the new bill is sufficiently acceptable to avoid a conference committee and proceed directly to a vote on the bill before the midterm elections in November. Democrats had allowed Senators McCain (R-AZ), Warner (R-VA) and Graham (R-SC) to lead the fight against the White House on controversial interrogation techniques that President Bush called vital to the War on Terrorism, to avoid looking obstructionist leading up to the elections. Democrats have been largely supportive of the compromise bill. “A handful of principled Republican Senators have forced the White House to back down from the worst elements of its extreme proposal for new interrogation rules,” said Jim Manley, a spokesman for Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic leader. The proposed legislation makes illegal under the War Crimes Act "grave breaches" of the Geneva Conventions including the specific acts of murder, torture and rape, but also includes more general descriptions of acts that might include maiming, extreme physical pain, trying to cause physical harm, and serious mental harm. However, a key provision allows the White House, under executive order, to allow acts that don't meet the level of "grave breaches," but are still objectionable. The White House resisted, but finally conceded to a requirement to publish these executive orders in the Federal Register for Congressional review. The Administration has not decided which techniques the order would include. Additionally, language that would have redefined the country's obligations under the Geneva Convention was removed. Both sides are now posturing, John McCain saying on the Today Show, "We got what we wanted," and the White House saying, "The president had a single test, and the test was met." The White House says the CIA interrogation program will continue to be effective. Other provisions in the bill would allow detainees to see the substance of classified evidence against them, while protecting the most sensitive parts of the information. [NYT 22Sep06/Zernike and Stolberg]

SAUDI GOVERNMENT DISPUTES FRENCH REPORTS THAT BIN LADEN IS DEAD French regional daily L'Est Republican reported that Saudi secret service were convinced that Osama bin Laden died of typhoid in Pakistan in August are unfounded according to the Saudi government. The government statement released on 24 September said the Saudi's had no evidence that bin Laden was dead and any report to the contrary "is purely speculative and cannot be independently verified." [Stratfor 24Sep06]

SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

POWERFUL SOUTH AFRICAN TRADE UNIONS SEEN AS "KING MAKERS" GET ATTENTION OF CIA According to general secretary Zwelinzima Vavi of the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu), the CIA is the most frequent visitor to its web site. Zwelinzima doesn't believe the CIA is interested in the growing poverty and unemployment amongst South Africa's (SA) poor. It is Cosatu's power and recognition as "king maker" in SA politics that has garnered the interest. Although Cosatu denies supporting Deputy President Jakob Zuma to succeed Thabo Mbeki as African National Congress (ANC) president, they did come to Zuma's aide when he was ousted from the government by Mbeki on corruption charges in June of last year. Cosatu has not kept secret its desire to see massive policy changes when Mbeki leaves power in 2009, wishing to keep the ANC "pro-poor." Squabbles amongst Cosatu's leadership over support to Zuma was sidelined when Cosatu's main decision-making body, the central committee, adopted a resolution calling on Mbeki to reinstate Zuma and to drop corruption charges against him. The central committee's decision is binding on all members. Cosatu is part of the ANC-led tripartite alliance, but its 1.8 million members are better organized than its allies. Cosatu, despite its complaints of being marginalized, has played a key role in keeping the country's telecommunications from privatization and led the campaign to get drug treatments for HIV/AIDS patients. Also, the ANC has Cosatu's vast organization to thank for its success in the 2004 elections. Cosatu has shown a growing independence from the ruling government that makes some nervous. The unions openly criticized government policy on Zimbabwe, arms deals and HIV/AIDS programs, and have been more effective than the weak parliamentary opposition parties. This has caused some in the ANC to call for Cosatu to stay out of politics. However, job losses and high unemployment, growing inequalities, grinding poverty and government’s failure to deliver on its social policies make it impossible to separate politics and economics in SA today. [PJK/BusinessDay 19Sep06/Brown]

COUNTERTERRORISM EXPERTS IN ISRAEL DIFFER ON ASSESSMENT OF IRAN'S NUCLEAR THREAT At the annual conference of the International Policy Institute for Counter Terrorism in Herzliya, north of Tel Aviv, experts concluded that Iran was developing missiles capable of hitting Western Europe. British Prime Minister Tony Blair, at the Israeli prime minister's residence, said that his European counterparts were missing the threat as they looked for ways to engage Tehran in dialogue. Col. Shlomo Mofaz, a reserve officer, who recently retired from the military intelligence said that Iran could attempt more daring attacks, including Hezbollah launched chemical or biological attacks against Israel, if they had a nuclear umbrella in place. He also noted that Iran had sleeper cells in Europe that could be activated in a short period of time.
    Col. Ephraim Kam, head of Tel Aviv University's Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies and a retired intelligence officer, disagreed. Kam doubts Iran would attack Israel even under if it developed nuclear weapons. He cites that Iran's conventional forces are dilapidated, its aircraft and tanks are 30 to 35 years old, and while the Shehab missiles could produce casualties, it is not a strategic weapon. Further, Iran firmly believes Israel to be a nuclear power, and as an ally of the US, would render significant retaliation upon Iran if attacked. Kam was decidedly a minority, though.
    Most Israeli experts believe an Iranian nuclear weapon would threaten their very existence. "As crazy at it sounds, the current regime, and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in particular, believes that the destruction of Israel is an attainable goal. The ayatollahs have said they are ready to pay a very heavy price in order to destroy Israel. In their thinking, the Christian West will be ready to tolerate the obliteration of the Jewish state in exchange for a long truce with the Islamic world," wrote the Director of Bar Ilan University's Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies Efraim Inbar, in bitterlemons.org. Kam rebutted, "I strongly believe the Iranian radical regime will not be able to contain the popular demand, that comes from bottom to top, to change the nature of the regime."
    Others say that Iran is too close to having a nuclear weapon to wait for such a popular reaction to develop. Jaffe Center's Shmuel Even believes economic sanctions, varying from freezing financial transactions all the way to a full economic embargo, could be effective. Although Iran is one of the top producers of oil, garnering $60 billion in income last year, it must import gasoline due to its limited refinery capacity. An embargo would require Iran to reduce gasoline consumption by 37%. Even projects an economic embargo would therefore hurt Iran's industry, reduce its national product, imports would nose dive, tens of billions of dollars would no longer reach Iran, and the government would be forced cut its budget and cancel projects. The sanctions "Would help prevent the import of raw materials and equipment for the development of non-conventional weapons and surface-to-surface missiles and would limit Iran's ability to export weapons. Iran would also be left with far fewer resources to support terrorist organizations and finance the export of the Islamic revolution to other countries," Even added. However, as the supplier of 3% of the world's oil, oil prices would rise without other producers, already stretched to capacity able to help. However, in proximity to the Persian Gulf and two thirds of the world's oil, a nuclear Iran could threaten that supply and damage the global economy with more effectiveness than sanctions would have on it.
    Although most Iranians wish to avoid a showdown with the West over the, the theocracy has successfully framed the conflict in both nationalistic and regligious "Islam vs. the Infidels" terms, which resulted in most of the population believing Tehran should not back down. With the diplomatic track almost exhausted and economic sanctions unlikely to be effective, "only military measures or an unequivocal threat to use force remain as viable options," maintained Inbar. [LawranceS/UPI 14Sep06/Brilliant]

SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE

MILITARY INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONAL BULLETIN AVAILABLE AGAIN OVER INTERNET After years of denials and delays, the US Army capitulated to a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request from the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) for past copies of the Military Intelligence Professional Bulletin (MIPB). Prior to the establishment of the Army Knowledge Online (AKO) secure Worldwide Web portal in 1995, MIPB, along with thousands of other unclassified documents, was openly available on the Internet. AKO access is limited to active, reserve, national guard and retired Army members, and Department of the Army civilians, contractors and others with a valid need for access. The MIPB is a quarterly journal that publishes information about military intelligence policy, doctrine, and technology. Unable to devise a legal justification to forbid access, the Army provided access to back issues of MIPB from 1995 to the present [MIPB] and will make future issues available as well, without the need for further FOIA requests.  [HughO/SecrecyNews 20Sep06/Aftergood]

INTERNET CHATTER INDICATES MERGER OF ANSAR AL-SUNNAH ARMY OF IRAQ WITH AL QAEDA'S MUJAHIDEEN SHURA COUNCIL Terrorism expert Evan Kohlman reports in his Counterterrorism Blog that Arab discussion in on-line chat rooms has centered around a rumor that Ansar al-Sunnah Army of Iraq will finally merge under al-Qaeda's umbrella organization in Iraq, the Mujahideen Shura Council (MSC). Ansar al-Sunnah has been operating in Iraq since as early as 2003, and is one of the few insurgent groups other than the late Zarqawi's, that supports a pro-bin Laden message, distributing  beheading videos over the Internet, and using suicide bombings against its enemies. Meetings between the two groups are supposedly occurring now in the violent al-Anbar province in western Iraq. The official announcement of the merger is expected during Ramadan (approximately September 24 to October 23, 2006). The union of the two groups will present a significant further challenge to the fledgling democratic government that has promised to reduce sectarian violence, as well as to the US forces trying to limit al-Qaeda's presence in the country. [LawranceS/CTBlog 19Sep06/Kohlman]

DHS APPOINTS GARCIA AS CYBER SECURITY CHIEF Secretary of Homeland Security Michael Chertoff announced on September 18th the appointment of Gregory Garcia as the Assistant Secretary for Cyber Security and Telecommunications. Garcia is the former Vice President for Information Security Policy and Programs at the Information Technology Association of America where he led public debate on cyber security policy and national cyber readiness. He helped to draft the Cyber Security Research and Development Act of 2002 during his tenure with the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science during his tenure with the US House of Representatives Committee on Science, and worked to strengthen encryption control standards with the Americans for Computer Privacy organization. Garcia is a graduate of San Jose University with a Bachelor of Science degree. [KathyP/DHS 18Sep06/Chertoff].


SECTION IV - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
[IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" nor endorse career offers, research inquiries or announcements. Reasonable-sounding inquiries are published as a service to members. Exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding or supplying any information or making referrals to colleagues. Members should obtain prior approval from their agencies before answering questions that would impact ongoing military or intelligence operations - even if unclassified. Never assume public inquiries about classified projects means they've been declassified. Be attuned to false-flagging.]

Notes

BBC DOWNPLAYS CRITICISM OF ABC 9/11 DOCUDRAMA AFTER LEARNING OF CONNECTIONS TO RELIGIOUS RIGHT BBC officials say they did not know that the director of ABC's highly criticized docudrama "The Path to 9/11" had strong ties to the religious right. The film's director, David Cunningham, is active in Youth With a Mission (Ywam), a fundamentalist evangelical organization founded by his father, Loren Cunningham. According to its publications, the group believes in demonic possession, spiritual healing and conservative sexual morality. BBC said that it does not vet the religious beliefs of filmmakers and believes that the film that was aired was "politically even-handed." The film drew criticism from Clinton administration officials and the former President himself for "factually and incontrovertibly inaccurate" content, and "rightwing political propaganda." ABC edited the film after Clinton's complaints. [ThomasZ/Guardian 13Sep06/Leigh]

 FRONTLINE PRESENTS THREE PROGRAMS IN OCTOBER ON THE GLOBAL WAR ON TERROR:  It has been five years since September 11, 2001, and in more than 35 films, FRONTLINE has investigated the reasons, the strategies and the politics that have brought us to where we are today. This October, three award-winning producers continue to report on the the continuing struggle for Afghanistan, the ongoing conflict in Iraq, and the battles behind closed doors in Washington.
Tuesday, October 3, 2006 - "Return of the Taliban" 9 P.M. (check local listings) - FRONTLINE reports from lawless Pakistani tribal areas along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border and shows that the area has fallen under the control of a resurgent Taliban militia. Despite the presence of 80,000 Pakistani troops, the Taliban and their supporters continue to use the region as a launching pad for attacks on U.S. and coalition forces in Afghanistan. Off limits to U.S. troops by agreement with Pakistan’s president and long suspected of harboring Osama bin Laden and his deputy Ayman al-Zawahiri, the area is now considered a failed state. President Pervez Musharraf tells FRONTLINE reporter Martin Smith that Pakistan’s strategy, which includes cash payments to militants who lay down their arms, has clearly foundered. In a region little understood because it is closed to most observers, FRONTLINE investigates a secret front in the war on terror.
Tuesday, October 10, 2006 - "The Enemy Within" - 9 P.M. (check local listings). Five years after the attacks on 9/11 and the massive, multibillion-dollar reorganization of government agencies which followed, reporter Lowell Bergman investigates the domestic counterterrorism effort and asks whether we are any better prepared to prevent another catastrophic attack. Relying on interviews with high-level sources in the U. S. government, Bergman reveals ongoing interagency rivalry as well as troubling flaws in what has been the largest reorganization of the government in half a century. The documentary focuses on who is the real enemy within the United States and whether we are prepared to defeat him.
Tuesday, October 17, 2006 - "The Lost Year in Iraq" - 9 P.M. (check local listings). In the aftermath of the fall of Saddam Hussein, a group of Americans led by Ambassador L. Paul Bremer III set off to Baghdad to build a new nation and establish democracy in the Arab Middle East. One year later, with Bremer forced to secretly exit what some have called "the most dangerous place on earth," the group left behind lawlessness, insurgency, economic collapse, death, destruction -- and much of their idealism. Three years later, as the U.S. continues to look for an exit strategy, the government the Americans helped create and the infrastructure they designed is being tested. FRONTLINE Producer Michael Kirk follows the early efforts and ideals of this group as they tried to seize control and disband the Iraqi police, army and Baathist government [possibly a fatal misstep right from the start] -- and how they became hardened along the way to the realities of postwar Iraq. "The Lost Year in Iraq" is based on numerous first-person interviews and extensive documentation from the FRONTLINE team that produced Rumsfeld’s War, The Torture Question and The Dark Side.

PORTBLUE INTRODUCES COMMANDAWARE - HOSPITAL INCIDENT RESPONSE SYSTEM. System Acts as Onsite Expert to Assist Hospitals Through All Phases of Incident and Resource Management. AFIO Corporate Member PortBlue Corporation (www.portblue.com), a leading provider of web-based expert systems, has launched CommandAware (www.commandaware.com) incident and resource management system. CommandAware offers hospitals best practice guidance in developing a comprehensive incident management plan, built on a resource management platform that can be used in all operational conditions, from everyday hospital capacity management to mass casualty events. The CommandAware mission is threefold: to ensure that hospitals have a state of the art disaster management plan that complies with best practices and accreditation standards, to give disaster managers the information, work process tools, and resources they need to effectively respond to a full "all hazards" array of incidents, and to ensure that hospitals recover from incidents effectively, tracking vital data to capture lessons learned from both emergency drills and actual incidents so that mistakes are not repeated and process improvements are made.
The CommandAware resource management tool allows hospital administrators to identify and alleviate bottlenecks in patient flow, improving revenue generation and overall financial performance. A primary objective of CommandAware is to enable healthcare organizations to better meet the standards of the Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations (JCAHO). CommandAware allows hospital disaster managers to easily present JCAHO evaluators with their disaster management plan, along with their training, drilling, mitigation, and process improvement activities, as well as their post-drill and post-incident analyses. CommandAware significantly reduces the load placed on hospital personnel by the increasingly stringent JCAHO accreditation standards. CommandAware will also incorporate the new HICS IV (formerly HEICS) /NIMS standards when released.
Hosted on PortBlue’s redundant, secure servers and accessible to hospital personnel 24/7/365 from any location via a Web browser, CommandAware is designed to be highly economical to implement and operate, requiring no installation, additional IT hardware or IT support from hospital subscribers. For more information contact Christian Maas, Senior Vice President for Knowledge Products, PortBlue Corporation, at 310-566-7222 or at christian.maas@portblue.com

Obituaries

HELENE DESCHAMPS ADAMS, WORLD WAR II SPY AND FRENCH RESISTANCE FIGHTER, DEAD IN NEW YORK AT 85 As a resistance fighter and allied spy in Nazi-occupied France, Helene Deschamps Adams saved innumerable Jews from slaughter and downed American pilots from capture. She also played a role in the Allied invasion of Europe. She died on September 19th in New York from congestive heart failure. Born in China in 1920 to a military family, Deschamps Adams grew up in a number of outposts including Senegal, Madagascar and Reunion and returned to France when her father, a general, retired in Aix-en-Provence, in the south of France. When asked why she became involved in such dangerous work, her daughter quoted her as saying, "'I didn't like the idea of Nazis taking over my country." She married an American lieutenant, Forest E. Adams, and moved to the US in 1946. Adams died in 1951 and she never remarried. In 1953, while living in Los Angeles, she was recognized by a man who answered an ad she placed to sell a car. The man took one look at her and asked, "Anick?" Anick was Deschamps Adams' codename in the resistance. Immediately she knew that this fellow must have been Allen Fitzgerald, a downed pilot she had saved. Fitzgerald was the only one in America at the time that knew her resistance name. She wrote
two books, "The Secret War," in 1980, and "Spyglass: The Autobiography of Helene Deschamps Adams," in 1995. She was honored late in life by the U.S. and French governments for her wartime deeds. She is survived by her daughter Karyn Anick Monget and a brother Henri Deschamps,
of Maraussan, France. Memorial services are planned in New York and Aix-en-Provence.
  [EAB/NewsDay 19Sep06/Pyle (AP)]

Coming Events

26 September 06 - Bolling Air Force Base, Washington, DC - the Joint Military Intelligence College Annual Conference 2006 is titled: Science + Technology = Intelligence on Target. Featured Speakers are Dr. Rita Colwell, Bio-terrorism Expert and Former Director of the National Science Foundation; Dr. Anthony Oettinger, Chairman, Harvard University's Program on Information Resources Policy; Mr. Aris Pappas, Deputy Director, Microsoft Institute for Advanced Technology in Governments; Dr. Gerald Yonas, Chief Scientist, Sandia National Labs. Event runs from 0800 hrs to 1730 hrs in the Tighe Auditorium of the Defense Intelligence Analysis Center. The conference will be unclassified and open to all members of the Intelligence Community as well as students and instructors from institutions nationwide who provide both technical and intelligence related curricula. Seating is limited to the first 350 applicants. ATTENDEE FEES: $35.00 ODNI Staff, JMIC Faculty and currently enrolled JMIC students; $50.00 Government Employees; $75.00 Industry and non- government. Registration fee includes refreshments, luncheon at the Bolling Air Force Base Officer's Club and a post- conference reception. To register: https://www.fbcinc.com/jmic/atreg1.asp  For more Info: https://www.fbcinc.com/jmic/ 

28 - 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - Call for Papers: The 3rd Conference on Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism is being held at the Institute of World Politics in cooperation with Stanford University, Phoenix Mathematica, Rochester Institute of Technology, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science. Featured speakers include faculty from USC, NYU, MIT, Rutgers, Los Alamos Research Lab, Canadian Border Service, RIT, Stanford, AAAS, and other notable institutions and organizations. Since 2001, tremendous amounts of information have been gathered regarding terrorist cells and individuals potentially planning future attacks. There is now a pressing need to develop new mathematical and computational techniques to assist in the analysis of this information, both to quantify future threats and to quantify the effectiveness of counterterrorism operations and strategies. Concepts and techniques from mathematics-specifically, from Lattice Theory and Reflexive Theory-have already been applied to counterterrorism and computer security problems. The following is a partial list of such problems. - Strategies for disrupting terrorist cells  - Border penetration and security  - Terrorist cell formation and growth   - Data analysis of terrorist activity   - Terrorism deterrence strategies   - Information security. A primary intention of this Third Conference on Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism (CMMC) is to present talks that are accessible to the broader public, especially policy makers, politicians, and members of the intelligence and law enforcement communities. For more information: http://www.rit.edu/~immc/conferences/cmmc2006/  Organizers  Jonathan Farley, Stanford University, lattice@stanford.edu   Stefan Schmidt, Dresden Technical University, Germany, stefan@phoenixmath.com   Bernard Brooks, Rochester Institute of Technology, bpbsma@rit.edu   Anthony Harkin, Rochester Institute of Technology, aahsma@rit.edu   Submit title and abstracts of papers to Jonathan Farley at lattice@stanford.edu .

 Saturdays, starting 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - The International Spy Museum and Gray Lines launch "Spy City Tours (tm)." Spy City Tours(tm) will provide a tour of 25 locations of notorious spy cases in the nation's capital. The tours will include an on-the-bus briefing by a "Officer" on key sites linked to intelligence triumphs, disasters, and mysteries. Former intelligence officers will provide video briefings and tradecraft tips as the tour winds its way through the city. It will include offices, restaurants, and hotels that have been at the center of espionage, such as the French bistro where a seductive agent used her wiles to elicit secret information from her infatuated U.S. State Department target, as well as the pub where CIA traitor Aldrich Ames gave up the names of 25 American spies in the Soviet Union, ten of whom were quickly executed while Ames was spending the blood money on trinkets for his wife, children, and stripper-mistress. Tours will include former KGB Major General Oleg Kalugin discussing what it was like to work undercover while stationed in Washington, DC, and by former CIA Operations Officer and Founding Executive Director of the Spy Museum, Peter Earnest, who will disclose spy concepts, lingo, and recruitment strategies. Also on the tours will be former CIA Chiefs of Disguise, Tony and Jonna Mendez, who will demonstrate the art of the "quick change" and how to move through hostile territory without attracting attention. The tour is available each week on Saturdays at 2pm. Tickets for the tour are $79 and can be purchased online at www.grayline.com  or by calling 1.800.GRAYLINE.

4 - 5 October 2006 - Bolling AFB, DC - National Military Intelligence Association hosts 2-day conference on Joint Intelligence Operations Center: Concepts and Reality with the Defense Intelligence Agency. The Conference will feature presentations by USD(I), the J2, the Combatant Commands, the Service Intelligence Chiefs and conclude with a discussion of resources by the Deputy Director, DIA. The conference will be conducted at the SECRET level at the DIAC on October 4-5, 2006. Further information available at www.nmia.org.

Wednesday, 4 October 06 - Laurel, MD - Eighth Annual National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Meeting at the Kossiakoff Center, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, 11100 Johns Hopkins Rd, Laurel, MD 20723. AGENDA: 0815-0900 Registration and Continental Breakfast; 0900-0905 - Welcome and Introduction of Mr. Chris Inglis, Deputy Director, National Security Agency by Mr. Eugene Becker. 0905-0940 - Remarks by Mr. Chris Inglis; 0940-0945 - Introduction of Anniversary Guest Speaker by Brig General Billy Bingham; 0945-1030 - NCMF Tenth Anniversary Address by Lt General Kenneth Minihan, USAF (Ret), Former Director, National Security Agency; 1030-1045 - Break; 1045-1115 - Overview of New Museum Project by William Kvetkas, Jr.; 1115-1145 - National Cryptologic Museum, Update & Crypto Kids, Presentation by Ms. Jane Hudgins; 1145-1200 - National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Update by Mr. Eugene Becker; 1200-1300 - Buffet Lunch (View Displays); 1300-1315 - Update on akaSMART Program; 1315-1320 - Introduction of Keynote Speaker by Brig General Billy Bingham, USAF (Ret); 1320-1400 - Keynote Address by Dr. Anthony Tether, Director, Defense Advanced Research Programs Agency; 1400-1410 - Break; 1410-1415 - Introduction of Guest Speaker by Brig General Billy Bingham, USAF (Ret); 1415-1445 - Guest Speaker, Mr. Charles F. Allen, Assistant Secretary for Intelligence Analysis, Department of Homeland Security; 1445-1500 - Administrative Remarks and Closing by Mr. Eugene Becker. ALL AFIO MEMBERS ARE INVITED TO ATTEND. Questions to: Mary or Bonnie at the NCMF office on 301-688-5436.

10 October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club, at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is Billy Waugh who was wounded five times in his seven and a half years as a Green Beret in Vietnam. Many of these years were spent behind enemy lines as part of SOG, a top secret group of elite commandos. Sergeant Major Billy Waugh retired in 1972 to continue his craft as an independent contractor with the CIA. In 1994, Waugh was the team leader of a four-man CIA group that laid the groundwork for the capture of Carlos the Jackal, the world's most wanted man at the time. At the age of 71 shortly after 9/11, he was one of the first on the ground as a team member of a combined Special Forces/CIA takedown unit inside Afghanistan. Earlier Waugh had kept surveillance on Osama bin Laden in Khartoum in 1991 and again in 1992 as one of the first CIA operatives assigned to watch the al Qaeda leader. His book, Hunting the Jackal, recounts a remarkable life of service. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com.

Wednesday, 11 October 06 - Washington, DC - From the Secret Files of the Spy Museum - Back Brief Cuba: Covert Ops, Castro’s Brother, and the Challenge of Tomorrow at 6:30 pm. “My idea is to stir things up on [the] island with espionage, sabotage, [and] general disorder.” — Attorney General Robert Kennedy to President Kennedy, 4 November 1961  Cuba may be the new hot destination for renegade American tourists, but it’s been a hot button issue for the U.S. intelligence community since Castro gained power. Don Bohning, author of The Castro Obsession: U.S. Covert Operations Against Cuba 1959-1965, will explore the U.S.’s bold clandestine war against Cuba and how these efforts backfired, consolidating Castro’s hold on the island, and leading to a tense standoff that has continued to the present. AFIO Board Member Brian Latell, author of After Fidel: The Inside Story of Castro’s Regime and Cuba’s Next Leader, will draw upon his more than forty years of experience as one of the world’s best recognized Castro specialists, to consider what the next chapter in Cuba-U.S. relations holds. How will Castro’s younger brother, Fidel’s heir apparent, change or stay the course? Tickets: $20. Advance registration required. www.spymuseum.org 

Thursday, 12 October 06 - Washington, DC - Khrushchev’s Cold War: The Inside Story of an American Adversary; Free author talk at 12:00 noon – 1:00 pm at the Spy Museum. How we handle Russia (and how Russia handles us) resonates throughout the world. Timothy Naftali, Associate Professor at the University of Virginia’s Miller Center of Public Affairs and contributor to Slate, has used unprecedented access to Politburo and Soviet intelligence materials to trace an important chapter of the U.S.-Soviet relationship in Khrushchev’s Cold War. Join Naftali as he reveals three moments when the premier’s inner circle restrained him from plunging the superpowers into war, new takes on the Cuban missile crisis, and Soviet actions in under-examined hot spots in Asia and the Middle East. Naftali’s understanding of Khrushchev’s strategic gamesmanship gives insight into today’s unpredictable global affairs. No registration required. More info at www.spymuseum.org 

Saturday, 14 Oct 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956 POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS - The Cold War Museum will convene a distinguished gathering of diplomats, officials and historians on Saturday, October 14 in Fairfax County to discuss the 1956 Polish and Hungarian uprisings against the Soviets and Communism. The daylong program will be at the South County Secondary School, 8501 Silverbrook Road, in Lorton, Virginia. Registration will begin at 8:00 a.m., with the program starting at 9:00 a.m. Fairfax County Supervisor Chairman, Gerald Connolly, will provide opening remarks. The fee is $25 per person, which includes a continental breakfast and lunch. Conference attendees will have the opportunity to hear from three panels. The first panel will include noted Polish historians talking about the Polish uprising: Dr. Padraic Kenney, Dr. Krzysztof Persak, and Dr. Marek Chodakiewicz. The second panel will focus on Hungary during the 1950s and in particular the 1956 Hungarian Revolution. Dr. Imre L. Toth, the surviving Secretary of the Revolutionary Committee for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for the Imre Nagy Government, will join Dr. Charles Gati, author of "Failed Illusions: Moscow, Washington, Budapest, and the 1956 Hungarian Revolt" on the Hungarian panel. Finally, Mr. David Eisenhower, grandson of President Dwight D. Eisenhower, and Dr. Sergei Khrushchev, son of Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev will discuss international reflections of the 1956 events. This panel will be moderated by Christian Ostermann of the Cold War International History Project the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. U.S. Representative from Fairfax and Prince William Counties, Tom Davis, is invited to provide closing remarks. Breakout sessions will include the collection of oral histories from area Nike Missile and other Cold War veterans. During one of the breakout sessions a photo shoot for the Cold War Museum is planned with participating dignitaries. Plans call for the museum’s permanent headquarters to be located on the grounds of the former National Nike Missile Site also in Lorton, Virginia. Following the conference, the Polish and Hungarian Ambassadors in Washington, DC will co-host an evening reception for invited guests. Registration forms and additional information available at www.coldwar.org/1956. More information: Francis Gary Powers, Jr., 703-273-2381 or 1956@coldwar.org.

14 October 06 - Long Beach, CA - "Tea & Intrigue" - The Trans-Oceanic & New Americas Group is hosting an afternoon with Nigel West aboard the RMS Queen Mary, at 2 p.m. There will be an address by him and a book signing by this "Unofficial Historian of Her Majesty's Secret Services." $38.50 pp For more information contact Ms. Katherine Gray, Shoreline Village, Shoreline Dr, Long Beach, CA, or onboard the RMS Queen Mary Promenade Deck. The tea will include a lavish assortment of sweets, fruit and sandwiches. Reservations at 562-499-1772. Or email them at Tea@Trans-Oceanic.com

Thursday, 19 October 06 - Washington, DC - National Portrait Gallery presents Spies on Screen - THIRTEEN DAYS - Screening at 6:30 pm “Communicate with the Soviets? We can't even communicate with the Pentagon. And they're just across the goddamn river.”—Kenny O’Donnell in Thirteen Days
The volatility of today’s world harkens back to the Cold War at its boiling point. For two weeks in October 1962, the world held its breath while President Kennedy and Premier Khrushchev navigated a Cold War showdown. The film Thirteen Days captures the drama surrounding a President faced with the Soviet attempt to secretly place ballistic missiles in Cuba. It explores how raw intelligence, speedy analysis, and back channel exchanges enabled Kennedy to avert a nuclear war. S. Eugene Poteat, President of AFIO, was there. After the film screening in the National Portrait Gallery’s new auditorium, Poteat, a former senior officer with the CIA’s Science and Technology Directorate, will share his personal experience of the Cuban missile crisis and comment on the background and authenticity of the film. Program to be held at the National Portrait Gallery, Eighth and G Sts NW  Tickets: $15 Advance registration required! www.spymuseum.org 

20-21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - The Vietnam Center at Texas Tech University and CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI) will co-host a conference on "Intelligence in the Vietnam War," which will be held in Lubbock, Texas, at the Holiday Inn Park Plaza. The purpose of this conference is to examine intelligence activities in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and elsewhere as they impacted the Vietnam War. We welcome papers that discuss intelligence analysis and operations from all sides of the conflict and desire presentations that discuss US, RVN, DRV, VC, USSR, PRC, Warsaw Pact, and other intelligence activities as they related to the Vietnam War. While the focus will remain on historical events, it is our distinct hope that appropriate historical lessons might be drawn of more immediate application to current wars and conflicts. To that end, we are seeking paper and panel proposals on all subjects related to Intelligence in the Vietnam War to include but not limited to the following topics: Intelligence and counter-intelligence operations to include human, electronic, signals, and imagery intelligence; Terrorism and counter-terrorism; Infiltration operations into North Vietnam, the Viet Cong infrastructure, and elsewhere; Psychological operations; The Phoenix Program, Provincial Reconnaissance Units, and other attempts to neutralize the VCI; Rolling Thunder, enemy order of battle, the will to persist, and other analytical issues; Inter-agency cooperation and conflict between the CIA, DIA, and other intelligence organizations; The politics of intelligence (e.g. the producer v. the consumer in the development of estimative products); the use of RAND and other private analytical resources as intelligence; etc... This conference will offer students, scholars, intelligence officials, policy makers, and others with an excellent opportunity to discuss and learn from intelligence activities from America's longest war along with the many issues that surrounded these complex activities and events. If you are interested in providing either an individual presentation or a panel discussion, submit a proposal (single page or less) to Mr. Stephen Maxner, Deputy Director at the Vietnam Center at steve.maxner@ttu.edu or call (806) 742-9010 for more information. Deadline for submissions: August 1, 2006

21 October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of Operation Jedburgh. Colin was born in New York City and grew up in Westport, Mass. He moved to England at age 18 and received both his bachelors and doctors degrees from the University of Liverpool. He now lives in New York City working full-time as a writer. While working on an article about his grandfather, Jerry Miller, and his career in OSS and CIA, he uncovered Operation Jedburgh and his grandfather's leading role. Operation Jedburgh tells the dramatic story of 300 American and Allied soldiers who were dropped behind enemy lines on D-Day to work with French Resistance and who launched a highly effective campaign against the Germans. Special forces procedures pioneered in this operation are still being used in Iraq and Afghanistan. The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main Street, Kennebunk at 2:00 p.m. Contact 207-985-2392 for information

21 October 06 - Washington, DC - The National Archives Presents The Cold War: An Eyewitness Perspective A Public Symposium. Speakers and topics include: Archivist of the United States Allen Weinstein; Ambassador Harlan Cleveland; Ronald Radosh; Ellen Schrecker. Cold War Mediation: Unraveling the Knots of War with Timothy Naftali, Moderator, Sergei Khrushchev, Ted Sorensen, and Susan Eisenhower. Lunch on your own. Cold War Reporting: Global Views and Results with Ralph Begleiter, Moderator, Morley Safer, Gene Mater, Daniel Schorr, Vladislav Zubok, Thomas C. Wolfe, and Vladimir Abarinov. Cold War Espionage: Through the Looking Glass with Allen Weinstein, Moderator, Herb Romerstein, Timothy Naftali, Ronald Radosh, Victor Navasky, Francis Gary Powers, Jr., and Peter Earnest.  All participants are invited to attend a post-symposium reception hosted by the Foundation for the National Archives.
�The Cold War: An Eyewitness Perspective� is sponsored by the Center for the National Archives Experience (NARA), The Presidential Libraries, and the Foundation for the National Archives. For more information: www.nara.gov 

22 - 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - 2 days of talks, meeting, and colloquia on terrorism facing Israel and its future in the Middle East. Event will examine the claims and challenges facing Israel as it increasingly becomes surrounded by ever more hostile enemies. The event will discuss Israel's right to exist as sought by all nations to live in peace and security; a review of the claim in 1917 with the Balfour Declaration, of the 1923 San Remo Conference, and the 1947 U.N. Resolution 181. Also examined will be the unresolved issue of a rapidly growing population of Arabs, unsettled by current Jerusalem statutes.
The event will feature presentations by: Honorable Congressman Joe Wilson (R-SC); Honorable Mr. Giora Eiland; Honorable Mr. Moshe Yaalon; Honorable MR.Yuval Shetinitz; Honorable Shemuel Ben Shemuel; Honorable Shabtai Shavit; Honorable Mr Arie Eldad; Honorable Ambassador Oded Eran; Honorable Mrs. Limor Livnat; Mr Rahanan Gissin; State Congressman Bill Herbkersman; Hilton Head City Judge Mrs Morrin Coffee Adri. To register or for further information contact: Orly Benny Davis 912-330-5020 ex 216, E-mail; orlyusa@aol.com. Event is presented by Pomegranate Company Inc., and is sponsored by Park West Homes; cosponsored by Jewish Federation of Savannah, with support of Israeli Consulate General in Atlanta GA; Jewish National Fund; KKL; JEA of Savannah, ZOA CIPAC  Friends of The world Likud; and Hadassah Of Savannah

Tuesday, 24 October 06 - Washington, DC - Intrigue at the Willard - Spy School Workshop: Espionage 101; 6–8:30 pm An introduction to the intricacies of espionage tradecraft. Takes place at the Willard InterContinental Hotel. Gather intelligence, conduct surveillance, etc. Celebrates the 20th anniversary of the Willard Hotel's re-opening. $65 pp. Register at www.spymuseum.org or phone 202.654.0930.

28 October 06 - Seattle, WA - AFIO Pacific Northwest Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of "Operation Jedburgh." Colin was born in New York City and grew up in Westport, Mass. He moved to England at age 18 and received both his bachelors and doctors degrees from the University of Liverpool. He now lives in New York City working full-time as a writer. While working on an article about his grandfather, Jerry Miller, and his career in OSS and CIA, he uncovered Operation Jedburgh and his grandfather's leading role. Operation Jedburgh tells the dramatic story of 300 American and Allied soldiers who were dropped behind enemy lines on D-Day to work with French Resistance and who launched a highly effective campaign against the Germans. Special forces procedures pioneered in this operation are still being used in Iraq and Afghanistan. The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at the Museum of Flight, East Marginal Way South, Seattle, WA 98108-4097 at 09:30 a.m. Contact 253-720-3376 for information

3 - 5 November 06 - Reston, VA - AFIO - DHS National Intelligence Symposium on Homeland, Port and Border Security 

AFIO National Symposium 2006 looks at the Intelligence Office of the Department of Homeland Security

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The AFIO National Symposium for 2006 is focused on the Intelligence components of the vast Department of Homeland Security -  looking at Intelligence and law enforcement duties and issues - particularly port and border security. This important event will be held Friday 3 November to noon on Sunday, 5 November at the Hyatt Regency Hotel - Reston, 1800 Presidents St, Reston, VA 20190. Further information will be sent to all AFIO members-of-record this months with PERISCOPE.

 If making flight reservations now, plan to arrive on Thursday, 2 November, and depart late in the afternoon on Sunday, 5 November. The closest airport to Reston, VA is Dulles. The hotel provides free airport shuttle service to/from Dulles. The Event is located in a prime walking area filled with shops and superb restaurants. Easy parking.  To make your reservation online NOW at the special AFIO Symposium rate of $129/nite [single or double occup.] while still available, at the hotel that has been voted the BEST HOTEL in Fairfax County, click here and following the instructions: https://resweb.passkey.com/Resweb.do?mode=welcome_ei_new&eventID=32661 

3 - 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach NH - AFIO New England Chapter meets at the beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel to hear speakers Professor William Tafoya and Joe Wippl, the new CIA Officer-in-Residence at Boston University. This Winter meeting will be held at the Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel, Hampton, New Hampshire. A full description of services and amenities, as well as directions to the hotel are available on-line at http://www.ashworthhotel.com/ or via 800-345-6736. Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel, is located at 295 Ocean Blvd, Hampton, NH 03842. Mention AFIO/NE when making reservations at the hotel for special $87.00 rate plus taxes, available only until October 13th. Other lodging alternatives are also available at a full range of prices. For information see: http://www.hamptonbeach.org 
The program begins Friday evening with complimentary wine and cheese social at the Hotel at 6:00 PM. A wonderful opportunity to renew friendships and make new ones in a relaxed informal setting. The chapter anticipates the speakers will join the group at the social. This will be followed by a no-host dinner at a local area restaurant for those who want to continue the social discourse.
Saturday morning the first speaker will be AFIO/NE’s own William L. Tafoya. Dr. Tafoya, retired FBI Special Agent, is now Professor of National Security at the University of New Haven. He will discuss his controversial profile of the letter bomb terrorist known as "The UNABOMber" (UNiversity+Airline+BOMber), who for nearly 20 years evaded capture, Theodore Kaczynski. Dr. Tafoya will contrast "profiling" undertaken for purposes of criminal prosecution and "personality assessment" undertaken for Intelligence purposes, as was done during World War II of Adolf Hitler & more recently of Osama bin Laden.
The afternoon speaker will be Joe Wippl. Currently Mr. Wippl is the CIA Officer-in-Residence at Boston University, teaching in the Department of International Relations. Prior to coming to BU, Mr. Wippl was Director of the CIA Office of Congressional Affairs. He spent most of his Agency career in the Clandestine Service, where he was Chief, Europe Division, as well as serving as Chief of Station in several assignments. He will be speaking about the relations between the Intelligence Community and the Congress.
Timely reservations both at the hotel (October 13th) and separately for the luncheon (October 20th) are important so that an accurate count can be provided to the hotel for lodging & luncheon planning purposes. Please do not delay, make your reservations now.
Cost of the Saturday luncheon is $25 per person to be paid by check by October 20th to: Mr. Arthur S. Hulnick, 216 Summit Avenue # E102, Brookline, MA 02446-2324; 617-739-7074; 617-353-5350 FAX; hlnk@aol.com  At the door, Saturday, November 4th, the cost of the luncheon will be $30 per person.

4 November 06 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter's guest speaker will be Dr. Jack Baghdassarian (Chapter VP) - "Origins of Islamic Terrorism" at a luncheon meeting at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club. For more information, contact BEKeith at: Bobbie6769@JUNO.com or phone (321)-777-5561.

Thursday, 9 November 06 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories - Capturing Jonathan Pollard: The Real Story at 6:30 pm at the Spy Museum. “Pollard…once collected so much [classified] data that he needed a handcart to move the papers to his car.” — Seymour Hersh, The Traitor: The Case Against Jonathan Pollard. Ever since Jonathan Jay Pollard, an intelligence analyst working in the U.S. Naval Investigative Service’s Anti-Terrorist Alert Center, was accused of stealing security secrets for Israel in the mid 1980s, the case has been awash in lobbying by Israel and friends of Israel to free him. Pollard stole more than one million pages of classified material which he sold to Israel to bankroll a flashy lifestyle. As the assistant special agent in charge of counterintelligence in the Washington office of the Naval Investigative Service when Pollard was arrested, author Ron J. Olive sets the record straight. Drawing on his involvement in the investigation and interrogation of the spy, Olive, the author of Capturing Jonathan Pollard: How One of the Most Notorious Spies in American History Was Brought to Justice, shares details from this case on how he elicited the spy’s confession, and why Pollard should never be freed.
Tickets: $20 To register: www.spymuseum.org 

10 November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of Remembrance" The ACICV Day of Remembrance, which includes a special Wreath Laying Ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknowns in the Cemetery and a Memorial Luncheon at Fort Myer, honors the memory of Army Counterintelligence veterans and associates who have passed away since the last Remembrance Day. Friends and supporters of ACICV and Army Counterintelligence are invited to attend. For additional information contact Ed Meiser at 1-518-371-8356 (e-mail: Leigh54@aol.com) or Elly Burton at 1-703-591-3848 (e-mail ellyb@starpower.net).

14 November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) The eighth annual Defense Intelligence Alumni Association (DIAA) luncheon will be held at the Columbus Club of Arlington, 5115 Little Falls Road, Arlington, Va. LTG Patrick Hughes, USA (Ret), will speak on The Challenge of Homeland Security. Social hour begins at 1100. Lunch will be served at 1215. The cost is $20 per person for members and guests. Mail checks (payable to DIAA, Inc) to DIAA, ATTN: Luncheon, PO Box 489, Hamilton, VA 20159.

16 November 06 - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter holds meeting at Air Force Academy Officers Club in the Falcon Room, starting at 11:30, lunch served at 12:00 and meeting ends at 1:30 pm. LTC.Ed Rothstein,G2 of Division West will discuss recent combat experiences in OIF. The local chapter of MOAA has arranged the speaker. Questions or Reservations to Dick Durham, 719-488-2884. or Riverwear53@aol.com.

Thursday, 16 November 06 - Washington, DC - 6:30 pm - Domestic Spying: Anti-Terrorism or Anti-American?  “There is no time to waste on hairsplitting over infringement of liberty.” — The Washington Post approving the Palmer raids of January 1920.  The Spy Museum asks if President George W. Bush’s domestic surveillance program is a critical terrorism prevention tool or illegal intrusion on fundamental U.S. rights?  Navigate this politically charged issue with the help of moderator, Gene Policinski, executive director of the First Amendment Center, and a panel made up of: Eric Lichtblau, The New York Times Pulitzer-Prize winning journalist who revealed the formerly secret anti-terrorism domestic spying techniques being used to halt terrorists; Spike Bowman, formerly Senior Executive Service, FBI, currently a member of AFIO's Board of Directors and a distinguished fellow, Center for Technology and National Security Policy, National Defense University; Kate Martin, director of the Center for National Security Studies; and Bob O’Harrow, The Washington Post reporter and author of No Place to Hide.  Tickets: $20. Space is limited - advance registration required at the www.spymuseum.org

18 November 06 - Kennebunk, ME.  The AFIO/ME Chapter will hear Todd DiFede, Supervisory Senior FBI Resident Agent for Maine who will speak on the work of the Maine Joint Terrorism Task Force. The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main Street, Kennebunk at 2:00 p.m. Contact 207-985-2392 for information.

29 Nov - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - The Institute for Defense and Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis & Processing: The latest on Intelligence Analysis policy, programs, and technology" - Pre-Conference Seminar and Main Chaired by: Ed Waltz, Chief Scientist, Intelligence Innovation Division, BAE SYSTEMS. IDGA�s Intelligence Analysis & Processing conference is a forum for industry professionals worldwide to network and exchange information about the latest advances in Intelligence Analysis & Processing challenges, methodology, and technology. The Intelligence Analysis & Processing Seminar preceding the conference will allow participants to increase their knowledge of some of the most important advancements in Intelligence Analysis & Processing through in-depth master classes. For more information: www.ipqc.com.

1 December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On Calendar - Details to Follow

6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park , FL.

8 December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening meeting at Society of Illustrators Building, 128 East 63rd St, (between Park and Lexington). Check-in: 5:30 PM - 6:00 PM. Speakers to be announced. Buffet dinner, tables of eight. $45pp, includes drinks, coffee, dessert. Cash bar. Registration and more information available from Jerry Goodwin, Chapter President, at 212-308-1450, or email him at afiometro@yahoo.com.

12-14 December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V The MASINT Association's Annual Conference will be held with the National Reconnaissance Office. Write them at masintassoc@earthlink.net

12 December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers' Club, at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is James Pavitt. A 31-year veteran of CIA, who in 1999 was appointed Deputy Director for Operations to head what is now known as the National Clandestine Service, the CIA directorate responsible for the clandestine collection of foreign intelligence. He had served as Associate Deputy Director for Operations from July 1997 through July 1999. He served longer in that position than any DDO in the last 30 years until retiring from CIA and the DO in August 2004. After joining the Agency in 1973 as a Career Trainee, he served in a variety of intelligence assignments in Europe, Asia and at CIA Headquarters. In 1990, he was assigned to the National Security Council as the Director for Intelligence Programs. In June 1992, President Bush appointed him Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs and NSC Senior Director for Intelligence Programs. Mr. Pavitt began his intelligence career in the United States Army from 1969-1971 as an intelligence officer. Jim Pavitt is currently a principle at the Scowcroft Group and also serves as a member of the AFIO National Board of Directors. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com

AND FOR 2007 CALENDARS ....

20 January 07 - Kennebunk, ME.  AFIO/ME will bring Maine's 9/11 memorial to Kennebunk for the meeting.  Michael Clarke, Bath, Maine, firefighter who went to New York City the day after the attacks to participate in search and rescue will be the speaker.  Clarke grew up on Long Isla