AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #12-07 dated 26 March 2007

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. WINs are edited by Ernest Hampson, Ph.D., with input from AFIO members and staff.
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EDITOR'S NOTES: Questions or suggested items can be directed to WINsEditor@afio.com - Ernie Hampson


SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
INTERNATIONAL RED CROSS REPORT DOCUMENTS CIA ABUSE OF DETAINEES
KSM CONFESSION CONTAINS AT LEAST ONE CLEAR CONTRADICTION
THE CASE AGAINST IRAN- EVIDENCE OF IRANIAN INVOLVEMENT IN IRAQI VIOLENCE
FORMER CIA DIRECTOR SAYS U.S. MUST CAP CARBON EMISSIONS AND JOIN FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
UNITED STATES SAID TO BE LOOKING FOR REPLACEMENT FOR MUSHARRAF AS PAKISTANI HEAD-OF-STATE
SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
WORLD WAR II ALLIED SPY PLOT WAS FOR THE BIRDS
THE NEED FOR MILITARY INTELLIGENCE NETWORKS IN THE WAR ON TERROR
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
NEW UNIFIED CROSS DOMAIN MANAGEMENT OFFICE SUPPORTS INFORMATION SHARING
AGENCIES WORK TO ADVANCE SMART CARDS TO BECOME PHYSICAL AND LOGICAL ACCESS KEYS FOR SECURE SYSTEMS AND FACILITIES
SECTION IV - BOOKS, SOURCES AND ISSUES
Books
An Opaque War by Fredrick Harrison, Frederick Harrison Enterprises, ISBN: 1427616264, $12.95
SECTION V - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS

Letters
AFIO MEMBER REGISTERS DISAGREEMENT WITH WINS HANDLING OF KSM CONFESSION
Seeking Assistance
FRENCH TV 5 SEEKING INFORMATION ON ABWEHR DOUBLE AGENT DUSAN POPOV
Coming Events
 
Current Calendar Next Two Months ONLY:
27 March 2007 - Scottsdale, AZ - The Arizona AFIO Chapter holds luncheon meeting featuring FBI Counterintelligence Agent.
27-28 March 2007 - Fair Lakes, VA- National Military Intelligence Association Seminar on Information Operations
27-29 March 2007 - Provo, Utah - Brigham Young University hosts Spying in Film and Fiction Conference
28-29 March 2007 - Washington, DC - DEFENSE TRANSFORMATION AND NETWORK-CENTRIC OPERATIONS Conference at NDU
30 March 2007 - Alexandria, VA - The Centre for Counterintelligence and Security Studies (CI Centre)™ -"The Origins of FBI Counterintelligence" By retired FBI Supervisory Special Agent Raymond J. Batvinis
Thursday, 29 March 2007 - AFIO Jim Quesada Chapter, San Francisco Bay Area Luncheon features D.C. Nath
5 April 2007 - Alexandria, VA - The CiCentre hosts Ray Semko's "D*I*C*E 2007: Unleashed"
6 April 2007 - Houston, TX - AFIO Houston Chapter event speaker confirmed
10 April 2007 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Sun Coast Chapter Luncheon- Speaker is Porter Goss, former Director of the CIA
Wednesday, 11 April 2007 - Las Vegas, NV - "The Islamic Terrorist Mindset - Why They Hate Us" will be the topic of the AFIO Las Vegas Chapter
14 April 2007 - Kennebunk, ME - The AFIO Maine Chapter hosts a National Guard speaker discussing Homeland Security.
20 - 21 April 2007 - New London, CT - AFIO New England Chapter hosts luncheon featuring Dr. Michael Hiam
20-22 April 2007 -Weimar, Germany- 13th Annual Meeting of the International Intelligence History Association
20 April 2007 - McLean, VA - Naval Intelligence Professionals hosts the annual Red Tie Luncheon
23 April 2007 - Scottsdale, AZ - The Arizona Chapter of AFIO holds meeting on the Insanity of U.S. Immigration Policies
23-27 April 2007 - Vancouver, British Columbia - International Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts (IALEIA)/Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit (LEIU) 2007 Annual Conference
24-26 April 2007 - Arlington, VA -Terrorism Intelligence Collection and Countermeasure Seminar/Workshop
 4-5 May 2007 - Saratoga Springs, NY - The Naval Cryptologic Veterans Association Reunion
 12 May 2007 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club
 17 May 2007 - Colorado Springs, CO - FBI Counterterrorism Expert talks at AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter luncheon at the Falcon Room, Air Force Academy Officers Club.
 17-19 May 2007 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion
 18 May 2007 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Spring Luncheon
 
For Additional Events two+ months or more....view our online Calendar of Events

SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

INTERNATIONAL RED CROSS REPORT DOCUMENTS CIA ABUSE OF DETAINEES The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has prepared a confidential report that says detainees held in CIA secret prisons overseas were subjected to abuse. The findings are based solely on interviews with the 14 "high value" detainees that were transferred to Guantanamo Bay from the secret detention centers overseas last September. The abuse included forcing the prisoners into "stress positions," such as prolonged periods of standing, and sleep deprivation. The detainees claimed in the report that the two methods were particularly harsh when used together. The CIA claims the methods soften prisoners and make them more likely to talk during interrogation. Human rights groups complain that the CIA's "extreme conditions of detention and the coercive questioning techniques constitute torture." Anonymous U.S. officials who would not speak openly due to the confidentiality of the report warned that the report relied only on statements by terror suspects that may be charged with the murder of innocent victims. Red Cross spokesman Simon Schorno said the ICRC visited the detainees to observe their current condition and assess their past treatment. He said, however, that the Red Cross does not discuss its findings. CIA spokesman Mark Mansfield echoed Schorno, refusing to comment on the ICRC report, but did say that CIA interrogation is conducted in a legal manner, and that torture is not condoned by the Agency. He added that the interrogation program has been conducted, "with great care and close review, producing vital information that has helped disrupt plots and save lives." House Intelligence Chairman Silvestre Reyes (D-TX) said he has been briefed on the report and, "There are allegations that are made by these 14, and they are vehemently denied by General Hayden and the intelligence folks." The ICRC report is the first independent report on CIA abuses since the CIA detention and interrogation program began in 2002 in the wake of the 9/11 attacks. Human Rights Watch (HRW) called on President Bush last month in an open letter to account for 38 "ghost prisoners"; detainees that were held by the CIA in secret and now cannot be found, and another HRW report recounted the experiences of former CIA detainee Marwan Jabour. [PJK/Jurist 21Mar07, Murphy/APNews 20Mar07, Shrader]

KSM CONFESSION CONTAINS AT LEAST ONE CLEAR CONTRADICTION Before a military tribunal consisting of one Navy captain (O-6), four lieutenant colonels (O-5, 2 Air Force, 1 Marine Corps, 1 Army), and one Marine Corps Gunnery Sergeant at the Guantanamo Bay detention facility on 10 March, Khalid Sheik Mohammed (KSM) is said to have confessed to some degree of involvement in 31 separate terrorist plots. His confession included the 1993 World Trade Center attack, the beheading of reporter Daniel Pearl, the Bali night club bombing, the attempted attack on an airliner by shoe bomber Richard Reed, and of course, masterminding the 9/11 attacks. Critics have said that Mohammed's confession was suspect due to claims that KSM had been subjected to torture, including the technique of water-boarding in which the subject is bound to a board and his face covered with cellophane while water is poured over his face to simulate the feeling of drowning. U.S. Senator John McCain has called the technique, "exquisite torture." KSM has also been described as one willing to over inflate his role as a form of self-aggrandizement. At least one plot for which KSM claimed credit appears to be clearly false. In number 7 of the laundry list of terror plots that KSM provided the tribunal, he claimed responsibility for planning, training, surveying and financing the Second Wave of attacks after 9/11. The "second wave" included a proposed attacks on skyscrapers across the country including "Plaza Bank, Washington state." However, Plaza Bank was not founded until 2006 [Plaza Bank website], three years after KSM was in custody. KSM was captured in March 2003 in Pakistan. The building that houses the Plaza Bank is formally called the U.S. Bank Centre building and was built in 1989 [Emporius]. Former CIA officer Robert Baer also doubts KSM's claim that he was the one who beheaded Danny Pearl. "(KSM) is making things up. I'm told by people involved in the investigation that KSM was present during Wall Street Journal correspondent Danny Pearl's execution but was in fact not the person who killed him. There exists videotape footage of the execution that minimizes KSM's role. And if KSM did indeed exaggerate his role in the Pearl murder, it raises the question of just what else he has exaggerated, or outright fabricated," Baer said. In an ABC interview, Pearl's father said that the facts, "don't match (KSM's) story" [PJK/Australian 22Mar07/Otterman]

THE CASE AGAINST IRAN- EVIDENCE OF IRANIAN INVOLVEMENT IN IRAQI VIOLENCE Rick Brennan served in the Office of the Secretary of Defense during the Clinton Administration and is now a senior political scientist at the Rand Corporation. He recently opined on the pages of the Washington Times that the U.S. case against Iran, showing that Iran is covertly supplying weapons and possibly training to Iraqi insurgents, should not be judged based on past U.S. intelligence failures- particularly the Iraq WMD fiasco. After the inaccuracies in intelligence reporting about Iraq's WMD programs, Brennan asks why anyone should believe current U.S. intelligence that Iran is involved in supporting violent insurgents in Iraq. He points to four major differences in the two cases that he says adds up to overwhelming evidence showing Iran's involvement in Iraq. First, Brennan differentiates the source of the intelligence. The primary source for the information on Iraq's WMD programs were expatriated Iraqi's with am axe to grind against a tyrant. These Iraqi expatriates had a vested interest in a U.S. invasion of Iraq. The source of information on Iran's involvement in Iraq however are U.S. foot soldiers with no hidden agenda or reason to distort facts. The second difference that Brennan points out is the amount of physical evidence the U.S. has gathered pointing to Iranian involvement in Iraq. Whereas the evidence of Iraq's WMD program was mostly circumstantial, the U.S. military has gathered a trove of Iranian manufactured weapons, some with manufacture dates as late as 2006. The captured weapons caches displayed recently to reporters by officers of the 1st Cavalry Division included Iranian-made rocket propelled grenades, mortar rounds and rockets. Third, one of the weapons found was an "explosively formed projectile" (EFP) known to be made only in Tehran under contract to the Iranian government. EFPs were first found in Lebanon in 2004 in the possession of the Iranian-backed terrorist group Hezbollah. Gen. William Caldwell, a spokesman for the U.S. military in Baghdad, said that although few EFPs have been discovered, their use by Shiite militias against U.S. forces has increased by 150% since January 2006. The EFP has emerged as the most lethal killer on the battlefield in Iraq due to its ability to penetrate armor. EFPs require precision machining not available in Iraq. Finally, the U.S. has captured senior members of the Iranian special forces group called the al-Quds force operating in Iraq. This group is under the direct control of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Hoseini Khamenei. In January, U.S. forces captured Iranian Gen. Mohsen Chizari -- the No. 3 man in al-Quds, with four other senior al-Quds officials. These Iranian military men carried false identification, disguises and sensitive Iranian military documents. There are also reports of a number of other Iranian operatives captured in Iraq, and captured Iraqi Shiite militiamen providing detailed accounts of Iranian support. The only link missing, according to Brennan, is conclusive proof of involvement at the highest levels of the Iranian government. It is unlikely such evidence can be gathered. However, Brennan believes that it is unlikely that such a large-scale covert operation could continue with out the knowledge and at least tacit approval of the Iranian government's most senior officials. [Harvey/WashTimes 16Mar07/Brennan]

FORMER CIA DIRECTOR SAYS U.S. MUST CAP CARBON EMISSIONS AND JOIN FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE Former CIA Director John Deutch, who is now an energy specialist and professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said in a report to the Trilateral Commission consisting of opinion leaders from the U.S., Europe and Asia that the U.S. must cap its emissions of greenhouse gases and join the fight against global warming or risk losing its leadership status in the world. Deutch led the CIA 1995-96. "If the United States or any other OECD country that is a large producer of greenhouse gas emissions is to retain a leadership role in other areas, it cannot just opt out of the global climate change policy process," he wrote. Deutch recommended an additional $1 tax per gallon of gasoline, diesel and other petroleum products together with a tightening of fuel economy standards for U.S. manufactured automobiles. The measures, while politically difficult, would act to dampen demand and encourage fuel efficiency. Deutch also suggested the U.S. adopt the "cap and trade" policy in use in Europe. Under "cap and trade," companies are limited to the amount of carbon dioxide they are permitted to emit, and may trade excess emission permits with other companies. The Trilateral Commission was formed in 1973 to help build policy consensus among industrialized nations on the three contents, and is currently concerned with curbing global warming. Deutch said that the so-called geotechnical measures being discussed, such as adding aerosols to the stratosphere, placing balloons or mirrors in the stratosphere and even "high altitude nuclear explosions to induce a nuclear 'spring'," are so risky that efforts to mitigate human contribution to climate change must be redoubled. The report also called on the International Energy Agency to admit China and India in order to improve cooperation among major oil and gas importers and help avoid tensions over supplies. Deutch has great expectations for carbon capture and sequestration technology to reduce emissions from coal-fired power stations, especially in China. However, fellow Trilateral Commission member French energy executive Anne Lauvergeon said the carbon capture technology is too often touted as a miracle cure and that it "will ... not play a significant role in the limitation of carbon emissions for half a century." Lauvergeon is chief executive of Areva, which builds nuclear power stations. [PJK/WashPost 19Mar07/Taylor]

UNITED STATES SAID TO BE LOOKING FOR REPLACEMENT FOR MUSHARRAF AS PAKISTANI HEAD-OF-STATE Reporting out of Lahore, Pakistan says that the U.S. has sent officers of the CIA to search the ranks of the Pakistani military for a suitable candidate to replace General Pervez Musharraf as leader of the Pakistani government. The reports are sourced to a "well-placed diplomat," who said the recruitment mission reflects the seriousness of purpose with which the Bush administration wants to replace its "most valuable ally." The source said that last year Washington began to examine ways to push Pakistan towards a more democratic and civilian rule, even though Musharraf had a firm grip on the government and was helping the U.S. in its War on Terror. A plan was hatched to find a pro-U.S.. officer in the Pakistani military to replace Musharraf. The successor would have to support a program of reaching out to pro-democracy groups with the goal of establishing a civilian government. Although the U.S. had believed Musharraf was controlling Islamic militants in his country, the source said that Washington began to believe that the military government was breeding further radicalism. The plan to replace Musharraf waned for a while, but gained new momentum in anticipation of a large Taliban spring offensive. Two recent events show that Washington has increased pressure on Islamabad. First, on March 15, the U.S. Congress linked aid to Pakistan to Islamabad's progress towards democracy. Second, a week later State Department spokesman Sean McCormack announced that the U.S. expected Musharraf to give up the army chief's post by the end of the year. The Senate bill called for free and fair elections in 2007. [PJK/DNAIndia 23Mar07/Mir]


SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

WORLD WAR II ALLIED SPY PLOT WAS FOR THE BIRDS Source Columba was the sophisticated extension of an operation that was carried on throughout World War I. Starting in 1940, the British began dropping pigeons by parachute behind enemy lines to reach anti-German populations. Each bird had its own spy kit consisting of a Bakelite tube, sheets of ultra thin paper, and instructions in French, Dutch or Flemish on how to report on German activities. The messages would be secured in the tubes, and the pigeons released, who would then- when things worked right- fly back to their British masters. The Confidential Pigeon Service was one of the most closely guarded secrets of Allied intelligence due to the value of the information it gleaned. One report carried back by a pigeon was written using an industrial magnifying glass and contained thousands of words and 14 hand-drawn maps. In new files just declassified, it is reported that in March 1944 the Germans became aware of Source Columba and began their own counter-bird operations. A French freedom fighter warned Major Brain Melland of MI 14, the branch of the intelligence service that handled Source Columba among other things, that the Germans had begun dropping pigeons all over France. Melland's source told him that the German counterfeit birds came with British cigarettes to prove their Allied origin, and instructions stating that the Allied invasion was at hand, and a request to identify all persons involved in the resistance movement. The network of General Charles de Gaulle was doing its best to warn Frenchmen of the German subterfuge. Melland reported that his source said the French were advising people, "Smoke the cigarettes and eat the pigeons." Genuine Source Columba pigeon packages contained a page from a current London-based newspaper to prove authenticity, and warned whomever found the package to use an alias when responding. Melland warned Captain JR Kleyn, the Dutchman in charge of pigeon operations, not to instruct the public via BBC broadcasts on distinguishing actual Source Columba birds from the German counterfeits as he felt that it could result in some "of the less intelligence leaving both kinds [authentic and fake birds] alone." The Source Columba program continued after the D-Day invasion and 31 of its "agents" received the Dickin Medal- the animal version of the Victoria Cross. [CL/Telegraph 20Mar07/Fenton]

THE NEED FOR MILITARY INTELLIGENCE NETWORKS IN THE WAR ON TERROR Atlantic Monthly national correspondent Mark Bowden encountered something unexpected when he accompanied Colonel (now General) Juancho Sabban and his Filipino marines who were battling the Islamic militants of Abu Sayyaf on the tiny speck of an island Jolo. What Bowden found in this remote location "as far removed from [his] own world as could be" was a group of Americans sitting in a palm grove listening to Bob Dylan and trying very hard to remain inconspicuous. Although they had civilian haircuts and clothing, Bowden realized they were American military- probably some type of special forces unit. Although they were polite, they were not interested in talking to the press from their home country. Bowden reports that he recalled those Americans on Jolo last week when he heard that new Defense Secretary Robert Gates was considering the dismantling of the Pentagon's intelligence network installed by his predecessor, the now-maligned Donald Rumsfeld. The CIA has seen the expansion of military intelligence, especially into the realm of human intelligence collection, as turf infringement. Gates was a career CIA man, served as its director, and has written of his concern of the military spreading its tentacles further into intelligence gathering. Opponents and critics of Rumsfeld believed that he established the alternate intelligence network to evade congressional oversight. The Pentagon denied it. In his article in the Philadelphia Inquirer, Bowden defends the Pentagon program and points out that what is at stake is more than a victory in a turf battle. The War on Terror is being conducted all over the world, and while the CIA is harnessed with strategic intelligence collection, the military requires tactical intelligence. One senior military officer told Bowden, "The CIA wants to know if Osama bin Laden is developing a nuclear weapon; the military wants to know where he goes out for a hamburger." The siege of the U.S. embassy in Tehran in 1979 is an example of how the military must sometimes serve its own intelligence needs. As it was planning a rescue attempt of the U.S. hostages held in the embassy, the military needed tactical information such as how many guards were at the gates, what type of weapons were they carrying, and would it be possible to acquire trucks in Tehran and find a place to house a commando team for the night. Lacking information from the CIA on such operational details, the military slipped operators from the newly formed Delta Force into Tehran to acquire the information. Bowden defends Rumsfeld, saying that the former Defense Secretary faced a similar drought of information in the War on Terror. To remedy the situation and serve military commanders' need for data, he created Military Liaison Elements (MLEs)- small teams of special operators that were inserted into countries across the globe. Some in the CIA, however, considered their military counterparts to be klutzes and perhaps an endangerment to on-going intelligence operations. Michael Sheehan, a former special operations officer who served as special ambassador for counterterrorism in the State Department during the Clinton administration, discounts such criticism. "In any operation of that size you can find certain knuckleheads who screw up, and critics will seize upon these examples to complain that the whole program is a joke," he said. Sheehan touts the value of the network, "The military does have certain peculiar requirements, and the existence of this military network, which has been in place now for a few years, is invaluable. Gates would be crazy to eliminate it." Bowden apparently feels strongly that the military network should remain intact: "We are no longer in the Cold War, when spying meant monitoring the activities of an empire such as the Soviet Union. Infiltrating and targeting terror cells is work that requires boots on the ground - as with the unit in Jolo - who have relationships with the local military and police, who know the language, the culture, and the politics in obscure theaters of operation, and who are capable not only of gathering intel but acting upon it fast."  [Harvey/PhilaInquirer 18Mar07/Bowden]


SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE

NEW UNIFIED CROSS DOMAIN MANAGEMENT OFFICE SUPPORTS INFORMATION SHARING A new organization under the Office of the Director of National Intelligence called the Unified Cross Domain Management Office (UCDMO) was confirmed in a November 2006 report. The purpose of the UCDMO is to facilitate the sharing of classified intelligence information amongst civilian and military intelligence organizations. The report said the UCDMO was created to “ensure that cross-domain solutions are available to meet IC and DOD needs at acceptable levels of cost, schedule and risk.”  The umbrella program that incorporates the UCDMO mission is the Information Sharing Environment (ISE), established by Congress as part of the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004. The 2006 report calls the establishment of the UCDMO a promising initiative, but emphasizes the need to expand the program beyond just DoD and the IC to include all ISE participants. The ISE is made up of dozens of federal, state, local and tribal intelligence and law enforcement agencies, as well as the dozens of information fusion centers they have established.  [GCN 19Mar07/Dizzard]

AGENCIES WORK TO ADVANCE SMART CARDS TO BECOME PHYSICAL AND LOGICAL ACCESS KEYS FOR SECURE SYSTEMS AND FACILITIES Homeland Security Presidential Directive-12 (HSPD-12) issued a mandate in August 2004 that smart card technology would be used to create interoperable cards used for physical and logical access. Over the next six to twelve months, federal agencies will attempt to hurdle the last challenges- estimated to be about 20% of the total task- to make the administration's goal a reality. Chris Niedermayer, chairman of the Office of Management and Budget’s HSPD-12 Executive Steering Committee (ESC) and the Agriculture Department’s associate CIO says that the smallest things can be the hardest to achieve. He said they are currently working on systems to establish and maintain trust [amongst different agencies]. As agencies scrambled to meet an October 27th deadline to begin issuing smart identification cards, many of the outstanding issues were tabled. However, now the ESC and the Government Smart Card Interagency Advisory Board (IAB) are beginning to address them. Some note that agency energy in the program is waning, though, pointing out that less than 1,000 cards were issued since October, and the General Services Administration, through its Managed Services Office (MSO), has stopped issuing cards in all regions except Washington, DC. GSA has re-awarded its MSO contract, though, and believes this action may help reinvigorate the program. [GCN 19Mar07/Miller]


SECTION IV - BOOKS, SOURCES AND ISSUES

Books

An Opaque War by Fredrick Harrison, Frederick Harrison Enterprises, ISBN: 1427616264, $12.95 AFIO member Fred Harrison wrote and published a novel that explores the interaction of Intelligence and Law Enforcement with White House politics at their point of intersection: Fleet Week in the harbor of New York City. As a terrorist plot lot develops and moves toward an horrific climax, it is not clear that there are dots, much less how they are to be connected. The reader becomes involved in following the players, both friend and enemy, as their lives and events move toward a dramatic and explosive finale. It is available on Amazon. [Amazon]


SECTION V - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
[IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" nor endorse career offers, research inquiries or announcements. Reasonable-sounding inquiries are published as a service to members. Exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding or supplying any information or making referrals to colleagues. Members should obtain prior approval from their agencies before answering questions that would impact ongoing military or intelligence operations - even if unclassified. Never assume public inquiries about classified projects means they've been declassified. Be attuned to false-flagging.

Letters

AFIO MEMBER REGISTERS DISAGREEMENT WITH WINS HANDLING OF KSM CONFESSION I register my disagreement with the way the alleged confession of Khalid Sheik Mohammed is presented in the AFIO weekly note 11-07. Once again the AFIO publication is straight government propaganda. AFIO does not know what Mohammed said. There were no witnesses to the alleged confession, he had no lawyer present and the proceedings were closed to the media. The government admitted that Mohammed was tortured. That alone would invalidate his confession. We know that a tortured man could be made to say anything, if only in fear of future torture. The confession of a tortured person is limited only by the torturers' imagination. Also, what was published was a redacted version of proceedings which were similar to what took place in Stalin's Russia. I hope you publish my comments. -Thomas Polgar

Seeking Assistance

FRENCH TV 5 SEEKING INFORMATION ON ABWEHR DOUBLE AGENT DUSAN POPOV French TV France 5 is preparing a documentary on Dusan Popov, who was an Abwehr agent, but actually working for the MI5 and MI6 during the Second World War. Popov visited the U.S. and met J. Edgar Hoover. We are trying to find people who met him or were working in the FBI at that time to explain us how Popov was working with the FBI. Thank you in advance for your help and suggestions ! Best Regards, Angélica Tarnowska, Journalist. Contact: angelicat75@gmail.com, or telephone: + 33 6 12 70 61 64.

Coming Events

27 March 2007 - Scottsdale, AZ - The Arizona AFIO Chapter holds luncheon meeting featuring FBI Counterintelligence Agent. The luncheon meeting at Buster's Restaurant at 11:30 AM will feature FBI Special Agent Lyn Anastasio speaking on the importance of counterintelligence in the US. Businesses and Universities need to be aware of foreign entities attacking US economic and national security. Special Agent Anastasio has been an agent for 10 years, working violent crime for two years and counterintelligence for eight years. Her current position is the Domain Coordinator for the FBI Phoenix Division. Please call Bill Williams (602) 944-2451 to make reservations or for additional information.

27-28 March 2007 - Fair Lakes, VA- National Military Intelligence Association Seminar on Information Operations This two-day seminar will be at the Northrop Grumman Conference Center in Fair Lakes, VA and will examine information operations and the specific types of intelligence support needed for success. The Conference will be conducted at the SECRET/NOFORN level. Presenters will include the Department of State, the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the combatant commands, the Services, and the intelligence community. Key topics include the nature and practice of strategic communications, the mission and daily operations of the Joint Information Operations Warfare Command. Confirmed speakers are Adm William O. Studeman, USN Ret.; Eliot O. Jardines, Asst DDNI for Open Source Intelligence; MG Barbara Fast, Commander, U.S. Army Intelligence Center, Ft. Huachuca, AZ; Col. George J. Franz, Commander, 704thMI Brigade, Ft. Meade, MD; Robert Giesler, Office of the Deputy Undersecretary of Defense (IWS); and Col. John Davis, USA, Commander, 1st Information Operations Command and Ambassador Brian Carlson, Office of the Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs The Registration Fee starts at $475 for general admission. Seminar information and registration specifics can be found at https://www.123signup.com/event?id=qhdhh.

27-29 March 2007 - Provo, Utah - Brigham Young University hosts Spying in Film and Fiction Conference The David M. Kennedy Center for International Studies at Brigham Young University in Provo, Utah is sponsoring a three day conference on Spying in Film and Fiction on March 27, 28, and 29, 2007. Confirmed presenters are Christopher Andrew, well known Cambridge University historian, author, and official historian of MI5; Loch K. Johnson, widely published intelligence scholar from the University of Georgia; Wesley Wark, University of Toronto historian and frequent commentator on spy films and fiction; Frederick Hitz, former Inspector General of the CIA, lecturer at Princeton and at the University of Virginia, and author of the 2004 book, The Great Game: The Myth and Reality of Espionage; Nicholas Dujmovic, CIA historian; and Stan Taylor, organizer of the conference. The conference is free to the public although letting us know you are planning to attend would be appreciated. Inquiries about local lodging and about the conference schedule may be directed to Cory Leonard, Associate Director of the David M. Kennedy Center, at cory_leonard@byu.edu or 801-422-2980. Any AFIO member who attends will automatically be placed on a post-presentation discussion panel. If you come early or stay late, you can enjoy some excellent early Spring skiing at some of the finest ski resorts in the nation less than an hour from the Brigham Young University campus.

28-29 March 2007 - Washington, DC - DEFENSE TRANSFORMATION AND NETWORK-CENTRIC OPERATIONS Conference at NDU A National Defense University and Forces Transformation and Resources Short Course at Marshall Hall, Room 155, Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, DC 20319. FREE to participants. http://www.ndu.edu/info/WhatsNew/whatsnew.cfm  Program: Defense Transformation and Network-Centric Operations: A Strategic Perspective: Progression in Force Transformation, Dr. Hans Binnendijk, Director, CTNSP/NDU; Department of Defense Strategic Directions for Transformation, Mr. Terry J. Pudas, DASecDef, Forces Transformation and Resources (OUSD-P); The Theory and Practice of Network-Centric Operations for Major Warfighting by Mr. John Garstka, Assistant Director of Operations and Concepts, Forces Transformation and Resources (OUSD-P); DoD Plans and Programs for Information Networks by Dr. Stuart Starr, Sr Research Fellow, CTNSP/NDU; Resources for Force Transformation by Dr. Gordon Adams, Fellow, Wilson Center; Transforming the National Security Community by Mr. Spike Bowman, Sr Fellow, CTNSP/NDU; Applications of Network Centric Operations -- Transformation Case Study: The Stryker Brigade by Colonel Robert Ballew, USA, Transformation Strategist, Forces Transformation and Resources (OUSD-P); 1000 Transformation Case Study: The Stiletto Program by Capt Gary Edwards, USN, Transformation Strategist, Forces Transformation and Resources (OUSD-P); Transformation Case: Littoral Combat Ship by Dr. Stuart Johnson, Senior Research Analyst, RAND Corporation; Transforming the Structure of the Military: Combat Decisions – Rank, Responsibility, or Frontline Positions? by Mr. Bing West, Founder and CEO, GAMMA Corporation; Transformation for Disaster Relief: Response to Hurricane Katrina by LTC John M. Epperly, Virginia National Guard, CDR 3-116 Infantry, 1st Brigade Combat Team, 29th Infantry Division (Light); Transforming the Interagency for Complex Operations by Mr. Bernie Carreau, Senior Research Fellow, CTNSP/NDU; Wrap up and Evaluations. More information/Registration at http://www.ndu.edu/info/WhatsNew/whatsnew.cfm

Thursday, 29 March 2007 - AFIO Jim Quesada Chapter, San Francisco Bay Area Luncheon features D.C. Nath, Exec President & CEO of International Institute of Security and Safety Management on "The War on Terrorism As Seen From India." Event starts at 11:30 AM with cocktails, luncheon at noon, at United Irish Cultural Center (UICC) - St. Patrick’s Room (2nd Floor), 2700 – 45th Avenue, San Francisco, CA 94116 (45th between Sloat and Wawona). Within the broad framework of its multiparty, liberal democratic polity, comprising different ethnic group and diverse religious faiths, India has been for the last sixty years fighting the menace of terrorism of different hues – from subnational insurgency to ideologically-motivated movement to religiously-inspired jehadi terrorism of varying intensity, mostly with extra-territorial linkages and patronage. Basically, it has been an intelligence-oriented approach, followed up with dialogue and negotiation, socio-economic incentives but occasionally backed by armed action and resort to legal methods like banning illegal activities. What lessons does this approach carry for the strife-torn nations in the world? RESERVATIONS: to Mary Lou Anderson no later than 5 PM 3/23/07. Reach her at 46 Anchorage Rd, Sausalito, CA 94965, Telephone 415-332-6440 or email: mlanderson945@comcast.net

30 March 2007 - Alexandria, VA - The Centre for Counterintelligence and Security Studies (CI Centre)™ -"The Origins of FBI Counterintelligence" By retired FBI Supervisory Special Agent Raymond J. Batvinis As the world prepared for war in the 1930s, the United States discovered that it faced the real threat of foreign spies stealing military and industrial secrets—and that it had no established means to combat them. Into that breach stepped J. Edgar Hoover and the FBI. Author Ray Batvinis gives a talk about his new book, "The Origins of FBI Counterintelligence," Friday, 30 March 2007, 6:00 pm, CI Centre in Alexandria, VA. Light refreshments will be served. His book will be available for purchase at the event so you can have it signed by Ray Batvinis. The event is free. Please RSVP as space is limited. Call the CI Centre at 703-642-7450 or 1-800-779-4007 or RSVP online at http://cicentre.com/BK/fbi_batvinis_book_event.html.

Thursday, 5 April 2007 - Alexandria, VA - the CiCentre hosts Ray Semko's "D*I*C*E 2007: Unleashed" an Annual Security Awareness/Refresher Briefing - from 9:30am - Noon. Almost all organizations, whether government or private sector, have a requirement to provide a security refresher briefing every year to their personnel. For those who hold security clearances, this is mandated by the National Industrial Security Program Operating Manual (NISPOM 3-107), and records of completion have to be kept for security inspections of your facility. These briefings need to cover topics such as threat awareness, defensive security, employee reporting obligations and requirements and security procedures. Would you like to experience a D*I*C*E briefing yourself? Or are you part of a small organization who can't fill a D*I*C*E briefing? Ray Semko will premiere his D*I*C*E 2007: UNLEASHED! briefing. This is his first new briefing since he retired from the government and now that he's "unleashed," you can find out what he has to say. All attendees will receive a special certificate signed by Ray stating they've completed their annual security briefing for the year. For more information and to register to attend, go to: http://cicentre.com/dice/2007_premiere.html or call them at 1-800-779-4007 or 703-642-7450. Seating is limited.

6 April 2007 - Houston, TX - AFIO Houston Chapter event speaker confirmed Speaker to be announced later for security reasons. Registration and further details at afiohoustonchapter@yahoo.com 1800h 6pm Cocktails. No tickets at the door.

10 April 2007 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the MacDill Surf's Edge Club/Enlisted Club (note change in location), at MacDill Air Force Base. The luncheon speaker is Porter Goss, former Director of the CIA. After graduating from Yale, Porter joined the CIA and worked as a Case Officer in the Directorate of Operations for nine years. He began his political career in local government in 1974 and went on to be elected to Congress in 1988, where he served for 16 years. Among other leadership positions he held, Porter served as Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee for 8 years. He left Congress when he was appointed DCI by President George W. Bush. He served as DCI and then Director of the CIA from September 2004 until May 2006. We are honored to have such a dedicated public servant who has been willing to answer the call to serve wherever his country needed him. Due to base security, reservations for this meeting should be received by April 1, 2007. For more information contact Don White, DonWhite@tampabay.rr.com.

Wednesday, 11 April 2007 - Las Vegas, NV - "The Islamic Terrorist Mindset - Why They Hate Us" will be the topic of the AFIO Las Vegas Chapter meeting at 6 p.m. at Nellis Air Force Base Officers' Club. PATRICK BOYLAN, a fellow AFIO member and former speaker to the Chapter, talks about the Koran, describing in its own words the deep hatred Muslims harbor for all non-Muslims from America to Indonesia, Israel to Kashmir, and Chechnya to Thailand. Boylan is known for his thought provoking presentations and articles on Islam and Terrorism and has first hand knowledge of, and experience with, the true causes of Islamic terrorism. He understands well the question that plagues so many in the Western world, "Why do they hate us?" The briefing will include a discussion on: "Shedding light on geopolitical issues that pose a threat not only to our Homeland Security but that of the entire free world." Having worked as a Geologist, and journalist Patrick is deeply familiar with the mountainous no-man's territory of western Pakistan where Osama bi Laden and his terrorists are suspected of being given safe haven. He has met and talked to a number of Mujahadeen, some of whom went on to become Taliban. He personally knew Mir Amal Kansi's brother and had lengthy conversations with him. Mr. Boylan received his Masters in Crisis and Emergency Management from the Institute for Security Studies (UNLV) and a Masters in Educational Leadership, also from UNLV, where he intends to continue and finish his Ph.D. Currently, Patrick is the founder of the Center for Strategic Analysis, a non-profit organization with an educational endeavor to make the public and government aware of the true causes of terrorism, and to be a source of insight and truth in keeping our nation safe. Register for this event no later than Friday, March 30th at Christine J. Eppley EPPLEY@nv.doe.gov or call her at 702-295-0073 if you have any questions. Place: The Officers' Club at Nellis Air Force Base. All guests must use the MAIN GATE located at the intersection on Craig and Las Vegas Blvd. Address: 5871 Fitzgerald Blvd., Nellis AFB, NV

 14 April 2007 - Kennebunk, ME - The AFIO Maine Chapter hosts a National Guard speaker discussing Homeland Security. Col. Steve Schlieper of the Maine National Guard will speak on the Maine National Guard's role in Homeland Security. The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at 2:00 p.m. at the Kennebunk Free Library, Main Street, Kennebunk. Call 207-985-2392 for information or to make reservations.

 20 - 21 April 2007 - New London, CT - AFIO New England Chapter hosts luncheon featuring Dr. Michael Hiam, author of Who the Hell Are We Fighting? The Story of Sam Adams & the Vietnam Intelligence Wars. The Spring meeting of the David Atlee Phillips New England Chapter will gather 20 - 21 April 2007 at the Lighthouse Inn, 6 Guthrie Place, New London, CT 06320-4206, Telephone 860-443-8411, Reservations 888-443-8411, www.lighthouseinn-ct.com  Lodging is available to AFIO members at the rate of $155 plus taxes per night in the Mansion; deadline is 21 March.
As is our custom, Friday evening AFIO/NE will host a wine & cheese social 6:00 - 8:00 PM 20 April 2007 followed by a no-host dinner with our speakers at the Lighthouse Inn. The luncheon the next day is $25 per person when paid by check by April 9th or $30 at the door on a first-come-first-serve basis, as seats are available.
Our morning speakers will be the two students who won the 2006 AFIO/NE “Best Paper” competition. First will be Matthew Allatin. Recipient of the graduate student award, he recently completed his MS degree in National Security from the University of New Haven. Matthew will discuss “The al Qaeda Terrorist Organization: A Redefining Look.” This presentation will endeavor to provide an description of al Qaeda, their driving factors & a general understanding of how this terrorist group functions.
Our second morning speaker will be David Lim, recipient of the undergraduate award. He recently graduated with a BA degree in International Relations from Boston University. Next year he will enter Law School. David will discuss his paper on “Organized Crime & Terrorism.” Our Keynote Speaker Saturday afternoon will be Dr. Michael Hiam who took four years from his practice as a clinical psychologist to research & write Who the Hell Are We Fighting? The Story of Sam Adams & the Vietnam Intelligence Wars (Steerforth, 2006). The book is about CIA Analyst Samuel A. Adams. It reviews his life, career, & obsession to uncover the truth concerning the “numbers controversy” about the strength of the Viet Cong. Adams is a distant relative of the Presidents Adams. Dr. Hiam suggests there are parallels between Intelligence failures in Viet Nam then and now in Iraq He holds degrees in English & History as well as a Ph. D. in Psychology. He is a resident of Newton, MA. For further information contact Arthur Hulnick 617-353-8978.

20 April 2007 - McLean, VA - Naval Intelligence Professionals hosts the annual Red Tie Luncheon at the Tysons Corner Holiday Inn. This traditional gathering of naval analysts, past and present, welcomes those from many agencies. Guest speaker will be Navy Captain Chris Bott, Military Assistant to the American Ambassador to Iraq. Cash bar from 11:00 a.m., with lunch served at noon. Cost $35, payable in advance. To reserve, contact navintpro@aol.com, (703) 250-6765, or post to: NIP, PO Box 11579, Burke, VA 22009-1579

20-22 April 07 -Weimar, Germany- 13th Annual Meeting of the International Intelligence History Association Organizers: Professor Wolfgang Krieger (Universität Marburg / Germany) and Professor Heiner Timmermann (Akademie Rosenhof / Weimar). It has often been said that intelligence services helped keep the peace during the cold war. But there can be no doubt that in many instances intelligence activities led to or intensified international conflict. At least two large-scale wars, in Vietnam and in Afghanistan, resulted directly from massive intelligence failures (and eventually led to further such failures). Throughout the cold war intelligence clashes produced diplomatic or political incidents, such as expelling embassy staff or formal protests against abductions or telephone wiretappings. Intelligence clashes worsened relations , at least temporarily, within each bloc, between the two blocs and with countries outside the blocs. While a fair number of such clashes have already been studied, including naval incidents and incidents relating to espionage overflights, much research is still required before we understand more thoroughly their significance in cold war history. Proposals are to be sent (by February 15th) to -- kriegerw@staff.uni-marburg.de --. Conference presentations will be limited to 25-30 minutes. While the conference organizers will attempt to provide financial assistance to the conference presenters for travel and accommodation expenses no commitment can be made in advance. For further information please consult our website at -- www.intelligence-history.org -- where administrative details will be posted shortly for all who wish to participate in this conference. (This message is also available online at www.intelligence-history.org)

23 April 2007 - Scottsdale, AZ - The Arizona Chapter of AFIO holds meeting on the Insanity of U.S. Immigration Policies - The Chapter will hold it's April meeting at Buster's Restaurant in Scottsdale, The speaker will be Neville Cramer, discussing his book, "INSanity: America's Immigration Crisis." Mr. Cramer served in the Justice Department for more than twenty five years and was one of the most experienced agents in the former Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) and is a graduate of the FBI National Academy. For reservations and information call Bill Williams at (602) 944-2451.

23-27 April 2007 - Vancouver, British Columbia - International Association of Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysts (IALEIA)/Law Enforcement Intelligence Unit (LEIU) 2007 Annual Conference at the Hyatt Regency Hotel. These two organizations represent the largest associations representing both intelligence analysts and intelligence officers in the world; if you go to one training conference in 2007, this should be the one! This is the second joint conference involving IALEIA and LEIU; we worked together on our Annual Conference in Alexandria, VA in 2005, which was a huge success and attracted over 700 attendees. Keynote by Dr Mark Lowenthal, former CIA Assistant Director for Analysis & Production, and discussions on Future Challenges for the Intelligence Community by Dr Thomas Fingar (DNI), Director of National Intelligence Analysis/Chairman National Intelligence Council. Please visit the website for more details http://leiu-homepage.org/events/index.php David Jimenez-Director of Training, Education, and Career Development, swnmia@juno.com or jimenez@ialeia.org.

24-26 April 2007 - Arlington, VA -Terrorism Intelligence Collection and Countermeasure Seminar/Workshop Primary Speakers: Col. Valentin Aksilenko (KGB, Ret), John C. "Jack" Platt and Dr. Karl Seger. This program focuses on methods used by terrorists to collect intelligence and plan operations. Both domestic and international extremist collection methods are discussed and several case studies are presented. The workshop includes two practical exercises: a field surveillance detection exercise and a classroom exercise on Internet intelligence collection. Methods to detect and counter terrorist intelligence collection are also presented. Sponsored by Seger Consulting Group, Inc.  Tuition $1,295.00  Tuition is $995.00 if three or more people from the same organization register. Contact Karl Seger at 1-888-277-9703 or email karlseger@segercg.com, Seger Consulting Group, Inc. 1.888.277.9703

 4-5 May 2007 - Saratoga Springs, NY - The Naval Cryptologic Veterans Association Reunion  The NCVA - New England Chapter is holding their annual reunion. For information, please call (603) 881-7752, or visit www.ncva-ne.org. Attendance is open to individuals who served with the U.S. Naval Security Group or are serving with its counterpart in NETWARCOM.

 12 May 2007 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club - The May luncheon will be held at the Eau Gallie Yacht Club (EGYC). A cash bar will open at 1130 hours and lunch will begin at 1230 hours. Dr. Michael Macedonia, the Director for the Disruptive Technology Office, ODNI, will talk about the importance of science and technology to the acquisition of new capabilities. For additional information please contact George Stephenson, Chapter Vice President at gstephenson@cfl.rr.com and title your email: AFIO MAY Meeting.

 17 May 2007 - Colorado Springs, CO - FBI Counterterrorism Expert talks at AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter luncheon at the Falcon Room, Air Force Academy Officers Club. The speaker is FBI Special Agent, Don Shannon, Colorado Springs Office. Don arrived here 6 weeks ago from FBI HQ in Washington. He was on the staff of Counter terrorism at Bureau. Cost $10.00 for each lunch buffet. Reservations or Inquiries to Dick Durham no later than May 14th to Riverwear53@aol.com

 17-19 May 2007 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion  The web site address is: http://sacintelreunion.com. The reunion banquet keynote speaker is General Michael Hayden (SAC IN analyst & briefer '70-'72) A pre-registration fee is $25 per attendee. Mail pre-registration checks, made payable to: "SAC IN/544 Reunion", to: Mike Catherall, 13006 Jan Circle, Bellevue, NE 68123. Early payment is encouraged to assist with meeting reunion planning financial obligations to include payment of a deposit for the banquet ballroom.

 18 May 2007 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Spring Luncheon  Hold date on your calendars. Event to be held at the Holiday Inn Hotel, Tysons Corner/Vienna, VA. Details to follow. afio@afio.com

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events

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