AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #11-11 dated 22 March 2011

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.]
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Coming Educational Events

Current Calendar New and/or Next Two Months ONLY


Tuesday, 5 April 2011, 1:00 - 4:30 pm - Washington, DC - CIA Conference on "Wartime Statutes - Instruments of Soviet Control" at The Woodrow Wilson Center. RSVP to this April 5th event NOW.

CIA_IconCIA, in partnership with the Woodrow Wilson Center, will be releasing newly declassified documents on "Wartime Statutes - Instruments of Soviet Control." There is no charge for AFIO members. Speakers: Fritz Ermarth; James L. Griggs; Walter Jajko; A. Ross Johnson; Mark Kramer; Vojtech Mastny; Aris Pappas; Larry Watts. Click here for speaker biographies and more information on the event. If ready to make reservation: Click here to RSVP directly with Wilson Center for this event. Please indicate AFIO on form.

Thursday, 2 June 2011, 5:30 to 9 pm - Dayton, OH - CIA Symposium on "Stories of Sacrifice and Dedication: Civil Air Transport, Air America, and the CIA"

CIA_IconThe CIA, in partnership with the National Museum of the USAF, presents a symposium which pays tribute to the sacrifice and dedication of Civil Air Transport (CAT) and Air America (AA). These special CIA proprietaries were essential for covert operations, providing search and rescue, and photo reconnaissance in east and southeast Asia from the end of WWII through the Vietnam War. The highlight of the event will be the public release of 900 recently declassified documents from CAT and AA corporate files and CIA holdings spanning 1946 to 1978.
LOCATION: At the National Museum of USAF at Wright-Paterson AFB, Dayton, OH. Craig Duehring, retired Asst Secretary of the Air Force serves as keynote speaker. Mr. Duehring served as a USAF forward air controller in South Vietnam and Laos and will share his personal story of being rescued by Air America. Gen. (ret.) John Singlaub, one of CIA's original officers, will be a featured speaker. Gen. Singlaub, CIA's chief of operations for Asia after WWII, oversaw CAT missions throughout the area. The focus of the event will be two specific stories that exemplify the themes of sacrifice and dedication. To receive material and updates about this event, email us at: and indicate "CIA June Ohio Symposium" on subject line.

Thursday, 7 April 2011, 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD
Cryptologic Museum Foundation
Commemorates 150th Anniversary of American Civil War

The National Cryptologic Museum Foundation spring program features former NSA Senior Cryptologic Executive, David Gaddy, speaking on "Decoding the Civil War." This is part of the NCMF's 150th anniversary commemoration. Mr. Gaddy's talk will approach the conflict from the Confederate perspective and will explore the Confederacy's successes and Failures in the use of cryptology. A Q&A will follow talk. Mr. Gaddy conceived the concept of a Center for Cryptologic History and museum of cryptology, served as the first chief, retiring from NSA in 1994 after forty-one years of service.
Location: L3 Communications Conference Center in National Business Park, 27270 Technology Dr. Annapolis Junction, MD 20701-1024.
Registration: $40 for non-members of the NCMF (includes membership fee); $15 for members. Make checks payable to NCMF and send to PO Box 1682, Ft George G. Meade, MD 20755-9998. For further information contact or to confirm your attendance call (301) 688-5436 or email

FBI Intelligence Analysts Association [FBI IAA] Forum
"Intelligence Challenges for the 21st Century"

12 April 2011, 5 -9 pm - Washington, DC

The FBI IAA welcomes you, as intelligence professionals and industry leaders focused on national security, to our First Annual Intelligence Forum on "Intelligence Challenges for the 21st Century." The FBI Intelligence Analysts Association is an independent, non-governmental professional association representing Intelligence Analysts employed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation.

The First Annual FBI IAA Intelligence Forum will bring you presentations from leading professionals in the intelligence field. Our keynote speaker is John Miller, former FBI Assistant Director of the Office of Public Affairs, and currently the Deputy Director, Analysis Division, Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Mr. Miller will be speaking about Analytical Transformation and Intelligence Challenges.
In addition to hearing John Miller's keynote presentation, we will also have a panel of Intelligence Leaders answering critical questions on Intelligence Challenges in the 21st Century – the panel will be interactive and ready to answer your questions! Intelligence Leaders include:• Maureen "Mo" Baginski; • Dr. Bruce Hoffman; • Dr. Mark Lowenthal;
• Mr. Michael Waschull; • Dr. Amy Zegart

Don't miss out on the many great benefits the event will provide including:
• A chance to network with your peers and all levels of leadership at the FBI
• Open discussions and new information from the intelligence leaders
• Interactive and open forum with the panel of experts to answer your most pressing questions
• Opportunity to learn more about FBI IAA and how we represent your interests
• Chance to connect with industry partners who have products in our space
Save by pre-registering for the event. Pre-registration for FBI IAA members is just $5.00 and only $10.00 for non-members. Included in your registration fee is the new FBI IAA Challenge Coin which is being released on-site at the Forum! 100% of registration fees and 50% of all the event proceeds will be donated to the Wounded Warrior Project.

Heavy hors d'oeuvres, drinks, desserts and coffee will be served.
Where: Woolly Mammoth Theatre (One block from FBIHQ), 641 D Street NW, Washington, DC 20004

Click here to register online and to be entered into the free drawing!

For more information on FBI IAA:


After Nine Delays, Convicted Spy Ordered to Prison. U.S. District Judge Nancy G. Edmunds today denied a request from a Sterling Heights man seeking a 10th delay in reporting to prison to serve time for spying for Iraq.

Citing mostly health concerns, Najib Shemami has managed to remain free since being convicted in 2009 but must report to a federal prison in North Carolina by Friday, Edmunds ordered today.

Shemami was supposed to report to prison in July 2009 after being sentenced to 46 months in prison. But he won nine reprieves, including one delay because he wanted to attend his son's wedding, according to federal court records. [Snell/DetNews/13March2011]   Read more

Muhammad Ali asks Iran to Free US Hikers. Boxing legend Muhammad Ali has reached out to Iran supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in an effort to free two Americans held since 2009 on spy charges.

Ali wrote a letter on Feb. 1 asking Khamenei as a brother in Islam to release hikers Josh Fattal and Shane Bauer, who were arrested in northern Iraq near the Iranian border. [LATimes/17March2011] Read more

CIA Contractor Freed in Compensation Deal. A U.S. Central Intelligence Agency contractor who shot dead two armed men in January was freed by a Pakistani court Wednesday after an agreement to pay monetary compensation to the dead men's families.

The release was seen as potentially averting a brewing crisis in U.S.-Pakistan relations, while the compensation paid could also offer a way to appease popular anger over the killings. Still, Islamist groups, who had called for the CIA contractor's hanging, initially reacted angrily. Several policemen were injured in a clash with a crowd protesting the release in Lahore.

A lawyer for the families, Asad Manzoor Butt, said American officials agreed to pay the compensation after hours of discussions Wednesday in the high-security jail where Raymond Davis, a 36-year-old former Green Beret, was being held. He didn't say how much was paid. Punjab province Law Minister Rana Sanaullah also told local television that Mr. Davis had been freed after the payment of financial compensation.

A U.S. official in Washington confirmed Mr. Davis's release and said he had been immediately flown out of Pakistan. The U.S. Justice Department, as it promised Pakistan last month, will carry out an investigation into the incident, the official said.  [Wright/WSJ/18March2011] Read more at

US Launches Cyber Spy Operation. The American military has initiated an international cyber spy operation that targets online users who use social media networks and other websites to encourage anti-US sentiment.

In order to undertake the massive operation in cyberspace, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) has purchased software designed to create and control false online personas from California-based company Ntrepid, The Huffington Post reported on Thursday.

The software would allow each user to be in command of 10 personas. Each persona is "replete with background, history, supporting details, and cyber presences that are technically, culturally and geographically consistent."

The users controlling the false personas would be hidden in a variety of ways, including randomizing the IP addresses they accessed the software with, traffic mixing or blending web traffic with that outside of CENTCOM. [PressTV/18March2011] Read more at

Finnish Intelligence Says Foreign Spies' Aggressively Targeting Finland. Finnish officials and businesspeople working abroad were targeted with "increasingly aggressive" intelligence operations last year, says the Finnish Security Intelligence Service (SUPO) in its fresh annual report. According to SUPO, a few operations were also aimed at other official representatives of Finland.

SUPO reports that some of the more aggressive attempts have been investigated more closely. The service refrains from revealing details of the results of these investigations, however.

Even on the Finnish soil foreign spies approached office holders, but also researchers and journalists in 2010. In addition to information retrieval the spies also sought publicity for the political views of their own countries and other communications, SUPO reports.

Influencing public opinion, especially through experts, such as researchers, can be very effective, "when successful", SUPO says.

On the other hand, spies try to make contact with political decision-makers "fairly rarely" these days.

When spies seek information relating to economy and technology, new fields of research continue to remain their primary target. Of the 2010 targets SUPO lists nuclear and nano technologies. [HSFI/16March2011]  Read more at

Elite U.S. Counterterror Forces Facing Cuts. The nation's elite counterterrorist forces, some facing budget cuts of up to 20 percent, are quietly telling Congress their special capabilities can't be utilized amid the Middle East and North Africa tumult because the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are already stretching their resources.

Even before the uprising in Tunisia, clandestine special mission units of the Joint Special Operations Command were finishing plans to expand human intelligence collection in North Africa, and deny terrorists what one JSOC official called an "electronic sanctuary" in the region.

"We're at the point where we have multiple revolutions, [Muammar el-] Qaddafi may fall, and we can't put the premier military intelligence unit on the ground there because they're all on the ground in Afghanistan chasing farmers," a military official said.

JSOC resources are heavily taxed by the operational tempo in Afghanistan and Pakistan, officials said. The current commander, Vice Adm. William McRaven, and Maj. Gen. Joseph Votel, McRaven's nominated replacement, have been pushing to add people and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance technology to areas outside the war theater where al-Qaida and its affiliates continue to thrive.

But the elite units are facing reductions in their $1 billion-plus budget, which could significantly impact the U.S.'s ability to monitor and react to the events unfolding in the Middle East and North Africa. The problem was revealed by officials involved in negotiations between budget officials, military planners, and senior commanders for a planned expansion of the secret JSOC units. 

Even JSOC's most closely-guarded unit, based on the East Coast, could see personnel reductions of up to 20 percent, people briefed on the plans say, depending on how the defense budget process plays out. The unit is scrambling to demonstrate to senior commanders that it can be efficient. [Ambinder/NationalJournal/18March2011]

Court Seals Unclassified Docs in Drake "Leak" Case. Prosecutors in the case of the former National Security Agency official Thomas A. Drake, who is suspected of leaking classified information to a reporter, last week asked the court to block public access to two letters that were introduced as exhibits by the defense earlier this month. Late Friday, the court agreed to seal the two exhibits. But they remain publicly accessible anyway.

The exhibits describe the classification status of several NSA records that were found in the home of Mr. Drake, explaining why in each case the prosecution considers the records classified. The defense disputes their classification and denies that Mr. Drake ever retained any classified records at his home.

Mr. Drake's defense said that it intends to introduce testimony at trial "which will include a discussion of the appropriate assignment of classification controls under the Executive Order and the consequences and pervasiveness of inappropriately assigning classification controls."

To document the classification judgments that it disputes, the defense also filed the two letters from the Justice Department as exhibits on March 11.

On March 16, prosecutors asked the court to seal those two records. "As grounds [for sealing the records], the information contained within the exhibits derives from NSA. As the holder of the privilege for this information, NSA has classified the documents as 'FOUO', which means 'For Official Use Only.' This means that the information is not for public dissemination. Until such time as NSA downgrades the information to 'Unclassified,' the exhibits should not be publicly filed," prosecutors wrote. [Aftergood/FAS/21March2011]  Read the full article at 

Gates Details $13.6B in DoD Cuts. The opening round in an expected barrage of Defense Department personnel cuts was fired March 14 when U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates sent a 48-page memo ordering the Pentagon to shed hundreds of civilian jobs, more than 1,000 contractors and as many as 140 generals and admirals. The memo aims to save $13.6 billion between 2012 and 2016 through these and other measures, including reorganizing the defense intelligence community and reducing the activities of the combatant commands.

Yet observers predicted that some of the expected savings might evaporate; for example, several of the directed senior-level personnel changes appear to already be in place.

The memo is part of Gates' drive to squeeze $178 billion from DoD overhead and other costs and put most of it toward weapons. But defense experts predicted that the five-year goal won't be enough to ward off more substantial cuts as the nation wrestles with its $14 trillion debt.

"Gates' prescriptions are just the opening salvo in a long-running deficit war," Lexington Institute's Loren Thompson said. "All of these moves are potentially worthwhile and they are emblematic of the types of changes we'll see year after year as the defense budget tightens up."

Indeed, more cuts to defense personnel are on their way, military officials said. The Gates memo mainly focuses on the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and joint organizations, as well as multiservice combatant commands.

The services are now under pressure to identify their own overhead cuts at the same time they start to build their 2013 budget proposals.

"Each service is going through its own efficiency and cost-benefit drill," an Army official said. "It's logical that this is the beginning of a journey."

An OSD spokeswoman said March 18 that public affairs officials were still reviewing the memo.

The biggest category of projected savings is cuts to civilian and contractor jobs, projected in the memo to save $6 billion, according to analysts and experts.

Among the agencies named in the memo, the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) takes the largest personnel hit. The memo directed MDA to eliminate 500 contractor support positions in 2011 and another 500 in 2012, saving a projected $225 million. That's 11.4 percent of MDA's total staff of 8,800. "There was a lot of cutting personnel [and] cutting contractors. Those are real savings," Todd Harrison of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments said. "All they have to do is follow through on it and it looks from this memo that they're going to. They have no choice."

But others said it remains unclear whether these cuts will actually save money. [Weisgerber&Brannen/DefenseNews/21March2011] Read more at

MI6 Puts Gun to Generals' Heads: Our Spies Phone Gaddafi's Men Direct to Warn: Defect or Die. British intelligence is warning Colonel Gaddafi's generals that it could be fatal to remain loyal to the Libyan leader.

MI6 spies and military officials are contacting commanders in Tripoli trying to persuade them to defect, the Daily Mail can reveal.

Their message is blunt: 'General, we've got the GPS co-ordinates of your command post. They are programmed into a Storm Shadow missile. What do you want to do?'

As Gaddafi vowed to wage a long war with the 'crusader alliance', British officials said the intelligence services had the telephone numbers of many key military officials in his regime.

A senior source said: 'They will be doing their best to get in touch. This is a situation where success breeds success. Once you get air superiority it becomes suicidal for Libyan army commanders to want to move tanks or to use artillery.

'That's pressure. It worked in Iraq.'

Former Army chief Lord Dannatt said: 'If I was a Libyan military commander I'd be thinking very closely about my loyalty.

'What about loyalty to my country, my tribe? I think it's those ground commanders' loyalty we expect to see changing when they realise they have no hope against the international air forces.'

Colonel Gaddafi was heard but not seen yesterday as he vowed to fight with 'unlimited patience and deep faith'. [Seamark&Shipman/MailOnline/21March2011] 

Read more:

Drones 'Winning' War Against al-Qaeda, Says Ex-CIA Head. More than 40 people were killed in Pakistan last week in a US drone attack near the Afghan border. The use of unmanned drones has always been controversial, but ex-CIA director Michael Hayden says they are winning the war.

Ten years on from 9/11, al-Qaeda appears to be on the back foot. One of the main reasons is that its leadership no longer enjoys untouchable sanctuary in the tribal areas of Pakistan where for many years it has been able to plot and train its recruits.

The reason? Pilotless American drone aircraft with a payload of deadly Hellfire missiles, guided to their targets by remote control from thousands of miles away in the American desert.

Not for nothing are the drones known as Predators.

Former CIA director, Gen Michael Hayden, could not sing their praises loudly enough - although ironically the word "drone" cannot pass his lips, so sensitive and allegedly secret is the CIA's programme of targeted killings.

How can a programme be secret when its results are plain for all to see?

Gen Michael Hayden believed the results had been spectacular.

"A significant fraction of al-Qaeda senior leadership in the tribal region has been 'taken off the battlefield'," he said.

"That used to mean 'killed or captured'. In the last couple of years it simply means killed. We just aren't doing any capturing."

Ironically the CIA's drone programme was greatly accelerated under President Obama who has authorised more than 160 Predator missions - four times as many as his predecessor, President George W Bush, targeting not just al-Qaeda but Taliban leaders also hiding in the border areas.

The programme has been highly contentious and controversial. [Taylor/BBC/20March2011] Read more at


BND: The Spies Who Silenced Their Critics in War on Terror. For years, the Germans were the laughing stock of the world's secret services. With a reputation for being ineffectual, unreliable and useless at gathering intelligence, the Bundesnachrichtendienst even had a poor reputation at home, with one German chancellor, Helmut Schmidt, complaining the BND only ever told him what he had already read in the newspaper.

Since the cold war ended, the BND has been transforming itself into an effective operational service focused in particular on terrorism. It even helped avert a terrorist attack in India a couple of years ago. "You don't see people making fun of them anymore," said Tyler Drumheller, the former head of the CIA in Europe. [Guardian/18March2011]  Read more at

Investigators Say Secret CIA Files Could Aid Chile. Survivors of Gen. Augusto Pinochet's dictatorship say justice has been thwarted by repeated U.S. refusals to release classified documents and by a Chilean government that has yet to live up to its promises on human rights.

They hope President Obama's visit next month will provide an opportunity for both governments to seek the opening of secret files that describe details of crimes against humanity.

Of all the Latin American countries that have shaken off brutal dictatorships, none has made greater strides than Chile in convicting those responsible for torturing and killing political opponents. But hundreds of investigations remain stymied because the identities of people involved in the crimes that followed the Sept. 11, 1973 coup - Chile's own 9/11 - remain secret.

Authorities are under particular pressure from the daughters of two presidents whose deaths remain shrouded in mystery - Salvador Allende, who was said to have committed suicide as Pinochet's troops seized the presidential palace in 1973, and his predecessor Eduardo Frei Montalva, allegedly poisoned in 1982 as he led criticism of the dictatorship. [SFGAte/20March2011]   Read more at

A Rosenberg Co-Conspirator Reveals More About His Role. Morton Sobell, who was convicted with Julius and Ethel Rosenberg in 1951 in an espionage conspiracy case and finally admitted nearly six decades later that he had been a Soviet spy, now says he helped copy hundreds of pages of secret Air Force documents stolen from a Columbia University professor's safe in 1948.

According to an article by two cold war historians, Ronald Radosh and Steven T. Usdin, in The Weekly Standard, Mr. Sobell, who is 93, said in an interview last December that he, Julius Rosenberg, William Perl and an unidentified fourth man spent a weekend, probably Independence Day, frantically copying the classified documents in a Greenwich Village apartment before they were missed.

That Monday, Mr. Sobell is quoted as saying, he and Mr. Rosenberg filled a box with canisters of 35-millimeter film and delivered it to Soviet agents on a Long Island Rail Road platform.

In addition to elaborating on Mr. Sobell's admission in a 2008 interview with The New York Times that he had stolen military radar and artillery secrets, the December interview appears to stoke the smoldering embers of the case on several other counts.

Mr. Sobell's comments, according to the authors, identify Mr. Perl not as an innocent aeronautical engineer who was entitled to inspect the secret papers and was implicated in the espionage conspiracy only by circumstantial evidence, but as a conspirator against his mentor, Theodore von Karman. [NYTimes/21March2011]  Read the full interview at 

Intelligence Partnership Between Libya and the CIA on Counter-Terrorism. Not very long ago, in 2009, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) came to an agreement with Libyan leader Colonel Qadhafi's intelligence apparatus to offer counter-terrorism training to Libyan security personnel.

This arrangement and the build-up of close collaboration between the Libyan and American intelligence agencies was the result of the October 2001 visit to London by Assistant U.S. Secretary of State William J. Burns to confer with Moussa Koussa the chief of Libyan intelligence. Mr. Koussa is currently the foreign minister of the Qadhafi regime.

He provided the CIA with the names of the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG) operatives and the Libyan Islamists who trained in Afghanistan, as well as dossiers of LIFG leaders living in Britain. Analysts describe the knowledge gained by the CIA provided by Moussa Koussa extremely valuable, and in the light of the central role of Libyan Afghans in al-Qaeda, this was a major intelligence windfall for the Bush administration.

By that time the LIFG had waged a violent insurgency against Colonel Qadhafi, and the American administration and the CIA knew the movement's rapport and connection with the al-Qaeda. This domestic challenge drew Qadhafi toward the United States, and the U.S. since 9/11 had undertaken the War on Global Terrorism.

It is after the Burns-Koussa meeting in October 2001 that the U.S. administration designated the LIFG a foreign terrorist organization (FTO).

In fact, in 1998 Libya became the first country to issue an Interpol arrest warrant for Osama bin-Laden, charging that al-Qaeda had collaborated with domestic radicals in the 1994 killing of two German anti-terrorism agents in Libya.

The former Libyan intelligence chief and presently Libya's foreign minister Moussa Koussa is no stranger to the United States: He earned a degree in sociology from Michigan State University in 1978, had written a political biography of Colonel Qadhafi for his master's thesis. The following year he was posted to London as the head of the Libyan mission.

Colonel Qadhafi's decision to renounce its nuclear program was negotiated by Koussa that brought Libya closer to the United States. In addition to turning over 55,000 pounds of nuclear equipment, Libya gave the CIA files with names of black-market suppliers, front companies and transporters.

Kenneth Katzman, a terrorism analyst attached to the Congressional Research service which is the independent research arm of the U.S. Congress, commented at that time "The information they turned over helped us to track down aspects of the black-market network and contributed to the shutdown of parts of that network in Malaysia and the United Arab Emirates."

Despite the U.S. State Department's 2009 human rights report on Libya gave a very grim picture of its human rights practices including disappearance and torture, a classified diplomatic cable released by the whistleblower web site WikiLeaks called Colonel Qadhafi's Libyan government a "strong partner in the war against terrorism" and declared the relationship with Libya's intelligence agency "excellent."

George J. Tenet who was the director of the CIA in the Bush administration in his 2007 autobiography cited the easing of tensions with Libya as one of the major successes of his tenure, as it led to cooperation between the two spy services against al-Qaeda.

In its overall effort to combat Islamic terrorist network worldwide, the Bush administration, starting from the infamous Burns-Koussa meeting in London in October 2001 very steadily built an intelligence alliance with the Libyan leader Colonel Qadhafi. This strong and close cooperation built over the years made Qadhafi to help the United States pursue al-Qaeda network in North Africa by turning radicals over to neighboring pro-Western governments. He also provided information to the CIA on Libyan nationals with alleged ties to international terrorists.

The CIA-Qadhafi spy agency working relationship was so close the U.S. handed over to Libya some anti-Qadhafi Libyans captured in its campaign against terrorism. The relationship was so rosy, the Americans allowed Libyan agents to visit Guantanamo Bay detention facility in Cuba to interrogate Libyan detainees.

Colonel Qadhafi was one of the initial heads of state to denounce the September 11, 2001 attack on America. [Gamage/AsianTribune/21March2011] Read more at


Don't Blame the Spies. The U.S. government needs to start getting comfortable hearing uncomfortable intelligence analysis. And the public needs to realize that the CIA is not the Department of Avoiding Surprises.

Last week's hue and cry over comments by James Clapper, the U.S. director of national intelligence, only highlights the absurd expectations heaped on the intelligence community during the recent Arab uprisings. For those who missed it, a quick summary: Asked to comment before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Clapper noted that Libyan leader Muammar al-Qaddafi is determinedly "hunkering down for the duration" and assessed that "the regime will prevail" over the long term because of its superior military resources.

Clapper's remarks, to put it lightly, were not a welcome contribution at a time when Washington is hoping for Qaddafi's departure. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) led the resulting criticism with a statement that called on the president to remove the intelligence director. Clapper's assessment of the Libyan regime's staying power, declared Graham, "undercuts our national efforts to bring about the desired result of Libya moving from dictator to democracy." Graham conceded that "some of his [Clapper's] analysis could prove to be accurate," but said that it should not have been uttered publicly.

This fracas exemplifies the no-win situation that top U.S. intelligence officials often find themselves in when addressing politically explosive topics. The country's intelligence chief is knocked for responding to a senator's question with a frank assessment. But time and again, after some crisis or costly failure, the intelligence community has been criticized for allegedly not providing that kind of unwelcome or uncomfortable message - and for not providing it loudly enough to gain the attention of even the most inattentive. Prior to the Iraq war, for example, the intelligence community offered assessments that foretold the sectarian strife and most of the other violent consequences of overthrowing Saddam Hussein's regime, but few people noticed, even after the assessments were made public years later.

Intelligence officials quickly find that their assessments must be presented loudly and forcefully to have any hope their message will register. That does not mean only providing their work in classified papers, of the sort the intelligence agencies routinely give policymakers. It does not mean making a statement in a closed briefing on Capitol Hill, where Graham - an Armed Services Committee member who did not even attend the public hearing last week - probably would never have heard it. It means trumpeting their message brashly and publicly, even at the expense of complicating the work of executive-branch policymakers for whom intelligence officers work.

The inconsistencies in public and political expectations constrain what the intelligence agencies can say not only about Libya, but all aspects of the political upheaval in the Middle East. The intelligence community has been criticized already for failing to predict this wave of revolutions. Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who chairs the Senate Intelligence Committee, said the community's performance was "lacking." But imagine what would have transpired had the director of national intelligence appeared before Congress a year ago and stated that within a year, a popular uprising in Egypt would shove Hosni Mubarak out of office. Given the strong U.S. ties to the Mubarak regime, the public utterance of any such prediction would have caused no less a flap than Clapper's remarks about Libya.

The director's appearance last week was part of the intelligence community's annual presentation to Congress of its assessment of threats to U.S. national security worldwide. These statements are crafted to offer a comprehensive view of the external threats facing the United States, but often show deference to political and policy constraints. When there are few such constraints, the public versions of these annual statements can give a good idea of what the intelligence community is thinking and writing about in the classified world. For example, the 2001 edition of the statement - the last before the 9/11 terrorist attacks and before George W. Bush's administration began selling the idea of launching an offensive war against Iraq - highlighted terrorism, and especially al Qaeda, as the primary threat to U.S. security while not even mentioning the threat posed by an Iraqi nuclear weapon or any Iraqi stockpiles of other unconventional weapons.

The statements are much less revealing, however, when officials do face political constraints. This year's statement on Afghanistan, for example, is a cautious and factual rendition that does not squarely address the overall direction of the counterinsurgency effort, much less the campaign's effects on combating terrorism - the presumed rationale for the war. To have done so would have entailed an assessment of the ongoing U.S. military campaign and an implicit criticism of current U.S. policy, both of which are regarded as outside the intelligence community's lane. [Pilar/ForeignPolicy/16March2011] Read more at

Political Impact Uncertain After CIA Contractor Freed. Perhaps more important than the newest mystery surrounding CIA contractor Raymond Davis - who paid the purported seven-figure sum to the Pakistani victims' families who blessed his release from jail? - will be the political reaction within Pakistan, where the populace is already outraged over Davis' fatal shooting of two men there, analysts said Wednesday.

The other potential impact of the "Raymond Davis Affair," as one analyst dubbed it, is whether it will damage diplomatic relations between the United States and Pakistan, in which Americans depend on Pakistan in fighting terror and the Pakistanis enjoy substantial U.S. aid.

"There is the curious question of who made the payment. I suppose it's going to remain a mystery for a while," said Mark Quarterman, director of the Program on Crisis, Conflict, and Cooperation of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"His presence there and the story about his presence were kind of a mystery from the start," Quarterman added. "Now his presence in Pakistan ends with one more curiosity. I think the fallout from this is far from over. It will be interesting to see what the reaction is in Pakistan. It's been the lead story" in media there, he added.

Davis was released under a Sharia practice called diyat, or compensation, which is enshrined in Pakistan's penal code and allows victims' families to pardon a murderer with or without being paid "blood money," said the former chief justice of Pakistan's Supreme Court, Saeed U Zaman Saddiqi.

Although the origins of the payments in the Davis case are a significant political matter, the more imminent concern is whether average Pakistanis will accept how "blood money" was paid to the victims' families, analysts said.

"What we're watching for," analyst Scott Stewart of the online global intelligence firm Stratfor said in a statement, "is to see which way public sentiment rules: whether it will accept this resolution as acceptable or whether they will be outraged and take to the streets."

On Wednesday, it wasn't known who paid the compensation to the families, and there were conflicting accounts over how much. [Martinez/CNN/16March2011]  Read more at

An Overlooked Panorama Scoop as a British Soldier Breaks Cover. Unsurprisingly, Monday's Panorama on phone-hacking meant that its revelations about illegal news-gathering activities got major attention.

But there was a real scoop in that program that only the Irish Times appeared to spot - the breaking from cover of a former British army intelligence officer.

According to the paper, it was the first time that the man previously known by the pseudonym 'Martin Ingram' had revealed himself to be Ian Hurst.

Ingram/Hurst was involved in exposing a senior IRA figure, Freddie Scappaticci, as an informer. His codename was alleged to be Stakeknife.

In 2004, Hurst (as Ingram) wrote a book with the Irish journalist Greg Harkin, Stakeknife: Britain's secret agents in Ireland, which alleged that British intelligence officers had orchestrated assassinations in Northern Ireland.

Hurst served in the army's intelligence corps and the covert military intelligence unit known as the Force Research Unit (FRU). He served in Northern Ireland in two tours between 1981 and 1990.

He is regarded as a controversial figure, within both the British army and within Sinn F�in. He married a woman from Co Donegal, from a republican family, and says he now favors a united Ireland. [Guardian/16March2011] Read more at

What You Need to Know About James Clapper - Our Director of National Intelligence. The crisis in Libya continues this week. As the White House watches events continue to unfold in the Middle East, it may still be smarting from an incident last week. President Obama yet again found himself having to walk the dog back on statements made by his Director of National Intelligence (DNI) James Clapper. But look past the political spin and you'll see that Clapper's mistake was simply telling an inconvenient truth.

Speaking to members of Congress on the current upheaval in the Middle East, Clapper said that it is likely that Libyan strongman Qaddafi will outgun and outlast the rebellion taking place in Eastern Libya. Noting that there is no current intelligence indicating that Qaddafi will step down, and pointing out his military and resources advantage, Clapper gave the assessment that "... he will likely prevail."

Well, of all the nerve. The comments immediately drew criticism from the likes of Republican Lindsey Graham and Democrat Dianne Feinstein, who were shocked that the DNI would suggest that Qaddafi would win. Graham called for Clapper's resignation and Feinstein expressed dismay in a well-rehearsed show of dismay for the cameras.

Shortly thereafter, National Security Advisor Tom Donilon suggested that Clapper, while doing a "good" job, wasn't really analyzing the situation in Libya properly. According to Donilon, Clapper was somehow not being "dynamic" enough in assessing the Libyan uprising.

If you refer to the Obama White House dictionary, page 214, "dynamic" is a synonym for "political."

According to Donilon, if all you do is take into account things like, I dunno, who has the most and lethal weapons, infrastructure, military training, communications and logistics, then sure, you could argue that Qaddafi could prevail.

However, Donilon noted that Clapper also should take into account the dynamic factors of, uh, international condemnation and diplomatic pressure. Apparently, when you add those considerations, you get a much different picture. A picture that supports what the Obama administration and Congress believes is much more attractive and in tune with their narrative.

Well, setting aside the fact that Qaddafi's forces are pounding the rebels and causing them to withdraw to a defensive position, I'm sure that the rebels are taking real comfort from the knowledge that the international community is outraged. Although, "outraged" may be too strong a term to describe Security Council members such as Russia and China. Those countries are probably best described as "mildly annoyed." Possibly "conflicted", as in, "Russia regrets the use of force by Qaddafi on his own people but finds the rise in oil prices to be most excellent."

Just imagine how much better the rebels feel knowing that diplomatic pressure is being exerted in the form of harshly worded statements and pledges of unity with the anti-Qaddafi forces. That should just about do it. How dynamic. Now I see why Donilon rebuked Clapper's assessment. 

[Mike Baker served for more than 15 years as a covert field operations officer for the Central Intelligence Agency, specializing in counterterrorism, counternarcotics and counterinsurgency operations around the globe.

Since leaving government service, he has been a principal in building and running several companies in the private intelligence, security and risk management sector and has recently returned to Diligence LLC, a company he cofounded in 2000, as president.

He appears frequently in the media as an expert on counterterrorism, intelligence and homeland security.

Baker is also a partner in Classified Trash, a film and television production company. Baker serves as a script consultant, writer and technical adviser within the entertainment industry, lending his expertise to such programs as the BBC's popular spy series "Spooks," as well as major motion pictures. [Baker/Foxnews/16March2011] Read more at 

It Takes a Network: The New Frontline of Modern Warfare. From the outset of my command in Afghanistan, two or three times each week, accompanied by a few aides and often my Afghan counterparts, I would leave the International Security Assistance Force headquarters in Kabul and travel across Afghanistan - from critical cities like Kandahar to the most remote outposts in violent border regions. Ideally, we left early, traveling light and small, normally using a combination of helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft, to meet with Afghans and their leaders and to connect with our troops on the ground: Brits and Marines rolling back the enemy in Helmand, Afghan National Army troops training in Mazar-e-Sharif, French Foreign Legionnaires patrolling in Kapisa.

But I was not alone: There were other combatants circling the battlefield. Mirroring our movements, competing with us, were insurgent leaders. Connected to, and often directly dispatched by, the Taliban's leadership in Pakistan, they moved through the same areas of Afghanistan. They made shows of public support for Taliban shadow governors, motivated tattered ranks, recruited new troops, distributed funds, reviewed tactics, and updated strategy. And when the sky above became too thick with our drones, their leaders used cell phones and the Internet to issue orders and rally their fighters. They aimed to keep dispersed insurgent cells motivated, strategically wired, and continually informed, all without a rigid - or targetable - chain of command.

While a deeply flawed insurgent force in many ways, the Taliban is a uniquely 21st-century threat. Enjoying the traditional insurgent advantage of living amid a population closely tied to them by history and culture, they also leverage sophisticated technology that connects remote valleys and severe mountains instantaneously - and allows them to project their message worldwide, unhindered by time or filters. They are both deeply embedded in Afghanistan's complex society and impressively agile. And just like their allies in al Qaeda, this new Taliban is more network than army, more a community of interest than a corporate structure.

For the U.S. military that I spent my life in, this was not an easy insight to come by. It was only over the course of years, and with considerable frustrations, that we came to understand how the emerging networks of Islamist insurgents and terrorists are fundamentally different from any enemy the United States has previously known or faced.

In bitter, bloody fights in both Afghanistan and Iraq, it became clear to me and to many others that to defeat a networked enemy we had to become a network ourselves. We had to figure out a way to retain our traditional capabilities of professionalism, technology, and, when needed, overwhelming force, while achieving levels of knowledge, speed, precision, and unity of effort that only a network could provide. We needed to orchestrate a nuanced, population-centric campaign that comprised the ability to almost instantaneously swing a devastating hammer blow against an infiltrating insurgent force or wield a deft scalpel to capture or kill an enemy leader.

When I first went to Iraq in October 2003 to command a U.S. Joint Special Operations Task Force (JSOTF) that had been tailored down to a relatively small size in the months following the initial invasion, we found a growing threat from multiple sources - but particularly from al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). We began a review of our enemy, and of ourselves. Neither was easy to understand.  [Retired Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal led the Joint Special Operations Command from 2003 to 2008 and served as commander of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan in 2009 and 2010. He is currently writing his memoirs and a senior fellow at Yale University's Jackson Institute for Global Affairs.]  [McChrystal/ForeignPolicy/22February2011]  Read more at 

Too Many Enemies. On March 15th, Egypt disbanded the hated SSIS (State Security Investigation Service). Combining the functions of the American CIA (foreign intelligence) and FBI (domestic intelligence), the SSIS had unlimited power when it came to dealing with enemies domestic and foreign, especially in intelligence matters.

This organization has been around, in one form or another, for over half a century. In the last three decades its main job has been keeping the Mubarak family in power. To that end, SSIS took the lead in suppressing Islamic radicals in the 1990s. Since then, SSIS has gone after reformers and those seeking a true democracy in Egypt. SSIS members were above the law, and they basically reported only to former president Hosni Mubarak. The SSIS failed in suppressing the recent popular uprising that drove Mubarak out of power, even though it was able to call on the police and military. The cops and soldiers refused to help, or help enough to matter. The SSIS, in the end, had made too many enemies. [StrategyPage/21March2011]  Read the entire article at 

Gaddafi Manipulates the CIA. One of the key arguments for rehabilitating Muammar Gaddafi during the Bush presidency was advanced by the Central Intelligence Agency, which claimed that the Libyan government had good access to information on al-Qaeda which it would share if Washington were to restore relations. Even those making Gaddafi's case conceded, however, that the Libyan leader was a ruthless killer and an international pariah by any normal standards. Well, the results are in: Colonel Gaddafi was so appreciative that he has in fact provided absolutely no useful information whatsoever on al-Qaeda, which has led some former senior officials at CIA to wonder where they went wrong in their analysis. Intelligence officers are supposed to be masters of deception and manipulation but they are often blinded by ambition and the desire to obtain information on "hard" targets. In this case they were fooled by a man that they knew to be a world class rogue.  [Giraldi/AmericanConservative/20March2011] Read more at

Blood Money Well Spent. Exasperating as it may be, the US-Pakistan relationship is too important to be undone because of an obscure cloak-and-dagger incident. So praise is due to the American and Pakistani officials who obtained the release of CIA contractor Raymond Davis, who stood accused of murdering two Pakistani men who were allegedly armed and threatening him. A third Pakistani was run over and killed by a US embassy vehicle seeking to extract Davis from the crime scene.

After much debate over whether Pakistan would allow for diplomatic immunity and release Davis to the United States, American and Pakistani officials arranged a religiously sanctioned payment of "blood money" to the families of the men who were killed in a still-murky incident in January.

In a country where anti-American feelings run extremely high - inflamed by US missile attacks on Al Qaeda and Taliban targets inside Pakistan, and stoked by a conspiratorial-minded national media - furor over the Davis case had cast a pall over efforts to improve cooperation between the two governments. Minor parties have staged protests against Davis's release, but since Shariah law permits the payment of blood money and the forgiving of Davis by the victims' relatives, the largest religious party in Pakistan has been notably restrained.

The manner in which the crisis was resolved serves both Pakistani and American interests. The Pakistani government and military saved face, resolving the problem without compromising their country's sovereignty. The Obama administration got its man back without the dangerous precedent of a Pakistani court ruling that Davis was not entitled to diplomatic immunity.
[BostonGlobe/21March2011]



Ron Paul Says Kill Foreign Aid, CIA. Rep. Ron Paul, the libertarian-Republican who stirred up the 2008 GOP presidential primaries, is stepping back into the limelight with a new liberty agenda that calls for the elimination of the CIA and foreign aid, puts serious doubts on the impact of global warming, and calls for limiting the types of presidential powers that led former President George W. Bush to send troops to Afghanistan and Iraq.

"We need to surrender our attachments to government in every aspect of life," he writes in his forthcoming book Liberty Defined: 50 Essential issues that Affect Our Freedom. "We need to give up our dependencies on the state, materially and spiritually. We should not look to the state to provide us financially or psychologically," he argues.

His is generally a leave us alone approach. "Let us give up our longing for welfare, our love of war, and our desire to see the government control and shape our fellow citizens," he said in an advance copy of the book.

Liberty is a natural follow on to his New York Times best-sellers The Revolution: A Manifesto and End the Fed, and may be his opening shot for another bid for the presidency. [Bedard/USNews/18March/2011]  Read more at


CI Professionals - Strategic and Competitive Intelligence Professionals (SCIP) society and the Fuld-Gilad-Herring Academy of Competitive Intelligence LLC (ACI) announce a new joint venture - new certification. Put two dates on your calendars: June 13-24, 2011 in Boston, MA, and earlier this year - May 9-12, 2011 - in Orlando, FL
World’s largest competitive intelligence professional group joins forces with the leading competitive intelligence training organization to offer global certification in the field.
A joint venture between SCIP and ACI to advance the level of professional training worldwide by providing an accredited ACI Competitive Intelligence Professional (CIP™) certification program and making it available to a global business audience, is now available.
A well-constructed competitive intelligence program improves the ability of managers as well as senior executives to manage industry risk, respond to early signals of industry change, overcome competitive threats, and anticipate market opportunities in order to sustain or gain a competitive advantage. Competitive intelligence encompasses the practices of competitor, market, technological, financial, marketing, and strategic intelligence.
Named the “SCIP CIP™ Conferred by ACI,” the certification program will be taught by established ACI faculty and follow ACI’s accredited curriculum of courses (ACI is accredited by the International Association of Continuing Education & Training). This new joint venture will meet global corporations increasing need to provide high-quality competitive intelligence skills to their workforce as firms face a fast-changing and rapidly-intensifying competitive environment. SCIP can now provide its global audience access to the content of the world’s most admired certification program, to advance its members careers, and to enhance the depth and breadth of the competitive intelligence profession.
Scott Leeb of Prudential Retirement, a graduate of the ACI program and current Chair of SCIP’s Board of Directors, said “this merger benefits the membership by bringing the highest quality education and certification opportunities to all of our members.”
Ken Garrison, CEO of SCIP, added, “Over the last two years SCIP has expanded its global presence with conferences in Europe, Latin America, and Asia. We also have a growing global network of chapters and affiliate groups. Now we have the ability to offer a globally-acknowledged certification program to our members and senior managers in every corner of the world.”
Leonard Fuld, the Academy’s Chairman, comments that “Competitive intelligence has become part of the corporate fabric worldwide but the skills and standards vary widely. In this joint effort, the Academy and SCIP can help set the standards and raise the quality of the profession for companies everywhere.”
Ben Gilad, the Academy’s President summed it up: “You may not need a SCIP Certificate to be a star analyst, but with it, everyone knows you are.”
The first session of certification courses will be held this June 13th through 24th, 2011, in Boston, Massachusetts:
• Intelligence Sources and Collection;• Competitive Benchmarking and Tactical Analysis;• Competitive Blindspots;• Cross-Competitor Analysis;• Creating and Running a World-Class Intelligence Organization;• War Gaming: Theory & Practice;• Value Chain Analysis;• Anticipating Innovation;• Scenario Analysis
Register for these courses through ACI at
Also join us at the SCIP 2011 International Annual Conference & Exhibition, the world’s largest gathering of over 700 competitive intelligence practitioners, held this May 9th through 12th in Orlando, Florida.

Coming Educational Events


MANY Spy Museum Events in March, April and May with full details are listed on the AFIO Website at The titles for some of these are in detail below and online.

24 March 2011 – San Francisco, CA – The AFIO Jim Quesada Chapter hosts Captain Jeff Kline, U.S. Navy, ret.; Senior Lecturer, Navy Postgraduate School, speaking on "Piracy on the High Seas" with special emphasis on the Somali pirates. The meeting will be held at UICC, 2700 45th Avenue, San Francisco (between Sloat/Wawona): 11:30 AM no host cocktails; noon - luncheon. $25 member rate with advance reservation and payment; $35 non-member. E-mail RSVP to Mariko Kawaguchi (please indicate pot roast or fish): and mail a check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, P.O. Box 117578 Burlingame, CA 94011

24 March 2011- Arlington, VA - The Defense Intelligence Forum meets to hear Erik Jens on "Prospects and Challenges for International Security Assistance and US Forces in Afghanistan."

Mr. Jens has just returned from a tour as Chief of the Human Intelligence Operations Cell for US and allied forces in Afghanistan. He teaches intelligence collection, ethics, and law at the National Defense Intelligence College. He joined the College faculty following four years in the Global Division of the Defense HUMINT Service. Starting as a Russian linguist and SIGINT specialist, he has over twenty years' experience in Signals and Human Intelligence. He served several years as an Army reservist in DIA assignments in Washington D.C., Seattle, and Iraq, including watch officer, strategic debriefer, and HUMINT collection team chief. His deployments with DIA include one tour with the Iraq Survey Group in Baghdad and three tours in Afghanistan, where he twice served as Chief of the DIA Detachment at Bagram. Mr. Jens holds a B.A. in English from University of California, Los Angeles, and a J.D. from University of Michigan Law School. He is a graduate of the U.S. Army Intelligence School and the Defense Language Institute.This forum will follow a modified Chatham House rule. You may use the information, but with the exception of speaker's name and subject, you may make no attribution. The Defense Intelligence Forum is open to members of all Intelligence Community associations and their guests. LOCATION: at the Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA. Registration starts at 1130, lunch at 1200. Reserve by 18 March by email to Give names, telephone numbers, email addresses, and choice of chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna, sausage with peppers, or fettuccini with portabella. Pay at the door by check for $29 per person. Make checks payable to DIAA, Inc. THE FORUM DOESN'T TAKE CASH! If you don't have a check, have the restaurant charge your credit or debit card $29 and give the restaurant's copy of the receipt when you check in.

NEW Date and Room Number....
Friday, 25 March 2011, 12:30-2:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA - The AFIO LA Chapter features CDR Rowley, USN on "Third Jihad - Stealth Jihad - and other aspects of Islam"

Navy Commander Al Rowley (Ret) will address the Chapter on the Third Jihad "Stealth Jihad" and other key aspects of Islam. Al Rowley is a retired Navy Commander who served for over 21 years during the Cold War years when our major enemy was communism. Following the hostage taking of our Tehran Embassy staff and some two dozen other terrorist acts against the U.S. culminating with the attacks of 9/11/2001, he began studying Islam and Islamic history. He now believes that Islam is the greatest threat to our nation, our liberty and our Constitution we have ever faced. Al now devotes his time to studying and informing others about Islam and the tactics of the Islamists, those who would conquer us and impose Islamic law, Shariah, and replace our republic with an Islamic theocracy. Al will speak to us about the Third Jihad, a "stealth jihad," which is currently being waged against us ordinarily by non-violent means and acquaint us with its history, organizations, tactics, and goals.
Location: Room 302 in the HIlton Business Building on the campus of LMU.
Lunch will be served for a fee of $20 paid at the door, please RSVP via email by no later than Friday March 18, 2011, and indicate whether you will have lunch. Email:

Saturday, 26 March 2011, 2 pm - West Kennebunk, Maine - AFIO Maine hosts "The Failing American Education System and Its Impact on National Security" and "The Muslim Brotherhood - How Dangerous Are They?" featuring by Beverly and Michael Goldstein

The AFIO Maine Chapter hosts Beverly Goldstein, Ph.D., who created the first security/intelligence symposium for high school students. She is involved in efforts to improve the quality and accuracy of textbooks through peer review and in developing programs for secondary students. One of her projects is a high school textbook on national security/global threats. In 2009 she received the FBI Director's Community Leadership Award presented by Director Robert S. Mueller, III.
Michael Goldstein, an attorney, will address the issue of the Muslim Brotherhood and its activities in the U.S. Michael is a retired naval cryptologic officer who served 26 years in the active Naval Reserve which took him to many stations in the U.S. and overseas. He is currently President of the AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter; his wife, Bev, is Secretary. They co-hosted the 2010 AFIO National Intelligence Symposium on "Intelligence and National Security on the Great Lakes and Northern Border".
This meeting is open to the public and will be held at the Dorothy Stevens Center in West Kennebunk.
DIRECTIONS TO THE CENTER FROM THE MAINE TURNPIKE; Coming Northbound on the Turnpike: Turn right at the end of the exit ramp, cross over the Turnpike, go straight through the set of lights. There is a flashing red light at .8 miles. Turn right here onto Thompson Road. The Dorothy Stevens Center is .4 miles on the right, a small white building between the middle school and fire station. Coming Southbound on the Turnpike, turn left at the exit ramp onto Route 35. At the set of lights turn right onto Main St. It will be .8 miles to the flashing red light. Turn right here onto Thompson Road and follow above directions to the Center. For information call 207-967-4298.

28 March 2011 - Honolulu, HI - ALOHA ISAC and the new AFIO Hawaii Chapter presents a Counterintelligence Briefing with Kevin Marshall, CI-DSS
The Aloha ISAC is sponsoring a Ccounterintelligence Briefing which will be provided by Mr. Kevin Marshall, Field Counterintelligence Specialist, Defense Security Service. Mr. Marshall will be providing threat information for the application of rational and cost-effective security measures to prevent illicit attempts to obtain DoD classified or sensitive
information by unauthorized personnel. For further information contact Hawaii Chapter President, Nora at
For further information immediately contact Norma J. Remata, Industrial Security Specialist Defense Security Service 300 Ala Moana Blvd., Suite 3-243 Honolulu, HI
(808) 282-7850 BB (808) 537-4556 office, but no voice mail

28 March - 1 April 2011 - San Diego, CO - Bicoastal Counter-Terrorism Summit at SDSU by The HALO Corporation The 2011 Bicoastal Counter-Terrorism Summit (BCTS) has been created to meet the critical needs of Security Professionals and Law Enforcement personnel. Throughout the Summit, Law Enforcement and Security Professionals will share and exchange information, ideas, and intelligence and engage in exercises based on factual scenarios. For further information contact

29 March 2011 - Reston, VA - GEOINT 101 - 1 day course
A one-day course providing an introduction to the fundamentals of the geospatial intelligence (GEOINT) community, core GEOINT technologies and operations, and the role of GEOINT in national security affairs supporting decision makers and operations.
More information available at

Tuesday, 29 March 2011, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - "Who's Watching Whom: Spying and Social Media" at the International Spy Museum

"You are opening the floodgates to a torrent of data, which your adversary can ... sift and turn into intelligence."—Paul Strassman, former Pentagon director of defense information, July 2010
Much has been made of Anna Chapman, the Russian illegal, and her use of Facebook to search for contacts and information. But how effective is social media as a vehicle for intelligence gathering and manipulation? This expert panel will reveal what online identities and social media can do that actual operatives and organizations can't. Judge Shannen L. Rossmiller (Ret.) is credited as America's first online operative in the War on Terror. Since 9/11, the cyber-spy has been responsible for more than 200 cases of actionable intelligence and extremist captures – most of them overseas and in conjunction with the FBI made through her adoption of online alter egos who proclaim allegiance with terrorist groups. Thomas Ryan, co-founder of Provide Security, created the fictional Robin Sage, a cyber femme fatale, who quickly wormed her way into the confidence of security professionals who should have known better. The experiment was conceived to expose weaknesses in the nation's defense and intelligence communities. Jack Holt, senior strategist for emerging media at the Department of Defense, joins in to reveal the challenges and opportunities that social media presents for us all. Tickets: $15.00 per person. Register at

Tuesday, 5 April 2011 - Washington, DC - CIA Conference on "Wartime Statutes - Instruments of Soviet Control" at Woodrow Wilson Center.

CIA, in partnership with the Woodrow Wilson Center, will be releasing many newly declassified documents on "Wartime Statutes - Instruments of Soviet Control." There is no charge for AFIO members wishing to attend this event. To receive material and updates about this event, email us at: and indicate "CIA April DC Conference" on subject line.

5-6 April 2011 - St Louis, MO - NGA Tech Showcase West

For more information at

Wednesday, 6 April 2011, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - "The Threat Matrix: The FBI at War in the Age of Global Terror" at the International Spy Museum

"We need to know where the threat is moving, and we need to get there first."—Robert S. Mueller III, FBI director, February 2009
The Washingtonian editor-in-chief and noted journalist Garrett Graff has zeroed in on the story of a small group of FBI agents who believed that they could confront a new generation of international terrorists like Al Qaeda without sacrificing America's moral high ground. Graff has closely covered FBI director Mueller's tenure at the FBI and was given unprecedented access to the director and thousands of pages of once secret documents. He conducted hundreds of interviews and explored how a generation of FBI agents taught themselves to confront threats no one had ever before seen. In his new book The Threat Matrix he shares what he found: from the corridors of the Hoover Building to the cells of Gitmo to tensions between the FBI and the CIA.
Tickets: $12.50 per person. To register or for further information visit

Thursday, 7 April 2011, 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD - Cryptologic Museum Foundation Commemorates 150th Anniversary of American Civil War

The National Cryptologic Museum Foundation spring program features former NSA Senior Cryptologic Executive, David Gaddy, speaking on "Decoding the Civil War." This is part of the NCMF's 150th anniversary commemoration. Mr. Gaddy's talk will approach the conflict from the Confederate perspective and will explore the Confederacy's successes and Failures in the use of cryptology. A Q&A will follow talk. Mr. Gaddy conceived the concept of a Center for Cryptologic History and museum of cryptology, served as the first chief, retiring from NSA in 1994 after forty-one years of service.
Location: L3 Communications Conference Center in National Business Park, 27270 Technology Dr. Annapolis Junction, MD 20701-1024.
Registration: $40 for non-members of the NCMF (includes membership fee); $15 for members. Make checks payable to NCMF and send to PO Box 1682, Ft George G. Meade, MD 20755-9998. For further information contact or to confirm your attendance call (301) 688-5436 or email

11-12 April 2011 - Chantilly, VA - Warfare Without Kinetics: Conducting Information Warfare and Information Operations: As Is and Could Be/Should Be - theme of NMIA classified symposium

The National Military Intelligence Association two day Classified Symposium will be held at the TASC Heritage Center in Chantilly, VA at the SECRET-US ONLY Classification level
The focus of the symposium will be on the current and future state of Information Warfare, Information Operations, and the role of the military intelligence community in supporting policymakers and operators. The Symposium will open with a review of the current art, science, and practice of information warfare and information operations by MG Michael Flynn. The Symposium will then consider current international and domestic legal constraints on Information Warfare and Information Operations. The Symposium will then dive into current operations to identify current and projected intelligence requirements from the perspective of policymakers and operators. The Symposium current and future mechanisms used by the IC to satisfy those requirements. The Symposium will conclude with an assessment of what future Information Warfare and Information Operations could be by Chris Inglis, Deputy Director, National Security Agency.
To register:

12 April 2011, 5 -9 pm - Washington, DC - FBI Intelligence Analysts Association [FBI IAA] Forum -"Intelligence Challenges for the 21st Century"The FBI IAA welcomes you, as intelligence professionals and industry leaders focused on national security, to our First Annual Intelligence Forum on "Intelligence Challenges for the 21st Century." The FBI Intelligence Analysts Association is an independent, non-governmental professional association representing Intelligence Analysts employed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. The First Annual FBI IAA Intelligence Forum will bring you presentations from leading professionals in the intelligence field. Our keynote speaker is John Miller, former FBI Assistant Director of the Office of Public Affairs, and currently the Deputy Director, Analysis Division, Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Mr. Miller will be speaking about Analytical Transformation and Intelligence Challenges.
In addition to hearing John Miller's keynote presentation, we will also have a panel of Intelligence Leaders answering critical questions on Intelligence Challenges in the 21st Century – the panel will be interactive and ready to answer your questions! Intelligence Leaders include:• Maureen "Mo" Baginski; • Dr. Bruce Hoffman; • Dr. Mark Lowenthal;
• Mr. Michael Waschull; • Dr. Amy Zegart

Don't miss out on the many great benefits the event will provide including:• A chance to network with your peers and all levels of leadership at the FBI; • Open discussions and new information from the intelligence leaders; • Interactive and open forum with the panel of experts to answer your most pressing questions; • Opportunity to learn more about FBI IAA and how we represent your interests;
• Chance to connect with industry partners who have products in our space.

Save by pre-registering for the event. Pre-registration for FBI IAA members is just $5.00 and only $10.00 for non-members. Included in your registration fee is the new FBI IAA Challenge Coin which is being released on-site at the Forum! 100% of registration fees and 50% of all the event proceeds will be donated to the Wounded Warrior Project.

Heavy hors d'oeuvres, drinks, desserts and coffee will be served.
Where: Woolly Mammoth Theatre (One block from FBIHQ), 641 D Street NW, Washington, DC 20004
Click here to register online and to be entered into the free drawing! For more information on FBI IAA:

Tuesday, 12 April 2011 - Tampa, FL - The AFIO Suncoast FL Chapter hosts SGM William "Billy" Waugh (US Army-Ret.)

Billy Waugh is a highly decorated American Special Forces soldier and a CIA Paramilitary Operations Officer who served in the United States military and CIA special operations for more than fifty years, a member of the elite Green Berets and the CIA's famed Special Activities Division. Waugh enlisted in the U.S. Army in 1948, completing basic training at Fort Ord, California. He was accepted into the United States Army Airborne School and became airborne qualified. In 1951, Waugh was assigned to the 187th Airborne Regimental Combat Team (RCT) in Korea. Shortly after the end of the Korean War, Waugh began training for the Special Forces. He earned the Green Beret in 1954, joining the 10th Special Forces Group (SFG) in Bad Tolz, Germany. Waugh arrived in South Vietnam with his Special Forces "A-team" in 1961, and began working alongside Civilian Irregular Defense Groups (CIDGs) there, as well as in Laos. In 1965, while participating in a commando raid with his CIDG unit on a North Vietnamese Army encampment near Bong Son, Binh Dinh province, Waugh's unit found itself engaged with much larger enemy force than anticipated of almost 4,000 soldiers, including Chinese regulars. While he and his men attempted to retreat from Next Meeting's the MacDill AFB Officer's Club.
Please RSVP no later than April 5th with the names of any guests. Refer to the information "To attend our Meeting" for important details. Check-in at 1130 hours; opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at noon, followed by our
speaker, SGM William "Billy" Waugh (US Army-Ret.). We have maintained the all-inclusive cost at $15. The cash wine and soda bar will open at 1100 hours for those that wish to come early to socialize. Further info at or contact Wallace S. Bruschweiler, Sr. at

Tuesday, 12 April 2011, 12:00 noon - 1:00 pm - Washington, DC - "Chasing Shadows: A Special Agent's Lifelong Hunt to Bring a Cold War Assassin to Justice" at the International Spy Museum

In July 1973 gunmen shot and killed the Israeli fighter pilot and assistant air attach�, Lieutenant Colonel Josef Alon at his home in Bethesda, Maryland. The FBI and Israel's Shin Bet worked hard on the investigation but never found the killers. In 2007, author Fred Burton, a special agent at the State Department's Bureau of Diplomatic Security returned to this cold case. Join us for this book launch in which Burton traces Alon's remarkable life from his combat experience in the skies over Israel in 1948 through his brutal death in the United States. Hear the gripping tale of how Burton relentlessly tracked the assassins through a hidden world of international intrigue, double agents, terrorists, and violence.
Join the author for an informal chat and book signing. Free! No registration required!

13 April 2011, 6 pm - Las Vegas, NV - The Roger E. McCarthy, Las Vegas Chapter Meet to hear Johnie Wood on "Coalition Warfare"

Our featured speaker for the evening will be: Johnie Wood on "Coalition Warfare: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly"
Coalition warfare is nothing new to the United States military. Building, training, and maintaining coalitions have been crucial to the United States' military and political success from the Revolution to today's conflicts. Given limited resources, political expediency, and prevailing circumstances, when the US goes to war in the future it will likely be with other nation-states. During this briefing, we will look back at past successes and failures in coalition warfare, present coalition efforts, and what future coalition warfare may look like.
Location: Nellis Air Force Base Officers' Club
(Guest names must be submitted along with their birth date to me by 4:00 p.m., Wednesday, April 5th
Time: Arrive early and join us at 5 p.m. in the "Robin's Roost" bar area for liaison and beverages
RSVP or more info:

Wednesday, 13 April 2011, noon - 1:30 pm - Washington, DC - Terrorism Expert Brian Jenkins - Sr Adviser, RAND, and expert on terrorism and security speaks at ABA Luncheon

Issues surrounding domestic or "homegrown" Muslim terrorists are seizing attention on Capitol Hill and in the Executive Branch. Brian Jenkins, Senior Advisor to the President at the RAND Corporation, and regular commentator and expert witness on terrorism and security, has been analyzing terrorism for nearly four decades and recently published a paper entitled "Would-be Warriors." He will discuss the most recent data and analysis on the homegrown threat in this presentation to the Standing Committee on Law and National Security at the luncheon..
Location: Army Navy Club, 901 17th St NW, Washington, DC.
Jenkins is author of Will Terrorists Go Nuclear, and of several RAND monographs, including Unconquerable Nation: Knowing our Enemy, Strengthening Ourselves and two 2002 reports on al Qaeda. Charge: $25.00. Reservations must be made in advance. Checks, payable to "ABA," should go to: ABA Standing Committee on Law and National Security, 740 15th St NW, Washington, DC 20005 along with your name, address, and names of your guests.
In the event you need to cancel, a refund will be made provided notice received by April 8. There is no charge for members of the press.

Saturday, 16 April 2011, 10 am - 2:30 pm - Salem, MA - The AFIO New England Chapter holds their quarterly meeting with luncheon featuring novelist Joe Finder on "Buried Secrets."

Our schedule is as follows: Registration & gathering, 1000 - 1130, membership meeting 1130 – 1200. Luncheon at 1200 followed by our speaker, with adjournment at 2:30PM.

Our afternoon speaker will be Chapter Member Joe Finder, a nationally famous novelist whose new Nick Heller novel due out this summer. He is the author of several hit novels, and one was made into the movie "High Crimes" with Morgan Freeman. Note, as this meeting is a one day event we have not made any hotel arrangements.

Overnight Accommodations: the Salem Waterfront Hotel located in Salem MA. The hotel web site is here: For directions to the hotel look here:
Information about Salem MA and local hotels can be found here:

For additional information contact us at
DEADLINES to register: Advance reservations are $25.00, $30.00 at the door - per person.
Luncheon reservations must be made by 4 April 2011.
Mail your check and the reservation form to:
Mr. Arthur Hulnick, 216 Summit Avenue # E102, Brookline, MA 02446; 617-739-7074 or

Wednesday, 20 April 2011, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - "Project Azorian: The CIA and the Raising of the K-129" at the International Spy Museum

"If you go back there it would mean war."—Soviet naval officer, December 1974
In early August 1974, despite incredible political, military, and intelligence risks and the slim chances of success, the CIA attempted to salvage the sunken Soviet ballistic missile submarine K-129 from the depths of the North Pacific. The remarkable effort had a huge potential payoff—the opportunity to obtain Soviet nuclear-armed torpedoes and missiles as well as crypto equipment—but the operation had to be conducted under cover of a seafloor mining operation sponsored by eccentric billionaire Howard Hughes. Using the Hughes Glomar Explorer the operation was undertaken even after the Soviets were warned of a possible salvage operation resulting in close surveillance by Soviet naval ships. Internationally known analyst, consultant, and award-winning author Norman Polmar, teamed with documentary filmmaker Michael White to tell the definitive story of this unprecedented project in their book Project Azorian. Join Polmar as he shares the story of this amazing clandestine project using footage from White's Project Azorian documentary and material from interviews with Glomar Explorer and USS Halibut crew members, U.S. intelligence officers, and the K-129's Soviet division commander.
Tickets: $15.00 per person. More information and registration at

26 April 2011 - National Harbor, MD - 2011 Emerald Express Strategic Symposium "Al Qaida after Ten Year of War: A Global Perspective of Successes, Failures, and Prospects.

This one day symposium by Marine Corps University, in partnership with the DoD Minerva Research Initiative and the Marine Corps University Foundation, is a one-day conference being held at the Gaylord National Resort and Conference Center, National Harbor, MD. The conference will examine the multidimensional aspects of the Al-Qaida threat in various theaters where it currently operates or may do so in the future. The symposium will bring together authorities on Al-Qaida from academia, government (both military and civilian), think tanks, and media from both the United States and from the regions under discussion. We are proud to feature Gen Michael V. Hayden (USAF, Ret), the former Director of the CIA, former Director of the NSA, and former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence, as our morning keynote speaker.
We hope to see you there, as your participation will contribute to the quality of the event. To see the agenda and/or register, please visit the symposium website at: Please feel free to share this email with colleagues and friends. There is no cost to attend.
Further questions and/or comments may be directed to Ms. Stephanie Kramer at or 703.432.4771 or LtCol Sal Viscuso at,or 703.432.5251

29-30 April 2011 - Nottingham, UK - Landscapes of Secrecy: The CIA in History, Fiction and Memory at the East Midlands Conference Centre, University of Nottingham, UK

This will be a major conference to allow scholars to explore and debate the history of the Central Intelligence Agency and its place within the wider realms of post-war American politics and culture. There will be a focus on the place of the CIA in the post-war of American diplomacy and foreign policy, and also the more general public reception of the subject through the medium of memoirs, film and fiction.
The conference coincides with the 50th anniversary of the Bay of Pigs episode, when the CIA's failed attempt to overthrow the Castro regime in Cuba placed the Agency under the public spotlight and triggered debates over its role in US foreign policy that have never really subsided.
The conference seeks to integrate international and cultural approaches to provide a comprehensive approach to CIA history. In addition to examining the treatment of the CIA within American diplomatic history and national security policy, it also views history as a form of cultural production. Accordingly, this is an inter-disciplinary conference brings together a wide array of distinguished experts from the fields of history, international relations, American studies, film studies and literature. Overall, this conference represents a unique opportunity to examine and debate the multi-faceted development of the CIA within post-war American and international history.
A draft programme and further details about the conference and booking can be found at -
Enquires about the conference can be directed to

9-12 May 2011 - Orlando, FL - SCIP 2011 International Annual Conference & Exhibition
This is the most important event of the year for Competitive Strategy and Competitive Intelligence professionals. Full information about event and program are here.
Don't miss your chance to hear essential insights from keynote presenter, Jeff Austin, Vice President, Strategy Planning with Pioneer Hybrid. Jeff is a 20 year strategy and CI veteran and will share his astute perspective on what the C-Suite needs and expects of us as strategic and competitive intelligence professionals.
Also on hand to share thought leadership is keynote presenter, Renee Finley, Vice President of Corporate and Market Strategy of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Florida. Renee is charged with leading Corporate Strategy and Enterprise Market Strategy, Integrated Market Intelligence (IMI) and marketing planning and controllership for the company. She will share some of the best practices we can implement to ensure we are aligned to what's important to our businesses, and to maintain relevance especially in times of political and economic uncertainty.
Don't miss out! Sessions are filling quickly, be sure to Register Now to ensure your place at this can't-miss event.
If you have questions or would like additional information, don't hesitate to call Matthew McSweegan at 516-255-3812.
Location: Buena Vista Palace Hotel in Orlando, Florida. Mention SCIP for only $175 convention rate.

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events


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