AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #12-13 dated 26 March 2013

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.
REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the Wins, click here:





Section V - Books, Research Request, Obituaries, and Coming Events


Research Request


Coming Educational Events

Current Calendar New and/or Next Two Months ONLY


Did you vote in the 2013 AFIO National Board Election?

If not, please do so at this link


FRIDAY, 10 May 2013

Space is limited.

Badge Pick-up at 10:30 a.m.

11 a.m. speaker

Col. John B. Alexander, PhD

Senior Fellow with
the Joint Special Operations
University; Former Green Beret Commander,
Los Alamos Project Director

Discussing and Presenting his findings on....

UFOs and the Intelligence Community

3-course Lunch at Noon

1 p.m. speaker

David Shedd

Deputy Director, DIA


Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.
Col. Alexander begins his presentation at 11 a.m.
Lunch served at noon
David Shedd begins his presentation at 1 pm
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, for sale throughout event.

Event closes at 2 p.m.

Complete Registration Form HERE
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza
1960 Chain Bridge Road • McLean, Virginia 22102
Driving directions here or use this link:

AFIO Members and Guests are invited to a free lecture
at the Udvar-Hazy Air & Space Museum

CIA's Underwater Space Mission Revealed

Recovering a Secret Spy Satellite Capsule
from 16,400 feet below the Pacific Ocean

Friday, 26 April 2013, 7:00 pm

Airbus IMAX Theater
Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center in Chantilly, VA

Request Free Tickets

A Panel Discussion will be moderated by CIA historian David Waltrop

CAPT. Don Walsh, USN (ret.), Commander, Marianas Trench Expedition
CDR. Richard Taylor, USN (ret.), Former Trieste II (DSV-I) Pilot
LDCR. Beauford Myers, USN (ret.), Former Executive Officer, White Sands (ADR-20)
Mr. Lee Mathers, Former U.S. Naval Intelligence Officer

In the predawn hours of April 26, 1972, the U.S. Navy's most advanced deep sea submersible surfaced about 350 miles north of the Hawaiian Islands after salvaging a mysterious item from a depth of 16,400 feet below the Pacific Ocean. Publicly known as a "data package" from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, the object was actually part of a film return capsule on the first mission of a new American spy satellite, codenamed HEXAGON. The United States launched the satellite in June 1971 to photograph denied intelligence targets, but the following month the parachute on one of its four capsules containing the valuable photographs malfunctioned on reentry, causing it to crash into the ocean and sink on impact. The U.S. Navy and CIA devised a bold plan to use the manned Trieste II (DSV-1) to salvage the capsule from the ocean floor, in what would become the deepest underwater operation conducted to date.

Learn about this now-declassified mission as operation participants and experts on deep sea research discuss the events that transpired.

Presentation is free, but tickets are required. Request Free Tickets

Driving directions to the Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center in Chantilly, VA
Udvar-Hazy Center Floorplan


The National Cryptologic Museum Foundation has established award to honor Maj. Gen. John E. Morrison, Jr. USAF (Ret) 1918-2013
founder and past President and Chairman of the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Board of Directors
as part of the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation Award for Excellence in Cryptology.

To donate to fund this new award make checks to "NCMF" and mail to NCMF, POB 1682, Ft. Meade, MD 20755, or contact the NCMF office at 301-688-5436 or by Email.

This is a worthy cause and fitting tribute to a man who devoted most of his career to the education of students in the field of cryptology.


Secret Report Raises Alarms on Intelligence Blind Spots Because of AQ Focus. A panel of White House advisers warned President Obama in a secret report that U.S. spy agencies were paying inadequate attention to China, the Middle East and other national security flash points because they had become too focused on military operations and drone strikes, U.S. officials said.

Led by influential figures including new Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and former senator David L. Boren (D-Okla.), the panel concluded in a report last year that the roles of the CIA, the National Security Agency and other spy services had been distorted by more than a decade of conflict.

The classified document called for the first significant shift in intelligence resources since they began flowing heavily toward counterterrorism programs and war zones after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

The findings by the President's Intelligence Advisory Board may signal a turning point in the terrorism fight. The document was distributed to senior national security officials at the White House whose public remarks in recent weeks suggest that they share some of the panel's concerns.

John O. Brennan, Obama's former top counterterrorism adviser, who was sworn in as CIA director this month, told Congress in February that he planned to evaluate the "allocation of mission" at the agency. He described the scope of CIA involvement in lethal operations as an "aberration from its traditional role." [Read more: Miller/WashingtonPost/20March2013]

'Mossad Spy' Spilled Secrets to Hezbollah: Report. A man identified by media as an Australian-Israeli Mossad agent and found hanged in a Tel Aviv jail had passed secrets to Hezbollah before his death, an influential German magazine reported Sunday.

News weekly Der Spiegel said Ben Zygier, a man known as "Prisoner X" who died in 2010 in an allegedly suicide-proof cell, had handed tips to the Lebanese militant group that led to the arrest of at least two people spying for Israel.

After conducting its own "internal investigations", the report found that Zygier had started working for Mossad in 2003, investigating European companies doing business with Iran and Syria.

It said Zygier - who was raised in Melbourne but moved to Israel about a decade before his death - was ordered back to Israel in 2007 because his bosses were unhappy with his work. [Read more: AFP/24March2013]

Northern Virginia Officials Worry Secret CIA Facility Could Scuttle Hopes for Landing FBI HQ. Fairfax County officials want Uncle Sam to know they have the perfect site in Springfield to replace the FBI's 39-year-old Washington headquarters.

It's a short run from the FBI Academy and laboratory in Quantico and other FBI operations that are in Northern Virginia or planned for there. It's near the Capital Beltway and Interstate 395 and within walking distance of the Franconia-Springfield Metro station. Best of all, the federal government owns the property, potentially saving taxpayers as much as $300 million.

But some Northern Virginia officials have been told that the biggest obstacle to redevelopment may be a federal client that's already at the site: the CIA. Now, as Maryland, Virginia and the District jockey for a prize worth perhaps as much as $3 billion, the presence of the classified site has left several Northern Virginia officials feeling as if one of their best prospects has been mysteriously hobbled.

Fairfax's bid is one of about three dozen, setting up a political face-off among officials in the region and members of Congress for what they see as a potential blessing to their local economies. Officials from the District, Maryland and Virginia have offered possible sites - vying not only for the prestige that comes with having a new FBI headquarters within their boundaries but also for as many as 11,000 jobs.

In what has been an open secret in Northern Virginia for years, elected officials say the CIA maintains a classified facility in what appears to be a warehouse on property owned by the General Services Administration, the federal government's landlord. [Read more: Kunkle/WashingtonPost/23March2013]

Woman at Center of Spy Allegations is Enigma. The 27-year-old Chinese woman at the center of spying allegations hanging over her boyfriend, a defense contractor in Hawaii, is not in custody.

Her identity and whereabouts haven't been released, and U.S. authorities also haven't said whether they believe she is working for the Chinese government. She lives in the United States as a student on a J-1 visa, according to an affidavit filed this week by the FBI in U.S. District Court in Honolulu.

"While she is not charged in the criminal complaint, the government is aware of her location and is continuing the investigation to determine the role of all involved," said a Justice Department official who spoke on condition of anonymity because the investigation is ongoing.

Benjamin Bishop, a 59-year-old civilian defense contractor who works at Pacific Command, met the woman at a Hawaii conference on military defense issues.

The counterintelligence agent investigating Bishop said the woman may have been at the conference specifically to meet people like Bishop, who work with and have access to certain classified information, the affidavit said. [Read more: AP/20March2013]

Terrorist Has Cooperated With U.S. Since Secret Guilty Plea in 2011, Papers Show. A Somali terrorist with ties to Al Qaeda whose capture and interrogation aboard a United States naval ship in 2011 fueled debate about the Obama administration's counterterrorism tactics secretly pleaded guilty in Manhattan and has been cooperating with the authorities, court documents released on Monday show. 

The terrorist, Ahmed Abdulkadir Warsame, served as a military commander with the Shabab in Somalia and worked as a liaison with Al Qaeda's branch in Yemen, including brokering a deal for the Shabab to buy weapons directly from the Qaeda group, the government has said.

The newly unsealed court papers show Mr. Warsame pleaded guilty in a closed court proceeding in Manhattan in December 2011, about five months after he was brought to New York. After the plea, he met weekly with the government for hours at a time, disclosing intelligence information about his Shabab and al Qaeda co-conspirators, who included "high-level international terrorist operatives," prosecutors said in one highly redacted letter dated March 2012.

In the letter, the office of Preet Bharara, the United States attorney in Manhattan, asked a federal judge to keep Mr. Warsame's plea confidential, noting that his information had opened new lines of investigation and developed new targets for the government. [Read more: Weiser/NYTimes/25March2013]

DoD Inspector General Has Unrestricted Access to Classified Info. A Department of Defense instruction issued on Friday reinforces the policy that the DoD Office of Inspector General (OIG) is to have full access to all records, including classified records, that it needs to perform its function, and that no DoD official other than the Secretary himself may block such access.

"The OIG must have expeditious and unrestricted access to all records.... regardless of classification, medium (e.g. paper, electronic) or format (e.g., digitized images, data) and information available to or within any DoD component, and be able to obtain copies of all records and information as required for its official use once appropriate security clearances and access are substantiated for the OIG DoD personnel involved," the instruction states. 

By stressing that the Inspector General's access is independent of a record's classification, medium or format, this language elaborates and bolsters the text of a previous version of the instruction, which did not make those distinctions.

Furthermore, the new instruction specifies, "No officer, employee, contractor, or Service member of any DoD component may deny the OIG DoD access to records." Only the Secretary of Defense may invoke a statutory exemption to limit IG access to certain intelligence, counterintelligence, or other sensitive matters, which he must then justify in a report to Congress. [Read more: Aftergood/SecrecyNews/25March2013]

Taiwan Intelligence Agency Says Island Faces Severe Cyber Threat from Chinese Hackers. Taiwan says Chinese computer hackers have expanded the scope of their attacks from gathering military intelligence to stealing business secrets from the island's high-tech companies.

Tsai Teh-sheng of the island's primary intelligence agency said late Wednesday that Taiwan has created a shield to protect government offices from "severe" Chinese cyberattacks.

But he pointed out that Chinese hackers are able to sabotage privately controlled infrastructural networks, including those belonging to banks and transportation companies. [Read more: AP/21March2013]

MI5 Spy Chief to Step Down. The MI5 spy chief, who oversaw a safe Olympics and helped transform the Security Service's counter-terrorism operations in the wake of the 2005 London bombings, will step down next month.

Sir Jonathan Evans, appointed director general of the domestic intelligence service less than two years after the July 7 bombings, presided over an expansion of anti-terrorism operations. There were no major attacks on his five-year watch.

"He has experienced the service evolving over the years and as director general has led the service through particularly challenging times of change and unrest, including the aftermath of the 7/7 bombings," said Theresa May, the home secretary.

"I would like to pay tribute to Sir Jonathan for the 33 years he has dedicated to the service," May told parliament.

A successor was not announced though local media have reported one of Evans's deputies who commands counter-terrorism operations could be appointed. MI5 chiefs, who were not publicly named until the 1990s, typically serve for about 5 years. [Read more: Faulconbridge/Reuters/25March2013]

Ethiopia Says Foils Somali Rebel Plot to Seize U.N. Staff. Ethiopia's intelligence agency said on Monday it has detained eight members of Somalia's al Shabaab Islamist militant group who it accused of plotting to kidnap U.N. workers.

The arrests were the latest in a crackdown on people charged with having links to fighters in neighboring Somalia, where Ethiopia has deployed troops to support Mogadishu's battle against al Shabaab and its six-year insurgency.

The group wanted to abduct foreigners working for the U.N. World Food Programme and the United Nations Development Programme in Ethiopia and take them to Somalia to demand a ransom, the National Intelligence and Security Service (NISS) said.

"The eight were caught red-handed with arms as they plotted to carry out the kidnappings," NISS said in a statement.

An Ethiopian official told Reuters the group planned to carry out the abductions in a camp for Somali refugees in the Ethiopian frontier town of Dolo Ado. [Read more: Reuters/26March2013]

German Intelligence Starts Counter-Cyberattack Arm. The Federal Intelligence Service (Bundesnachrichtendienst or BND) is to recruit 130 computer forensics specialists for a new department to counter cyberattacks on German businesses and organisations, reported. Finding the right staff is proving difficult, the current affairs magazine said in its web version. The BND will have to pay high fees to cooperate with hackers and procure the expertise of software companies specialising in anti-virus programmes. The intelligence service even wants to recruit at universities.

The BND believes there are up to 6,000 people working within China's Defence Ministry targeting foreign technology and defence businesses. It says Russia has a similar cyberstrategy, run under the guise of private firms. It said in recent months, there have been three to five cyberattacks per day on German organisations. Most of the breaches have been against authorities but also against defence and telecommunications businesses. [Telecompaper/25March2013]


Want to Spy on Somebody? It's Easier Than Ever. The iconic private eye of film noir would not get very far using traditional detective methods in the era of communicating by smart phones and the Internet, when there's no paper to leave a trail.

With current technology, a gumshoe need not even wear shoes, nor does an investigation necessarily require a professional investigator. Many options are available to anybody who wants to know what someone else is doing in the digital realm.

Keystroke loggers record everything that's typed on the designated computer or mobile device. They are installed as software such as Web Watcher, which leaves no visible files on the computer. In the case of Web Watcher, the program sends the information to a web-based account. It can report on email, social media, web history, searches, the computer's location, as well as the programs are being used, and the person monitoring the computer can set up alert words to trigger screenshots.

If the person installing that keystroke logging software needs to log in but doesn't have that computer's password, it's a matter of making another purchase: a password cracking utility. [Read more: Kane/CNBC/22March2013]

Prime Suspect in Georgi Markov 'Umbrella Poison' Murder Tracked Down to Austria. Thirty-four years on, the murder of Georgi Markov - the Bulgarian dissident poisoned by the tip of an umbrella in central London - remains one of the great unsolved mysteries of the Cold War. 

The writer, who was living in the capital, was assassinated on the orders of the Bulgarian secret service as he waited for a bus on Waterloo Bridge in September 1978.

While his killers have never been found, a suspect in the case has emerged: a spy known in Bulgarian files as Agent Piccadilly.

He was named in Bulgaria eight years ago as Francesco Gullino, a Danish national of Italian origin, who worked for the then Communist regime using his business as an antiques dealer as a cover. Mr. Gullino's whereabouts have remained unknown.

But finally he has been tracked down to an obscure Austrian town where he has admitted working for the Bulgarian secret service, Darzhavna Sigurnost (DS), but denied any involvement in Mr. Markov's murder.

Now that he has been located, Scotland Yard, whose file on the Markov murder remains open, are likely to want to question Mr Gullino. 

Now in his 60s, he was traced to his home by a film-maker for a new documentary, entitled: Silenced: Georgi Markov and The Umbrella Murder.

In it, Mr. Gullino, asked if he was still in touch with his old Bulgarian secret service handler, replied: "Yes I know him, but this is an intimate question because I was really in that [secret service] branch." [Read more: TheTelegraph/23March2013]

With Speech, Petraeus Returns to Public Life, 'Keenly Aware' of Altered Reputation. Since he resigned as director of the Central Intelligence Agency last November after acknowledging an extramarital affair, David H. Petraeus has all but vanished from the national scene. 

But in a speech on Tuesday night, Mr. Petraeus will seek to open a new chapter in his career - one that carves out a role for himself as a voice on energy, economic and veterans issues and in the private sector.

Mr. Petraeus's speech, which will take place at an event honoring veterans and the R.O.T.C. program at the University of Southern California, will begin with an account of the "personal journey" he has undergone since his resignation.

"Needless to say, I join you keenly aware that I am regarded in a different light now than I was a year ago," Mr. Petraeus will say, according to an advance text of his speech that was made available to The New York Times.

"I am also keenly aware that the reason for my recent journey was my own doing," he will say. "So please allow me to begin my remarks this evening by reiterating how deeply I regret - and apologize for - the circumstances that led me to resign from the C.I.A. and caused such pain for my family, friends and supporters."

The resignation of Mr. Petraeus, one of America's most decorated four-star generals, marked a stunning end to a meteoric career in which he helped draft the military's field manual on counterinsurgency; commanded the American-led coalition during the troop "surge" in Iraq; led the military effort in the more fraught Afghan conflict; and became the director of the C.I.A., where he urged, unsuccessfully, that the White House provide arms to a select cadre of Syrian rebels.

President Obama accepted Mr. Petraeus's resignation on Nov. 9, after Mr. Petraeus acknowledged the affair with a biographer, Paula Broadwell. [Read more: Gordon/NYTimes/25March2013]

Glance: Other Russians Whose Deaths Have Rocked UK. Russia's transition from a Kremlin-controlled economy to a free market free-for-all in the 1990s brought on a wave of contract killings as criminals, entrepreneurs and corrupt officials tried to muscle each other out of lucrative businesses. The death of 67-year-old Boris Berezovsky - who died from hanging at his home, according to initial post mortem examinations - has raised questions about the safety of oligarchs as opposition figures back in Russia have been making the United Kingdom their home.

Here are some other U.K. incidents involving figures from - or involved with - the former Soviet Union: [Read more: AP/25March2013]


The Excitement of INFOSEC. Some time ago, while I was having lunch with the Director of Security of one of our NATO allies and we were discussing the rash of books on intelligence agencies such as the CIA and Britain's MI-5 and MI-6 that were flooding bookstores, he asked, "Why aren't there more best selling books on INFOSEC?" I replied, "It's because the best days we have in INFOSEC are when nothing exciting happens in the outside world. When we are successful, which we are most of the time, the result is a non-event."

During the Walker spy trial, Earl Clark, an NSA INFOSEC expert, said, "Give me access to your codes, give me access to your ciphers, and you won't have any secrets." INFOSEC has all the secrets of US national security as well as the secrets of NATO and those of our allies around the world to protect. The responsibilities are awesome. On a good day for INFOSEC, the externals are placid, but make no mistake, the internals are boiling. That's the excitement of INFOSEC.

The internal story is unknown, and it must necessarily remain so to the outside world. It is possible, however, to give some appreciation of the scope of the INFOSEC task with respect to the various elements, each fascinating in its own right, which collectively must be integrated into the total security pattern which constitutes INFOSEC.

Consider the challenge to the cryptomathematician: Design a cryptoalgorithm to encrypt our most sensitive secrets, and having encrypted them, we will give the resulting text to our most mathematically and technically sophisticated opponents and let them subject it to their most high-tech attacks. It must protect the information for decades against such continuous attack. That's not all. It must do this under the assumption that the opponent has the algorithm but not the key. [Read more: Cryptome/23March2013]

UK Intelligence Agency Stores Passwords in Plain Text. There are some government agencies that most would expect to have a fair grasp of security, even for those systems that are not core to their operations. That's what we thought with the Australian Tax Office's Publication Ordering System, but sadly, we were proven wrong.

University student Dan Farrall discovered that his UK government's communication headquarters (GCHQ) careers site has been sending back passwords in complete plain text. For those of us outside of the UK, GCHQ is one of Britain's intelligence agencies, dealing primarily with signals intelligence and charged with "safeguarding Britain's electronic communications and digital space".

It works with the nation's security services and secret intelligence services MI5 and MI6, and is thought of as the counterpart to the US National Security Agency or Australia's Defence Signals Directorate.

As Farrall pointed out on his blog, apart from the harm to its reputation, the sort of information that would be held within these systems would be significant.

We double-checked Farrall's claim and confirmed that the passwords were in fact being sent in plain text, and while we were at it, we started an application for a malware reverse engineer. [Read more: Lee/ZDNet/26March2013]

Industrial Espionage is Ripping Off SA Firms. In 2002, the then director-general of the National Intelligence Agency stunned security experts when he revealed that most companies in South Africa were victims of one of the cybercrimes - industrial espionage.

Industrial espionage is commercial spying and the unlawful acquisition of business information and critical technologies for competitive advantage.

Since 2005, I have been immersed in the study of cybercrime and have found that industrial espionage is still rampant in South Africa.

This should be attributed to four factors. First, corporate South Africa is very naive when it comes to cybercrime. Except for the banks, South African companies have done very little to mitigate industrial espionage, which is mostly conducted through hacking. When they are alerted that they are being spied on, companies never take the warning seriously.

Second, corporate South Africa lacks information security experts and thus they outsource this service to foreign companies. In some instances, these foreign companies that masquerade as private security firms are actually intelligence operatives that siphon the intellectual property of corporate South Africa to competitors in their home countries. This includes sensitive commercial data, trade secrets, and new technology invented by the local firms valued at billions of rands.

As an analyst, I have been very critical of some of the government's actions that discourage foreign investment. However, I am sympathetic to the ANC's suspicion of foreign security companies. Actually, most countries will be very hesitant to have many foreign security companies operating within their borders. [Read more: Dagada/BusinessReport/26March2013]

Lebanon: Locked Into Escalation? The resignation of Lebanon's government this past weekend has thrust the country into deepening crisis, raising fears about the destabilising impact of a political vacuum and the fight for control of a new government. More significantly, the moves underpinning the government collapse, including Hezbollah's willingness to stake a more assertive domestic position, suggest that Lebanon is increasingly locking itself into a cycle of escalation and that the journey towards a return to potential internal conflict is shifting up a gear.

For the past two years, Lebanon's two main political groupings, the Hezbollah-dominated 'March 8' coalition and the Sunni-dominated 'March 14' coalition have effectively been waging a proxy war in Syria, the former supporting Bashar al-Assad and the latter the rebels. While the battle has largely unfolded within Syria, both sides have been driven by, and maintained their focus on, its implications for control of Lebanon. The resignation of Prime Minister Najib Mikati suggests that two sides are now bringing the confrontation closer to home.

Mikati, in power since June 2011, submitted his resignation on Friday evening in response to the cabinet's unwillingness to extend the term of Major General Ashraf Rifi, head of the Internal Security Forces (ISF), or approve an election commission for the parliamentary vote due later this year. The fate of Rifi - and by extension control of the ISF - emerged as particularly controversial, a symbol of the deepening polarisation between the two sides.

The ISF, under Rifi's leadership, has long represented a critical pillar of domestic strength for 'March 14', particularly given Hezbollah's control over Lebanon's rival intelligence agency, the General Security Directorate. [Read more: Barnes-Drcey/ECFR/26March2013]

Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Obituaries, and Coming Events


Oops: The U.S. Secret Service Almost Accidentally Shot Iran's President. The public has all but forgotten the U.S. Secret Service's Colombian prostitute scandal, but the past 24 hours have probably dredged up bad memories for the agency's PR department. One Secret Service agent traveling with President Obama in Israel is in hot water for reportedly junking the president's heavily fortified limousine by filling it with diesel instead of gas ("This is why we bring multiple vehicles and a mechanic on all trips," says agency spokesman Brian Leary.) Hours later, The Atlantic published a short but eye-catching excerpt from Deep State: Inside the Government Secrecy Industry, an upcoming book by The Week's Marc Ambinder and D.B. Grady. The hook? "How the Secret Service almost shot Mahmoud Ahmadinejad."

The incident happened in September 2006, when the Iranian president was in New York for the United Nations General Assembly. 

This incident showed up as a "particularly chilling item" in President George W. Bush's daily national security briefing the next day, "and it scared the hell out of the dozen or so White House officials cleared to read it," say Ambinder and Grady. The briefing reportedly said that the "apparent accident" happened outside the InterContintental Hotel, as Ahmadinejad was loading his motorcade. [Read more: Weber/TheWeek/21March2013]

Research Request
 [IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse these research inquiries or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when
responding or supplying any information.]

IARPA released 2 new forecasting problems today. Note that both are focused on the European debt crisis and short-fused to expire before the end (04/10/2013) of our current program evaluation period:

As always, when you visit our site to make forecasts to these new questions, please also take a moment to review and update your prior forecasts. You may want to use the "Quick Surveys" page to get a convenient overview of your existing forecasts.

To help you with your forecasting, our subject matter expert has reviewed our open questions and provided recent news at a single view. Please visit this analysis in our shared subject workspace in the "Occasional Analyses" section (direct link). 

If you have any problems accessing our sites, please send an email to for support or use the "Help" section. 
We thank you all for your support! 
Best regards, Sven Brueckner
, (INFORMED Evaluation Lead)
The INFORMED prototype is hosted at At this link you will find background information on our study.


Gerald D. Gregory. Gerald Douglas "Greg" Gregory, 78, of Lexington, passed away Saturday, March 16, 2013, at Lexington Medical Center. Funeral services will be held at 11 a.m., Wednesday, March 20, 2013, at Ebenezer United Methodist Church with Rev. Jack Gibson and Dr. Chuck Byrd officiating. Burial will be in Kershaw City Cemetery, Edwards Avenue, at 2 p.m. The casket will be placed in the church at 10 a.m. Pallbearers will be Dean Gregory, Johnny Gregory, Ray Kirkland, Curtis Livingston, and Mike Watson. 

Mr. Gregory was born in Kershaw, a son of the late Paul Emmett and Viola Beam Gregory. Mr. Gregory's legacy of service includes thirty years with the US Government, five years in the US Military, and the rest with the Foreign Service of the US Department of State and the US Central Intelligence Agency. With the CIA, he served as Officer in Charge of various highly sophisticated US Embassy Communications Facilities in South America, the Far East, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Europe. 

He attended the University of Miami, University of Yokohama, Japan, University of Tehran, Iran, and the Elm School of Languages. 

After retiring in 1984, he opened the Gregory Detective Agency, with offices in Lexington, Orangeburg and Myrtle Beach. Greg was dedicated to his profession and had a great love and respect for his country. He was a member of Ebenezer United Methodist Church, Naval Cryptographic Veterans Association, Kershaw Masonic Lodge, CIA Retirees Association, and a lifetime member of the SC Association of Legal Investigators. Survivors include three daughters: Darlene Gregory (Ed) Brnich, of Ellicott City, MD; Debra Gregory Schenk, of Murrell's Inlet; and Karen Gregory (Gregg) Stalbird, of Mt. Pleasant; a son, Douglas Alexander Gregory, of Santa Monica, CA; a brother: Robert E. Gregory, Sr., of Greenville; 7 grandchildren: Sarah, Molly and Rebecca Brnich; Katelyn and Sean Stalbird; and Douglas and Nicky Schenk; a number of cousins, nieces and nephews; special friend, Sadie Kirkland Wannamaker, of Swansea; extended family Robert "Robby" Wannamaker (Edwina Kennedy), Rhonda W. Gunter (Gerald), Hailey and Hannah Gunter; and Raegan Kennedy. Mr. Gregory was predeceased by siblings Sue Carol Gregory and Franklin D. Gregory; two beloved aunts, Lucille (Perry) Reeves and Lillian (Crawford) Gardner; and his special "Mema," Lenora P. Kirkland. The family will receive friends from 10-11 before the service at Ebenezer United Methodist Church and other times at the home of Sadie Kirkland Wannamaker, 2328 Highway 178, Swansea. Culler-McAlhany Funeral Home in North is in charge of arrangements. The family would like to extend their sincere appreciation to the staff of Lexington Medical Center, especially the third floor Critical Care Unit for their love, support and special care during his many visits over the last two years. [TheState/19March2013]

Anne Dickinson Chesney. Anne Dickinson Chesney, 86, a retired intelligence officer who specialized in Soviet affairs at the Central Intelligence Agency, died March 15 at her home in Annapolis. She had cancer, a nephew, Dwight Dickinson, said.

Mrs. Chesney joined the CIA in 1949 and had overseas postings in Munich, Hong Kong, Tehran, New Delhi, Rangoon and Stockholm. She retired in 1974.

Anne Defrees Dickinson was born in Washington. She was a graduate of a private boarding school in New York. She received a bachelor's degree in international economics in 1948 from Smith College in Northampton, Mass. She lived in Washington throughout her career before moving to Annapolis.

She was married in 1977 to Peter Chesney, who died in 2004.

Survivors include four stepchildren, Peter M. Chesney of Burbank, Calif., Thomas Chesney of Manchester, N.H., Stephen Chesney of Canaan, Maine, and Elizabeth McDonald of Atlanta; and five grandchildren. [Read more: Schudel/WashingtonPost/24March2013]

Thomas E. Lee. Retired Air Force Colonel Thomas Edward Lee, 73, died peacefully at his home in Vienna, VA on November 17, 2012. He is survived by his wife of nearly 52 years, Barbara Kay Lee, children Robert E. Lee (Sarah J. Lee) and Cynthia A. Lee, and 6 grandchildren. Son of the late Robert E. Lee and Dorothy A. Lee, Tom was born in Oak Park, IL. Tom earned his Undergraduate degree at Huntingdon College, Montgomery, AL and a Master's degree from Columbia University, NY. He then joined the Air Force. Completing multiple national assignments he served as an Air Defense Weapons Controller and Identification Officer, a fighter wing targeteer in the United Kingdom with the 20th Tactical Fighter Wing, wrote and implemented the DoD Targeting Course which trained DoD targeting personnel for the next 15 years. During 1968-1969 Tom served as an in-country targeteer during the Secret War in Laos. He was a US Embassy target validation officer, served as the combat intelligence officer for the RAVEN forward air controllers, and advised the Lao Armed Forces. He flew over 100 missions in Laos as the "Guy in Back". As the Targets Chief for the US Pacific Command at Camp H.M. Smith, Hawaii, his targeting team put the first Navy Tomahawk cruise missiles on line. As the Director of Targets, HQ USAF between 1984 and 1988 he provided targeting expertise for Air Staff operational contingency planning. He was active in USAF special projects including the F117A Stealth fighter. Tom retired from the Air Force in 1988 then worked for SAIC until his retirement in 2009. His military decorations and awards include a Defense Superior Service Medal, the Legion of Merit, the Bronze Star, the Defense Meritorious Service Medal, two Meritorious Service Medals, an Air Medal, and an Air Force Commendation Medal. He was also the recipient of a Joint Meritorious Unit Award, Outstanding Unit award, Organizational Excellence Ribbon, National Defense Service Medal, Vietnam Service Ribbon, Overseas Short Tour Ribbon, Overseas Long Tour Ribbon, Air Force Longevity Service Ribbon, Small Arms Expert Marksmanship Ribbon, Air Force Training Ribbon, and a Republic of Vietnam Campaign Ribbon. Tom was a member of Vienna Presbyterian Church for many years. A full military honors burial will be held at Arlington National Cemetery on March 27, 2013 at 1 p.m. Please gather at the Administration Building at 12:30 p.m. For more information on the service, donations or condolences see or [WashingtonPost/24March2013]

Coming Educational Events


MANY Spy Museum Events in 2013 with full details are listed on the AFIO Website at The titles for some of these are in detail below and online.

27 March 2013 - New York, NY - "Circle of Treason" with Sandy Grimes, former CIA, at the AFIO NY Chapter Meeting

Sandy Grimes, one of the CIA principals behind the search and unmasking of Aldrich Ames - the traitor in their midst at CIA HQ - discusses in "Circle of Treason," her new book, co-authored with the late Jeanne Vertefeuille, about the mole who nearly escaped capture. A remarkable story.
Location: Society of Illustrators Building, 128 East 63rd St, New York City.
For further information contact Jerry Goodwin, Chapter President, at 646-717-3776 or email to

2 April 2013, 8 am - 3 pm - Washington, DC - CACI Hosts conference on Combating Asymmetric Threats: The Interplay of Offense and Defense

Discuss Asymmetric Threats on April 2 at an event co-sponsored by The U.S. Naval Institute, the Center for Security Policy, and CACI International Inc.
Participants will have a unique opportunity to explore America's capability to counter asymmetric threats by assessing the interplay of our nation's offensive and defensive powers. In particular, we will examine whether the United States has forfeited any of its asymmetric advantages, as well as what needs to be done in order to reclaim those advantages and ultimately defeat asymmetric threats to our national security and national interests. Winning the asymmetric fight is the core issue to be explored.
Speakers: ADM James G. Stavridis, USN - Commander, US European Command and NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Europe (invited); LTG Michael T. Flynn, U.S. Army -Director, Defense Intelligence Agency (confirmed); The Honorable Jon Kyl - US Senator, Arizona, 1995-2012 (confirmed).
Location: Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center, 1300 Pennsylvania Ave NW, Washington, DC 20004
This symposium is complimentary and open to participants by invitation only. Registration and further information at To request an invitation to register, do so here.

Wednesday, 3 April 2013, 6 pm - Nellis AFB, NV - the AFIO Las Vegas Chapter Meets to discuss "Maritime Piracy" with Col. John Alexander

�Maritime Piracy: The Best Business Model Available� is the topic Col. John B. Alexander, PhD will discuss. Piracy has been a fact of life ever since seafaring began. Hollywood�s portrayal of swashbuckling pirates of the Caribbean is far off the mark. Their actions are not funny, and complex business has evolved, especially near the Horn of Africa with over 100 million dollars a year paid in ransom. With a cost of billions to maritime industries, navies from around the world are now cooperating to stifle the trade. There have been dramatic rescues, such as Maersk Alabama, and a tragic escalation of violence. In February, Dr. Alexander transited the Gulf of Guinea which has a rising piracy problem. Explored will be the history of piracy and what is being done to ensure safe passage on the high seas. �It�s complicated� is an understatement.
Dr. John Alexander holds a M.A., Pepperdine University, Ph.D., Walden University, and later attended the Anderson School of Management at UCLA, the Sloan School of Management at MIT, and the Kennedy School of Government general officer program �National and International Security for Senior Executives� at Harvard University.
Come early - 5 pm - to join a group in the "Robin�s Roost" bar area for liaison and beverages.
Location: Nellis Air Force Base Officers' Club. Guest names must be submitted along with their birth date to email below, by 4 pm, Thursday, 21 March 2013
All guests must use the MAIN GATE, located at the intersection of Craig Road and Las Vegas Blvd.
Address: 5871 Fitzgerald Blvd., Nellis AFB, NV 89191 Phone: 702-644-2582.
Email Mary Bentley ( anytime or call 702-295-0417 if you have any questions. We look forward to seeing you!

Friday, 5 April 2013, 6 - 8 PM - Washington, DC - "Women's Roles in Terrorist Movements" theme of event at Institute of World Politics

Women's Roles in Terrorist Movements is the presentation to be made by Paula Holmes-Eber, Ph.D. Professor of Operational Culture at Marine Corps University, and Christopher C. Harmon, Ph.D., IWP Professor, and Chair of Military Theory, Marine Corps University.
In the Latin, Asian, Middle Eastern, and European regions, revolutionary political movements have been accepting and deploying women in various and important roles: cadre; mid-level organizers; intelligence agents; couriers; combatants of many sorts; and suicide bombers. In unusual cases, women have also held senior leadership posts in undergrounds; a few have run their own terror organizations. What are the reasons for, and effects of, incorporating females into sub-state fighting organizations? What are the "lessons learned" for intelligence analysts, military personnel, and students of the social sciences focused on culture and war?
To attend, RSVP required. Click here to do so.
Event Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th Street NW, Washington, DC 20036
Parking map is here.

Tuesday, 9 April 2013, 11:30 am - MacDill AFB, FL - "My Life in the CIA" with Richard Holm at Meeting/Luncheon by Florida Suncoast Chapter

Richard Holm, a former paramilitary adviser, decorated operations officer, senior manager and station chief for the Central Intelligence Agency, will share fascinating stories of his experiences during the Cold War. Drawing from the material he used in writing his book, The Craft We Chose: My Life in the CIA, he will recount highlights of his 35-year Agency career and explain why it is imperative for Americans to understand and support what the CIA does--a goal that also underlies AFIO's efforts to raise public awareness of the importance of national intelligence. He will also touch on the impact of an intelligence career on one's family and family life.
Location: MacDill AFB Surf's Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621.
RSVP: no later than Wednesday, April 3, for yourself and include the names of any guests.
Email or call the Chapter Secretary at (813) 832-1164 or at or visit
Cost: $20. You must present your $20 check payable to "Suncoast Chapter, AFIO" (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, don't cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don't show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.

Wednesday, 10 April 2013, 11:30 am � 1:30 pm - Scottsdale, AZ - The AFIO Arizona Chapter hosts Professor Don Costello on "Computational Intelligence"

Don Costello, Associate Professor Emeritus, University of Nebraska-Lincoln's Computing Science and Engineering Department, Member of AFIO AZ, speaks on "Computational Intelligence: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow."
Don Costello is also a fellow of The British Computer Society and a Distinguished Lecturer for the Association for Computing Machinery. He is a retired Air Force Reserve Major and worked as an Airborne Telecommunications Officer out of Eielson Air Force Base in Alaska and as an Intelligence Officer focusing on Soviet Computer Technology and Missile Technology in Wright Patterson Air Force Base where he worked for the Foreign Technology Division (now a part of NSA). He is the President of Expert Security Systems.
He has monitored the change in technology used in Intelligence for many years. He will discuss those changes and how emerging computational and communications technology coupled to the change in the profile of aggressor nations and groups in light of the vulnerability of our National Computational Infrastructure forces the intelligence community to continuously upgrade the first and second team on the ground in the Intelligence community. He will present his thought on the need for new ORGWARE.
He has worked in Security and Cryptography for many years and will be again teaching Cryptography and Network Security at the University of Nebraska � Lincoln later this year. He also is designing and teaching new courses in Robotics.
Event Location: McCormick Ranch Golf Course at 7505 McCormick Parkway, Scottsdale AZ 85258 ~ Phone 480.948.0260.
RSVP NO LATER than 72 hours ahead of time.
Reservations or questions to Simone: or, or call, please leave a message on 602.570.6016. No Shows without 48-hr cancellation are charged for the missed lunch. Fee: $20.00 for AFIO AZ Member| $22.00 for Non-Members. Send check to Simone.

Wednesday, 10 April 2013, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - Insider Espionage Update: A Worldwide Review, at the International Spy Museum

Get a worldwide overview of espionage and terrorism today - the trends, threats, and evolution of today's intelligence from the ultimate insider. As a retired FBI Supervisory Special Agent and former Director of Counterintelligence, Intelligence and Security Programs for the FBI, International Spy Museum Board Member David Major will help you become an informed citizen of the world. As the founder of the CI Centre, which provides counterintelligence and security studies and training to the US government and private sector, Major tracks the most important spy cases from around the globe and has the most up-to-date information on their statuses. He'll reveal how many individuals have been indicted in the US for espionage-related crimes from 1945 to the present. He'll explore how aggressive China is in stealing information and analyze the reality of Russia as an espionage threat to Europe and North America. You'll also find out what terrorism and economic espionage have in common in the 21st century. Come learn, laugh, think, and ponder the very real world of spy games that we live in.
Mr. Major's seminar is based on information his organization, the CI Centre, collects and analyzes and then makes available to members via SPYPEDIA�, the world's largest resource for information on, and analysis of, worldwide espionage, terrorism, and cybersecurity.
Tickets: $15. Purchase tickets at

16 April 2013, 11:30 am - McLean, VA - The Defense Intelligence Forum hears Russell C. Rochte, Jr. on "Media Wars."

Mr. Russell C. Rochte, Jr. will speak on "Media Wars." This presentation will provide a summary of recent academic studies pointing out Al Q'aida's Associated Movements in their media campaigns and U.S. general strengths and weaknesses to these movements. A strategy and a body of tactics for both short-term and long-term success in this "war of ideas" will be given using the media of television. Mr. Rochte retired from the U.S. Army as a Lieutenant Colonel in 2005, after more than 25 years of active duty, to become a member of the faculty of the National Intelligence University, where he teaches courses on information power, propaganda analysis, and globalization to graduate and undergraduate students from across he U.S. Intelligence Community. He also lectures several times yearly to audiences at the National Defense University, the NATO School in Oberammergau, Germany, the U.S. Marine Corps Command and Staff College at Quantico, VA, and to a variety of events, both CONUS and abroad. He is a Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP), is a graduate of the University of Michigan and Troy University, and is engaged in continuing postgraduate education at George Mason University in Fairfax, VA.
For this forum, you may attribute the speaker's remarks.
Registration starts at 11:30 AM, lunch at 12:00 PM
Event location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA
Reservations by April 15, 2013 by email to Include names, telephone numbers, and email addresses. For each attendee, choose among Chicken Cacciatore, Tilapia Puttanesca, Lasagna, Sausage with Peppers, Fettuccini with Portabella for your lunch selection.
Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 per person, payable to DIAA, Inc.
Check is preferred, but will accept cash; however, credit card payments are discouraged!

Wednesday, 17 April 2013, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - Cyber Terror on the Silver Screen: Skyfall's Raoul Silva, at the International Spy Museum

His nicotine hair flops queasily over his forehead on the Silver Screen: Skyfall's Raoul Silva on Silva, The Daily Telegraph.
Javier Bardem's Raoul Silva, from the newest Bond movie Skyfall, just might be the best Bond villain ever. Like the other iconic evildoers from the series, Silva has an intense persona and a cutting edge connection to current issues―in this case cyberterrorism. Silva gets whatever he wants with a click of the mouse, but just how real is this harrowing hacker? Join Dave Marcus, Director and Chief Architect of Threat Research and Intelligence for McAfee's Federal Advanced Programs Group, when he'll put Silva's astounding control of systems and cyberspace into a real world context. In his work, Marcus focuses on advanced research and threat intelligence projects such as Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) analysis, financial fraud malware, hardware-assisted security architecture, and SCADA/ICS research. In addition, Mark Stout, International Spy Museum Historian and a curator of the Museum's exhibition Exquisitely Evil: 50 Years of Bond Villains will discuss how Silva's actions mirror Julian Assange and today's cyber struggles as well as other intelligence issues.
Tickets: $15. Register at

18 April 2013, 12:30 - 2:30pm - Los Angeles, CA - "Situation Awareness" - topic at AFIO LA Chapter Meeting

Clinton Emerson, President of Escape the Wolf, Risk Mitigation will be discussing "Situation Awareness" at the Los Angeles Area AFIO Chapter. Mr. Emerson is a respected authority and author on preemptive risk mitigation and provides personal travel safety awareness instruction for corporations & various branches of the government, including the National Security Agency. His military service experience in combat and highly sensitive operations worldwide as a Department of Defense employee for nearly 20 years, including multiple deployments during Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom, has been recognized with numerous awards for bravery and leadership. Location: LAPD Ahmanson Training Center, RM 1F, 5651 W. Manchester Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90045
Please RSVP for attendance and location

Friday, 19 April 2013, 5:30-7 PM - Washington, DC - Ronald Reagan: Counterintelligence and the Evil Empire by Dr. Raymond Batvinis, at the Institute of World Politics

The Institute hosts their Third Annual Reagan Intelligence Lecture featuring Raymond J. Batvinis, Former Supervisory Special Agent, FBI, and IWP Professor. Dr. Raymond Batvinis joined the Federal Bureau of Investigation on July 17th, 1972. Entering the FBI just two years before Watergate, he was able to watch firsthand the subsequent "Age of Reform" in that agency - which involved reform chiefly in the intelligence and counterintelligence communities. He proceeded to spend twenty-five years in the FBI, gaining invaluable experience as well as deep knowledge about the organization itself.

After working in Cleveland on organized crime and fugitive work, he moved to the Washington field office, where he was introduced to counterintelligence. He eventually went to the FBI headquarters, and taught FBI agents about counterintelligence, espionage, and international and domestic terrorism investigations.
Dr. Batvinis also spent twelve years in the Baltimore field office as the Supervisory Special Agent of Counterintelligence. He was responsible for counterterrorism and domestic terrorism, as well as counterintelligence. There, he also arranged for training of the staff - and recommended to some of them that they attend IWP! He ultimately attained a senior-level position coordinating the National Foreign Intelligence Program.

Twelve years into his retirement from the FBI, Dr. Batvinis works today as a Consultant/Investigator at RJB Associates. He continues to teach history at FBI field offices around the nation, and he works for the J. Edgar Hoover Foundation, which awards scholarships and grants, and engages in other charitable work in memory of the first Director of the FBI.

Dr. Batvinis devotes much of his spare time to historical research and analysis of the FBI. One of the readings for his class at IWP is a book that he wrote himself: The Origins of FBI Counterintelligence.
Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
Click here to RSVP.
Important note: Attendance at all IWP events requires an RSVP in advance. In addition, prospective attendees must receive an e-mail confirmation from IWP indicating that seating will be available for them at the event. A government-issued ID that matches your name on the confirmed attendee list must be presented at the door for admission to any event. The use of photographic and/or recording equipment is prohibited except by advanced permission from IWP, the event organizer, and the speaker(s). IWP is a private organization; as such, all attendees are guests of the Institute.

Saturday 20 April 2013 - Milford, MA - AFIO New England Chapter hosts Mike Stedman on "'A' for Argonaut" and Charles A. Morgan, M.D., at their Spring Meeting

Mike Stedman, South Boston born and bred, is a former political columnist, magazine writer, and intelligence consultant to major corporations. Formerly on the New England board of the Association for Intelligence Officers, he has been both a practitioner and critic of the spy world. Stedman, a former U.S. Army Reserve soldier with the 94th Infantry, has served as chairman of the New England Chapter of the Republican Jewish Coalition and President of his local Rotary Club. He lives outside of Boston with his wife. They have three sons, three daughters-in-law, and seven grandchildren, including identical twin boys.
But really... who is Michael J. Stedman?
Born Michael J. Hurley into a pre-arranged adoption at St. Mary's Infant Asylum in Boston's Dorchester neighborhood, Michael J. Stedman considers himself one of the luckiest people alive.
Charles A. Morgan, M.D., will be our second April 20th luncheon speaker, speaking on "Actuarial Project on Behalf of FBI: Truth and Deception through Manual and Cognitive tasks." Dr. Morgan's talk promises to be interesting, enlightening & perhaps even eye-opening. You are encouraged not to miss the opportunity to hear this Bureau-engaged researcher.
Location: Courtyard by Marriott in Milford, Mass. Hotel web site is here:
Schedule: Registration & gathering, 1000 � 1130, Membership meeting 1130 � 1200; Luncheon at 1200 followed by keynote speaker; Adjournment at 2:30PM.
Questions to

20 April 2013, 2 pm - Kennebunk, ME - "The Chinese Intelligence Threat to America" topic of AFIO Maine Chapter Meeting

"The Chinese Intelligence Threat to America: How it Operates and Why It Succeeds" will be the topic at the April 20, 2013 meeting of the AFIO Maine Chapter. The guest speaker, who will be identified at the meeting, is recognized in the Intelligence Community as an expert on Chinese Counterintelligence and operational planning. He has held senior CIA positions in both headquarters and overseas directing operations in a high risk counterintelligence environment.  He will describe the organization of the intelligence services of the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) and explain why their methods of collection pose such a serious threat to the U.S.

The speaker's extensive CIA experience includes managing all counterintelligence activities for the Agency's Clandestine Services' East Asia Division.  After retirement, as a senior officer with Athena Innovative Solutions and CACI, he was responsible for developing a Department of Defense (DOD) counterintelligence strategy to combat PRC espionage against DOD facilities, personnel, and programs. The speaker is the recipient of numerous CIA and Intelligence Community awards.  Prior to his Agency service he served in the U.S. Marine Corps and was awarded the Navy Commendation Medal with "V" indicating valor in combat. He holds an MA in history from Syracuse University and a BA in history from Centre College, Danville, Kentucky.

The meeting, which is open to the public, will be held at 2:00 p.m., Saturday, April 20, 2013, at the Brick Store Museum Program Center, 2 Dane Street, Kennebunk.  For information call:  207-967-4298.

Wednesday, 24 April 2013, 10-11:30 am plus lunch - Annapolis Junction, MD - Sandy Grimes, former CIA/NCS, addresses National Cryptologic Museum Foundation members and guests

Ms. Sandy Grimes, author and former employee of the CIA National Clandestine Service, will be the guest speaker for the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation's spring program. The program will be held Wednesday, 24 April, from 1000-1130, at the L3 Conference Center in National Business Park. A booksigning and lunch will follow the presentation.
Ms. Grime's co-authored Circle of Treason: A CIA Account of Traitor Aldrich Ames and the Men He Betrayed, with her colleague, the late Jeanne Vertefeuille. Together they worked on a CIA task force to investigate the disappearance of Soviet agents who were working undercover for the CIA. The lecture will focus on the decade-long investigation and the clues that led to the exposure of one of the most dangerous traitors in U.S. history.
Fluent in Russian, Ms. Grimes was recruited by the CIA in 1967 and spent most of her 26-year career targeting the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. She and her husband of 43 years reside in Great Falls, Virginia.
Join us for this riveting story of Cold War espionage. The Program fees are $15 for NCMF members, $40 for guests. The guest fee includes an annual membership in the Foundation. Make check payable to NCMF and send to PO Box 1682, Fort George G Meade, MD 20755-3682 by 17 April. The L3 conference center is located at: 2720 Technology Drive, Annapolis Junction, MD 20701.
Questions? Contact Mary J. Faletto, Senior Administrator, National Cryptologic Museum Foundation, Office: 301-688-5436 Cell: 443-250-8621. E-mail:

25 April 2013, 11:30 am - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Jim Quesada Chapter hosts SAC David J. Johnson, FBI San Francisco Division on Transformation of the Bureau.

Topic: "The Continuing Transformation of the FBI" with speaker SAC David J. Johnson, FBI SF Division. Meeting starts at noon.
Location: United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Avenue, SF (between Sloat/Wawona). E-mail RSVP to Mariko Kawaguchi at and mail a check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, PO Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-members $35

Saturday, 4 May 2013, 1130 am � Indian Harbour Beach, FL - "My Life in the CIA" with Richard Holm at Meeting/Luncheon by AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter

Richard Holm, a former paramilitary adviser, decorated operations officer, senior manager and station chief for the Central Intelligence Agency, will share fascinating stories of his experiences during the Cold War. Drawing from the material he used in writing his book, The Craft We Chose: My Life in the CIA, he will recount highlights of his 35-year Agency career and explain why it is imperative for Americans to understand and support what the CIA does--a goal that also underlies AFIO's efforts to raise public awareness of the importance of national intelligence. He will also touch on the impact of an intelligence career on one's family and family life. POC: Bobbie Keith,, 321.777.5561

Friday, 10 May 2013, 10:30 am - 2 pm - Tysons Corner, VA - David Shedd, DD/DIA, and Col. John B. Alexander, PhD.

AFIO National Spring Luncheon features Deputy Director David Shedd, Defense Intelligence Agency. The morning speaker is Col. John B. Alexander, PhD on UFOs and the Intelligence Community. Alexander, Senior Fellow with the Joint Special Operations University; Former Green Beret Commander, Los Alamos Project Director, recently released a book: UFOs: Myths, Conspiracies and Realities. Early registration is here.

Thursday, 16 May 2013 - Denver, CO - The AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter visits the Disaster Management Institute's "Center for Simulation"

The Institute's Center is located at 9235 E 10th Dr, Building 859 Room 911, Denver, CO. This is a joint meeting of the AFIO and Denver INFRAGARD. There are seating limitations of 45 seats so we will accept reservations on a first come first serve basis. There will be no lunch at this facility... it will be lunch on your own outside the Center for Simulation, since they have no cafeteria. The Center for Simulation is the first of its kind in the world for training and preparing first responders in full immersion learning environments. Since its inception in 2005 the center has grown to include a complete home, bar, street scene, hazardous material/refinery, hoarder house, underground space and the Disaster Management Institute (DMI). The DMI is a state of the art emergency operations center with multiple cable and satellite feeds, Web-EOC, smart boards, a star board, video cubes and a touch table. Each space has multiple cameras and global sound. Every training is recorded and a DVD can be created live or the video feeds can be stored on servers for playback options. Currently the Center and DMI have active training relationships with working professionals from local, state, federal and Department of Defense assets in addition to students from several educational institutions. You will receive directions when you RSVP to Tom VanWormer at

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events

Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER -- click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link:

WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor(s) or author(s) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email:

Click here to return to top.