AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #44-14 dated 18 November 2014

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary. IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
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CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV -  Jobs, Obituaries, and Upcoming Events

Jobs

Obituaries

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events

  • For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... view our online Calendar of Events 

    • WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributor:  pjk and fwr.  They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.
 

Wednesday, 3 December 2014

10 am to 1 pm
Lunch served noon to 1 pm.

National Cryptologic Museum Foundation's
Fourteenth Annual Pearl Harbor Commemoration Lecture Series

features scholar John Gordon on
Fighting for MacArthur: The Navy and Marine Corps' Desperate Defense of the Philippines [2011: U.S. Naval Institute Press]

Gordon Speaking at NCMF Event

Drawing on a rich collection of both American and Japanese sources as well as official records and wartime diaries, Gordon chronicles the Americans' desperate defense of the besieged islands - Bataan and on the island fortress of Corregidor - where they performed some of their most unusual missions of the entire Pacific War. Of special interest to intelligence officers will be Gordon's discussion at this event of General MacArthur's disregard of intelligence reports that cost him his air force and critical supplies for the defense of Bataan and Corregidor and also further insights regarding the contributions by the U.S. intercept station located on "The Rock."
Sailors fought as infantrymen alongside their Marine comrades at Bataan and on the island fortress of Corregidor. Sailors also manned Army heavy coast artillery batteries during the epic artillery duel between Corregidor and the Japanese guns that were massed on Bataan following the fall of the Peninsula. In these pages, Gordon recounts the only time in history when the Marine Corps lost a regiment in combat when the 4th Marines surrendered on Corregidor, and includes the most detailed account of the attack on Cavite ever published.

Location: L-3 Conference Center,2720 Technology Drive, Annapolis Junction, MD 20701, Tel 301-575-3200.

RSVP: Contact Mary J. Faletto, Senior Administrator, National Cryptologic Museum Foundation, Office: 301-688-5436
Cell: 443-250-8621 or email: cryptmf@aol.com
or visit www.cryptologicfoundation.org

Researchers - Writers - Speakers
NSA Call for Papers for 2015 Cryptologic History Symposium

The Center for Cryptologic History invites proposals for papers to be delivered at the Center’s biennial Symposium on Cryptologic History which will take place 22-23 October 2015.
The Symposium will be held at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory's Kossiakoff Center in Laurel, Maryland. Following the Symposium, on Saturday, October 24, participants will be given an opportunity to tour the National Cryptologic Museum and participate in a workshop on sources for research in cryptologic history.
Details are available in this PDF.


Friday, 30 January 2015 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National's first luncheon of 2015 starts the new year with a new Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) -- Robert T. Cardillo -- on the expanded mission of NGA from Ebola relief activities to providing tools, advanced tech, sophisticated techniques, and specialized expertise to policymakers, warfighters, intelligence analysts, and first responders.

<Robert Cardillo, NGA Director

Morning speaker TBA.

Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; TBA begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; NGA Director Cardillo begins his presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf

 
 

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

UCF Lands Center Backed by Defense Intelligence Agency. You might not think of a school like the University of Central Florida when you consider the nation's spy services. But soon you will. 

UCF is set to open a national intelligence center backed by the US military's Defense Intelligence Agency. The Intelligence Community Center for Academic Excellence offers coursework for students in UCF's Security Studies graduate degree program. The track will set them up for careers in the intelligence community and also bring the nation's top intelligence agencies to campus. [Read more: Johnson/WOFL/17November2014]

CIA Intelligence Gap Hinders Counter-Terrorism Efforts in Syria, Iraq. In mid-September, as the US military prepared to launch cruise missiles against Islamic State militants in Syria for the first time, CIA analysts lobbied to expand the target list to include eight possible locations for leaders of a band of battle-hardened Al Qaeda operatives moving between towns west of Aleppo.

The previously obscure Khorasan Group, believed to be led by a 33-year-old Kuwaiti named Muhsin Fadhli, was getting closer to being able to execute a terrorist attack on a passenger jet by concealing explosives in clothing or cellphones, the analysts feared. Fadhli reportedly moved to Syria last year to recruit European militants to launch terrorist strikes in the West.

Intelligence officials in Washington also worried that the group's leaders would stop using phones and other traceable devices once the bombing began. If they didn't hit the tight-knit cell - and Fadhli in particular - in the initial wave of airstrikes, the CIA analysts argued, they didn't know when they'd get another chance.

The CIA prevailed, and the analysts believed Fadhli was visiting one of the compounds in northwestern Syria that was pulverized in the opening salvo of 47 Tomahawks on Sept. 23. Early communications intercepts gave the CIA hope he had been killed. [Read more: Bennett/LATimes/17November2014]

Homegrown Terrorism: Canadian Feds Want Better Use of Secret Intelligence. The Harper government is looking for ways to better use secret intelligence in court proceedings as a means of countering homegrown terrorism, says a senior federal official.

The goal is to introduce intelligence in criminal trials while protecting the sensitivity of the information, John Davies, a director general with Public Safety Canada, told a Senate committee Monday.

The government is also studying improved information sharing among agencies and whether the threshold for detaining a terror suspect is too high, Davies said.

Options are being developed for cabinet consideration. [Read more: Bronskill/CanadianPress/18November2014]

Poles, Russians Expel Diplomats Over Spying. Russian and Polish officials confirmed Monday that they have carried out tit-for-tat diplomatic expulsions in an espionage affair that highlights intensified efforts by Moscow to penetrate NATO counties and a new determination by the West to fight back.

As tensions grow over Russia's military incursions in Ukraine, espionage also appears to be returning to Cold War levels. Russia and several NATO members have been accusing each other of stepped up spying, with diplomats allegedly playing key roles in the activity.

Russia's Foreign Ministry said that Polish authorities took the "unfriendly and unwarranted step" of expelling some of its diplomats - and that Moscow retaliated by kicking out Polish diplomats.

"In connection with this, the Russian side has undertaken adequate response measures, and a number of Polish diplomats have already left our country because of activities incompatible with their status," the Russian Foreign Ministry said, using diplomatic jargon for spying. [Read more: Gera/AP/17November2014]

Sen. Burr Says He'll Seek Intelligence Chairmanship. Sen. Richard Burr on Thursday said he will seek the chairmanship of the Senate Intelligence Committee in the next Congress.

"It's my plan right now to pursue the Intel chairmanship," Burr (R-NC) told The Hill.

Sen. Saxby Chambliss (Ga.) is currently the top Republican on the Intelligence panel, but is retiring from Congress.

Burr is next in line after Chambliss, but could have sought the chairmanship of the Senate Veterans' Affairs Committee, where he now serves as ranking Republican. [Read more: Matishak/TheHill/13November2014]

ISIS Keeps Getting Better at Dodging US Spies. There's a reason ISIS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi has proven so hard to take out. He and his followers have become really good at keeping their communications covert.

On Thursday, around the same time ISIS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi announced that he had survived a US airstrike and promised in a recorded message to "erupt volcanos of jihad," American officials were meeting to discuss just how hard it was to track the militant group.

Baghdadi and his followers have proven exceptionally difficult to track and kill because they're encrypting their communications and taking steps to avoid being detected by US surveillance, according to several current and former officials. Without American intelligence operatives on the ground in ISIS's home base of Syria - and with only a limited number of surveillance planes in the air - those communications are one of the only surefire ways to keep tabs on ISIS.

In addition to encryption that American officials say has proven very difficult to crack, ISIS is also using a commercially available service that permanently deletes messages sent via the Internet, making them nearly impossible to intercept, according to an individual who was briefed on the issue Thursday. This person didn't name the service, but one application widely used in Iraq is called FireChat, which allows users to send messages to each other without connecting to the Internet. [Read more: Harris&Shactman/TheDailyBeast/14November2014]

Interpol Releases First Ever List of Most Wanted Environmental Criminals. Interpol has released the first ever list of the world's most wanted environmental criminals. 

The nine criminals who appear on the list are wanted in 36 countries for offences including wildlife trafficking, illegally dumping toxic waste and the trade in illegal ivory.

The list has been released by the agency as part of operation International Fugitive Round Up and Arrest (Infra) Terra, which is targeting 139 criminals in total.

Interpol appealed to the public for help in tracking down those on its list. 

"Even the smallest detail, which you might think is insignificant, has the potential to break a case wide open when combined with other evidence the police already have," said Ioannis Kokkinis, Criminal Intelligence Officer with Interpol's Fugitive Investigative Support unit, which is coordinating Infra Terra. [Read more: Porter/InternationalBusinessTimes/18November2014]

OU Center for Intelligence Earns Recognition as Intelligence Community Center of Academic Excellence. Violence in the Middle East, Ebola outbreaks in West Africa, armed fighting in Ukraine, Iran's nuclear program, cyber hacking of computer systems, and drug violence in Mexico are just a few of the many national security threats that America faces today. To build understanding of these and other complex national security problems, the Defense Intelligence Agency has awarded a $1.8 million, five-year grant to the University of Oklahoma's Center for Intelligence and National Security.

The award from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, positions OU to develop next-generation skills and competencies critical to the missions of the US Intelligence Community and national security interests. With this award, OU's Center for Intelligence and National Security will be officially designated an Intelligence Community Center of Academic Excellence, patterned after the national program, which is designed to increase the quality of education and research programs relevant to global, national, and homeland security.

The multi-campus award utilizes senior faculty from OU's Health Sciences Center and Norman campuses to mentor undergraduate and graduate students, provides opportunities for study abroad for cultural enrichment, and will support rigorous research on key national security challenges such as international terrorism; insurgencies and ungoverned spaces; illicit trafficking; border security; countering economic espionage and protecting intellectual property; cyber security; energy security; critical infrastructure protection; and biosecurity.

"This award is important to OU and is especially significant because it helps foster the careers of outstanding young engineers, scientists and individuals with critical language skills by engaging them in meaningful research and educational experiences, which ultimately will enhance efforts to ensure the security of the United States," said OU President David L. Boren. [Read more: TheNormanTranscript/12November2014]

Florida Lawmaker Proud to Be Spied Upon by Chavistas. A harsh critic of South American socialism in the House says she's proud to be spied upon by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

El Nuevo Herald reported Sunday that Maduro uses a network of "patriots" to the Bolivarian Revolution on US soil to peer into the activities of NGOs and lawmakers unfriendly to the regime.

The paper singled out Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.).

Ros-Lehtinen, the former chairwoman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee and current head of the Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa, responded to the report in a statement noting she's proud to be spied upon by Hugo Chavez's hand-picked successor.

"I'm greatly honored that this despotic regime that imprisons innocent opposition leaders, denies basic human rights to all and kills students peacefully demonstrating in the streets would find me to be a thorn in its side. Being a target of an autocratic regime, whether it is the Castro brothers or Nicolas Maduro, is a badge of honor," the congresswoman said. [Read more: Johnson/PJMedia/18November2014]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

5 Questions With America's New National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Director. Robert Cardillo, the new director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), made one of his first trips since taking office Oct. 5 to Huntsville this week. Cardillo, who is delivering the keynote address today at Huntsville's GEO-Energy Summit 2014, sat down for a Q&A with AL.com Tuesday night.

Here's what he said about his agency and Huntsville's initiative in using computer mapping to improve communication during disaster response. The interview has been edited for length. [Read more: Roop/AL.com/12November2014]

This West Point-Trained Intelligence Officer Went Through Two Conflict Zones to Reach the Startup Scene. Patrick Ryan was a sophomore at the United States Military Academy in West Point, New York sitting in his dorm room between classes as the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 unfolded.

"Someone yelled 'turn on CNN,'" Ryan said. He flipped on his TV and saw what was happening just 45 miles down the Hudson River from where he was sitting.

As a high school senior in Kingston, New York, Ryan's mum had insisted he apply for a few other colleges. But as a kid, family visits to West Point for college football games just an hour's drive away had convinced him that the Academy was the only fit for him - even though he didn't come from a family with a deep military background.

At a memorial the night of the attacks, Ryan was struggling to put the day's events together in his mind just as everyone else in the country was. It dawned on him that his West Point education would have immediate real-world relevance. "I remember thinking: Yeah, we're gonna go to war here," Ryan said after a pause. [Read more: Bienaime/BusinessInsider/12November2014]

Anniversary Recalls Congo Rescue by Miami Cubans. Fifty years later, the Congo jungle now receding into the mists of memory as he sits in a Miami living room, Juan Tamayo is looking forward to meeting the little blond girl who sat so silent and still in his lap while he blazed away belt after belt of ammo with his .30-caliber machine gun.

"Does she hear OK?" he wonders softly. "I always worried that her hearing was damaged."

A thousand miles north in Nashville, the little blond girl - now a 54-year-old college administrator whose hearing is perfectly fine - is excited at the prospect of meeting the man who kindly draped his kerchief over her head to protect her from the hot cartridges showering from his machine gun. Even though she's going to have to admit in embarrassment that for nearly five decades, she thought he was a mercenary.

"I never had any idea he was from the CIA," Ruth Reynard says with a laugh. "At the age of 4, I don't think I knew what the CIA was. And a Cuban! Imagine that - a Cuban in the Congo." [Read more: Garvin/MiamiHerald/15November2014]

US Spy Chief Gives Inside Look at North Korea Prisoner Deal. At 3 p.m. last Saturday, a North Korean official went to the State Guesthouse in Pyongyang to instruct US Director of National Intelligence James Clapper and his small team to pack their bags. On a secret mission to secure the freedom of two Americans imprisoned by the regime, Mr. Clapper thought at that moment that he might be sent home empty-handed.

Instead, he emerged from the trip with the Americans in his custody. He also got a glimpse into a closed country the US has for years struggled to understand. He is the only US intelligence official ever invited to North Korea.

Mr. Clapper revealed details of the trip in an interview with The Wall Street Journal. The North Koreans seemed disappointed when he arrived without a broader peace overture in hand, he said. At the same time, they didn't ask for anything specific in return for the prisoners' release.

US officials say the mission, which few officials within the Obama administration knew about until Mr. Clapper was returning, wasn't meant to signal any change in the US's approach to the reclusive North. [Read more: Gorman&Entous/WallStreetJournal/14November2014]


Section III - COMMENTARY

Putin's Disinformation Matrix. Russia Today, the Kremlin's English-language TV organ, launched a UK edition earlier this month. Headquartered near Westminster, the channel will beam RT's signature blend of propaganda and tinfoil-hat conspiracy theorizing into millions of British homes.

Welcome to Vladimir Putin's disinformation matrix. RT is merely one part of the Kremlin's aggressive media effort, as a new Institute of Modern Russia report shows. Other techniques include mobilizing thousands of online "trolls," cultivating sympathetic political cranks abroad, and exploiting Western freedom of speech and the Western model of public diplomacy to advance Moscow's illiberal aims.

Founded in 2005, RT has an estimated $300 million budget, according to Institute of Modern Russia authors Peter Pomerantsev and Michael Weiss. It broadcasts in English, Arabic and Spanish, and there are plans to expand into French and German, the authors say. "The channel can now reach 600 million people globally and 3 million hotel rooms across the world," Messrs. Pomerantsev and Weiss write. RT says its content has received a billion views on YouTube, making it one of the video platform's most-watched channels.

Unlike Kremlin propaganda during the Cold War, which at least strived for communist consistency, RT is ideologically promiscuous and "hybridic," the authors say. The channel might feature a far-right Holocaust denier opining on the Middle East and the next minute invite a far-left British MP to discuss Ukraine. "Whereas the Soviets once co-opted and repurposed concepts such as ‘democracy,' ‘human rights' and ‘sovereignty' to mask their opposites, the Putinists use them playfully to suggest that not even the West really believes them." The point is rarely to persuade. It is to muddle and confuse. [Read more: WSJ/14November2014]

Why the Post-Cold War Order Is Unraveling. In his classic The Anarchical Society, the scholar Hedley Bull argued that there was a perennial tension in the world between forces of order and forces of disorder, with the details of the balance between them defining each era's particular character. Sources of order include actors committed to existing international rules and arrangements and to a process for modifying them; sources of disorder include actors who reject those rules and arrangements in principle and feel free to ignore or undermine them. The balance can also be affected by global trends, to varying degrees beyond the control of governments, that create the context for actors' choices. These days, the balance between order and disorder is shifting toward the latter. Some of the reasons are structural, but some are the result of bad choices made by important players - and at least some of those can and should be corrected.

The chief cauldron of contemporary disorder is the Middle East. For all the comparisons that have been made to World War I or the Cold War, what is taking place in the region today most resembles the Thirty Years' War, three decades of conflict that ravaged much of Europe in the first half of the seventeenth century. As with Europe back then, in coming years, the Middle East is likely to be filled with mostly weak states unable to police large swaths of their territories, militias and terrorist groups acting with increasing sway, and both civil war and interstate strife. Sectarian and communal identities will be more powerful than national ones. Fueled by vast supplies of natural resources, powerful local actors will continue to meddle in neighboring countries' internal affairs, and major outside actors will remain unable or unwilling to stabilize the region.

There is also renewed instability on the periphery of Europe. Under President Vladimir Putin, Russia appears to have given up on the proposition of significant integration into the current European and global orders and chosen instead to fashion an alternative future based on special ties with immediate neighbors and clients. The crisis in Ukraine may be the most pronounced, but not the last, manifestation of what could well be a project of Russian or, rather, Soviet restoration.

In Asia, the problem is less current instability than the growing potential for it. [Read more: Haass/ForeignAffairs/NovemberDecember2014]

Onslaught of Ousted 'Spies' Indicates New Rules of Global Espionage. The media frenzy surrounding the recent deportations of several suspected Russian spies - reminiscent of the theatricality surrounding Cold War-era spy swaps - says as much about Russia's and the West's newfound interest in publicizing espionage as it does about a marked increase in intelligence gathering activities, pundits told The Moscow Times.

Russia's Foreign Ministry said in a statement Monday that it had expelled a number of Polish diplomats after Warsaw kicked at least one Russian diplomat out of the country over "alleged activities incompatible with [diplomatic] status."

The dispute emerged amid reports of a similar issue with Berlin. Russia expelled a German diplomat from the Moscow embassy after a Russian diplomat working in Bonn was sent home amid speculation that he was a spy, Reuters reported Sunday.

The Czech Republic's Security Information Service reported that Russia had deployed an "extremely high" number of intelligence officers to its embassy in Prague last year, Reuters said in late October. [Read more: Tétrault-Farber/MoscowTimes/17November2014]

The Book That Killed a Commie Tyrant. It has often been remarked that the most lethal weapon the West had against Soviet Communism was the truth. When the truth worked its way through the cracks of the barriers erected by the dictators who ran the place, the impact was usually devastating to that brutal and ungodly system. Which is why those in charge would do whatever they could to stop it: They knew their system, and their very lives were at stake.

In 1986, I was approached by the former head of Romania's secret police, a three star general, who was the highest ranking Soviet Bloc intelligence agent to have ever defected to the West. He had spent over three years being debriefed by the CIA, telling them everything he knew about Soviet intelligence and what went on inside the Romanian government under its strongman, dictator Nicolae Ceausescu. And he knew a lot, not just about Romania, but about the entire KGP-GRU apparatus, which worked in tandem with all East Bloc agencies. In the process of the debriefing, he had virtually destroyed Romania's foreign intelligence service, and had been responsible for countless Russian and East Bloc undercover and secret agents being recalled.

The General, Ion Mihai Pacepa, had written a book- a thirty day, detailed account of one of his last months as Ceausescu's foreign intelligence chief. It was full of never-before revealed secrets of a Communist government, and full of revelations about Soviet intelligence. It was, in other words, the truth about Romania's closed and brutal government.

Pacepa had submitted the book to nineteen separate mainline publishers, all of whom had turned it down because, they said, they were unable to verify everything that was in it. New York publishing was dominated by the left in the 1980s, and embarrassing Communist governments was not high on their list. [Read more: Regnery/Breitbart/17November20114]


Section IV - Jobs, Obituaries, and Upcoming Events


Jobs

Polygrapher sought for Afghanistan mission

Title: Polygrapher
Location: AFG- various
Description: The Walsingham group is seeking polygraphers to administer examinations in support of its mission in the Afghanistan area of responsibility. The candidate will complete polygraph examinations on personnel assigned to or working on programs in accordance with directives and policies governing the use of polygraph examinations. The candidate will document appropriate information, conduct assessments, and develop written reports for submission to the Government client. The candidate may formulate questions to be used in exams as well as interpret results of physiological responses noted on charts to determine truthfulness or deception. Additionally, conducts further inquiry into cases where deception is noted. Required Knowledge Skills and Abilities: • Knowledge of the psychological and physiological aspects of polygraph; • Knowledge of polygraph techniques, chart analysis and interpretation; • Knowledge of the laws and regulations related to administration of polygraphs; • Skill in operating polygraph equipment, including computerized polygraph systems; • Ability to communicate effectively, both orally and in writing; • Ability to maintain a high level of ethical standards; Preferred qualifications: Preferred candidates will have investigative experience including full-time polygraph experience administering polygraph examinations for 5 years or more; possess strong oral and written communications skills with experience in interviewing and debriefing subjects; possess the ability to demonstrate advanced knowledge in administering polygraph examinations; and have requisite experience on relevant information systems. Hold a Bachelor’s Degree in a related technical or military discipline, or the equivalent combination of education, professional training, or work/military experience. Candidate must be a graduate of a certified Polygraph Training Academy.
Walsingham Group, Inc. is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Action employer of minorities, females, protected veterans, and individuals with disabilities.
Apply to careers@walsinghamgroup.com or email kgeorge@walsinghamgroup.com.

Obituaries

John Downey, Connecticut Judge and Former CIA Officer Jailed 20 Years in China, Dies at 84. John T. Downey, a former CIA officer who survived more than 20 years in Chinese prisons during the Cold War before becoming a Connecticut judge, died Monday. He was 84.

Downey was diagnosed with cancer a month ago and died at a hospice facility in Branford, according to his son, Jack Downey, of Philadelphia.

The elder Downey had graduated from Yale University and joined the Central Intelligence Agency a year before his plane was shot down during a botched cloak-and-dagger flight into China in November 1952. He spent the next 20 years, three months and 14 days in Chinese prisons. He was released in March 1973 shortly after President Richard Nixon publicly acknowledged Downey's CIA connection. His experiences were featured in a CIA documentary Extraordinary Fidelity which can be viewed here. It presents the story of CIA officers Downey and another agency officer imprisoned with him, Richard G. Fecteau, and their remarkable faithfulness, shown not only by the men who were deprived of their freedom, but also by an Agency that never gave up hope.

After returning to the United States, he graduated from Harvard Law School and was appointed to the Connecticut bench in 1987.

Jack Downey, 34, said his father's years of imprisonment shaped his life in every possible way. [Read more: Melia/AP/17November2014]

Governor Dannel P. Malloy is directing US and Connecticut flags to half-staff in memory of the Honorable John T. Downey, a Connecticut judge who passed away early this morning.
“Judge Downey was a remarkable man who not only served this state’s judicial system with distinction, but also served his country with honor, risking his life and enduring two decades of hardship as a Cold War prisoner in China,” I join his family and friends, including his wife Audrey and his son Jack, and all those who served alongside him in celebrating his remarkable life and honoring his memory.” After graduating from Yale University in 1951, Judge Downey joined the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). While on a CIA mission over China in November 1952, his plane was shot down and he was captured. He subsequently spent the next 20 years in Chinese prisons as a Cold War prisoner, becoming the longest held captive in American history. Between the efforts of Judge Downey’s mother, Mary Downey, and President Richard Nixon, Judge Downey was released and returned to the United States in 1973. Three years later, he graduated from Harvard Law School. In 2013, Judge Downey received the CIA’s Distinguished Intelligence Cross, the agency’s highest honor of valor. Flags will remain at half-staff until services for Judge Downey are held, the date of which has not yet been determined. [Read more: NewtownBee/17November2014]


AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Thursday, 20 Nov 2014, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO - The Rocky Mountain Chapter presents Robert Olislagers speak on“Terrorism and Intelligence sharing in the Air Domain.” 

Robert Olisalgers is returning from the Intelligence National Security Alliance Conference in DC and will be discussing Terrorism and Intelligence sharing in the Air Domain. 

This event will be held at The Inn at Palmer Divide, 443 S Highway 105 Palmer Lake, CO, Exit 161 westbound off I-25, West on Highway 105.  Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net

Wednesday, 3 December 2014, 6 p.m. - Las Vegas, NV - The AFIO LV Chapter meets to hear Col. John Alexander on "Belief Systems and Intelligence Analysis: The Blinders."

Please join us at 5 p.m. in the "Texas Star Oyster Bar" for liaison and beverages followed by dinner in the Conference Center starting at 5:30pm.
Our featured speaker for the evening will be: Col John B. Alexander, Ph.D. on Belief Systems and Intelligence Analysis: The Blinders.

What if the universe is not built the way you think it is? All intelligence analysis is colored by the belief systems of the analysts involved and to a large extent the agency itself. While most analysts believe they are not biased and simply report facts, they often are unaware of their own prejudices thus leading to scotomas or blind spots. Like all humans, intelligence analysts are more likely to find what they expect, than what is totally unexpected. Stories abound of how some people do not see objects that are obvious, but not within their frame of reference. There are several past intelligence failures that can be attributed to individual and collective scotomas. This is even worse when political powers intervene and indicate what is permissible to report.

There is a basic assumption that the Western scientific model of the universe is the only viable one. Mechanistic in nature, this model dictates what can and cannot be observed, and thus impacts what is reported. It is further assumed that there are no other acceptable belief systems and, that other societies, as they become more technologically sophisticated, will adopt the “Standard Model of the Universe.”

This unique presentation will present firsthand evidence that our model of the universe is either wrong, or at least seriously flawed. It will also address how other societies incorporate alternative explanations for events in ways that are beneficial to them. We continue to adhere to the blinders at our own peril. The intent of the presentation is to make intelligence analysts more aware of their personal and organizational constraints, thus making them more effective in observing and reporting anomalies that can have significant impact on national security.
LOCATION: Conference Center at Texas Station Casino, 2101 Texas Star Lane, (corner of Rancho Blvd. and West Lake Meade Blvd.) North Las Vegas, NV 89032. Includes full holiday dinner.
RSVP: email Mary Bentley (marysinvegas@centurylink.net) or call 702-295-0417.  We look forward to seeing you!

Monday, 8 December 2014, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro Chapter discusses "Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century."

Four Star General Eugene Habiger, USAF(Ret), former Commander in Chief US Strategic Command ( 35 years) was responsible for national security & nuclear operations. He also served 150 combat missions in Vietnam.
He will be discussing with us: Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century.
SPACE IS LIMITED TO 90. Registration for this important event is on a first come basis.
Capacity is 90 attendees maximum so Reservations are required. You must cancel prior to Thursday December 4th or payment will be due.
Location: Society of Illustrators building: 128 E 63rd St, NYC, 3rd floor.
Time: Registration 5:30 PM, Meeting Start 6:00 PM
Cost: $50/person only by pre-registration. Payable at the door only, cash or check. Buffet dinner following talk/Q&A. Cash bar.
Register with Jerry Goodwin 646-717-3776 or by email: afiometro@gmail.com

Tuesday, 9 December 2014 - MacDill AFB, FL - The AFIO Suncoast Chapter hosts MajGen Michael Ennis, USMC(R), former DD/National Clandestine Service, CIA, speaking on field intelligence experiences

MajGen Michael E. Ennis USMC (ret), a career military intelligence officer, is the Enterprise Risk Management officer at Leidos Corporation (formerly Science Applications International Corporation [SAIC]), a Fortune 500 Defense contracting company. In this capacity, he reviews high profile contracts to assess their potential to present significant reputational, legal or operational risk to the company. Prior to joining SAIC in 2008, MajGen Ennis spent 9 years in various high level intelligence assignments including nearly 3 years at CIA serving as the first Deputy Director of the National Clandestine Service for Community HUMINT.
General Ennis will be relating his career experiences and providing his perspective on how the field of intelligence has evolved and where it is heading.
LOCATION: MacDill AFB Surf’s Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Please RSVP to the Chapter Secretary no later than Wednesday, July 2, for yourself and include the names and email addresses of any guests. Email or call Michael Shapiro at michaels@suncoastafio.org, the Chapter Secretary. You will receive a confirmation via email. If you do not, contact the Chapter Secretary to confirm your registration. Check-in at noon; opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at 1230 hours, followed by our speaker.
FEE: You must present your $15 check payable to “Suncoast Chapter, AFIO” (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, don’t cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don’t show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.

14 December 2014, 11 a.m. - 2 p.m. - Euclid, OH - AFIO Ohio Chapter hosts Jim Frohlking discussing WWII Resistance Operations

Jim Frohlking was an Army Air Force fighter pilot during WWII. He flew 56 missions, including 6 over Omaha Beach on D-Day, in P-38's and P-51's. He was hit by flack on his 56th mission and bailed out over Holland into water. Jim was picked up by a Dutch fishing boat and delivered to the Dutch resistance, who eventually got him back to the Allied lines. His talk will be about his experiences with the resistance and return to the Allies.
Location: Through the courtesy of member Greg Moore and Notre Dame College we will have the Great Room on the 3rd floor of the Administration Building at Notre Dame College, 4545 College Rd., South Euclid, Ohio 44121. The Great Room is located at the east end of the 3rd floor and is clearly marked.
We will have a deli tray and coffee. RSVP to hp34063@yahoo.com by the 10th of December. We look forward to seeing everyone. - John

18 December 2014, 11:30 am - 2 pm - San Francisco, CA - AFIO San Francisco Chapter hosts Russell Berman, Sr Fellow Hoover Institution, on "Freedom or Terror: Europe Faces Jihad"

The AFIO James Quesada Chapter hosts Russell A. Berman, Senior Fellow at Hoover Institution, a member of the working group on Islamism and the International Order and author of Freedom or Terror: Europe Faces Jihad and Anti-Americanism in Europe: A Cultural Problem. 11:30AM no host cocktails; meeting starts at noon. United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Avenue, SF (between Sloat/Wawona). RSVP required by 12/1/14 to Mariko Kawaguchi: e-mail afiosf@aol.com and mail check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, P.O. Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-member guests $35 (must be accompanied by member).


Other Upcoming Events

18 November 2014, 2:30 - 5:30 p.m. - Washington, DC - Col. Wortzel speaks on "Contemporary Chinese Military Strategy" at the Institute of World Politics

"Contemporary Chinese Military Strategy" is the theme of COL Larry M. Wortzel, PhD (USA, Ret.)'s presentation.

Dr. Wortzel is one of the foremost U.S. experts on China and serves on the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. During a 32-year military career, Dr. Wortzel spent 12 years in the Asia-Pacific region, including two tours of duty as a military attaché at in China. Following his retirement from the Army as a colonel in 1999, he was an executive with The Heritage Foundation. At Heritage he was Asian Studies Center Director and Vice President for foreign policy and defense studies. Dr. Wortzel has written or edited numerous books and articles on China.

Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
For Parking, consult this map.
RSVP: Contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

2, 4, 9 and 16 December 2014, 5 - 8 pm - Reston, VA - Course dates for taking Globalytica's online professional certificate course for intelligence analysts: Diagnostic Structured Analytic Techniques (DSAT)

Duration: Four 3-hour evening sessions—5:00-8:00PM EST
Platform: Courses are taught exclusively online using Globalytica’s avatar-based 3D virtual training world, TH!NK Live.
Globalytica, the thought leader in analytic techniques, presents its latest online professional certificate course: Diagnostic Structured Analytic Techniques (DSAT). This is course is designed for analysts interested learning techniques to help uncover information gaps and inform future research design.

The DSAT certificate course provides students with a set of analytic tools and techniques to help formulate and refine ideas about what has happened or is currently occurring. Students will:
• Learn to identify the dynamics at play in an issue or problem.
• Practice reframing issues to understand better how forces or elements might combine to generate different outcomes in the future.
**Register before November 21st to receive 50% off the regular course price.**
For more information and to register, visit http://www.globalytica.com/dsat/
Cindy Jensen | Marketing Associate | Pherson Associates, LLC
Instilling Rigor and Imagination in Analysis
1892 Preston White Dr. Suite 300, Reston, VA 20191 , phone: 703-390-9943 | fax: 703-390-9955 | email: cjensen@pherson.org

Wednesday, 3 December 2014, 10 am to 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD - National Cryptologic Museum Foundation's Fourteenth Annual Pearl Harbor Commemoration Lecture Series: John Gordon on "The Price General MacArthur Paid for his Disregard of the Value of Intelligence."

Event features scholar John Gordon on Fighting for MacArthur: The Navy and Marine Corps' Desperate Defense of the Philippines [2011: U.S. Naval Institute Press]

Drawing on a rich collection of both American and Japanese sources as well as official records and wartime diaries, Gordon chronicles the Americans' desperate defense of the besieged islands - Bataan and on the island fortress of Corregidor - where they performed some of their most unusual missions of the entire Pacific War. Of special interest to intelligence officers will be Gordon's discussion at this event of General MacArthur's disregard of intelligence reports that cost him his air force and critical supplies for the defense of Bataan and Corregidor and also further insights regarding the contributions by the U.S. intercept station located on "The Rock."
Sailors fought as infantrymen alongside their Marine comrades at Bataan and on the island fortress of Corregidor. Sailors also manned Army heavy coast artillery batteries during the epic artillery duel between Corregidor and the Japanese guns that were massed on Bataan following the fall of the Peninsula. In these pages, Gordon recounts the only time in history when the Marine Corps lost a regiment in combat when the 4th Marines surrendered on Corregidor, and includes the most detailed account of the attack on Cavite ever published.
Location: L-3 Conference Center, 2720 Technology Drive, Annapolis Junction, MD 20701, Tel 301-575-3200.
RSVP: Contact Mary J. Faletto, Senior Administrator, National Cryptologic Museum Foundation, Office: 301-688-5436 Cell: 443-250-8621 or email: cryptmf@aol.com or visit www.cryptologicfoundation.org

Friday, December 5, 2014 from 8:00 a.m. – 3:30 p.m. The Professional Security Studies Department at New Jersey City University will hold its 4th Northeast Regional Security Education Symposium.

The topic of this year’s Symposium is Investing in America’s Security: Policy/Resource Issues. The Symposium’s keynote address will be delivered by Ambassador (Retired) Clay Constantinou. Featured speakers include Joseph Picciano, P.E., Deputy Director, New Jersey Office of Homeland Security & Preparedness; Hon. Michael Balboni, President and Managing Director of RedLand Strategies, Inc. and Former New York State Senator and Deputy Secretary of Public Safety; and Dr. Michael J. Chumer, Research Professor, NJIT and Academic Advisor, NJCU D.Sc. Students pursuing their D.Sc. degree will present posters overviewing their research and the program’s faculty will hold a panel discussion.

Reserve your spot and purchase a ticket by calling Ms. Denise Melendez at (201) 200-2275, or by sending a check payable to NJCU Professional Security Studies Department, 2039 John F. Kennedy Blvd., Jersey City, NJ 07305-1597. A limited number of tickets are available at the door on the day of the Symposium. Symposium attendance is $30 per person. Purchase Tickets at this link.

Questions to: JOHN W. COLLINS, JR., CPP, Ed.D., Chairperson, Professor, and DSc Program Coordinator at jcollins2@njcu.edu.

Friday, 5 December 2014, 4 pm - Washington, DC - "Pearl Harbor Day and the Current Security Environment" by David Glancy at the Institute of World Politics

You are cordially invite you to attend the nineneenth annual Pearl Harbor Day Lecture on the topic of "Pearl Harbor Day and the Current Security Environment" by David Glancy at the Institute of World Politics. Glancy is Professor of Strategy and Statecraft, IWP.
RSVP here.
Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 Sixteenth St NW, Washington, DC. Parking map here.

Friday, 12 December 2014, 9 am - Washington, DC - The 2014 Cato Institute Surveillance Conference

Never in human history have people been more connected than they are today — nor have they been more thoroughly monitored. Over the past year, the disclosures spurred by former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden have drawn public attention to the stunning surveillance capabilities of the American intelligence community, and the unprecedented volume of data they collect from hundreds of millions of people around the world. But the growth of government surveillance is by no means restricted to spies: Even ordinary law enforcement agencies increasingly employ sophisticated tracking technologies, from face recognition software to "Stingray" devices that can locate suspects by sniffing out their cellular phone signals. Are these tools a vital weapon against criminals and terrorists — or a threat to privacy and freedom? How should these tracking technologies be regulated by the Fourth Amendment and federal law? Can we reconcile the secrecy that spying demands with the transparency that democratic accountability requires?

This inaugural Cato Institute Surveillance Conference will explore these questions, guided by a diverse array of experts: top journalists and privacy advocates; lawyers and technologists; intelligence officials ... and those who’ve been targets of surveillance. And for the more practically minded, a special Crypto Reception, following the Conference, will teach attendees how to use privacy-enhancing technologies to secure their own communications.

Featuring , Senior Fellow, Cato Institute; Charlie Savage, Washington Correspondent, New York Times; John Napier Tye, Former Section Chief for Internet Freedom, State Department; Marcy Wheeler, Writer, Emptywheel.net; Laura Donohue, Director, Georgetown University Center on National Security & the Law; Alex Joel, Civil Liberties Officer, Office of the Director of National Intelligence; Jack Gillium, Associated Press; Faisal Gill, Attorney & Surveillance Target; Orin Kerr, Professor of Law, George Washington University; Harley Geiger, Advocacy Director and Senior Counsel, Center for Democracy & Technology; Chris Soghoian, Principal Technologist and Senior Policy Analyst, American Civil Liberties Union; Katherine Hawkins, National Security Fellow, Open the Government; Steve Aftergood, Director, Project on Government Secrecy, Federation of American Scientists; Sharon Bradford Franklin, Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board; Elizabeth "Liza" Goitein, Co-Director, Liberty and National Security Program, Brennan Center for Justice; Matthew Green, Research Professor of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University; Kurt Opsahl, Deputy General Counsel, Electronic Frontier Foundation; and Julia Angwin, ProPublica; author of Dragnet Nation.

Wine, cheese, and a hands-on opportunity to learn about installing and using privacy-protecting technologies for encrypted email, encrypted chat, and anonymous web browsing. Presenters include: Amie Stepanovich, Senior Policy Counsel, Access; and Matthew Green, Research Professor of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University.
Location: Cato Institute Hayek Auditorium, Cato Institute, 1000 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20001

To attend click here and then submit the form on the page that opens, or email events@cato.org, fax (202) 371-0841, or call (202) 789-5229 by 9:00 a.m. on Thursday, December 11, 2014.


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