AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #03-15 dated 20 January 2015

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary. IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.
REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV -  Books and Upcoming Events

Books

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events

For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events 

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors:  pjk and fwr.  They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.


The Assets now available for viewing, at your leisure, on NETFLIX.

The Assets on Netflix

The counterespionage miniseries, presented here in 9 episodes, is based on the successful hunt for CIA traitor Aldrich Ames. It is based on the real life events of CIA counter-intelligence officer Sandy Grimes (Jodie Whittaker). 1985 is the backdrop to the final showdown of the Cold War when Sandy and her partner Jeanne Vertefeuille (Harriet Walter) vow to find the mole that turns out to be the most notorious traitor in US History [before Edward Snowden]: Aldrich Ames (Paul Rhys). Sandy is in a race against time to save the Soviet intelligence officers from being caught and killed. Living her own double life at home, this beautiful wife and mother vows to stop at nothing until she uncovers the truth. The Assets looks inside the personal stories as told by the keepers of the nation’s secrets: the CIA.

The Assets is based on the book Circle of Treason: A CIA Account of Traitor Aldrich Ames and the Men He Betrayed by Sandy Grimes and Jeanne Vertefeuille. Morgan Hertzan, Rudy Bednar and Andrew Chapman executive produce the series. The Assets is produced by Lincoln Square Productions.

 

Have you registered for AFIO's Luncheon?

Friday, 30 January 2015

" Cyber Attacks, Sony, North Korea, Kandahar, Taliban,
Ambivalence IDing enemies, what's next?"

AFIO luncheon guests will hear
Joseph M. Demarest, Jr.
the FBI's Cyber Division Director, and
Robert L. Grenier
former CIA Station Chief Islamabad and head of CIA's Counterterrorism Center.
Tysons Corner, VA

   
<Robert Grenier, former CIA 11 a.m. speaker: Former Station Chief Islamabad, and CIA Counterterrorism Center Director Robert L. Grenier discusses dealing with warlords, Taliban dissidents, and Pakistani Intelligence in front of him while facing equally lethal challenges behind his own lines. Hear more about his 88 Days to Kandahar: A CIA Diary being released the week of this event.
   
<Joseph Demarest, FBI Director of Cyber Division 1 p.m. speaker: Joseph M. Demarest, Jr., the Assistant Director in charge of the FBI's Cyber Division. He is responsible for leading the FBI’s mission to protect the United States from cyber-based attacks and high technology crimes. He will discuss current issues including NK, Sony, and looming cyber concerns. His remarks will be OFF THE RECORD.
<Grenier Book - 88 Days to Kandahar
Timing:Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Robert Grenier begins his presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon;Joseph Demarest begins presentation at 1 p.m. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning presentation is on the record; AD Demarest remarks are Off The Record.
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA, across from Tysons II Mall.
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf

ABOUT GRENIER'S forthcoming book: The First American-Afghan War, a CIA war, was approved by President George W. Bush and directed by Grenier, the CIA station chief in Islamabad. Forging separate alliances with warlords, Taliban dissidents, and Pakistani Intelligence, Grenier launched the “southern campaign,” orchestrating the final defeat of the Taliban and Hamid Karzai’s rise to power in eighty-eight chaotic days.
In his gripping narrative, we meet: General Tommy Franks, who bridled at CIA control of “his” war; General “Jafar Amin,” a gruff Pakistani intelligence officer who saved Grenier from committing career suicide; Maleeha Lodhi, Pakistan’s brilliant ambassador to the US, who tried to warn her government of the al-Qa’ida threat; “Mark,” the CIA operator who guided Gul Agha Shirzai to bloody victory over the Taliban; General Ashfaq Pervaiz Kayani, a cautious man who became the most powerful man in Pakistan, struggling with Grenier’s demands while trying to protect his country; and Hamid Karzai, the puzzling anti-Taliban insurgent, a man of courage, petulance, and vacillating moods.
Grenier’s enemies out in front prove only slightly more lethal than the ones behind his own lines. This first war is won despite Washington bureaucrats who divert resources, deny military support, and try to undermine the only Afghan allies capable of winning. Later, as he directed the CIA’s role in the Iraq War, Grenier watched the initial victory squandered. His last command was of CIA’s Counterterrorism Center (CTC), as Bush-era terrorism policies were being repudiated, as the Taliban re-emerged in Afghanistan, and as Pakistan descended into fratricidal violence.


 

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Maj. General Vincent R. Stewart Named As New Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Vincent R. Stewart has been appointed and will assume duties as 20th director of the Defense Intelligence Agency and commander of the Joint Functional Component Command for Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Friday, Jan. 23, in a 10 a.m. ceremony to be held at DIA Headquarters, Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling, Washington, D.C.

General Stewart was the former Director of Intelligence, US Marine Corps.

The US Senate confirmed his promotion to Lieutenant General Dec. 11, 2014, and he will receive his third star just prior to assuming duties as DIA Director and JFCC-ISR Commander.

Maj. Gen. Stewart served most recently as Commander, Marine Forces Cyber Command.

He becomes the first Marine to lead DIA. [Read more: Tilford/GroundReport/15January2015]

FSU and USC Achieve USGIF Accreditation for GEOINT Programs. The United States Geospatial Intelligence Foundation (USGIF) is excited to announced the addition of Fayetteville State University (FSU) and the University of South Carolina (USC) to its growing list of USGIF-accredited GEOINT programs.

Through the USGIF Academic Accreditation program, colleges and universities have the opportunity to receive accreditation of their geospatial intelligence programs accompanying a college degree. Students who meet high academic standards and graduate from accredited programs receive USGIF’s GEOINT Certificate, which helps ensure the GEOINT Community has a robust workforce now and in the future. To date, 477 students have graduated with USGIF GEOINT certificates, with all but one school reporting its 2014 end-of-year graduates.

FSU’s GEOINT curriculum was developed collaboratively by its computer science, geography, and intelligence studies programs. FSU is also the first historically black college/university (HBCU) to receive USGIF accreditation. The university was able to develop its GEOINT offerings with the assistance of a National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Academic Research Program grant, which provided funds and laboratory equipment. [Read more: DirectionsMag/13January2015]

CIA Officers Are Cleared in Senate Computer Search. The panel investigating the Central Intelligence Agency’s search of a computer network used by the Senate Intelligence Committee found that five agency officers had acted in good faith during an episode marked by confusion and poor communication, and should not be punished.

The accountability board, whose findings were made public on Wednesday, overturned the conclusions of the CIA inspector general, who had determined last year that the five officers acted improperly when they searched files used by the Intelligence Committee during its investigation of CIA torture.

The computer search raised questions about the separation of powers and fractured relations between the CIA and the Senate oversight panel, which last year released its scathing report about the agency’s detention and interrogation program during the George W. Bush administration.

In its decision to clear the five officers of wrongdoing, a finding first reported last month by The New York Times, the accountability board said there had been no concrete understanding about the rules governing the computer network, which was housed at a CIA facility but included a firewall to allow Senate staff members to do their work without agency monitoring. [Read more: Mazzetti&Apuzzo/NYTimes/14January2015]

UK and US Intelligence Agencies to Up Cyber Security Cooperation. Britain and the United States will increase cooperation on cyber security, Prime Minister David Cameron said, setting up "cyber cells" to share intelligence and conduct simulated attacks to test the defences of organisations such as banks.

Cameron is on a two-day visit to Washington focused on the economy and security, and is due to have a second meeting with President Barack Obama on Friday at the White House.

"We have got hugely capable cyber defences, we have got the expertise and that is why we should combine as we are going to, set up cyber cells on both sides of the Atlantic to share information," Cameron told the BBC in an interview aired on Friday.

The cooperation between Britain's GCHQ eavesdropping agency and the US National Security Agency will include joint war games, with the first exercise later this year to involve the Bank of England and commercial banks in both the City of London and Wall Street, the BBC reported. [Read more: Reuters/16January2015]

US Report Finds No Substitute to Gathering Bulk Intel. No existing technology can fully replace collecting data in bulk to obtain electronic intelligence, but some methods could be developed to improve how information is gathered and used, the US National Research Council said in a report on Thursday.

The report, sponsored by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, was in response to President Barack Obama’s call last year for a review of potential software-based alternatives to the controversial program.

"There are no technical alternatives that can accomplish the same functions as bulk collection and serve as a complete substitute for it; there is no technological magic," the report said.

The program came to light following explosive revelations in 2013 by former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden that the US government was collecting and storing bulk telephone records of calls made to and from US citizens. [Read more: Selyukh&Hosenball/Reuters/15January2015]

Protests Over First Muslim Appointment to US Intelligence Committee. US Democrats have been forced to defend their appointment of the first Muslim to a parliamentary committee that oversees the government's intelligence departments and activities after opponents claimed it could be "dangerous".

Congressman Andre Carson was last week appointed to the House of Intelligence Committee, which receives regular classified updates on US security information.

Anti-Muslim protests erupted on social media claiming that revealing American secret intelligence to Carson could be dangerous.

Responding to the backlash, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said Carson was the only member of Congress to have served in a Department of Homeland Security Fusion Center, which provides intelligence sharing and training across levels of government, the New York Times reported. [Read more: Trenwith/ArabianBusiness/18January2015]

Head of Kosovo Intelligence Agency Resigns. The head of the Kosovo Intelligence Agency (KIA), Bashkim Smakaj, resigned on Friday after a series of the agency's reported scandals.

Kosovo leader Atifete Jahjaga and "Prime Minister" Isa Mustafa approved the resignation as they have shared authority in appointing and dismissing the head of the secret agency.

In a joint press statement they praised his six years' leadership and performance in establishing and managing the agency, though in recent months a number of scandals involving the agency were reported.

Smakaj was allegedly asked to resign or face a dismissal from the top officials. [Read more: Xinhua/17January2015]

Peru's PM Rules Out Intelligence Service Involvement in Espionage. Peru’s Prime Minister, Ana Jara, ruled out the possibility that the National Intelligence Directorate (DINI) has been involved in the alleged espionage activities or practice of spying on politicians and former government officials.

At a press conference joined by DINI representatives, Jara said the pictures published by the local media do not match the procedures followed by intelligence service against drug trafficking and terrorism.

"It is wrong to link DINI with these reprehensible actions; since its inauguration, the government has not used such methods to know the agenda of politicians or government officials," she noted.

She also expressed, on behalf of President Ollanta Humala, her total and vigorous rejection of these actions, which are unacceptable in a democratic state. [Andina/15January2015]

China Antigraft Agency Investigates Intelligence Official. China's anticorruption agency has placed a top spy under investigation for alleged disciplinary violations, signaling that President Xi Jinping 's campaign against graft has reached into the highest levels of the country's intelligence services.

Ma Jian, a vice minister in the Ministry of State Security, is under investigation for "severe violations of discipline and law," the Communist Party's Central Commission for Discipline Inspection said in a brief statement on its website on Friday, using a phrase Chinese authorities often employ in reference to corruption. The agency didn't elaborate.

The probe makes Mr. Ma the highest-ranking security official to be embroiled in a sweeping antigraft drive since Zhou Yongkang, the former chief of China's domestic-security apparatus and ex-member of China's top ruling body, was placed under investigation last year.

It isn't clear what Mr. Ma's duties were at the powerful yet highly secretive Ministry of State Security, an intelligence and counterespionage agency whose inner workings are rarely revealed and which doesn't have a spokesman or website. [Read more: Wong/WallStreetJournal/16January2015]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Melissa McCarthy Is a Hilarious CIA Agent in New Film Spy. The first trailer for Melissa McCarthy's upcoming action comedy film, Spy, has been released!

In the film, McCarthy’s plays Susan Cooper, a lowly deskbound CIA analyst, who gets her chance at glory when the identities of the agents she works with are exposed. Now, Susan has to go undercover to take down an international arms dealer and prevent a huge global disaster.

Spy, directed by Paul Feig (Bridesmaids), also stars Rose Byrne, Jason Statham, Jude Law, Allison Janney, and Miranda Hart. It will hit theatres on May 15, 2015. [Read more: D'Amico/RecentlyHeard/13January2015]

SlideShow: Intelligence Officials Predicted What 2015 Would Look Like in 2000. In 2000, the US intelligence community published an 85-page report predicting what the world would look like in 2015.

Read the full report here. [Read more: Moffitt/SFGate/12January2015]

Successful Businessman Recalls Wartime Spy Training Over 7 Decades Ago. On the day before the Pacific War ended, Yoshimi Ito gathered up as many weapons as he could hold from a military headquarters in Nagoya. The very next day, he heard Emperor Hirohito's radio broadcast announcing the end of the war. He didn't believe it. He had been taught at the Nakano School, which trained spies, and an officer had told him that the broadcast was not the Emperor's true wish. As a "secret soldier," he had planned to resist the US military to the bitter end.

After the war, Ito went on to become a successful businessman, founding Valor Co. Ltd., an operator of supermarkets and hardware retailers that now runs 646 stores. Yet his experiences in the war remained deep in his heart.

"I'm sure that if the people sacrificed in the war were alive, they would have given everything to restoring Japan," says Ito, who is now aged 92. Starting from a family grocery, he built his company into one that was listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Even now, he provides consultation on personnel affairs as an honorary chairman.

Ito was brought up in the Gifu Prefecture town of Oi, now part of the city of Ena. He went on to enter Hosei University, and in 1943, he was mobilized to serve in the infantry. At a departure ceremony at his local station, he remembers saying, "This will be the last time we'll see each other. Let's meet again at Yasukuni," referring to the shrine where the war dead were honored. [Read more: Mainichi/20January2015]

The Inside Information That Could Have Stopped 9/11. Just before Christmas, former FBI special agent Mark Rossini greeted me with his usual good cheer when we met for drinks in a midtown Manhattan restaurant. He told me his life had finally taken a turn for the better. He’s spending most of his time in Switzerland, where he works for a private global corporate-security firm. "Life’s good," he said.

Good, but with a few major changes. Rossini was drinking club soda instead of the expensive cabernets he quaffed when I first knew him as a high-flying FBI official in Washington a decade ago, when he was a special assistant to the bureau’s chief spokesman, John Miller (now with the New York City Police Department). "I’ve cut back," he said. "Feeling good."

But when I ask him how he’s really doing, the light in his eyes dims. "Well, you know, I still miss the job," he said, shaking his head. A boneheaded move - showing confidential FBI documents to his actress-flame Linda Fiorentino, who said she was researching a script about LA wiretapper extraordinaire Anthony Pellicano - cost him his career in 2008 and nearly landed him in jail.

"What’s past is past," he said. But not all of it. He quickly told me of an encounter the day before on a street in Yonkers, where he keeps an apartment. He’d run into a close family friend who’d lost relatives at the World Trade Center on 9/11. "Mark," she told him, "you’ve got to get to the bottom of this." [Read more: Stein/Newsweek/14January2015]

Afghan Spy Chief Defies Labels, Usefully. Unlike his predecessor, Afghanistan's spy chief, Rahmatullah Nabil, has never been accused by human rights groups of having a torture chamber in his basement.

To the contrary, there are many Afghans who fear that Mr. Nabil may actually be too gentle for the job. Their thinking is that defeating the Taliban, resourceful enemies who live among the Afghan people, takes a certain ruthlessness.

At the same time, other Afghans and Western officials worry that Mr. Nabil is not as committed as he claims to modernizing and reining in a spy agency that grew out of a feared KGB-trained secret police force, and retains a reputation for brutality.

After stints totaling more than three years at the helm of the National Directorate of Security, and now with his nomination to keep the post in the new administration, one would presume the answers might be clearer about Mr. Nabil, 46, a former United Nations official. But he remains exceedingly difficult to pin down. [Read more: Rosenberg/NYTimes/16January2015]

MI5: Six Things We've Learned From the Spy Agency's Latest Job Advert. Beautiful women (and handsome men), designer clothes, fast cars, casinos, cocktails and the jet-set lifestyle - who wouldn't fancy the James Bond lifestyle?

It looks great in the movies, but James Bond and his fellow secret agents also have to run around on rooftops and jump off buildings while chasing or being chased by international master criminals and their henchmen, and let's be honest, most of us are just too lazy to be bothered with all that kind of thing.

But don't despair - as it turns out, the Secret Intelligence Service [sic. MI5 is the 'The Security Service'; MI6 is 'the Secret Intelligence Service'] might just have the perfect job opportunity for couch potatoes who fancy themselves as a bit of a 007.

MI5 are currently advertising vacancies within their Operational department for Mobile Surveillance Officers - and one of the key requirements is the ability to be comfortable 'sitting for substantial periods of time', enduring 'long spells of inactivity'. The Grey Man of spying is still true. In brief, the rules are:

1). Spies are generally short to mid-height for a low profile
2). Spies don’t have tattoos
3). Spies are safe drivers
4). Spies don’t display fancy gadgets
5). Spies live near London
6). Spying is not a 9-5 job

Sounds perfect? [Read more: MKWeb/19January2015]


Section III - COMMENTARY

After Charlie Hebdo Massacre, We Must Ratchet Up Policing and Intelligence-Gathering to Catch Every Possible Terrorist. The horrific terrorist attack in Paris underscores the importance of retaining our focus on preventing attacks here in the United States. This requires a layered, proactive, aggressive and relentless strategy that identifies the attacker before he launches an attack.

A purely defensive strategy of protecting our critical infrastructure, which is what some people would have us settle for, will not be sufficient in our open society.

The search for terrorists at home begins overseas, as they travel to and from the United States, and continues within the homeland.

Overseas, American partnership with local intelligence services have been effective since 9/11. Our CIA station chiefs around the world have been charged with getting intelligence from our partners. [Read more: Sheehan/NYDailyNews/11January2015]

CIA sometimes overlooks Islamic extremists, says Vegas intelligence expert. Islamic extremists bent on violent acts against free-speech nations are sometimes overlooked by intelligence agencies because the agencies reject important information that could derail attacks, says a former CIA adviser and intelligence expert.
Instead, the agencies set their sights on targets that fit scenarios they believe will happen, failing to realize that “anything that does happen, can happen. Intelligence reports tend to ignore them if they don’t fit,” said John B. Alexander, a member of the Las Vegas Chapter of the Association of Former Intelligence Officers.
Inherently, those charged with analyzing intelligence information sometimes have “scotomas,” or areas of diminished vision.
“They get this target ‘fixation,’ ” he said. “Here’s the scenario. So we will look for data that support our proposed scenario. So the ‘outliers’ fall off and don’t get incorporated into the analysis. These are things that they don’t believe can happen but do.”
Alexander is a retired Special Forces commander who served in Vietnam and Thailand, and a former adviser to the CIA, the Special Operations Command, and the National Intelligence Council. [Read more: Rogers/LasVegasReviewJournal/19Jan2015]

Financial Intelligence Grows As US Weapon to Fight 'Bad Guys'. Jimmy Gurule remembers struggling for a seat at the table with his counterparts from US intelligence agencies when he was an under secretary of the Treasury a decade ago. In those days, the Treasury Department was a minor player in the world of three-letter spy agencies - CIA, NSA, DIA.

"It was hard for us to get an audience, it was hard for us to be invited to the meeting," Gurule, now a law professor at the University of Notre Dame in Indiana, said in an interview. "There were these intelligence meetings and we were like, 'We want to have a seat at the table' and they'd say, 'Naw, what you're doing isn't that important.'"

No more.

Economic and financial intelligence is critical to targeting and enforcing sanctions against Iran, North Korea and Russia; strangling the flow of money to terrorist organizations, drug cartels and weapons traffickers; tracking nuclear proliferation; and assessing the strength of nations such as Russia and China that are now part of the global economy. [Read more: Atlas&Mayeda/Bloomberg/20January2015]

It's Time for Some Intelligent Intelligence Gathering in Washington. It's time to create a free-standing Defense Department agency to handle intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR).

It's especially necessary given the growing technological capabilities and the need for this primarily airborne collection of data.

Let's not even mention the pressures of the limited Pentagon funding or the insatiable desire of the military and intelligence services for their unmanned intelligence-gathering aircraft.

But do let us mention them as more reasons to compel action. We need some rational order to ISR and an end to overwhelming and overlapping approaches. [Read more: Pincus/WashingtonPost/19January2015]


Section IV - Books, Obituaries and Upcoming Events


Books

A New Book on the Adventurous Life and Work of a CIA Officer, Who Later Served As White House Officer and US Ambassador. Pot Shards: Fragments of a Life Lived in CIA, the White House, and the Two Koreas, by Donald P. Gregg, is a window into the Cold War-era CIA, both its failings (twenty years in a Chinese jail for a close friend) and unheralded successes, including Gregg’s role in saving the life of Kim Dae-jung, a Korean political dissident who later, as president, won the Nobel Peace Prize.

Gregg colorfully describes his tours in Japan, Burma, Vietnam, and South Korea. His four years dealing with the Vietnam War illustrate clearly the difficulties of speaking truth to power with sharp-edged encounters with Robert McNamara, Curtis LeMay, and various generals. Gregg worked effectively against torture when encountered in both Vietnam and Korea.

In the Reagan White House, Gregg was impressed by Vice President Bush's value as "the rudder on Reagan’s sailboat," unseen but imperative. He recounts his travels with Bush to sixty-five countries with both humor and discernment - Thatcher at the top, Mugabe at the bottom.

Gregg served both as CIA station chief in Seoul, 1973-75, and as US ambassador to Korea, 1989-93. He later made more than fifty trips to Seoul as chairman of The Korea Society. Now, as chairman of the Pacific Century Institute, the former diplomat, once feared and disliked by North Korea, has visited that secretive nation six times, as recently as February 2014. Gregg always stresses dialogue over demonization in dealing with the North Koreans. [Read more: PressReleaseRocket/12January2015]


AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Friday, 30 January 2015 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO's first 2015 luncheon features the FBI's Cyber Division Director, Joseph Demarest, and Former Station Chief Islamabad/CIA CT Center Director Robert L. Grenier

Joseph M. Demarest, Jr., the Assistant Director in charge of the FBI's Cyber Division, responsible for leading the FBI’s mission to protect the US from cyber-based attacks and high technology crimes, will discuss -- OFF THE RECORD -- current issues including NK, Sony, and other looming cyber concerns. Morning speaker: Former Station Chief Islamabad, and CIA Counterterrorism Center Director Robert L. Grenier discusses dealing with warlords, Taliban dissidents, and Pakistani Intelligence in front of him... while facing equally lethal challenges behind his own lines. Hear more about his 88 Days to Kandahar: A CIA Diary being released the week of this event.
Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Grenier begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; FBI ADirector Demarest begins presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning presentation is on the record; AD Demarest remarks are Off The Record.
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf

Saturday, 7 February 2015, 11:30 am - Melbourne, FL - The Florida Satellite Chapter AFIO hears Gene Poteat, AFIO President-Emeritus, on “The Unusual and Amusing Experiences I’ve Encountered in My CIA Career.”

Immediate AFIO National Past President (and now President emeritus) S. Eugene Poteat will discuss “The Unusual and Amusing Experiences I’ve Encountered in My CIA Career.” All who know him know that Gene has a keen sense of both the unusual and the amusing, and his presentation promises to be both entertaining and informative. In addition, this meeting will mark both the retirement of Chapter president Bobbie (aka Barbara) Keith and the inauguration of new FSC Chapter president. For information and reservations, contact Barbara Keith at bobbie6769@juno.com or call 321.777.5561. Event location: Indian River Colony Club At Ease Club.

Saturday, 7 February 2015, 11 am - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter hosts meeting featuring Ted Bischof.

Our guest speaker will be Mr. Ted Bischof. You may remember him as our speaker in November 2009, and this time he'll be expanding on some exciting subjects only briefly touched upon back then. More details on Mr. Bischof and his presentation to follow in the newsletter, which I hope will hit the internet sometime next week. General Webb will be conducting his (in)famous "Lightning Round," so please send him any topics or subject matter you might want discussed at wwebb@comcast.net right away. Location: Country Club of Orange Park. Questions and reservations: Quiel Begonia at qbegonia@comcast.net call (904) 545-9549. Cost will be $24 each, pay the Country Club at the luncheon.

Tuesday, 10 February 2015 - MacDill AFB, FL - AFIO Suncoast Chapter hosts Patrick Guarnieri speaking on "intelligence applications of brain enhancement."

Our Meeting features our own Chapter member Patrick Guarnieri, speaking on the latest developments and innovative approaches to modify and enhance brain function which have drawn the attention and interest of the intelligence community and the military. Patrick Guarnieri served in Vietnam in 1968 and 1969. He later earned a Bachelor’s of Science Degree, Masters of Business Administration, and Law Degree. He is currently a Doctoral Candidate in Strategic Security. He practiced law for twenty years until 2001 when he became the Chairman of the National Conference on Homeland Security; an organization that worked with the White House and Congress to assist in the formation and organization of the Department of Homeland Security, Northern Command and numerous other security related projects. He now teaches at the University of South Florida in the National and Competitive Intelligence Programand trains the military in advanced operations augmentation. He is also the President of the National Association of HPA Professionals, which directs its attention to Human Process Augmentation that will be discussed in today’s presentation.
Patrick will be discussing the latest developments and innovative approaches to modify and enhance brain function which have drawn the attention and interest of the intelligence community and the military. He will also introduce us to the first major revision (Generation II) of Meyers-Briggs/DISC since the typologies were originally developed and will describe how the government foresees its utility.

LOCATION: MacDill AFB Surf’s Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Please RSVP to the Chapter Secretary for yourself and include the names and email addresses of any guests. Email or call Michael Shapiro at sectysuncoastafio@att.net. You will receive a confirmation via email. If you do not, contact the Chapter Secretary to confirm your registration. Check-in at noon; opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at 1230 hours, followed by our speaker.
FEE: You must present your $20 check payable to “Suncoast Chapter, AFIO” (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, don’t cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don’t show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.

Wednesday, 11 February 2015, 11:30AM - Scottsdale, AZ - The AFIO Arizona Chapter hosts Gilbert Orrantia, Director of Arizona Department of Homeland Security

Director Gilbert M. Orrantia became the Director of the Arizona Department of Homeland Security in June, 2009. Prior to heading Arizona’s Homeland Security efforts at the State, he served in the FBI for 26 years. Mr. Orrantia brings a national and global perspective on counterterrorism that is gained from vast counterterrorism experience including the supervision of an FBI counterterrorism squad in Phoenix and serving eight years as a Supervisory Special Agent. For four years he helped lead the FBI’s Joint Terrorism Task Force in Phoenix, Arizona located at Arizona’s fusion center, known as the Arizona Counter Terrorism Information Center (ACTIC). Recognized as an expert in investigations of terrorism, drugs and violent crimes, Mr. Orrantia’s successful FBI law enforcement career is reflected in the numerous awards and commendations he received. Among them are two of the FBI’s highest commendations: the Medal of Valor and the FBI Star. These awards were made to Mr. Orrantia for his role in the deadliest firefight in FBI history;- a gun battle known as the “Miami Shootout” in which two fellow FBI agents were killed. Mr. Orrantia has lectured to members of the FBI Academy at Quantico, VA on officer safety and survival and continues to share his expertise in surviving a deadly encounter with numerous law enforcement agencies. Director Orrantia currently serves on the Executive Committee of the National Governors Association Homeland Security Advisors Council and also serves as a Tri-Chair of the National Homeland Security Consortium. In April of 2013, he was appointed by Governor Jan Brewer to serve as Co-Chair of the Governor’s Task Force on Human Trafficking. Mr. Orrantia, a native Arizonan who is fluent in Spanish, was raised in Mesa, Arizona. He is a graduate of Arizona State University with a Bachelor of Arts degree in Education.
LOCATION: McCormick Ranch Golf Course, 7505 McCormick Parkway, Scottsdale AZ 85258 ~ Phone 480.948.0260)
RSVP to Simone at simone@4smartphone.net or simone@afioaz.org or call and leave a message on 602.570.6016
WE WILL NEED YOUR RSVP no later than 72 hours ahead of time; in the past, not reserving or canceling without prior notice (72 hours prior to the meeting) created much grief for those of us organizing the meeting and dealing with the personnel. WE ARE charged for the no-shows and please remember, we are a small organization with a humble coffer.
Fee $20 for AFIO members; $22 for guests.

13 February 2015, 1:30 - 3 pm - Los Angeles, CA - AFIO Los Angeles Chapter Meets to conduct Election of New Officers

AFIO-LA will conduct its 2015 Annual Chapter Meeting on February 13, 2015 (Friday) from 1.30 PM-3 PM at Alejo's Restaurant in Playa del Rey, the address is listed below. We will be conducting our re-election of chapter officers along with an open discussion of our agenda for the new year of 2015. This meeting is open only to current updated dues chapter members, lunch will be served, if you are interested in running for any of the chapter officer positions or attending this meeting please RSVP via email (AFIO_LA@yahoo.com) by February 6, 2015.
Location: Alejo's Italian Restaurant, 8343 Lincoln Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
Agenda: Election of Officers: President & Treasurer; Treasurer's Financial Report; Upcoming Events & Focus for 2015; Open Discussion.


Other Upcoming Events

20 January 2015, 11:30am - 2pm - McLean, VA - Defense Intelligence Forum [DIF] hears Daniel Gallington on "Enhanced Interrogation."

Speaker: Daniel J. Gallington will speak on “Enhanced Interrogation” or Torture.
Gallington writes a popular column on national security, foreign policy and intelligence matters for the US NEWS & World Report, and is the Senior Policy & Program Advisor at The George C. Marshall Institute in Arlington, VA, where he consults on projects relating to cyber security, intelligence policy and privacy.
From 2003 to 2011, Gallington was a Senior Fellow and Member of the Board of Regents at the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies. While at Potomac he led PROJECT GUARDIAN- “Maintaining Civil Liberties in the Information Age,” a DARPA-funded study that established the basic policy choices for the post-9/11 realignment of threat-related information categories for more effective situational awareness. Also, he has served at the Assistant Secretary of Defense level for several organizations at the Pentagon. In other government assignments, he served as: Chief Counsel to the National Commission for the Review of the National Reconnaissance Office and Bi-partisan General Counsel to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.
A former career Air Force Officer, Gallington served tours in Europe, Asia, the Pacific, and with the Strategic Air Command. He is a resident graduate of both the Air Command and Staff College and the Air War College. He received the B.S. and J.D. degrees from the University of Illinois and the LL.M degree (International Law) from the University of Michigan Law School.
This forum will follow a modified Chatham House rule. You may use the information, but with the exception of speaker's name and subject, you may make no attribution.
Time: Registration starts at 11:30 AM, lunch at 12:00 PM
Location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA
Fee: Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 payable to DIAA, Inc
RSVP: by 20 January 2015 by email to diforum@diaalumni.org. Include names, tele numbers, email addresses. For each attendee, choose among chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna, sausage with peppers or fettuccini with portabella for your luncheon selection.

Wednesday, 28 January 2015, 10am-7pm - Washington DC - Special Screening of NBC's Allegiance, New Spy Series, at the International Spy Museum

You're invited to a Special Advance Screening of NBC's gripping new spy drama Allegiance! Reception begins at 6:15PM
Featuring a Q&A panel with:
Peter Earnest, former CIA operative & SPY Museum Executive Director
Oleg Kalugin, former KGB clandestine operative
Mark Stout, former CIA intelligence analyst
Tickets: free! Space is limited, advance RSVP is required. Visit www.spymuseum.org

Wednesday, 04 February (also 11 Feb., 18 Feb., and 25 Feb.) 2015, 10:15am - Washington DC - Spy Seminar Series. Hot Spies/Cool Cases: 50 Shades of Espionage at the International Spy Museum.

Spy thrillers are filled with seductive agents who get what they want through the power of persuasion—between the sheets. Does this actually happen? Are there “Romeo spies” and “honey traps”? Is sexpionage a reality? In this series, former intelligence officers and historians share the stories of five magnetic and charming spies who used the bedroom as their base of operations.

Wednesday, 4 February 2014 - "The Swingers"

Wednesday, 11 February 2014 - "The Profumo Affair"

Wednesday, 18 February 2014 - "Stalin’s Romeo Spy"

Wednesday 25 February 2014 - "Codename Cynthia"

Details on all dates above are here.

Wednesday, 11 February 2014, 8:30 A.M. – 4:30 P.M - Washington, DC - The Journal of National Security Law & Policy Annual Symposium

Hold the date! Conference theme: Trials and Terrorism: The Implications of Trying National Security Cases in Article III Courts.
The symposium will feature the following three panels:
Panel 1, “Terror Suspects: Pretrial Considerations in Civilian Terrorism Investigations,” will provide an overview of international terrorism cases from investigation to indictment.
Panel 2, “Courtroom Challenges: The Evidentiary and Trial Management Issues that Arise During Terrorism Trials” will focus on the evidentiary and procedural challenges that arise during the trial of defendants charged with terrorism offenses and the implications these potential precedents could set.
Panel 3, “Convicted Terrorists: Sentencing Considerations and Their Implications on Foreign and Domestic Policy,” will focus on the factors that impact the sentencing phase of terrorism trials.
Location: Georgetown University Law School, Washington, DC
REGISTRATION: Will be available at http://jnslp.com/symposium/ in early 2015.

To attend click here and then submit the form on the page that opens, or email events@cato.org, fax (202) 371-0841, or call (202) 789-5229 by 9:00 a.m. on Thursday, December 11, 2014.

17 February 2015, 11:30 am - 2 pm - McLean, VA - DIAA's DIF meets to hear Russell Rochte on "Media Wars."

Mr. Russell C. Rochte, Jr. will speak on “Media Wars.” at the Defense Intelligence Forum, a gathering of the Defense Intelligence Alumni Association.
He will discuss recent academic studies which point out Al Q’aida and Associated Movements attempts to wage media wars. U.S.A. strengths and weaknesses against these wars will be discussed. He will suggest both a strategy and a body of tactics for both short-term and long-term success in the “war of ideas” via television media.
Mr. Rochte is a Certified Information System Security Professional (CISSP) and has been a member of the faculty of the National Intelligence University since 2005. He teaches courses in information operations, information power, foreign info ops, globalization, and propaganda/propaganda analysis to graduate and undergraduate students from across the U.S. Intelligence Community. He also lectures by request several times yearly to audiences at the National Defense University; the NATO School at Oberammergau, Germany; Johns Hopkins University; the USMC Command & Staff College; and by invitation at a variety of events, both in CONUS and abroad.
Mr. Rochte graduated in 1980 from the University of Michigan as the Army Reserve Officer Training Corps Distinguished Military Graduate, and received a regular Army commission as a second Lieutenant in the U.S. Army Signal Corps. He retired from the U.S. Army in 2005 as a Lieutenant Colonel, after more than 25 years of active commissioned service. From June 2003 until his retirement, he taught information operations and information assurance courses on campus and on-line as a Professor of Systems Management at the Information Resources Management College of the National Defense University in Washington, D.C. He holds degrees from the University of Michigan (BA) and Troy State (MS), and has completed additional post-graduate work in information assurance, systematic theology, and American history.
Location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA. Generous, free parking.
Fee: Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 payable to DIAA, Inc. Checks are preferred, but will accept cash; however, credit card payments are discouraged.
This forum will follow a modified Chatham House rule. You may use the information, but with the exception of speaker's name and subject, you may make no attribution. Everything will be off the record.
RSVP: Make reservations by 17 February 2015 by email to diforum@diaalumni.org. Include names, telephone numbers, and email addresses. For each attendee, choose among chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna, sausage with peppers, or fettuccini with portabella for your luncheon selection. Please include your luncheon selection to reduce the wait time for your food!!!

Tues-Wed, 24-25 March 2015 - Washington, DC - International Conference on Exercises, Gaming, and Simulations for Intelligence and National Security, Communication, Culture & Technology Program (CCTP)

Dates and times: Tuesday, March 24, 2015 at 8:30 AM - Wednesday, March 25, 2015 at 7:00 PM (EDT)
This international conference, between the Center for Intelligence Services and Democratic Systems at Rey Juan Carlos University and the School of Continuing Studies at Georgetown University will enhance the role of experiential learning methods and techniques showcasing original simulations, exercises, and games applied to national security intelligence, competitive intelligence, and foreign affairs. The conference will bring together ideas, concepts and demonstrations that can further train and educate military, law enforcement, and national security professionals.
A sample of conference topics include:  Scenario-based approach for developing the links between analysis and reporting;  Computational Simulation In Intelligence Analysis;  The Induction Game and Intelligence Education;  Gaming and Modeling Before a Crisis;  Use of Gaming and Exercise as Part of an Engagement Strategy;  Gaming the Nexus between Intelligence and Policy;  Concrete Tabletop Exercises for Cognitive Skill Development in Analysts;  Serious gaming & how to create visionary practitioners and policy makers;  Balancing Realism and Playability in the Intelligence Classroom;  Structured Analytic Techniques for Cyber Security through Role Playing; Cyber-Attack and Ethics Simulations;  Virtual Training Systems and Survival Humanistic Factors;
Discounted hotel accommodations, questions or comments should be directed to Dr. Jan Goldman jg28@georgetown.edu or Dr. Ruben Arcos Martin, ruben.arcos@urjc.es (outside North America)
Registration and Information is available here.

26 April to 3 May 2015 - Berlin and Vienna - ESPIONAGE IN EUROPE: Now and Then - a New York Times Journey with AFIO Member/former CIA Officer, Jon Wiant.

Reserve now to travel on this exciting eight day intelligence excursion. "Espionage in Europe: Now and Then" is a journey focused on history & context. From the Cold War to present day government phone-hacking. Berlin and Vienna are two of Europe's capital cities that have seen more than their fair share of activity. Explore how, why and who was involved, the back stories and realization that it will never go away.
Join us on a unique tour to Berlin and Vienna, to learn about both underground goings on and those taking place in plain site, how World War II shaped Cold War intelligence operations and why our espionage bases in Berlin and Vienna became the dangerous front lines of our conflict with the Soviet Union. The Times-selected expert accompanying this trip is Prof. Jon A Wiant, retired Deputy Assistant Secretary of State, former White House director of intelligence policy and former member of the CIA. To hear more about this tour, listen to Jon Wiant speak, during a recent webinar.
Cost: $7,450 pp, +$1,000 single supplement. Deposit $500. Itinerary: 8 days, 7 nights. Activity Level: More active trips involving hiking over moderately strenuous and varied terrain, usually — but not always — with vehicle support and at elevations most often below 10,000 feet, or trips with significant hiking days, wilderness camping, or other mandatory activity. On some trips, you can elect to skip a day’s hike, depending on logistics. Questions? Call 855-698-7979.


Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER -- click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's) or author's) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, Please note AFIO's new address: AFIO, 7700 Leesburg Pike Suite 324, Falls Church, Virginia 22043. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com

Click here to return to top.