Weekly Intelligence Notes #11-16 dated 15 March 2016
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I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT &
III - COMMENTARY
Section IV - Obituary
Section V - Events
17 March 2016, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO - "I have lived
within 60 miles of a dangerous, cunning terrorist for the past
25 years." - Warren Gerig Presentation at
the Rocky Mountain Chapter
18 March 2016, 10:30am - 2pm - Tysons, VA - AFIO National
Spring Luncheon features Gen. Michael V. Hayden,
former director, CIA and NSA, discussing "Playing to the
Edge", and David Priess, author and former
CIA analyst and briefer, on The President's Book of
March 2016, 2 pm - Kennebunk, ME - The AFIO Maine Chapter
hosts Dr. Andrew S. Erickson on "China's
- Monday, 21
March 2016, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro
Chapter Meeting features presentation by Paddy Hayes,
Irish author of newly released "Queen of Spies: Daphne Park,
Britain's Cold War Spy Master."
- Tuesday, 12 April 2016, 11:30 a.m. - MacDill AFB, FL - The Florida Suncoast Chapter hosts Col Derek Harvey, USA(R) on "The Middle East, the Battle Within Islam and US Policy" and the chapter also conducts elections.
For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events
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Registration closes tomorrow.
AFIO's March 18 Luncheon
is nearly full with more than 250 attendees
A few seats remain.
Great opportunity to meet many
Friday, 18 March 2016, 10:30 am - 2 pm
Secrets from spies, listening posts, and
and From the Front Lines: Protecting America when every second
'...the surprise we experienced on 9/11 may be a
prelude to a catastrophe of far greater dimensions.'
-- WSJ's Gabriel Schoenfeld takeaway from Gen. Michael
V. Hayden's book
Sheraton Tysons Hotel, 8661
Leesburg Pike, Tysons, VA 22182. Phone: (703) 448-1234
Speakers: 1 p.m. - Gen. Michael V. Hayden,
former Director, CIA and NSA
Discussing Playing to the Edge
A narrative of America's intelligence wars, from the only person
to helm both CIA and NSA, at a time of heinous new threats and
change. For General Michael Hayden, playing to the edge means
playing so close to the line that you get chalk dust on your
cleats. Otherwise, by playing back, you may protect yourself, but
you will be less successful in protecting America. "Play to the
edge" was Hayden's guiding principle when he ran the National
Security Agency, and it remained so when he ran CIA. In his view,
many shortsighted and uninformed people are quick to criticize,
and this book will give them much to chew on but little easy
comfort; it is an unapologetic insider's look told from the
perspective of the people who faced awesome responsibilities head
on, in the moment. A review of Playing to the Edge appeared in the Wall Street Journal at this link, in the Washington
Post here, and in New York Times here..
11 a.m. - David Priess, author and former CIA analyst,
manager, and intelligence briefer
Author of The President's Book of Secrets which will be
released at this event.
Every day, the President receives a report revealing the most
sensitive intelligence reporting and analysis of world events: the President's Daily Brief, or PDB. CIA spies, the
NSA's listening posts, and the nation's reconnaissance satellites
steal secrets for it, while America's enemies send undercover
agents to try to unearth its classified content. No major foreign
policy decisions are made without it. Yet the PDB's stories have
gone untold―until now. The Priess book contains original input
from more than 100 interviews with former intelligence leaders and
policymakers--including all of the living former Presidents and
Vice Presidents and the vast majority of living former CIA
Directors, DDIs, National Security Advisors, and Secretaries of
State and Defense. This new work also incorporates previously
unpublished material from various Presidential libraries.
Tysons Ballroom in the Sheraton Tysons
8661 Leesburg Pike, Tysons, VA 22182.
Phone: (703) 448-1234
Driving directions at this link.
I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Chief: China Will Have 'Substantial Military Power' in South China Sea by
2017. Director of National Intelligence James Clapper warned in
a letter to Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) this week that he expects China to boast
"substantial offensive military power" in the illegally-occupied territories
of the South China Sea by the end of this year or the beginning of 2017.
The news comes as China announces a plan to soon begin offering civilian
flights to Woody Island in the Spratly Island archipelago of the South China
Sea, a contested territory also claimed by the Philippines and Vietnam.
"Based on the pace and scope of construction at these outposts, China will
be able to deploy a range of offensive and defensive military capabilities
and support increased PLAN and CCG presence beginning in 2016," Clapper said
in his letter.
Clapper's letter is a response to an inquiry on behalf of the US Senate
Armed Services Committee, published this week by the US Naval Institute.
"Once these facilities are completed by the end of 2016 or early 2017, China
will have significant capacity to quickly project substantial offensive
military power to the region," he added. [Read more: Martel/Breitbart/11March]
Pleads Guilty, Walked Into FBI 'Trap'. A Russian spy, who
posed as a banker in New York City, today pleaded guilty to
espionage-related charges after court documents revealed Russia's top
intelligence service waltzed into an FBI "trap".
In a case that US Attorney Preet Bharara said sounds "like a plotline from
a Cold War-era movie," Evgeny Buryakov was arrested last year and accused of
working as a "non-official cover" officer for Russia's foreign intelligence
service, known as SVR, at a Russian bank in midtown Manhattan.
A "non-official cover" agent generally refers to an espionage agent
working in a foreign nation as a private citizen - without the protection of
diplomatic immunity they would enjoy if they were hiding behind another
government job. As described by the Department of Justice, "SVR agents
operating under such non-official cover - sometimes referred to as 'NOCs' -
typically are subject to less scrutiny by the host government, and, in many
cases, are never identified as intelligence agents by the host government.
As a result, a NOC is an extremely valuable intelligence asset for the SVR."
The FBI was able to uncover Buryakov, along with two alleged accomplices, by
employing an undercover agent of its own and allowing the Russians to
"recruit" their spy, according to a release by the Department of Justice.
The "dangle," as the agent is known in espionage parlance, had posed as an
analyst for a "New York-based energy company." [Read more:
US Spy Chief
Arrives for Talks in New Zealand. The United States director of
national intelligence has arrived in New Zealand for talks with Prime
Minister John Key on Monday.
James Clapper was passing through the country ahead of a meeting in
Australia of the "Five Eyes" intelligence-sharing network involving the
US, Britain, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, Key said in a broadcast
The visit follows the release last week of a government-commissioned report
that proposed extending the ability of New Zealand's security agencies to
spy on New Zealanders.
Key said he expected the report covering the New Zealand's Government
Communications and Security Bureau external spy agency and the Security
Intelligence Service would be discussed with Clapper. [Read
Canada to Boost
its Advise-and-Train Mission, Intelligence Capabilities in
Iraq. Despite withdrawing its strike aircraft from
participation in the anti-Islamic State coalition in Iraq and Syria,
Canada's new government has moved to reassure the United States that it will
boost its overall contribution to the US-led campaign.
"We're going to be responsible partners, and we're going to make a
meaningful contribution," Defense Minister Harjit Sajjan said. After
conducting an internal review and consulting with allies and ground
commanders, he said, Canada has decided to significantly increase its
advise-and-train mission to Kurdish military forces in northern Iraq and to
boost its intelligence assets there.
Sajjan and Foreign Minister St'phane Dion were part of a large cabinet
delegation that this week accompanied Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on his
first formal visit to Washington.
Both made clear that Trudeau intends to reverse what was widely seen as
Canada's withdrawal from international affairs - apart from military
deployments - under the previous Conservative government. "We think we need
to engage more," said Dion, a former leader of Trudeau's Liberal
Party. [Read more: DeYoung/WashingtonPost/11March2016]
Intelligence Co-Operated With US for al-Shabab Airstrikes. Somalia's
intelligence service co-operated with the US in airstrikes that killed
more than 150 al-Shabab members on Saturday, an intelligence official said
The airstrikes targeted a forested military training camp run by the Islamic
extremists 200 kilometres (124 miles) north of the capital Mogadishu, the
official said, adding that the camp was al-Shabab's main planning base. He
said Somali officials helped the US to pinpoint the location of the
militants' training base but did not give details.
Another intelligence official said al-Shabab members training there were
planning to attack a drone base in the region.
The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not
authorized to speak to the press on this matter. [Read more:
Shines on Army Intel Community, I Corps at the Helm. In what
was described as a total force effort, the I Corps intelligence staff, or
G2, at Joint Base Lewis-McChord developed a brigade intelligence officer
course for the Army that is designed to prepare officers for the rigors
associated with managing an intelligence program for a brigade combat team.
The course is a one-week, 40-hour block of instruction that was developed in
partnership with Army Forces Command G2, The Intelligence Center of
Excellence and the Army Intelligence and Security Command.
"This is not a theoretical course; this is how to get the job done," said
Col. Timothy Parker, I Corps intelligence officer.
The pilot course was held Feb. 29 - March. 4, with a follow-on class being
held just one week later, March 7 - March 11. [Read more:
Czar Says NSA Could Crack the San Bernadino Shooter's Phone. Another
former national security official has spoken out forcefully against the
FBI's quest to get Apple to write code to unlock the iPhone 5c used by San
Bernardino mass shooter Syed Farook. Richard Clarke served as the National
Security Council's chief counter-terrorism advisor to three presidents
(George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush) before becoming George
W. Bush's special advisor on cybersecurity. He told National Public Radio's
David Greene today that "encryption and privacy are larger issues than
fighting terrorism," taking issue with the FBI's attempts to compel Apple's
Clarke added that if he was still at the White House, he would have told FBI
Director James Comey to "call Ft. Meade, and the NSA would have solved this
problem...Every expert I know believes that NSA can crack this phone." But
the FBI wasn't seeking that help, he said, because "they just want the
Clarke explained that the FBI was trying to get the courts to essentially
compel speech from Apple with the All Writs Act. "This is a case where the
federal government using a 1789 law trying to compel speech. What the FBI is
trying to do is make code-writers at Apple, to make them write code that
they do not want to write that will make their systems less secure," he
said. "Compelling them to write code. And the courts have ruled in the past
that computer code is speech." [Read more: Gallagher/ARSTechnica/14March2016]
of Change' Say US Intelligence Embracing LGBT Spies. A US
intelligence community that once forced out gays and lesbians for security
reasons now sees inclusivity as the best way to protect the country, and
seeks to recruit spies from a wider talent pool that includes the LGBT
At a session titled America's LGBT Spies (Secret Agents of Change) held at
the South by Southwest tech summit in Austin, Texas, the panelists said for
the US intelligence community - with a $60 billion-plus budget and more
than 100,000 employees - to attract the best talent, it must embrace
"We are not the organization of your grandfathers. We have gone from a very
dark and closed environment to a very welcoming and open environment," said
Tracey Ballard, technical intelligence officer with the Central Intelligence
Agency, who came out as a lesbian in 1988.
Ballard said at that time, agents risked losing their security clearances
and their jobs by coming out. She was initially ostracized by the agency she
has served and seen evolve over 30 years or so of service. [Read
DNB Hires in
Former Intelligence Chief. Norway's biggest bank, DNB, has
hired in the former head of the country's military intelligence unit, to
help it deal with a more dangerous and risky world. Kjell Grandhagen, who
retired as a three-star general at the end of last year, will serve as a
consultant within risk management.
"This amounts to recognition by the management of the bank that risk
management is an area in need of being strengthened," Grandhagen told
newspaper Dagens N'ringsliv (DN) on Tuesday. Grandhagen, age 61, has already
started working for DNB at the bank's Bj'rvika headquarters in Oslo,
initially under the terms of a two-year contract.
DN reported that the bank "snapped up" Grandhagen just a month after he
retired as head of the Norwegian military's intelligence agency
Etterretningstjenesten, better known as E-tjenesten. [Read more:
Officials Unhappy With Russian Plans to Upgrade Spy Planes. US
officials want Washington to deny Russia the right to observe strategic
infrastructure facilities in the US from the air.
Some Congress and Pentagon representatives have voiced concerns over
Russia's plans to upgrade surveillance equipment Moscow relies on in its
observation flights over the US.
"I cannot see why the United States would allow Russia to fly a surveillance
plane with an advanced sensor over the United States to collect
intelligence," The New York Times cited Chairman of the House Armed Services
Committee Mac Thornberry as saying.
The US, Canada, and the majority of European and former Soviet countries,
including Russia, have been conducting surveillance flights over each
other's territories for years. [Read more: Shevchenko/RBTH/14March2016]
Section II - CONTEXT
Behind the Plane That Saved Britain. In the early spring of
1936, people taking a stroll in the quiet, bucolic lanes of Hampshire, in
southern England, would occasionally hear the roar of a powerful airplane
overhead and - if lucky - would catch a glimpse of a startling new shape in
the sky, a fighter with wings shaped like a broad and sharp knife blade.
The fighter was one of Britain's most closely guarded secrets at the time.
Its role would be more consequential to the future of Britain than any war
machine before it - in fact, it was to be decisive in 1940, in the Battle of
Britain, a victory that not only saved the country from invasion from Nazi
Germany but, in its lasting effects, kept freedom alive in western Europe.
At that time, 80 years ago this month, when the lone prototype of the
fighter was making its first test flights, it had no name, just a number,
K5054. But a month or so later the Air Ministry agreed to the suggestion
that it should be called the Spitfire. Hearing this, the chief designer of
the airplane, R. J. Mitchell, said, "It's the sort of bloody silly name they
would give it."
In fact, the name became famous way beyond the machine itself. It seemed to
embody a national spirit of resistance and survival, as potent as the
morale-raising speeches of Winston Churchill. In this process Mitchell was
also swept into the propaganda, at the center of an enduring creation myth.
Indeed, there was a tragic as well as triumphant narrative to tell: little
more than a year after the Spitfire's first flight Mitchell died of
cancer. [Read more: Irving/TheDailyBeast/12March2016]
Spies: Why Deciphering Putin Is so Hard for US Intelligence. American
intelligence officers are trained to tackle tough targets.
But there are tough targets, and then there's Russian President Vladimir
Putin, who plays his cards so closely that it's hard for his own advisers to
divine what he's thinking, says Gregory Treverton, chairman of the National
"Putin is so isolated that the chances that he might miscalculate and do
something rash are top of my list for things I worry about," says Treverton.
"I am fond of distinguishing between puzzles - those things that have an
answer, though we may not know it - and mysteries, those things that are
iffy and contingent. And so how Putin is going to behave is presumably a
mystery, and probably even a mystery to Putin."
Treverton is not alone in this view. [Read more: Kelly/NPR/10March]
Later, China Still Holding American on Spying Charges. She had
been in and out of China dozens of times over the years. She had led
powerful business delegations from her hometown of Houston to Shenzhen,
China's Silicon Valley. So nothing seemed out of the ordinary on March 19,
2015, when Sandy Phan-Gillis wrapped up another successful business trip to
China with a large group that included Houston's mayor pro tem, Ed Gonzalez.
Over dinner that night, the 55-year-old businesswoman excused herself to
meet a friend. The next day, as she stood in line with her group waiting to
cross the border into Macau, they suddenly noticed she was gone. They moved
on without her. Hours later, she telephoned one of them in Macau. She also
called her husband, Jeff Gillis, an oil and gas services manager in Houston.
She said she would be staying in China a few more days. Two more days passed
before Gillis got another call from his wife. Once again, she said she would
be staying in China to wrap up some business. But this time, he later told
reporters, her voice sounded strained.
And then another week passed with no word. Frantic, Gillis called the US
Consulate in Guangzhou and filled out a missing person's report. Twenty
minutes later, an official there called back. Only then, on April 1, did
Gillis learn that his wife, a naturalized American originally from Vietnam,
was in the custody of Chinese state security. But another six months would
pass before Beijing finally explained why: Phan-Gillis was "suspected of
engaging in activities that have harmed China's national security," the
Foreign Ministry announced. She was "assured of all her rights...is in a
good state of health and is cooperating with the investigation," it added in
But an investigation of what? The ministry gave no further details. "They
told us that she is accused of stealing state secrets," Phan-Gillis's
daughter, Katherine, said after the Foreign Ministry's September 22
statement, breaking the family's six-month silence on the affair. But in the
year since she was detained at the border, Chinese officials have not
produced evidence of any illegal activity by her. And a year after her
arrest, she remains a prisoner in the ancient city of Nanning, 365 miles
west of Hong Kong, undergoing constant interrogation. There are no charges,
much less a public arraignment and trial, in sight. [Read more:
Free Range Data Reveals All. National intelligence
services (like the CIA and MI6) continue to find themselves relying more and
more on civilian sources for the best data and analysis. A recent example
was revealed because of all the anxiety over the huge numbers of illegal
migrants trying to get into Europe and other Western countries, many of them
by boat. Turns out that the best tool for reducing the use of ships for
smuggling was an Israeli firm that built a business on creating a database
of normal, and abnormal (and usually illegal) behavior by ships at sea for
shipping and maritime insurance companies.
This data was easier to collect since the 1990s when all larger ships were
required to use the AIS (Automated Identification System) which is
essentially an automatic radio beacon (transponder) that, when it receives a
signal from a nearby AIS equipped ship, responds with the ship's identity,
course, and speed. This is meant to enable AIS ships to avoid collisions
with each other. An AIS activity database makes it possible to identify
patterns of normal and abnormal behavior. The abnormal behavior, like
arriving outside a port and waiting for several days to enter, is what
smugglers are often forced to do to avoid arrest. Same thing with travelling
outside the most efficient (in terms of fuel used and weather encountered)
routes. With enough of this data and a thorough analysis it is very
difficult for seagoing criminals to escape detection. Now that navies and
coast guards are increasing using this "maritime BI (Business Intelligence)"
tool to more quickly shut down the criminal gangs making over a billion
dollars a year from all this people smuggling.
AIS is also used to send ships important traffic and weather information.
AIS is one of two ship tracking systems required, by law, for most ocean
going ships. INMARSAT (International Maritime Satellite) is a more elaborate
and longer range system. It enables shipping companies to keep track of
their vessels no matter where they are on the planet. INMARSAT uses a system
of satellites, which transmit AIS-like signals to anywhere on the oceans. It
only costs a few cents to send an INMARSAT signal to one of your ships and a
few cents more to receive a reply. Shipping companies have found the
INMARSAT a useful business tool as well as a safety feature.
These two systems are now required by law (international agreements) for all
sea going vessels greater than 300-tons. [Read more: StrategyPage/10March2016]
Police Chief Pitches High-Tech Intelligence Center. Imagine
you're a Wilmington Police Department officer riding alone in your squad
A 911 dispatcher on the radio tells you a man armed with a gun is nearby.
You activate your lights and siren and head to the reported location.
What happens next depends on a lot of factors, but this much is clear - the
officer headed to the scene typically only has second or third-hand
information that may be incomplete or inaccurate.
Wilmington Police Chief Ralph Evangelous is proposing a new real-time
information center to assist law enforcement, augmenting New Hanover
County's 911 Center. [Read more: March/StarNews/14March2016]
III - COMMENTARY
Advice for Next President: Rocky Road Ahead.
To: The next president of the United States.
From: US intelligence officials.
Welcome to the White House. Now read our take on global political landscape
and trends for the next five years and beyond. Bottom line: Get ready for a
rocky road. [Read more: Riechmann/AP/13March2016]
Why This Recent
Piece of ISIS Intelligence Stands Out. Two bonanzas surfaced in
the war against the Islamic State of Iraq and Greater Syria (ISIS) last
week, although placing them in proper perspective proved daunting. You
wouldn't have gleaned any insight at Friday's Pentagon press briefing, where
Baghdad-based Army Colonel Steve Warren handled multiple questions via video
conference about ISIS's chemical weapons. But he didn't get a single one on
the list of 22,000 ISIS members that fell into the hands of the anti-ISIS
coalition led by the US.
The revelation that US commandos snared ISIS's chemical-weapons chief was
important, but it pales alongside the flash drive containing a roster of
ISIS agents a disgruntled militant handed over to Britain's Sky News. Other
news organizations in Europe received similar data, and US officials say
it's already being shared with Western intelligence agencies. Each episode,
in its own way, suggests progress in the 20-month US-lead war on the the
The capture of Iraqi Sleiman Daoud al-Afari transformed him into the 21st
century's version of "Chemical Ali." The original was a Saddam Hussein
general who earned the moniker for killing thousands of Kurds with mustard
gas, sarin, tabun and VX in the 1980s and 1990s (the original "Chemical
Ali," Ali Hassan Abd al-Majid al-Tikriti, was hanged in 2010). Afari's
seizure by US Army Delta Force commandos has led to air strikes on a pair
of alleged mustard-gas stockpiles he purportedly identified near Mosul,
Iraq's second-largest city, and one that ISIS has held for nearly two years.
Both Iraq and Syria have had mustard gas in their arsenals in the past.
US forces feared such chemical weapons during the 2003 invasion of Iraq,
and trained in heavy and cumbersome suits to limit their exposure. But the
only US casualties resulting from Iraq's chemical weapons happened when
US troops stumbled upon abandoned stockpiles. Mustard gas, while potent,
killed only 5% of the troops exposed to it during World War I. [Read
Dramatic Intelligence Breach Really Help the Fight Against ISIS? Has
the Islamic State intelligence network been breached? Or did the
organization, also called ISIS, decide itself to make public the names of
its fighters? That is the question preoccupying global intelligence services
after Sky News revealed last week that a dissatisfied ISIS recruit, Abu
Hamed, had given it a memory stick with lists of names of 22,000 ISIS
jihadists in Syria and Iraq.
In parallel, the Syrian opposition website Zaman Alwasl published
information including various identifying details of 1,700 ISIS candidates,
collected from application forms the would-be volunteers were required to
Although they date back to 2013, these lists - which German intel sources
believe are authentic, and whose publication is being called a coup -
constitute what may be the most important intelligence discovery the West
has achieved to date in this realm.
Among other things, the information includes the names of the candidates'
families, the individual's home address, skills and educational background.
The registration forms show that ISIS has a regulated, orderly recruitment
process. The applicants have to declare whether their primary purpose in
enlisting would be to fight, commit suicide or engage in religious activity.
They are required to disclose their blood type, years of schooling, country
of origin and assets at home, as well as to provide references. [Read
Section IV - Obituary
Frank Terpil, former CIA operative who went rogue to court the world’s worst dictators, and defected to Cuba, has died.
Frank Terpil, a former CIA officer who defected to Cuba in 1981 to avoid charges of criminal conspiracy, has died. He was 76. Terpil resigned from the CIA in 1970, after he was caught running a pyramid scheme in India, where he had been posted by the CIA. Soon after his forced resignation from the Agency, US federal prosecutors leveled criminal charges on Terpil and his business partner. The former officer was also charged with conspiracy to commit murder, after it was found that he had helped facilitate the illegal transfer of over 20 tons of plastic explosives to the government of Libya.
Terpil managed to leave the US and reappeared in Lebanon in 1980, shortly before a court in New York sentenced him in absentia to five decades in prison for conspiring to smuggle 10,000 submachine guns to African warlords, including Uganda’s dictator Idi Amin. As agents of various countries started to zero in on Terpil’s Lebanon hideout, he disappeared again and resurfaced in 1981 in Havana, Cuba. Shortly afterwards, Cuba’s General Intelligence Directorate hired him as an operative under the operational alias CURIEL. Since that time, Terpil has been repeatedly mentioned as having played a part in Cuban intelligence operations around the world, but rarely gave interviews. He appeared again in 2014, however, in a documentary entitled “Mad Dog: Inside the Secret World of Muammar Gaddafi”. The film was made by British company Fresh One Productions on behalf of Showtime, an American premium cable and satellite television network. In the documentary, Terpil admitted that he helped the Libyan dictator “eliminate” his opponents —most of them Libyan exiles living abroad. [Read more: the Guardian/6 March 2016]
Section V - Admin: Upcoming Events
AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN
COMING TWO MONTHS....
17 March 2016, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO - "I have lived within
60 miles of a dangerous, cunning terrorist for the past 25 years." -
Presentation at the Rocky Mountain Chapter
Warren Gerig, the RMC Vice President, will discuss "I
have lived within 60 miles of a dangerous, cunning terrorist for the past
Mr. Gerig will discuss his dealing with a terrorist who is currently
confined in the Florence SuperMax prison. This story and information at
the time was not available to US Government Intelligence Services because
it all happened in the confines of privately owned airlines in the Far
East some 25 years ago.
Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at firstname.lastname@example.org for location details.
The cost of the meal is $15.
We will also discuss the passing of the Rocky Mountain Chapter refounder,
Board Secretary Richard Durham. The Chapter Board is
looking for a replacement secretary for Mr. Durham.
All presentations to the RMC, AFIO are non-attribution so the speakers can
feel free to provide information with the assurance it will not be
18 March 2016, 10:30am - 2pm - Tysons, VA - AFIO National Spring
Luncheon features Gen. Michael V. Hayden, former director, CIA and
NSA, discussing "Playing to the Edge" and David Priess, author and
former CIA analyst and briefer, on The President's Book of
Michael Hayden at this luncheon will provide a
high-level master narrative of America's intelligence wars. He is the only
person to helm both CIA and NSA, at a time of heinous new threats and
major change. For General Michael Hayden, playing to the edge means
playing so close to the line that you get chalk dust on your cleats.
Otherwise, by playing back, you may protect yourself, but you will be less
successful in protecting America. "Play to the edge" was Hayden's guiding
principle when he ran the National Security Agency, and it remained so
when he ran CIA. In his view, many shortsighted and uninformed
people are quick to criticize, and this book will give them much to chew
on but little easy comfort; it is an unapologetic insider's look told from
the perspective of the people who faced awesome responsibilities head on,
in the moment. A review of Playing to the Edge just appeared in
the Wall Street Journal at this link.
David Priess, author and former CIA analyst, manager,
and intelligence briefer, is the author of The President's Book of
Secrets which will be released at this event.
Every day, the President receives a report revealing the most sensitive
intelligence reporting and analysis of world events: the President's
Daily Brief, or PDB. CIA spies, the NSA's listening posts, and
the nation's reconnaissance satellites steal secrets for it, while
America's enemies send undercover agents to try to unearth its classified
content. No major foreign policy decisions are made without it. Yet the
PDB's stories have gone untold―until now. The Priess book contains
original input from more than 100 interviews with former intelligence
leaders and policymakers--including all of the living former Presidents
and Vice Presidents and the vast majority of living former CIA Directors,
DDIs, National Security Advisors, and Secretaries of State and Defense.
This new work also incorporates previously unpublished material from
various Presidential libraries.
Register here while space remains.
Sheraton Tysons Hotel, 8661 Leesburg Pike, Tysons, VA
22182. Phone: (703) 448-1234. Driving directions at this link.
Do you wish to stay in hotel overnight?
A special room rate of $189 for Thursday evening, only, is available at this link.
Wake up, enjoy breakfast, and come down elevator to the meeting.
2016, 2 pm - Kennebunk, ME - The AFIO Maine Chapter hosts Dr. Andrew
S. Erickson on "China's Cabbage Strategy"
Dr. Andrew S. Erickson, professor of strategy at the US
Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute, will be the featured
speaker at the March 19 meeting of the AFIO Maine Chapter.
Dr. Erickson's talk, titled 'China's Cabbage Strategy: New-Type Great
Power Relations, the South China Sea, and Irregular Forces Therein,' will
include an overview of recent strategic military moves by China, and the
potential impact on Japan, South Korea and US interests. Beijing has
deployed the world's largest blue water coast guard and maritime militia
and has been employing them in a 'cabbage,' or layered envelopment,
A world-renowned expert on Chinese military and naval affairs, Dr.
Erickson is also a research associate at Harvard University's John King
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies. He has lectured extensively at
government, academic, and private sector institutions throughout the
United States and Asia, and provided expert testimony and support to
Congress and various executive branch offices.
The meeting, open to the public, begins at 2 p.m. in the Program Center of
the Brick Store Museum, 4 Dane St., Kennebunk. A question period will
follow the presentation.
No pre-registration is required.
Monday, 21 March
2016, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro Chapter Meeting
features a presentation by Paddy Hayes, Irish author of newly released
"Queen of Spies: Daphne Park, Britain's Cold War Spy Master."
Irish Author Paddy Hayes discusses Queen of Spies,
his new book about Daphne Park (1921 - 2010) top British spy during the
Cold War. Baroness Park of Monmouth (OBE) (CMG) spent her youth on the
African plains and eventually became Chief of Western Hemisphere
operations for the Secret Intelligence Service (SIS). A fascinating
successful career and book, very well reviewed!
LOCATION: Society of Illustrators building 128 East 63rd Street Between
Park and Lexington Avenues in Manhattan
TIME: Registration Starts 5:30 PM. Meeting Starts 6 PM.
COST: $50/person Cash or check only.
REGISTER: Strongly suggested, not required. Phone Jerry Goodwin
646-717-3776 or Email: email@example.com.
Tuesday, 12 April 2016, 11:30 a.m. - MacDill AFB, FL - The Florida Suncoast Chapter hosts Col Derek Harvey, USA(R) on "The Middle East, the Battle Within Islam and US Policy" - and chapter holds elections.
The Florida Suncoast Chapter's luncheon meeting features Col Derek Harvey (USA, ret), Co-Director of the Global Initiative at the University of South Florida, speaking on “The Middle East, the Battle Within Islam and US policy”.
The Chapter is also holding its elections.
Check-in starting at 1130 hours
Cash wine and soda bar open at 1130 hours for those who wish to come early to socialize
Opening ceremonies, lunch and business meeting at noon, followed by our speaker
Please RSVP to the Chapter Secretary at firstname.lastname@example.org no later than noon on Tuesday, April 5, for yourself and any guests. You will receive a confirmation via email. If you do not get a confirmation, please contact the Chapter Secretary.
You must present your $20 check payable to “Suncoast Chapter, AFIO” (or cash) at check-in to cover the luncheon. If you make a reservation, and fail to cancel and get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and then don’t show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon.
Anyone with special AFIO Base Access should proceed to the Bayshore Gate. If you need directions, let us know.
Location: the Surf’s Edge Club, MacDill AFB, 7315 Bayshore Boulevard, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Badge pick-up at 11:30 a.m.; program starts at noon.
Other Upcoming Events
Wednesday, 16 March 2016, 7:30 to 8:45 p.m. - McLean, VA - The Westminister Institute hears from terrorism expert/intel officer Michael Pregent on "How Iran Fuels ISIS."
The event will include a light reception with drinks and snacks. The event is being held at the Westminster Institute's headquarters at 6729 Curran St. in McLean, VA. Park on Curran St or in the parking lot behind the Westminster Institute.
Terrorism expert Michael Pregent is a former U.S. Army intelligence officer for 28 years serving in the Middle East, north Africa, and southwest Asia. With expertise in security, terrorism, counter-insurgency, and policy issues, he was an advisor on the malign influence of Iran in Iraq's Security and Intelligence apparatus, which included working with Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's office of the Commander-in-Chief. He also served as an embedded advisor with the Peshmerga in Mosul in 2005-06.
A dynamic and knowledgeable speaker, Mr. Pregent worked for DIA and as military advisor to USF-1 focusing on reconciliation, the insurgency, and Iranian influence in Iraq from 2007-2011. From 2011 to 2013, he was an analyst on violent extremist for CENTCOM.
Mr. Pregent has a Masters in Strategic Public Relations from George Washington University and is a graduate of the U.S. Army's Defense Language Institute in Modern Standard Arabic and Egyptian Dialect. He is an adjunct fellow at Hudson Institute.
To register or for more information, call Robert Reilly at (703)-477-4655 or use this link.
23 - 24
March 2016 - McLean, VA - NMIA Classified Access Symposium 2016 - A
Deep Look within the Intelligence Community (IC)
Send in your security clearances to NMIA (National Military Intelligence
Association) so that you are ready to attend NMIA's SECRET/NOFORN
Intelligence Symposium being held, as always, at the SECRET level. Event
will feature senior military and defense intelligence agencies. Hear
leaders discuss "A Deep Look within the Intelligence Community (IC)."
Explores how these organizations plan to optimize intelligence
effectiveness in one of the most challenging periods in US history.
Particular emphasis on the "Big 5" and Service "2s" with focus on meeting
dynamic and changing demands on intelligence in face of our country's
fiscal challenges. This is an opportunity to hear more about budget,
organizational changes, new programs and programs that are ending, future
IC contractor workforce projections, current government workforce issues
and initiatives, and anticipated improvements to acquisition activities as
well as acquisition priorities.
Event location: MITRE Auditorium, 7525 Colshire Dr, McLean, Virginia.
Symposium conducted at the SECRET/NOFORN security level.
April 2016 - Austin, TX - Gala Dinner Honoring Admiral Bobby R. Inman
A Gala Dinner Honoring Admiral Bobby R. Inman has been
announced by University of Texas/Austin President Gregory L. Fenves to
take place at the Four Seasons Hotel in Austin, Texas.
Presented by the Clements Center for National Security and the Strauss
Center for International Security and Law, a gala dinner for Admiral Bobby
R. Inman will feature former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates as the
keynote speaker. Mr. Red McCombs will serve as the Honorary Gala Chair.
Admiral Inman is on AFIO's Honorary Board.
To attend or for more information, contact the Clements Center at
512-471-2601 or explore this link.
11 May 2016 - Washington, DC - Night of Heroes Gala - The PenFed
Foundation 2016 Gala
PUT THIS DATE ON YOUR CALENDAR and then Join the PenFed Foundation, our
partners and friends, Wednesday, 11 May 2016, as we honor those who lead
the way in supporting our military and veterans. All proceeds benefit the
PenFed Foundation, helping members of the military secure the financial
future they deserve.
DINNER ★ HERO AWARDS PRESENTATION ★ LIVE AUCTION
Consider having your corporation or foundation be a sponsor for this
worthwhile event. SPONSORSHIP LEVELS are as follows:
$100,000 Circle of Honor; $50,000 Legendary Hero; $25,000 Distinguished
Hero; $10,000 Inspirational Hero; $5,000 Patriotic Hero; $1,000 Individual
More details coming soon. More info here.
Location: Ronald Reagan Building & International Trade Center,
15 - 18
May 2016 - Orlando, FL - 2016 USGIF GEOINT Symposium - "The GEOINT
The United States Geospatial Intelligence Foundation's (USGIF) GEOINT
2016 Symposium takes place May 15-18 at the Gaylord Palms Resort &
Convention Center in Orlando, FL. The GEOINT 2016 theme is "The GEOINT
Revolution" ― in recognition of the advent and confluence of multiple
technologies advancing geospatial intelligence and promoting its ubiquity.
Options include GEOINT Foreword, the pre-symposium science and
technology-focused day, and some 60 hours of training and education
sessions! To explore the main program and the options, visit here.
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