AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #42-16 dated 1 November 2016

NOTE: Users of Apple products and some newer Microsoft email programs recently discovered that the internal links (table of contents to story and back) found in many emailed newsletters no longer work, including AFIO's Weekly Notes.

Research shows that this is a bug in Apple's iOS 8 onwards in the way that webpages handle internal links when viewed as an email.
If that is the case for you, use the following link to view this newsletter online.

[Editors' Note are now below the CONTENTS] REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV - Events

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events

For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events 

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors:  pjk, mh, gh, mk, rd, fm, kc, jm, mr, jg, th and fwr. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.
CAVEATS: IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link. You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.

     

Document of the Week:

Last evening CIA released Jack Pfeiffer's vol. 5 of his internal CIA history of the Bay of Pigs operation. Professor David Barrett (Villanova Univ) requested its release and succeeded via a lawsuit after many others had failed. The 181-page PDF of the Pfeiffer document can be accessed here.  
A short article on Barrett's lawsuit appeared in Philadelphia Magazine last summer here.

CIA avoided declassifying the volume for many years.The Pfeiffer document does not create any major new understanding of the Bay of Pigs and contains only a few interesting new details. It is essentially a critique of the Inspector General's already critical report on Bay of Pigs, which blamed the agency for the failure. Pfeiffer claimed IG Lyman Kirkpatrick's report was biased and incompetent, and that the obvious cause of the failure was JFK's decision to cancel a planned 2nd airstrike in support of the invaders at Bay of Pigs.

Pfeiffer suggests that CIA had kept the IG report and other internal analyses of Bay of Pigs classified to avoid airing "dirty laundry." (p. 4). [Some might suggest it also sought to avoid exposing JFK's bad judgment. Intelligence agencies are often the scapegoat for bad decisions by others.] Other interesting parts: He says CIA hired a couple of people to write the true story of Bay of Pigs with the hope of having Life Magazine or another outlet publish it, but State Dept objections halted the scheme. The authors went on to write the article. (p. 87-90)
Barrett adds that it is not earth-shaking history and unfortunate that CIA opposed the declassification for five years until the filing of a second lawsuit forced it to relent. (The National Security Archive sued a few years earlier, unsuccessfully.)

In the end, the absence of much substance in the Pfeiffer Vol. 5 proves CIA was wise to not spend time on the declassification of something that adds little to a period already well-covered in other accounts. As CIA Historian David Robarge writes in an opening page, "...in the judgment of CIA Chief Historians as well as other reviewers, because of serious shortcomings in scholarship, its polemical tone, and its failure to add significantly to an understanding of the controversy over the Bay of Pigs operation..." this fifth draft volume was not publishable in its present form. The release hasn't changed that impression.


Books of the Week:

The Targeter: My Life in the CIA, on the Hunt for the Godfather of ISIS
by Nada Bakos
(Little Brown; February 2017)

In 1999, 30-year-old Nada Bakos moved from her lifelong home in Montana to Washington, DC, to join the CIA. Quickly realizing her affinity for intelligence work, Nada was determined to rise through the ranks of the agency first as an analyst and then as a Targeting Officer, eventually finding herself on the frontline of America's War against Islamic extremists. In this role, Nada was charged with finding the godfather of ISIS and mastermind of al Qaida in Iraq: Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

In a tight, tension-packed narrative that takes the reader from Langley deep into Iraq, Bakos reveals the inner workings of the Agency and the largely hidden world of intelligence gathering post 9/11. Entrenched in the predominantly male world of the CIA, Bakos belonged to a small yet dedicated sisterhood leading U.S. Special Operations Forces to the doorstep of one of the world's most wanted terrorists.

Filled with on-the-ground insights and poignant personal anecdotes, The Targeter shows us the great personal sacrifice that comes with intelligence work. This is Nada's story, but it is also an intimate chronicle of how a group of determined, ambitious men and women worked tirelessly in the heart of the CIA to ensure our nation's safety at home and abroad. -- Kirkus Review
The book may be pre-ordered here.

Rough Justice: The True Story of Agent Dronkers, the Enemy Spy Captured by the British
by David Tremain; and Foreword by Nigel West
(Amberley Publishing, UK, 4/2017)

The morning of May 18, 1942, three Dutchmen were captured in the North Sea and taken to MI5. It became clear that one in particular, Johannes Marinus Dronkers, had a hidden agenda: to betray secrets about the state of Britain's war preparedness to the German Abwehr. But it wasn't that simple. Was Dronkers innocent, or was he made an example of by the British authorities, his fate pre-determined by the climate of war-torn Britain? Using publicly available official files and other sources, this book examines the details of Dronker's recruitment, capture and interrogation by MI5, as well as his trial. David Tremain compares the Dronkers case with that of other wartime spies, reveals the Abwehr's lost recipe for secret ink and exposes exactly what made a Dutchman escape to England in 1942 betray his country. This strange story has remained an obscure episode of World War II until now.

The book may be pre-ordered here



Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

ODNI: Congress Appropriated $53B to National Intell Program for FY 2016.  Congress appropriated $53 billion in total funds to the Office of the Director of National Intelligence's National Intelligence Program during fiscal year 2016.

ODNI said Friday it will not disclose any "subsidiary information" on the NIP budget in order to protect national security.

The 2016 appropriated figure is higher than the $50.4 billion the agency requested for fiscal 2016 NIP-related activities.

NIP was established to support intelligence operations by various federal departments and the Central Intelligence Agency in efforts to protect the US against outside threats.  [Read more:  Adams/ExecutiveGov/31October2016]

Defense Language Institute Celebrates 75 Years.  The Defense Language Institute Foreign Language Center at the Presidio of Monterey, California, celebrates its 75th anniversary this year as the provider of culturally based foreign language education, training and sustainment for the Department of Defense since 1941.

"Time and time again, the nation's leadership - military or civilian - must make informed decisions that rely on insight provided by a professional military linguist somewhere in that decision cycle," said Col. Phil Deppert, the current commandant at the Institute.

"Thankfully, those that preceded us at DLIFLC had the vision, foresight, instinct and agility to transform themselves and the institute to respond to our Nation's needs."

A multitude of celebration events are scheduled for early November. The Black Daggers, the official Army Special Operations Command parachute demonstration team, will jump into Soldier Field at the Presidio for the Hall of Fame induction ceremony Friday.   [Read more:  Bray/Army/31October2016]

India to Expel Officer From Pakistani Mission, Calling Him a Spy.  India announced on Thursday that it was expelling a Pakistani officer at the country's diplomatic mission in New Delhi, accusing him of using his consular position to develop an espionage ring, a move likely to worsen tensions between the nuclear-armed neighbors.

The Delhi police said the officer, Mehmood Akhtar, had served for more than two years in the mission's visa section, which they said had allowed him to recruit Indian citizens to spy for Pakistan.

A statement from the Pakistani Foreign Ministry rejected the accusations as "false and unsubstantiated."

In a tit-for-tat announcement Thursday evening, Pakistan announced it would expel an Indian official posted in Islamabad, giving his family 48 hours to leave the country.  [Read more:  Barry/NYTimes/27October2016]

Carter Awards DoD's Highest Civilian Award to National Intel Director Clapper.  In 2005, when the Office of the Director of National Intelligence stood up, many critics said it would never work.

The argument was that the intelligence community was too parochial, and therefore the 17 government intelligence agencies wouldn't cooperate, much less meld.

The director of national intelligence would be yet another layer between the intelligence agencies and their users: the White House, the Defense Department, the State Department and others, critics said.

But 11 years later at the headquarters of the Office of National Intelligence here today, Defense Secretary Ash Carter presented James R. Clapper, the director of national intelligence, with the Distinguished Civilian Service Medal, the Defense Department's highest civilian award.  [Read more:  Garamone/DOD/28October2016]

IC Vet Amy McAuliffe to Chair National Intelligence Council.  Amy McAuliffe, a 20-year Intelligence Community veteran and a CIA officer, has been appointed by Director of National Intelligence James Clapper as chair of the National Intelligence Council.

McAuliffe will succeed the departing Gregory Treverton and provide intelligence to the US president, military chiefs and policymakers to help facilitate decisions on national security issues, Clapper said in a news release published Friday.

McAuliffe served in management and leadership roles at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence's president's daily brief staff and CIA's office of Middle East and North African analysis.

Treverton, who will return to academia, was appointed NCI chairman and adviser to Clapper in September 2014.  [Read more:  Edwards/ExecutiveGov/31October2016]

Report: Chinese Spies Stole Pentagon Secrets.  Chinese spies repeatedly infiltrated US national security agencies, including official email accounts, and stole US secrets on Pentagon war plans for a future conflict with China, according to a forthcoming congressional commission report.

"The United States faces a large and growing threat to its national security from Chinese intelligence collection operations," states the late draft report of the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission.

"Among the most serious threats are China's efforts at cyber and human infiltration of US national security entities."

Chinese intelligence activities have "risen significantly" in the past 15 years and are conducted through several spy services, including the Ministry of State Security (MSS), the People's Liberation Army (PLA), and Communist Party military organizations such as the PLA General Political Department and the Party's United Front Work Department.  [Read more:  Gertz/WashingtonFreeBeacon/27October2016]



Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

NSA Deputy Chief Richard Ledgett Jr. on Edward Snowden's True Motivations.  If Snowden were sitting across from you, what would you say?

I'd ask him, Why did you do what you did? The narrative that he's told publicly about this actually doesn't track if you parse the timelines. He says he was motivated by Jim Clapper's remarks to Senator Wyden and the revelation that those remarks weren't accurate. If you look at the timeline, Snowden was actually stealing material and in contact with reporters eight months before that, so that doesn't track.

So even if the timeline doesn't scan, do you question his motivation?

I do. I know a lot about this. I probably spent more time than anybody but our chief investigator on the actual investigation on this. I know a lot that I still can't talk about because it's sensitive investigational stuff. And if he does ever come back to the United States it will be part of the government's case against him. The things that I can say, I think a lot of what was in the House Intelligence Committee's report where they talk about him actually being mad about being disciplined - I think that actually tracks more with motivation.

Do you think history will ultimately decide what Snowden did helped the country?

That's a really hard one. I think if you weigh the benefit and the harm, the balance comes out pretty far on the harm side. That doesn't mean that there was absolutely no good to what he did. And I think that's an important nuance. It's heavily weighted towards harm. The little bit of good is forcing a conversation that we probably should have had earlier. And for me that was a lesson learned. That we should have talked about the particular authority, the Patriot Act authority, earlier in the process.  [Read more:  Heim/WashingtonPost/27November2016]

The FBI's Fake Russian Agent Reveals His Secrets.  Dimitry Droujinsky is on his third cup of black coffee when he starts talking about his toughest case. "It was what we called in the bureau 'an old dog case,'" he says. He smiles. "Twenty-eight years old." But when it comes to tracking spies and discovering which secrets they have betrayed, counterintelligence never forgets.

We're alone, sitting in the dimly lit back room of a restaurant in Northern Virginia. The case he's talking about unfolded in the spring of 1993 in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. It involved a clerk who worked for the National Security Agency for three years in the mid-1960s, in a branch that gave him access to classified documents transmitted or received from NSA stations all over the world. Federal agents had evidence that he had sold some of that super secret organization's most sensitive information to the KGB, but not enough to prosecute him. "I said I knew it would be hard," Droujinsky says. "I didn't realize how hard."

He booked a motel room in Lancaster. Government technicians set up recording equipment in the next room and trained a video camera through a pinhole in the wall. And if the target refused to meet at the motel? "Just in case," Droujinsky says, sipping more coffee, "I had a briefcase with a recorder."

His moment had come. He picked up the phone in his motel room and dialed. When a man answered, Dimitry Droujinsky did what the FBI depended on him to do.  [Read more:  Wise/SmithsonianMagazine/November2016]

Las Vegas Spy Show, Hosted by Former CIA Agent, Set to Spill Secrets of the Trade.  What do you do when you've spent much of your adult life carrying a gun, keeping secrets and learning the survival skills designed to keep you alive in hostile territory from Kabul to Bogota?

You spill all those secrets on a stage in Las Vegas.

At least that's what Jason Hanson will be doing for at least seven days in "Spy Escape & Evasion Las Vegas" at the Stratosphere, 2000 Las Vegas Blvd. South. The ex-CIA officer is teaching audiences how to escape from duct tape or rope, how to protect yourself from identity theft, how to become a human lie detector and other spy skills.

"It's going to be interactive, so we're going to invite up audience members and duct tape them to a chair and show them how easy it is to get out of it," Hanson said. "It's a blend of safety and survival skills but also a lot of fun."  [Read more:  Taylor/LasVegasReviewJournal/25October2016]

The Spy Who Couldn't Spell: How the Biggest Heist in the History of US Espionage Was Foiled.  The classrooms and hallways of Farmingdale High in Long Island were deserted on the morning of Saturday 19 August 2001, when a van pulled into the school's parking lot. Turning off the engine, the driver - a tall man in his late 30s - stepped out into the warm summer sun. He cast a sweeping gaze upon the institution he had graduated from two decades earlier.

Whatever nostalgia he might have felt for his old school was tinged with bitterness. It was here that he had suffered some of life's early humiliations: taunted by classmates for his apparent dimwittedness; held in low esteem by his teachers. If they remembered him at all, they would remember him as the boy who had difficulty reading. The boy who was so bad with spellings. His bearish frame may have protected him from physical bullying, but combined with his severe dyslexia and his social awkwardness, it had also cemented his image as a dolt.

That image had stuck with him, despite a successful career in US intelligence, where he had been given access to some of the country's most valued secrets. Being underestimated - by family, classmates and colleagues - had been the theme of his life, a curse he had borne silently since childhood. But for the mission he had now embarked upon, it was a blessing. None of his co-workers or managers in the intelligence community could have imagined that he of all people was capable of masterminding a complex espionage plot.

From the parking lot, he walked to the edge of the school grounds. Squeezing through a hole in the barbed wire fence next to the handball courts, he stepped into a wooded area that separated the nearby highway from the school perimeter. Walking a few yards, he stopped by a tree and dug a hole in the ground. He took a laminated list of phone numbers out of his pocket and buried it there before walking back to his van, confident that nobody had seen him.  [Read more:  Bhattacharjee/TheGuardian/26October2016]

OSS: The Predecessor of the CIA.  What do civil rights leader Ralph Bunche, Hollywood director John Ford and culinary icon Julia Child have in common? All three were operatives in the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), the nation's first modern intelligence agency and the forerunner of the modern CIA. Even as the population of living World War II veterans continues to shrink, a movement is underway to honor the surviving members of the "greatest generation" of spies with the Congressional Gold Medal. At its peak in 1944, some 13,000 operatives, including 4,500 women, worked for the OSS in the United States and abroad. Their efforts gathering intelligence and fomenting resistance behind enemy lines helped the Allies successfully invade Normandy on D-Day, among many other operations.

Before 1940, the US State Department, FBI and the different branches of the military all had their own security and counterintelligence operations, which did not easily share information with each other. With another war raging in Europe, however, President Franklin D. Roosevelt wanted greater coordination when it came to gathering and acting on intelligence. In July 1941, he tapped Colonel William J. Donovan, known as "Wild Bill," for a newly created office, Coordinator of Information (COI).

Donovan, who served as a battalion commander in the 165th Infantry Regiment during World War I, was one of the nation's most decorated war heroes. As he began laying the groundwork for a coordinated intelligence network, based partially on the example of the British Secret Intelligence Service (MI6), the new COI office provoked suspicion and hostility from other US agencies, including J. Edgar Hoover's FBI and the War Department's Military Intelligence Division, better known as the G-2.

After the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, Roosevelt acted swiftly to improve US intelligence capabilities even further. In June 1942, he issued an executive order establishing the OSS, which replaced the COI and was charged with collecting and analyzing strategic intelligence and running special operations outside the other branches of the US military, under the control of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. As head of the OSS, Donovan was frustrated when his rival agencies effectively blocked access to intercepted Axis communication, the most vital source of wartime intelligence.  [Read more:  Pruitt/History/28October2016]

Ex-CIA Director Hayden: If US Can Hack Into Russian Emails, It Should.  The hacking of Democratic National Committee emails is fair game in the world of spies and international espionage, the former director of the CIA and NSA told students Friday at Carnegie Mellon University.

Retired Gen. Michael Hayden said if he still were the National Security Agency director and could hack his way into Russian email accounts to see the relationship between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, "Game on."

"It's what adult nations do to one another," Hayden said, insisting the DNC accounts were hacked by Russian criminal gangs acting at the direction of Moscow. "But the Russians then went beyond this. They just didn't conduct the espionage to gain information to learn. They then weaponized the data.. and are shoving it into the American political process."

"I think just to mess with your heads," Hayden added, saying he doesn't think Putin is trying to pick a winner but rather trying to erode confidence in our system.  [Read more:  Aupperlee/TribLive/28October2016]

Access Daybreak: Inside the CIA Museum.  It's a place you will only get to see if you work for the Central Intelligence Agency or are related to someone who does; even this work place has "family days."

Last Saturday, 13News Now got the rare opportunity to see a part of the CIA museum opened first in 1997 in celebration of the 50th anniversary of the agency. It has since grown slowly through the extreme dedication of its director, Toni Hiley.

Hiley walks through countless covert CIA artifacts. The museum is filled with items that represent operations dating back to its inception when it was called the Office of Strategic Services. There are drones that look like dragonflies and reconnaissance fish. But, there are very few items in the CIA museum that are as meaningful to its current workforce than the ones from the raid that killed Osama Bin Laden.

"With 70 percent of our workforce having joined since 9/11, it's absolutely critical at this point in our history that we understand the officers that have gone before us," said Hiley.  [Read more:  Bustamante/WVEC/26October2016]

How I Found Out My Dad Was an MI6 Spy.  You could describe my birth as an accident of Empire. My mother grew up in western Victoria, my father in the English county of Hampshire. The cause of their meeting, albeit indirect, was that my paternal grandfather, a Royal Navy admiral, was posted to Australia in the years leading up to World War II to command and rebuild the RAN, which had been much depleted of both ships and officers during the Depression.

My father, John Colvin, was still in England at the Royal Naval College, Dartmouth. But his sister Prudence was at school here with my mother, Anne Manifold, and that connection was what would ultimately bring the two families together.

When, after the war, my mother escaped what she had begun to find the stifling and parochial atmosphere of 1940s Melbourne and sailed for Britain, that tenuous link would eventually lead her to meet and fall in love with my father.

They married on December 18,1948, my father distinguished in naval uniform complete with sword, my mother elegant, slim and beautiful in pleated white satin. They honeymooned in Paris, a blissful short break from the rigours of postwar British rationing. I was born just over three years later, by which time the deep chill of the Cold War had really settled in. And it was the Cold War that dictated our movements as a family and defined the first half of my life, because my father was a warrior in its front line.  [Read more:  Colvin/SydneyMorningHerald/29October2016]

Road Scholar Launches Learning Adventure Exploring the CIA, Terrorism & More With Intelligence Experts, Operatives and Historians.   Is the innocent-appearing woman sitting at an outdoor cafe table waiting for the next drop-off? What's in the suitcase of the young man at the bus stop? Is the tourist standing in the shadow of the Jefferson Memorial actually a mole harboring national secrets?

Danger and intrigue lurk seemingly everywhere in today's world, with countries looking for an edge on each other and new hot spots of terrorism popping up by the day and their tentacles reaching into everyday lives.

Road Scholar, the world's largest educational travel organization, has developed a new learning adventure, "Inside the CIA With Intelligence Experts, Operatives and Historians," that takes its participants on a week-long journey into the covert operations of intelligence agencies in the US and beyond and illuminates topics like recent terrorist attacks here and abroad.

Led by internationally renowned intelligence officer and author Nigel West, participants hear real-life stories directly from those involved in covert actions, including the first female officer in Moscow, a former jihadist and the CIA's top-ranked female Arabist.  [Read more:  MarketWired/25October2016]



Section III - COMMENTARY

The Strategic Value of Intelligence to Confront 21st-Century Threats.  The biggest threat facing the United States, amidst vastly changed security structures, is miscalculation. The US has an ability to leverage away from that miscalculation: first, with an aggressive diplomatic core that is engaged everywhere in the world, all the time; and second, with good intelligence. Ongoing threats to security, and ones to which the intelligence must be able to respond, include Russia's aggressions, China's military and espionage expansion, and North Korea's nuclear program. While the US does have the advantage of smart weapons, smart ships, and smart aircraft, it will need to avoid restricting strategic intelligence efforts.

When I was the Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, we assembled some of the most able national security people in this town and in this country. Any success that I had was due, in part, to my staff director and the able team that he put together. I was always honored to call them colleagues and friends. We had very serious coursework and we tried to get the intelligence business right.

And I also want to point out that the quickest "yes" I ever gave to an invitation to speak was when David Shedd called me and asked if I would participate in today's symposium. He is a guy whose integrity is impeccable. I had the great privilege to work with him the entire time I served on the Intelligence Committee.

David, it was a loss when you left, and believe me there is still a hole there that is yet to be filled with your experience and your intellect that you applied both at the CIA and the DIA. For that service I want to say thank you very, very much. Well done.  [Read more:  Rogers/HeritageFoundation/27October2016]


Section IV - Events

AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Thursday, 10 November 2016, 11:30am - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Andre LeGallo Chapter hosts author and journalist, Peter Robinson on The Cambridge Spies

Journalist/author Peter Robinson discusses the Cambridge Spies at this AFIO San Francisco Chapter event. Robinson explores the impact of Kim Philby, Donald Maclean, Guy Burgess, Anthony Blunt and others on American-British relations.
Where: United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Ave between Sloat and Wawona, San Francisco, CA 94116.
Fee: Members $25; Non-Member guests $35. Non-host cocktails at 11:30AM; meeting starts promptly at noon.
Reservation and pre-payment is required before October 31, 2016. RSVP to Mariko Kawaguchi, Board Secretary, AFIO SF Chapter at afiosf@aol.com

12 November 2016 - Melbourne, FL - The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hosts Brevard County Sheriff Wayne Ivey on keynote speaker

The keynote speaker at this luncheon will be Brevard County Sheriff Wayne Ivey.

The meeting takes place at the At Ease Club, Indian River Colony Club, 1936 Freedom Dr., Melbourne, FL.
Attendance is by registration only. To register, go to www.afiofsc.com or contact FSC Chapter President at afiofsc@afio.com.

Saturday, 12 November 2016, 11 am - 3 pm - Orange Park, FL - AFIO Northern Florida Chapter Meeting - hold the date

Chapter president Dane Baird is currently arranging for a guest speaker, perhaps a current or former military flag officer, and information on the speaker will be announced in the chapter newsletter coming out later this month. As always, family and interested guests (especially potential members) are welcome to attend. Hope to see you there.
Event location: Country Club of Orange Park.
RSVP: Quiel Begonia at qbegonia@comcast.net or call him at (904) 545-9549.

Thursday, 17 November 2016, 6:30pm – Michigan - AFIO Johnny Micheal Spann Memorial Chapter, Michigan hosts Allan A. Myer Chairman of the Board The Israel Project and Member Board of Directors Crown Center for Middle East Studies.

Speaker: Allan A. Myer, Chairman of the Board The Israel Project and Member of the Board Crown Center for Middle East Studies
Allan served 25 years in the Army, rising from Private to retire in the grade of Colonel. His service included command of artillery units in Vietnam, in the 82nd Airborne Division, and with the 1st French Armored Division in NATO. He also served in strategic planning assignments in the Pentagon and on the faculty of the National War College and the Command and General Staff College.
As Director of Defense Programs The National Security Council, The White House, 1981-1983. Allan's responsibilities included U.S. national security strategy and policy, military manpower issues, political-military affairs in Europe, strategic weapons procurement, and select European arms control issues. He managed the Reagan Administration Review of U.S. National Security Strategy and wrote the implementation document (NSDD-32).
As a Presidential Speechwriter, 1983 to 1985, Allan wrote on a wide range of international, domestic, political and economic issues. He played a key role in strategic communications planning and policy formulation and was active in campaign speech writing during the 1984 Presidential campaign. As speechwriter to President Reagan, he developed, wrote and coordinated nearly a dozen major addresses on international and defense issues and scores of others on a multitude of topics.
Allen served as Director of Communication for the Northrop Corporation until 1991 where he was responsible for key elements of corporate communications, financial reporting, investor relations and public affairs, and Senior Vice President for Hill & Knowlton, Inc. until 1997 handling corporate PR, government affairs, media skills training and speechwriting for major office clients.
From 1997 to 2008 as President, Mediaworks Corporate Communications. Allan's company specialized in film making, strategic communications counsel, media skills training, crisis communications and multimedia presentations. His client list included The Boeing Company, Microsoft, Rolls Royce Engines, NASA, the Department of Defense, the Missile Defense Agency, the US Navy, Safeway, Shell Oil, Albertson's, Pfizer, Merck, Albertsons, PricewaterhouseCoopers, and PACCAR, among many others.

To attend and to learn of the precise location of event, contact Charles Kirkpatrick, Secretary, Michigan Chapter, at afio.secretary@afiomichigan.org or visit their website atwww.afiomichigan.org.

Thursday, 17 November 2016, 11:30am - Monument, CO - The AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter hosts Steve Pease on PsyWar in the Korean War.

Psychological warfare is one of the pervasive cliché's of the Korean War. Almost every movie involving the war has scenes where the Chinese Communists taunt UN soldiers over loudspeakers; blaring bugle calls interrupt the night and leaflets have sad messages from "Mom." This briefing, built on the speaker's Air War College paper and 1992 book, talks to how the US Army had to reinvent PsyWar after the post-WW2 disarmament and how the PsyWar plan was built on sound intelligence. Examples of Korean War leaflets, loudspeakers and radio are illustrated by rarely seen photos from veterans and the National Archives.
Stephen (Steve) Pease served in intelligence related positions for 42 years as an Air Force officer, technical contractor and senior civilian, mostly with Air Force Space Command. He worked MASINT on satellites and ICBMs, was the Orbital Test Director for the FleetSatcom satellite series, and served as the Command Intelligence Briefer on space.
The cost of the meal is $15. All presentations to the RMC, AFIO are on the basis of non-attribution so the speakers can feel free to provide information with the assurance it will not be published.
For details, please contact Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net

Monday, 5 December 2016, 5:30 pm - New York, NY - AFIO New York Chapter hosts David Hunt, former CIA Operations Officer, discussing "Intelligence in Flux."

David P. Hunt, former CIA Operations Officer wil discuss "Intelligence in Flux: From the Cold War to Today Under New Presidential Leadership."

Hunt holds CIA's Donovan Award for Excellence, and the Distinguished Intelligence Medal, CIA's highest award. He is also a member of the NY Chapter's Board.
Location: Society of Illustrators building, 128 E 63rd St, (Between Park Ave and Lexington Ave).
Time: Registration starts 5:30 pm; Meeting at 6 pm.
Cost: $50/person. Payment at the door only by cash or check. Includes full dinner, cash bar.
To Register: Registration is strongly suggested, not required. Please call chapter president, Jerry Goodwin, at 646-717-3776 or Email: afiometro@gmail.com


Other Upcoming Events

Saturday, 5 November 2016, 10am-4pm - Washington, DC - Tenth Annual Parade of Trabants - at the International Spy Museum

It's been more than 25 years since the Berlin Wall fell, but one Cold War icon is still chugging away―the Trabant.  Despite their questionable performance and smoky two-stroke engines, these little cars are now regarded as a symbol of East Germany and the fall of Communism. Trabants are a rarity here, but on November 5 some of the finest examples of Trabants in the US will chug their way to the International Spy Museum to celebrate the Tenth Annual Parade of Trabants. Drop in to view the vintage cars, which will be parked in front of the Museum on F Street, NW, and enter a raffle to win a ride in a Trabant. You can even be part of the annual Trabant stuffing contest.  While the cars are on display, experts will be on hand to answer questions about Trabants, the Cold War, and Communism, while the Alte Kameraden German Band provides festive music. Try your hand at graffiti Berlin-style and see if you can fit into the tiny spaces like those escaping from East Berlin did. The event is free. Visit www.spymuseum.org

Friday, 11 November 2016, noon - 2pm - Ashburn, VA - Loudoun Crime Commission Luncheon features Stephen Murphy, SAC, Drug Enforcement Administration

Mr. Steve Murphy, Special Agent in Charge, DEA (Retired), speaks on "The True Story of Pablo Escobar."
You may have seen TV shows and documentaries, or read books about the world's wealthiest, and most violent drug trafficker, but now you have the opportunity to hear the real story of what happened in the investigation of Pablo Escobar and the Medellin Cartel. Retired DEA Special Agents Steve Murphy and Javier Pena were assigned as the lead investigators targeting Escobar and his organization. Steve will provide a lesson in history as he discusses their efforts bringing down the world's FIRST narco-terrorist, the challenges they faced in oftentimes hostile and life-threatening environments, and the innovative strategies they employed to successfully end the reign of terror of the world's most wanted criminal. The presentation is followed by a Q&A opportunity during which Steve will entertain questions related to their investigation, the making of the Netflix series, NARCOS, and more.
Please don't miss what will be a very interesting presentation.
Location: Belmont Country Club.
RSVP by 8 November at RSVP@loudouncrimecommission.org. Doors open at noon.
$25.00 for non-members, $20.00 for members, payable by cash or check or CC (add $1 for cc).
This will be our last luncheon of 2016.

Monday, 14 November 2016, 6:30-9pm - Washington, DC - Spy School Workshop: Using Iraqi WMD to Understand the Analytic Process - at the International Spy Museum

What was it like to be an intelligence analyst in the lead up to the Iraq War?  This simulation gives you the chance to find out.  How would you fare with limited information and colleagues you may not know from agencies that may have different agendas than your own?  This multi-stage simulation mimics the analytic process of the US Intelligence Community to produce the National Intelligence Estimates (NIE).  Your team of analysts will be assigned the role of an agency such as the CIA or DIA, and then must work with other groups to prepare an NIE that assesses the status of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction program.  Hindsight is not allowed. You'll be using actual intelligence available to analysts in 2002.  Dr. William J. Lahneman, a former US Navy Surface Warfare Officer, professor of homeland security at Embry-Riddle University, and co-editor of The Art of Intelligence: Simulations, Exercises, and Games, will lead the simulation.  Tickets for the general public: $40. Visit www.spymuseum.org

1 December 2016 - Bolling AFB, DC - NMIA 2016 Fall Classified Symposium "Winning Tomorrow's Battles: New Techniques, Tools, and Technologies" has been shifted to this new date. Same superb program. (New Date. This was rescheduled from earlier date)

Our great colleagues at the National Military Intelligence Association (NMIA) are hosting their 2016 Classified Fall Symposium, "Winning Tomorrow's Battles: New Techniques, Tools, and Technologies: New Techniques, Tools, and Technologies" at Leadership Hall, DIA Headquarters, Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling. A perfect way to close the year updated on the latest issues and proposed solutions to thorny intelligence issues to solve tomorrow's battles.
The event will be held at the SECRET/5 EYES Security Level.
Event location: Leadership Hall, DIA Headquarters, Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling.
Online Registration here.

Monday, 5 December 2016, 10 a.m. to 1 p.m. - Annapolis Junction, MD - The 2016 NCMF 16th Annual Pearl Harbor Program & Lunch

Dr. Linton Wells, II, the founder of the TIDES project and former director of the Center for Technology and National Security Policy will be the guest speaker at the final quarterly program of the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation.
Dr. Wells has a wealth of Defense Department experience, including 26 years of naval service.
A book sale table will be available. Registration is $20 for members and $50 for guests (includes one-year basic NCMF membership). Registration closes 30 November 2016.
For more info on Dr. Wells, visit the registration and program page here.


Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's) or author's) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016. Please note AFIO's new address: AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com

Click here to return to top.