AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #39-13 dated 8 October 2013

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.
REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV - Jobs, Obituaries, and Coming Events

Jobs

Obituaries

Coming Educational Events

NOTE: Many of the events we announce are being held by, at, or include speakers from the Federal Government. Many USG facilities are currently shutdown. If the SD continues, before departing for a venue, visit website of event sponsor to verify event viability.

Current Calendar for Next Two Months ONLY

 

Two Important NSA Events Taking Place Next Week Regardless of Shutdown Status:

REGISTRATION FOR AFIO's FALL LUNCHEON

FRIDAY, 15 November 2013

Space is limited.
Badge Pick-up at 10:30 a.m.

1 p.m. speaker

Walter Pincus

National Security Reporter
for The Washington Post
speaking on


"45 years covering national security"

3-course Lunch at Noon

The Widow Spy by Martha D Peterson 11 a.m. speaker


Martha D. Peterson

author of

The Widow Spy:
MY CIA Journey
from the
Jungles of Laos to Prison in Moscow


KGB Captures CIA DO Officer Peterson
in July 1977

The Widow Spy is Marti Peterson's personal story of a life among heroes. The first was her husband John, a CIA officer, whom she accompanied on her first overseas assignment in Laos, conducting paramilitary operations to contain the North Vietnamese Army. John was killed in a helicopter crash. 

The story continues with her joining CIA and becoming one of the first women operations officers ever assigned to Moscow in the mid-70s. She details the challenges of working covertly for nearly two years in Moscow, facing the potential of being discovered by the KGB, as she serviced dead drops and recovered secret packages from a highly valuable agent TRIGON. In the end, she was ambushed and arrested by the KGB.

TRIGON, often compared to Penkovsky, provided documents that revealed the Soviet government's plans and intentions in influencing world events and the negotiating positions of Soviet government officials in talks with the US and its allies.
The memoir contains descriptions of operational acts and real life within the enemy's camp (Moscow).
Marti Peterson's presentation will provide unique insights into the intelligence advantage the US had over the USSR, and provides a personal account of the covert life of a female CIA officer in Moscow. It also provides a look at how women were seen and treated in the DO in that era.

Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.
Marti Peterson begins her presentation at 11 a.m.
Lunch served at noon
Walter Pincus begins his presentation at 1 pm
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, for sale throughout event.

Event closes at 2 p.m.

Complete Registration Form Here
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza
1960 Chain Bridge Road, McLean, Virginia 22102
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
 

"Securing Our Intelligence & Protecting Our Ports" 

    10 - 11 October 2013 - Charleston, SC

    At The Citadel: The Military College of South Carolina

    This is their first Southeast Region Security & Intelligence Conference

    Keeping with the tradition of The Citadel's historic role in defending the country, the Criminal Justice Department and the School of Humanities is pleased to announce the next chapter in Homeland Security. The Citadel will hold its first conference dedicated to Homeland Security and Intelligence. The conference will feature professionals and academics from various disciplines and agencies related to homeland security and intelligence. Keynote speakers include: Letitia Long, Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency; Robert Cardillo, Deputy Director for Intelligence Integration, Office of the Director of National Intelligence; Stu Shea, Chief Operating Officer, SAIC, and many other senior officials and experts.
    http://www.citadel.edu/root/criminaljustice-sersi-conference
    Conference Registration: https://foundation.citadel.edu/sersi


Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Fearing Blind Spots, U.S. Spy Agencies to Recall Some Laid-Off by Shutdown. Fearing they could miss important intelligence, U.S. spy agencies are planning to call back to work some of the thousands of civilian workers who have been temporarily laid off as a result of this week's federal government shutdown.

Director of National Intelligence James Clapper has already authorized chiefs of the 16 U.S. spy agencies he supervises to make revisions in their furlough arrangements, Clapper's spokesman Shawn Turner said.

"The impact of the shutdown on the Intelligence Community's mission is not static, it's cumulative. The employees who are on the job are stretched thin. They're focused on the most critical security needs," Turner said in an email on Wednesday.

"However, as this goes on and the security environment changes, we will need to make adjustments to the number of people we have working," Turner said. Precisely which agencies will call back workers and how many is unclear. [Read more: Reuters/2October2013]

CIA Ramping Up Covert Training Program for Moderate Syrian Rebels. The CIA is expanding a clandestine effort to train opposition fighters in Syria amid concern that moderate, U.S.-backed militias are rapidly losing ground in the country's civil war, U.S. officials said.

But the CIA program is so minuscule that it is expected to produce only a few hundred trained fighters each month even after it is enlarged, a level that officials said will do little to bolster rebel forces that are being eclipsed by radical Islamists in the fight against the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

The CIA's mission, officials said, has been defined by the White House's desire to seek a political settlement, a scenario that relies on an eventual stalemate among the warring factions rather than a clear victor. As a result, officials said, limits on the agency's authorities enable it to provide enough support to help ensure that politically moderate, U.S.-supported militias don't lose but not enough for them to win.

The officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters, said the agency has sent additional paramilitary teams to secret bases in Jordan in recent weeks in a push to double the number of rebel fighters getting CIA instruction and weapons before being sent back to Syria. [Read more: Miller/WashingtonPost/2October2013]

NSA Reveals More About its Spying Efforts at Home. Top U.S. intelligence officials are revealing more about their spying in an effort to defend the National Security Agency from charges that it has invaded the privacy of Americans on a mass scale. Yet the latest disclosure - the NSA tried to track Americans' cellphone locations - has only added to the concerns of lawmakers.

NSA chief Gen. Keith Alexander told Congress on Wednesday that his spy agency ran tests in 2010 and 2011 to see if it was technically possible to gather U.S. cell-site data, which can show where a cellphone user traveled. The information was never used, Alexander said, and the testing was reported to congressional intelligence committees.

Alexander also defended his agency, denying reports that it has mined Americans' social media. He also detailed 12 previously revealed cases of abuse by NSA employees who used the network to spy on a spouse or conduct other unsanctioned missions. He said all the employees, with one exception, were disciplined. [Read more: Dozier&Braun/AP/3October2013]

U.S. Elite Team Questions Seized al Qaeda Leader on Navy Ship. An elite U.S. interrogation team is questioning the senior al Qaeda figure who was captured in Libya and then taken onto a Navy ship in the Mediterranean Sea, U.S. officials said on Monday.

Nazih al-Ragye, better known by the cover name Abu Anas al-Liby, is being held aboard the USS San Antonio, an amphibious transport dock ship, the officials said.

He is being questioned by the U.S. High Value Detainee Interrogation Group, an inter-agency group created in 2009 and housed in the FBI's National Security Branch.

Liby is a suspect in the 1998 bombings of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania that killed 224 civilians. [Read more: Hosenball&Stewart/Reuters/7October2013]

North Korea Puts Army on Alert, Warns U.S. of 'Horrible Disaster'. North Korea said on Tuesday its military would be put on high alert and be ready to launch operations, stepping up tension after weeks of rhetoric against the United States and South Korea, whom it accuses of instigating hostility.

Reclusive North Korea has often issued threats to attack the South and the United States but has rarely turned them into action. Such hostile rhetoric is widely seen as a way to push its domestic and international political agenda.

A spokesman for the North's military warned the United States of "disastrous consequences" for moving a group of ships, including an aircraft carrier, into a South Korean port. [Read more: Kim/Reuters/8October2013]

Aerospace Company Develops Drone That Can Fly Continuously For 5 Years. An aerospace company has presented its design "atmospheric satellites" that fly at 65,000 feet and provide drone-like services such as live-mapping and monitoring narcotics trafficking.

Titan Aerospace recently offered the Solara series of such drones: which can fly continuously for nearly five years, charging its own battery high above commercial aircraft through the use of solar power. The larger Solara will be 60 meters wide and have the ability to carry about 250 pounds.

Cruising speed for the Solara is about 65 mph, and the unmanned craft will have an operating range of over 2.8 million miles.

The Solara series are designed to be a fraction of the cost of a satellite, but operate many similar tasks, such as surveillance, crop-monitoring, weather and disaster oversight, or any other monitoring that low-altitude satellites track. [Read more: CBS/7October2013]

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Analytic Simulation Team at Clark Atlanta University Bests AUC Schools. Clark Atlanta University celebrates its Sept. 19 win in the 2014 CIA Analytic Simulation, a day-long competition against fellow Atlanta University Consortium (AUC) schools Morehouse College and Spelman College.

The exercise was originally conceived by the CIA to offer prospective analysts a sense of what duties at the agency entail. During the simulations, college students engage in role-play throughout which hypothetical world crises unfold. Teams must quickly digest mock intelligence and, using their expertise and judgment to make decisions, prepare briefings for CIA analysts who role-play as U.S. Government policymakers. [AtlantaDailyWorld/3October2013]

Intel Officials Announce Community IT Enterprise Milestone. Eighteen months after the director of national intelligence announced plans for a new information technology environment that would vastly improve information sharing across the intelligence community, a milestone has set the community on the path to its IT future.

James R. Clapper was talking about the future at that 2011 U.S. Geospatial Intelligence Foundation symposium in Texas, Al Tarasiuk told reporters during a recent briefing, and the Intelligence Community Information Technology Enterprise, or IC ITE - which nearly everyone at the office of the director of national intelligence pronounces "i cite" - was part of the discussion.

Tarasiuk, intelligence community chief information officer and assistant director of national intelligence, said that at the time, consolidating IT across the community was driven by budget considerations. But today, he added, it's more than an efficiency play on IT.

"We laid out the vision for IC ITE very much focused on improving intelligence integration across the community," the CIO said. "Basically, the vision statement says [it] enables intelligence integration, information sharing and safeguarding, as well as driving to a more efficient IT model for the community." [Read more: Pellerin/AFPS/7October2013]

Amazon Wins Ruling for $600 Million CIA Cloud Contract. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) defeated International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)'s effort to reopen bidding for a $600 million Central Intelligence Agency cloud computing contract.

Judge Thomas Wheeler of the U.S. Court of Federal Claims in Washington granted Amazon's request for judgment on the administrative record following a hearing yesterday, according to a minute order posted on the court's electronic docket. A written opinion will follow, according to the order.

Amazon sued in July after the Government Accountability Office, the agency that makes recommendations on challenges to contracts, sided with IBM and agreed that the CIA had failed to properly evaluate prices and had waived a contract requirement only for Seattle-based Amazon.

"We are disappointed with the ruling from the U.S. Court of Federal Claims, reversing the GAO's recommendation to reopen the competition and correct flaws in the bidding process," Armonk, New York-based IBM said in an e-mailed statement. The company plans to appeal this decision,'' according to the statement. [Read more: Pettersson/Bloomberg/8October2013]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

CIA Analyst Details the Fundamental Paradox of the 'War on Terror'. We've been reading University of Pennsylvania Sociologist Dr. Bridget Nolan's dissertation on information sharing within the post-9/11 intelligence community.

Nolan, a CIA Graduate Fellow in sociology, produced the ethnography by making observations and interviewing 20 analysts in NCTC's Directorate of Intelligence (DI) while also working full time as a counterterrorism analyst at Nation Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) from January 2010 to January 2011.

She notes that many analysts feel overwhelmed because "they often were not really sure what their jobs were, and they felt that they had very little understanding of what other people in the organization do."

One interviewee, a relatively new CIA analyst named Anna, explained her confusion through the concept of the "War on Terror": [Read more: Reuters/1October2013]

CIA Deputy on Leave Teaches SIPA Seminars. Professor Peter Clement, who joined the faculty of the School of International and Public Affairs this semester, enjoys watching "Homeland," but doesn't agree with the show's portrayal of the Central Intelligence Agency. And he has a particularly informed opinion - he worked at the CIA for more than three decades.

Clement, who held many positions within the Agency - including an eight-year stint as the Deputy Director for Intelligence for Analytic Programs - said he thinks that Claire Danes' Carrie Mathison probably couldn't exist in real life.

"She's an amalgam of everything we do, which is impossible, physically, because (A) you can never sleep, and (B) very different skill sets are required for each position," he said in an interview last week.

Clement is on a two-year hiatus from the CIA as part of the agency's Officer-in-Residence program, which enables CIA officers to teach courses in foreign affairs at American universities. The goal of this program is to educate students about what the CIA does. [Read more: Lee/ColumbiaDailySpectator/3October2013]

'Black Hawk Down' Anniversary: Al Qaeda's Hidden Hand. As U.S. veterans of the October 1993 "Black Hawk Down" battle in Somalia honor their fallen this week, others also remember it as the 20th anniversary of America's first blow from al Qaeda -- even though the U.S. didn't know it at the time.

The street battles that ensued on Oct. 3 and 4, 1993, involved U.S. Army Rangers and commandos from the 1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-Delta, known as "Delta Force." During a successful mission to capture lieutenants of Somali warlord Mohamed Farah Aideed, hundreds of Somali gunmen engaged the U.S. teams and killed 18 soldiers, wounded 73 others and shot down two Army Black Hawk choppers.

America's subsequent hasty exit from that mission, which was originally to support United Nations humanitarian operations in Mogadishu, emboldened a little-known terrorist leader at the time named Osama bin Laden, who boasted that the U.S. superpower was weak for withdrawing after losing G.I.s in "minor battles" there.

"You left [Somalia] carrying disappointment, humiliation, defeat and your dead with you," bin Laden taunted in his 1996 fatwa against America. [Read more: Meek/ABCNews/4October2013]

How the U.S. Is Interrogating a Qaeda Suspect. The United States seized a leader of Al Qaeda - Nazih Abdul-Hamed al-Ruqai, better known as Abu Anas al-Libi - outside his three-story house in Tripoli, Libya, on Saturday and is reportedly interrogating him in the brig of the Navy ship the San Antonio, in the Mediterranean Sea. The following covers some basic questions about his interrogation. 

Q. Who is conducting it?

A. The interrogation is almost certainly being conducted by a high-value interrogation group, which includes members from various government agencies. The F.B.I. leads the group, with help from specialists from other agencies like the C.I.A., the State Department and the Defense Intelligence Agency. The groups were conceived in 2009 as part of President Obama’s revisions to the interrogation policies that he inherited from President George W. Bush. Such panels are made up of regional specialists with expertise in the language, culture and background of the suspect, and they may be assisted by agents and analysts who were already tracking him.

Q. What techniques may they use? [Read more: Savage&Weiser/NYTimes/7October2013]

Retired CIA Officer Says Government Shutdown Won't Affect National Safety. Although the government shut down continues today, recently retired covert technical operations officer Robert Koellisch says Americans have no reason to fear for national safety.

Koellisch spent more than 23 years working with the CIA and US Army traveling for operations in more than 30 countries around the world.

He retired less than three weeks ago and wants to assure citizens the government shutdown will not affect US intelligence operations.

"As an intelligence officer, I was employed when the last furlough happened and I was overseas at the time and we continued to work," Koellisch said. "The people in D.C. would be furloughed because it's usually the non-essential people."

People like janitors, secretaries and human resource workers may be affected by government furloughs, but Koellisch says CIA, NSA and FBI agents are still hard at work. [Read more: Lehr/KIVITV/4October2013]

An Inside Look into Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service - Mysterious Directorate "S", Department "12". He is the top official in charge of the "illegals" program here in the U.S. for the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (Russian: Служба Внешней Разведки Sluzhba Vneshney Razvedki or SVR).

He is known only by the section of SVR HQ that he works in - Directorate "S".

Even his very name is a "state secret", according to my sources in Russia.

Repeated attempts throughout the years to find out this individual name has been unsuccessful. But who knows maybe one day we will get lucky?

It was this mysterious "unnamed official" by the way, that the 11 accused Russian spies, including Anna Chapman were actually working for at the time when they got "busted" by the FBI on charges relating to espionage back in 2010.

From what I understand Directorate "S" reports only to one official at the SVR - the current director, a man named Mikhail Fradkov - who reports only to the President of Russia and select members of the Russian Duma, according to their website (http://svr.gov.ru). [Read more: Tilford/GroundReport/6October2013]


Section III - COMMENTARY

Has Obama [Inadvertently] Broken the Mold in US Foreign Policy? Is it possible that President Obama - without articulating it, perhaps without even fully intending it - may have strayed into the radical reforging of American foreign policy?

For the first time since the fall of the Soviet Union - or even the end of World War II - a linked body of enshrined foreign policy axioms may be quietly unraveling: American exceptionalism, American unilateralism, America as world policeman, moral commentator and hector, global hegemon and architect of a "world order." Yesterday bombs were about to fall on Syria, now they are suspended. After months - years, decades - of talk about possible air strikes on Iran, suddenly we receive accounts of civil exchanges between the American and the Iranian presidents. These may only be false starts, but the larger implications beckon and burgeon. They start with the Middle East but radiate out to touch relations with Russia, China, Israel and the U.N., for starters.

Neoconservatives, hawks and liberal interventionists are aghast; progressives are heartened but holding their breath. Witness the mirror imaging in the U.S. media around these developments. The traditional nostrums don't vary: The U.S. must draw red lines; lines once drawn must be acted upon; U.S. credibility is at stake; military readiness must be pumped to permanent alert in the Middle East to meet permanent security threats; American monopoly of decision-making must be jealously husbanded on all that moves in the world. Hawks stand with liberal interventionists, fearful that Obama is giving away the American store in acts of colossal naiveté, weakness and inexperience. Progressives perceive in these same acts the first glimmers of wisdom and rationality creeping into U.S. policy formulation - hints of strategic perestroika that just might rescue the U.S. from spiraling decades of foreign policy disasters that have undermined the country in countless ways: wartime presidents, global recoil from our policies, massive defense budgets, self-fulfilling proclamation of enemies, interventions, national paranoia, the building of a national security state, and pervasive intrusion into citizens' private lives in the quest to keep America safe from tireless enemies.

Consider the linkages. [Read more: Fuller/NPQ/30September2013]

My Voice: Service Members Need Govt. Support. In the lead-up to the government shutdown, I spent a lot of time hoping House Republicans such as Rep. Kristi Noem would avoid forcing a government shutdown over their opposition to the Affordable Care Act. I'm an Army wife - my husband is an Army specialist deployed to Afghanistan with the Minnesota National Guard - and we are one of many military families who were unsure of what would happen in the event of a shutdown and how to pay our bills.

On the Friday before the shutdown, I called our landlord and auto loan bank and explained that we might not be able to pay on time. Everyone I spoke with was incredibly gracious, but the bottom line is that military families have enough to worry about; no one should have to make a phone call because there's a possibility their service member might not get paid for protecting our country.

While Congress has taken some immediate steps to make sure our service members still are paid for protecting America's interests, the reality is that this GOP shutdown still has serious and frightening implications for military members at home and abroad, and there are far too many unanswered questions.

For the duration of the shutdown, while active duty military members are getting paid, many other important considerations are in limbo. Perhaps most crucially, the military relies heavily on intelligence obtained by civilian analysts who now are on furlough as part of the shutdown. [Read more: O'Donnell/ArgusLeader/7October2013]

What the Hell is Gen. Clapper Thinking, Saying that Furloughs May Encourage Intelligence Officials to Sell Secrets? On October 2nd, in testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee less than 48 hours after the government shutdown began, Director of National Intelligence Clapper characterized the furlough of thousands of members of the intelligence community as a "dreamland for foreign intelligence service to recruit, particularly as our employees, already many of whom [are] subject to furloughs driven by sequestration, are going to have, I believe, even greater financial challenges."

Mr. Clapper, the very idea that after two days or two-hundred the dedicated men and women of the intelligence community would be more inclined to become traitors and commit espionage lays bare your lack of appreciation for the deep sense of patriotism, pride, and commitment to national security that drives them. Those of us who have served alongside them know that they would turn to the private sector, or even the local unemployment office, before ever knocking on the door of the Russian Embassy.

More worrisome, perhaps, is the fact that it highlights your fundamental misunderstanding of what leads people to commit treason. While there have been and always will be prospective spies that make it through the screening process, the vast architecture you currently oversee is not filled with would-be Edward Snowdens. Anyone who has worked in the intelligence field will tell you that spotting, assessing, developing, and recruiting human sources is a rigorous and relentless process - even in countries that are in far worse shape than ours.

So, while it is certainly easy to follow your logic - that furloughed American workers are easier targets because they suddenly don't have a regular paycheck or even a job - it is difficult to imagine intelligence professionals rushing out to do the unthinkable as the United States becomes a "dreamland for foreign intelligence services." [Read more: Ricks/ForeignPolicy/7October2013]


Section IV - Jobs, Obituaries, and Coming Events

Jobs
 [IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse these research inquiries or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding or supplying any information.]

Special Consultant Work:  Non-Security Protection Assignment

Prefer Female Former CIA Employee to Assist President of Children's Cancer Organization for on the road events.  

Help with research on Women in Law Enforcement Literary Project; Requires High School tennis or college tennis background. President of Children's Foundation will need to practice on the road for celebrity/pro tennis events.
Helpful to be comfortable around children with cancer.
Dates:  October Los Angeles 12-14, 2013; November 10-26 Colorado, Florida, CA; May 20- June 8, 2014 Paris; June 18-July 6, 2014 London; August 20- Sept 8, 2014 New York; Possible February 2014 LA and March 2014 Miami week as well.
Due to non-profit organization role and 100% of proceeds of literary project to go towards helping children with cancer, this is a minimal paying position with maximum enjoyment opportunities. Travel Expenses paid and $1,000 per week pay.
Interested? Contact Andrea Jaeger at cell 970-948-6056; AJLittlestar@aol.com or explore www.littlestar.org

Counter-Terrorism All Source Analyst, JAC- Molesworth, UK

Job Description: Provides CT research and analysis and in-depth analysis to the JAC CT watch.
Performs data correlation, link analysis and trend identification and assessment as required to ascertain linkages and patterns associated with counter terrorism related incidents, investigations, and operations in USEUCOM AOR/AOI.
Utilizes and supports the Combined Theater, Analyst Vetted, Relational and Structured (CT-AVRS) database (data entry, extracting, compiling, organizing intelligence related research data, etc) to analyze intelligence on personnel, associations and communications that comprise and define terrorist networks, their activities and interconnected relationships.
Provides CT systems analysis and planning support from a CT analytical perspective to JAC leadership.
Minimum Qualifications: Mid Level; 4-6 years of All Source Intelligence Analysis experience; Bachelors degree or specialized training; CT Analysis experience is required; Active/Current TS/SCI security clearance verifiable in JPAS.
Senior Level: 8+ years of All Source Intelligence Analysis experience; Bachelors degree or specialized training; CT Analysis experience is required; Active/Current TS/SCI security clearance verifiable in JPAS.

Walsingham Group has open positions and is actively filling the above. Please send your resumes to careers@walsinghamgroup.com


Obituaries

Tom Clancy, Best-Selling Master of Military Thrillers, AFIO Life Member, Dies at 66. Tom Clancy, whose complex, adrenaline-fueled military novels spawned a new genre of thrillers and made him one of the world's best-known and best-selling authors, died on Tuesday in Baltimore. He was 66. 

Mr. Clancy, who grew up in Baltimore, died at Johns Hopkins Hospital after a brief illness, his lawyer, J. W. Thompson Webb, said on Wednesday. Neither Mr. Webb nor Mr. Clancy's longtime publisher, Ivan Held, president of G. P. Putnam's Sons, said he knew the precise cause of death.

Mr. Clancy's debut book, The Hunt for Red October, was frequently cited as one of the greatest genre novels ever written. With the book's publication in 1984, Mr. Clancy introduced a new kind of potboiler: an espionage thriller dense with technical details about weaponry, submarines and intelligence agencies.

It found an eager readership. More than 100 million copies of his novels are in print, and a remarkable 17 have reached No. 1 on the New York Times' best-seller list, including Threat Vector, released last December. Prolific until his death, Mr. Clancy had been awaiting publication of his next book, Command Authority, set for Dec. 3.

The impact of his books has been felt far beyond the publishing world. [Read more: Bosman/NYTimes/2October2013]


Coming Educational Events

EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

MANY more International Spy Museum Events in 2013 and some for 2014 with full details are listed on the AFIO Website at www.afio.com. The titles for some of these are in detail below and online.

Wednesday, 9 October 2013, 11:30am - 1:30pm - Scottsdale, AZ - AFIO Arizona hears from Dr. Thomson on SWOT Analysis of Nepal

Brendan D. Thomson, M.D., MBA, speaks on SWOT Analysis of Nepal from a 28-Year Perspective.
To help others appreciate the dynamics of a small country situated between almost 2 billion people, Dr. Thomson will share with us a very unique perspective from his vast array of experiences whilst living in Nepal.
Thomson is Board Certified in Internal Medicine and Pulmonary Disease physician and member of the Society of Critical Care Medicine. He holds an MBA from Arizona State University West.
He has been involved with the people of Nepal since 1985. He was a founding member of the American Nepal Medical Society.
In 2013 he was awarded a Fulbright Specialist Grant to assist the Patan Academy of Health Sciences in Kathmandu, Nepal transition from the Case based method to the Clinical Presentation Method of teaching.
Dr. Thomson was a Lt. Cmdr. in the uniformed services with the Indian Health Services and the US Coast Guard.
His nephew is the current Captain of the US John Paul Jones, guided missile destroyer.
Event location: McCormick Ranch Golf Course, 7505 McCormick Parkway, Scottsdale AZ 85258 ~ Phone 480.948.0260
RSVP NO LATER than 72 hours ahead of time. If you do not show up for the lunch meeting and have not cancelled 48 hours prior, please send your check to Simone you will be charged for the lunch.
Fees: $20.00 for AFIO AZ Member; $22.00 for Non-Members
For reservations or questions email Simone: simone@afioaz.org or simone@4smartphone.net or call 602.570.6016.

Wednesday, 9 October 2013, noon - Washington, DC - Global Terrorism, Espionage and Cybersecurity (a Monthly Update), at the International Spy Museum with David Major.

Presented in partnership with the CI Centre, these monthly briefings will provide you with the opportunity to be the first to learn of the most current worldwide happenings in the field of intelligence and terrorism. Drawn from the Centre's SPYPEDIA®, a comprehensive online subscription database of espionage information, each of these updates covers important events and information which may not be reported by mainstream media outlets. Such as: espionage penetrations and arrests, cyber espionage reporting, and terrorist events. Briefings led by CI Centre founder David Major will include trend analysis and coverage of new emerging issues of value to the intelligence and security professional and individuals with an interest in national security matters. Major will also highlight and review, as appropriate, new books and reports to keep you current with breaking developments in the national security arena.
Tickets: Free! No registration required. For more information visit www.spymuseum.org

10 - 11 October 2013 - Charleston, SC - The Citadel - The Military College of South Carolina presents the Southeast Region Security & Intelligence Conference with the theme: "Securing Our Intelligence & Protecting Our Ports" 

Keeping with the tradition of The Citadel's historic role in defending the country, the Criminal Justice Department and the School of Humanities is pleased to announce the next chapter in Homeland Security. The Citadel will hold its first conference dedicated to Homeland Security and Intelligence. The conference will feature professionals and academics from various disciplines and agencies related to homeland security and intelligence. Keynote speakers include: Letitia Long, Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency; Robert Cardillo, Deputy Director for Intelligence Integration, Office of the Director of National Intelligence; Stu Shea, Chief Operating Officer, SAIC, and many other senior officials and experts. http://www.citadel.edu/root/criminaljustice-sersi-conference
Conference Registration: https://foundation.citadel.edu/sersi

Thursday, 10 October 2013, 4:30 PM - Washington, DC - Among Enemies: Counter-Espionage for Business Travelers with author Luke Bencie

Information to help business executives protect themselves and their precious company secrets from tech theft.
Bencie provides clear, easy-to-follow techniques to thwart the work of professional operatives - individuals whose job it is to identify and track likely targets for espionage, and whose efforts often begin at the very airport terminals where executives begin their overseas travel.
About the author: For the past 15 years, Luke Bencie has traveled to more than 100 countries on behalf of the U.S. Government as well as for the private defense industry. He has experienced, first-hand and sometimes painfully, the threat of espionage. He has seen the lengths to which foreign intelligence services and other hostile global competitors will go to steal American business secrets.
Mr. Bencie was a Senior Security Consultant for Raytheon Company in the Intelligence and Information Systems Division.
Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
RSVP Required. Make them at kbridges@iwp.edu.

Friday, 11 October 2013, 6 pm - Washington, DC - Movie Night for FOUR LIONS at the Institute of World Politics

Ridicule is certainly one of the oldest weapons in the arsenal of political warfare. Four Lions, a dark comedy poking fun of Jihadists, may be viewed through this angle. The film depicts a group of young Muslim residents of Britain, whose greatest aspiration is to serve the cause of Islamist radicalism through terror. The movie also alludes, even if unconsciously, to the problems of assimilation and Westernization-and not only among Muslims in Britain and other non-Islamic societies-but also the limits of multi-culturalism in general.
Cultural and political background to the film will be provided by Dr. Sebastian Gorka, a British-born counter-terrorism expert who also teaches a course on Al-Qaeda enemy threat doctrine at IWP.
For a preview of the film, please click here: www.fourlionsthemovie.com

Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington DC
RSVP REQUIRED: kbridges@iwp.edu.

Friday 11 October 2013, noon to 2 pm - Ashburn, VA - The Loudoun Crime Commission Luncheon features Austin White, SA for the VA State Police on "Suspicious Activity Reporting."

Special Agent Austin C. White, of the Criminal Intelligence Division of the Virginia State Police [Richmond, VA], will be speaking on Suspicious Activity Reporting or SAR. Suspicious Activity Reporting (SAR) is one of our best defenses against terrorist threats and our greatest resource to building resilience. Every day, members of the public work with law enforcement officers to help keep our communities safe by reporting activities that are out of the ordinary and suspicious. The Virginia Fusion Center serves as the Commonwealth's "one stop shop" for information and intelligence exchange. By understanding the capabilities of the VFC and how the public and public safety organizations work within the parameters of SAR standards, citizens can help to detect, deter and disrupt criminal and terrorist acts.
Location: The Belmont Country Club, 19661 Belmont Manor Ln, Ashburn, VA 20147; (703) 723-5330.
TO ATTEND: RSVP by October 8th by emailing RSVP@loudouncrimecommission.org
Doors open at noon for registering and networking, and the meeting starts at 12:30 PM.

16 October 2013 - Laurel, Maryland - "Safeguarding Intelligence" - Theme of the National Cryptological Museum Foundation's Annual Membership Meeting

THIS EVENT WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF SHUTDOWN STATUS: "Safeguarding Intelligence" is the theme of the National Cryptological Museum Foundation's Annual Membership Meeting. The Meeting will be held at the Kossiakoff Center, JHU/APL, 11100 John Hopkins Rd, Laurel, MD 20723, 240-228-7574
Agenda with following Outstanding Speakers: 0815-0900: Registration and breakfast; 0900-0915: Welcome by NCMF President, Mr. Richard Schaeffer; 0915-0930: Opening address by Deputy Director, National Security Agency, Mr. Chris Inglis; 0930-1000: National Cryptologic Museum update by museum curator, Mr. Patrick Weadon; 1000-1045: guest speaker, Ms. Jane Holl Lute, Deputy Secretary, Homeland Security; 1045-1100: break; 1100-1145: Guest speaker, Mr. David G. Major, Founder and President, Counterintelligence Centre for Security Studies; 1145-1315: LUNCH; 1315-1415: Keynote Address by The Honorable Michael Chertoff, Founder of the Chertoff Group and former Secretary, Homeland Security; 1415-1500: New Museum Project and capital campaign update by MG Rod Isler and Brig Gen Neal Robinson; 1500-1510: closing remarks by Brig Gen Billy Bingham .
The fee for NCMF members is $20 and for non members $50 which includes one year membership in the NCMF. The fee includes breakfast, lunch and refreshments at the morning break. There will also be A.M and P.M. shuttle service to and from the parking lot. You can register on line at the secure NFG site or you can download and complete the NCMF Registration form and mail to the NCMF at PO Box 1682, Ft. George G. Meade, MD 20755. Call 301-688-5436 for assistance or send an email to cryptmf@aol.com

Wednesday, 16 October 2013, 9 am - noon - Washington, DC - The National Archives National Declassification Center (NDC), in partnership with the Central Intelligence Agency's (CIA) Historical Review Program, will host a free symposium to tell the story of the people of Berlin and their struggle for freedom. "A City Divided: Life and Death in the Shadow of the Wall"

The event, from 9 a.m. to noon, takes place in the William G. McGowan Theater of the National Archives Building in Washington, DC. The symposium is open to the public (reserve a seat by emailing: NDC@nara.gov) and the press.

The symposium will highlight newly published and released declassified documents that reveal East and West Berliners' struggle for life and death in the shadow of the wall. The documents detail many aspects of their lives, focusing on the resolve of the human spirit for freedom and equality.

With his iconic speech on June 26, 1963, President John F. Kennedy united the citizens of Berlin with the United States by stating that he too was a Berliner. Twenty-four years later, President Ronald Reagan declared in Berlin that "I do not come here to lament. For I find in Berlin a message of hope, even in the shadow of this wall, a message of triumph." 

On October 16, we will release 11,000 pages of newly declassified documents on various topics and activities on Berlin from 1962 to 1986 - the years between these two famous speeches by American Presidents. Symposium attendees will receive a free publication and DVD compilation of approximately 1,324 documents, and an additional 1,140 documents will be posted online at archives.gov/research/foreign-policy/cold-war/berlin-1962-1987.html.

Speakers:

The National Archives Building is located on the National Mall at Constitution Ave. and 7th Street, NW, and is fully accessible. Metro: Yellow and Green lines, Archives/Navy Memorial/Penn Quarter station. Attendees should use the Special Events entrance on 7th and Constitution Ave, NW.

For more information: Directions; Visitor's Map; William G. McGowan Theater; Lawrence F. O'Brien Gallery

Please email all inquiries to ndc@nara.gov

17-18 October 2013 - Laurel, MD - "Technological Change and Cryptology: Meeting the Historical Challenges" is theme at the Biennial Cryptologic History Symposium

THIS 2-DAY EVENT WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF SHUTDOWN STATUS: The Two Day Cryptographic History Event of the Year - "Technological Change and Cryptology: Meeting the Historical Challenges" - NSA's 2013 Cryptologic History Symposium, 17-18 October 2013 Laurel, Maryland

The Center for Cryptologic History hosts a biennial international symposium in October during odd-numbered years. The speakers and audience are a mix of outside scholars, current practitioners, retired veterans, and interested members of the public. Past symposia have had presenters from over a dozen countries.
The theme for the 2013 symposium, to be held on October 17-18 at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory's Kossiakoff Conference Center (just west of Laurel, Maryland) is "Technological Change and Cryptology: Meeting the Historical Challenges." The conference will include sessions on "A Tribute to Alan Turing," a "Roundtable on Cyber History," "Bletchley Park," "COMINT and the Civil War," "The Cryptologic Legacy of the Great War Era," "SIGINT and the Vietnam War Era," and "A Technological Advantage: Historical Perspectives on Cryptologic Research and Development."
In all there will be 21 separate sessions and over 70 presentations. Speakers will include scholars such as David Kahn and cryptologic pioneers such as Whitfield Diffie.
All symposium sessions are unclassified and open to the registered public. A complete agenda and registration information will be available here at the website or by contacting the Center for Cryptologic History at 301-688-2336 or via email at history@nsa.gov.

Note also that the National Cryptologic Museum Foundation has an excellent program the day before - 16 October - at the same venue described above.

Thursday, 17 October 2013, 6:30 pm - Washington, DC - "Hezbollah's Reach Around the World" at the International Spy Museum

"We will not take rejection or humiliation." - Hassan Nasrallah, Secretary-General of Hezbollah

Hezbollah - Lebanon's "Party of God" - is much more than a political party. It's an Islamic Shia religious and social movement, Lebanon's largest militia, a close ally of Iran, and a terrorist organization. But Hezbollah's reach is not limited to Lebanon; it extends far beyond that country's borders with worldwide financial and logistical networks supporting its covert criminal and terrorist operations worldwide from the Middle East to Europe, Asia, Africa, and the Americas. And what is the extent of Hezbollah's role in Iran's shadow war with Israel and the West, including plots targeting civilians around the world? Explore Hezbollah's footprint and future goals with expert commentators: Matthew Levitt, Senior Fellow and Director of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy's Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, author of Hezbollah: The Global Footprint of Lebanon's Party of God, and a former FBI counterterrorism analyst as well as former Deputy Assistant Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis at the US Department of the Treasury; and Reuel Marc Gerecht, Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, author of The Wave: Man, God, and the Ballot Box in the Middle East, and a former Middle East specialist in the CIA's Clandestine Service.
In collaboration with the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy.
Tickets: $15. To register or for more information visit www.spymuseum.org

19 October 2013, 2 pm - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine Chapter features Chet Lunner on "Domestic Intelligence: The Missing Link."

Chet Lunner speaks on "Domestic Intelligence, the Missing Link." Prior to his retirement in 2010 Lunner was Deputy Under Secretary of Homeland Security in the office of Intelligence and Analysis where he helped build a national network of fusion centers. Prior to that he served Secretary Michael Chertoff as acting Assistant Secretary for Intergovernmental Relations. In the latter position he gained a broad view of homeland security issues facing state, local, and tribal leadership. In 2003 Lunner was appointed head of the Office of Maritime and Land Security where he developed policies for rail, trucking, highway, pipelines, Amtrak and postal transportation. His standing as an expert in intelligence collaboration and information sharing is recognized internationally. He continues to work as an independent consultant in homeland security.
Location: Kennebunk High School Main Auditorium. The auditorium is at the south end of the building through the door marked #3. Parking is along Fletcher Street in front of the building or behind the south side of the building. The meeting is open to the public. For information call: 207-967-4298.

2 November 2013, 11:30 am - 2:30 pm - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hosts Russell Hayes, FBI, on "Changes in the FBI in Response to Terrorism"

Russell Hayes, Supervisory Senior Resident Agent of the Brevard Resident Agency of the Federal Bureau of Investigation, a sub-office of the FBI Tampa Division. Mr. Hayes also heads the Brevard Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF), which includes representatives of five Brevard law enforcement agencies. Mr. Hayes will address the transformation of the FBI over the past decade into the agency that serves us today, including the JTTF and counterterrorism work in Brevard.

11:30 AM - 12:15 PM: Social Hour; greet old, new members and guests (cash bar)
12:15 PM: Sit Down lunch
Location: Eau Gallie Yacht Club, 100 Datura Dr, Indian Harbour Beach, FL 32937
TO ATTEND: Prepaid reservations are required which must be received by October 24. Send $28 pp to "AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter" to Bobbie Keith, PO Box 372397, Satellite Beach, FL 32937-2397. Questions: Contact AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter President Bobbie Keith at: (321) 777-5561 or email her at or bobbie6769@juno.com.
Note: Late reservations cannot be accommodated. We regret we cannot accept walk-ins.
Menu Choices are: Rustic Chicken with Red Grape and Walnut Salad (S), or Tomato-Basil Pasta with Shrimp (P). Choice includes Cream of Mushroom soup, rolls, butter, coffee or tea. Dessert: Heath Bar Ice Cream Pie. (Price includes tax & gratuity).

7 November 2013, 11:30am - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Jim Quesada Chapter hosts Israeli Consul General, Dr. Andy David

Dr. Andy David, Israeli Consul General to the Pacific Northwest and former advisor to the Foreign Minister speaks at this event.
TIMES: 11:30AM no host cocktails; meeting starts at noon.
LOCATION: United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Avenue, SF (between Sloat/Wawona). Seating will be limited. RSVP required by 10/31/13 to Mariko Kawaguchi at afiosf@aol.com and mail check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, P.O. Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-member guests $35 (must be accompanied by member).

Thursday, 14 November 2013, noon - Washington, DC - "The Family Jewels: The CIA, Secrecy and Presidential Power," at the International Spy Museum

In December 1974, a front-page story in the New York Times revealed the explosive details of years of illegal domestic operations by the Central Intelligence Agency including political surveillance, eavesdropping, and detention. These revelations shocked the public and led to investigations by a presidential commission and committees in both houses of Congress. Investigators soon discovered that the CIA abuses were described in a top-secret document that Agency insiders dubbed the "Family Jewels." That document became ground zero for a political firestorm that lasted more than a year. John Prados, a Senior Fellow of the National Security Archive in Washington, DC, recounts the secret operations that constituted the "Jewels," shows that the abuses have since been replicated by the intelligence agencies at the global level, and exposes the strenuous efforts -- by the Agency, the Executive Branch, and even presidents -- to evade accountability.
Join the author for an informal chat and book signing.
Tickets: Free! No registration required. More information at www.spymuseum.org

Thursday, 14 November 2013, 5:30 - 8:30 pm - Tysons Corner, VA - Spy vs Spy: Global Espionage Threats to Business - A Panel and Reception.

The International Speakers Society at The Tower Club features discussants Luke Bencie - Managing Director of Security Management International, LLC; author of
Among Enemies: Counter-Espionage for the Business Traveler; and Brian E. Finch - Partner of Dickstein Shapiro, LLP, head of the firm's Global Security Practice, Named by Washingtonian Magazine in 2011 as one of the top 40 lobbyists; Ladi Carballosa - Former FBI Chief of the Practical Applications Unit; Interim Deputy Director of Law Enforcement for the Counter Terrorism Center of the CIA.
Times: 5:30-6:30pm Reception For Members & Guests; 6-7 pm Open Networking Reception; 7-8:30 pm Panel Discussion.
Location: The Tower Club, 8000 Towers Crescent Dr #1700 Vienna, VA 22182. Parking available in garage at building entrance.
Reservations: www.internationalspy.eventbrite.com
Admission: $30.00 per person

Friday, 15 November 2013, 10:30am - 2pm - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Fall Luncheon features National Security Reporter Walter Pincus, and former CIA DO Officer Marti Peterson

1 p.m. speaker is Walter Pincus, National Security Reporter for The Washington Post, speaks on "45 years covering national security."
3-course Lunch at Noon
11 a.m. speaker is Martha [Marti] D. Peterson, author of The Widow Spy: MY CIA Journey from the Jungles of Laos to Prison in Moscow.
The Widow Spy is Marti Peterson's personal story of a life among heroes. The first was her husband John, a CIA officer, whom she accompanied on her first overseas assignment in Laos, conducting paramilitary operations to contain the North Vietnamese Army. John was killed in a helicopter crash.
The story continues with her joining CIA and becoming one of the first women operations officers ever assigned to Moscow in the mid-70s. She details the challenges of working covertly for nearly two years in Moscow, facing the potential of being discovered by the KGB, as she serviced dead drops and recovered secret packages from a highly valuable agent TRIGON. In the end, she was ambushed and arrested by the KGB.
TRIGON, often compared to Penkovsky, provided documents that revealed the Soviet government's plans and intentions in influencing world events and the negotiating positions of Soviet government officials in talks with the US and its allies.
The memoir contains descriptions of operational acts and real life within the enemy's camp (Moscow).
Marti Peterson's presentation will provide unique insights into the intelligence advantage the US had over the USSR, and provides a personal account of the covert life of a female CIA officer in Moscow. It also provides a look at how women were seen and treated in the DO in that era.
Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m. Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record. The latest intelligence books, and many others, for sale throughout event.
Event closes at 2 p.m.
Location: Crowne Plaza Hotel, Tysons Corner, VA.
Registration is here.

Thursday, 21 November 2013, 11:30 am - Palmer Lake, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain meeting features John Putnam on "Lessons Learned from the Waldo Canyon Fire."

Speaker, John E. Putnam is with Putnam Assurance & Risk Services, LLC, Colorado. He will talk about "Lessons Learned about the Waldo Canyon Fire."
Event location: The Inn at Palmer Divide, 443 S. Highway 105, Palmer Lake, CO, Exit 161 westbound off I-25, West on Highway 105.
Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events


Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER -- click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor(s) or author(s) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, Please note AFIO's new address: AFIO, 7700 Leesburg Pike Suite 324, Falls Church, Virginia 22043. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com

Click here to return to top.