AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #41-14 dated 28 October 2014

[Editors' Note: The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary. IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
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CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV -  Upcoming Events

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events

  • For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... view our online Calendar of Events 

    • WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributor:  pjk.  He has contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

 

Have lunch with....

HPSCI Chairman Mike Rogers
DNI James Clapper
AFIO President Gene Poteat

Friday, 14 November 2014
Tysons Corner, VA
US Representative Mike Rogers, Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence; Outgoing President Gene Poteat; and special guest James R. Clapper, DNI, will address our group at this final 2014 AFIO National Luncheon.

Register for AFIO's Winter 2014 Luncheon
featuring two 'about-to-retire' figures

S. Eugene Poteat     Mike Rogers, HPSCI Chairman
Register HERE

US Representative Mike Rogers, Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, will discuss the growing threats of ISIS/ISIL, Cyberwar, China, Iran, North Korea, and other challenges to the nation as he leaves this important national security post and ends his 14-year career in Washington.
Outgoing President Gene Poteat will speak on the just released revision of George O'Toole's Honorable Treachery: A History of US Intelligence, Espionage, and Covert Action from the American Revolution to the CIA [GroveAtlantic 2014] for which he wrote a new foreword, and of his more unusual and amusing CIA experiences, as he departs AFIO after 15 years as our president;
and James R. Clapper, the Director of National Intelligence, will stop in to say some special words at this 2014 EOY AFIO Luncheon.

Includes cake-cutting and special ceremony for the retirement of AFIO's president of 15 years, S. Eugene Poteat.

Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Gene Poteat begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Cake-Cutting, Tributes, and Comments for Poteat at 11:45 to noon. Lunch served at noon; DNI James Clapper arrives to make special remarks to Poteat, Rogers, and members; HPSCI Chairman Rogers begins his presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
Register while space available. Register HERE


Researchers - Writers - Speakers
NSA Call for Papers for 2015 Cryptologic History Symposium

The Center for Cryptologic History invites proposals for papers to be delivered at the Center’s biennial Symposium on Cryptologic History which will take place 22-23 October 2015.
The Symposium will be held at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory's Kossiakoff Center in Laurel, Maryland. Following the Symposium, on Saturday, October 24, participants will be given an opportunity to tour the National Cryptologic Museum and participate in a workshop on sources for research in cryptologic history.
Details are available in this PDF.


Friday, 30 January 2015 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National's first luncheon of 2015 starts the new year with a new Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) -- Robert T. Cardillo -- on the expanded mission of NGA from Ebola relief activities to providing tools, advanced tech, sophisticated techniques, and specialized expertise to policymakers, warfighters, intelligence analysts, and first responders.

Robert Cardillo, NGA Director

Morning speaker TBA.

Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; TBA begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; NGA Director Cardillo begins his presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf

 

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Czech Spy Watchers Say Russia Boosted Number of Intelligence Officers in Prague. The number of Russian intelligence officers operating in the Czech Republic increased "steeply" last year amid worsening relations between Moscow and the West, the secret service of this North Atlantic Treaty Organization's member state said in its annual report released Monday.

The Czech spy-watching agency, known under its acronym BIS, has repeatedly warned about the presence of Russian spies, saying they used diplomatic covers at Russia's embassy in Prague or settled down in the country through purchasing property in the Czech capital.

"In 2013, the number of such officers at the Russian embassy was extremely high," the BIS report said.

BIS didn't say how many Russian intelligence officers were active in the Czech Republic but noted that their numbers were on the rise since the start of the Ukrainian crisis last year which led to the toppling of the pro-Moscow regime of former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych earlier this year.

BIS also said that numbers of Chinese spies deployed in the Czech Republic increased last year. [Read more: Rousek/WallStreetJournal/27October2014]

Canada's Financial Intelligence Agency Gets 'Useful' Data After Attacks. Canada's financial intelligence agency asked institutions to quickly report suspicious transactions in the wake of two deadly attacks this week and has received data "useful to our intelligence efforts," a spokesman said on Friday.

The Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre (FINTRAC) was set up in 2000 to combat money-laundering and ensures the compliance of 31,000 financial entities doing business in Canada.

It sent a message to all 31,000 on Wednesday - the day of the second fatal attack - stressing the need for quick reports.

Asked whether FINTRAC had noticed any suspicious transactions linked to the attacks this week, spokesman Darren Gibb said: "What we have received from businesses following our message has been useful to our intelligence efforts." [Read more: Junggren/Reuters/24October2014]

Convictions Deal Blow to South Korean Intelligence Service. In the latest blow to the image of South Korea's National Intelligence Service, a court on Tuesday convicted two of its counterintelligence officials of fabricating Chinese government documents to build a spy case against a refugee from North Korea.

A 48-year-old agent, who was identified only by his family name, Kim, was sentenced to two and a half years in prison. A 54-year-old former head of the spy agency's counterintelligence investigations was sentenced to one and a half years.

They were accused of faking a set of immigration documents, ostensibly issued by the Chinese government, to build a spy case against Yu Woo-sung, an ethnic Chinese from North Korea who defected to South Korea in 2004.

The agents "seriously obstructed the function of the criminal justice of the country," Kim Woo-soo, a judge at the Seoul Central District Court, said in his verdict on Tuesday. "They betrayed the trust the people placed in the National Intelligence Service when it gave it both power and responsibility." [Read more: Sang-Hun/NYTimes/28October2014]

Algeria's Bouteflika Consolidates Curbs on State Intelligence Agency. President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has signed a decree to curb the presence of Algeria's military intelligence service in public institutions, government sources said, to downgrade his rivals and ensure a smooth transition when he steps down.

Since independence from France in 1962, Algerian politics has often been dominated by an opaque behind-the-scenes power struggle between military and civilian leaders to control branches of North African state's government.

A year ago, Bouteflika began taking steps to ease the military and its DRS intelligence wing out of the political sphere before his re-election to a fourth term this April, analysts said, preparing for his eventual departure from power.

But the veteran of the country's war of independence has stepped up the pace of DRS reform since suffering a stroke last year that left him weakened and raised questions about who will succeed him after 15 years governing Africa's largest country. [Read more: Chikhi/Reuters/24October2014]

German Spy Agency Sees Islamic State Remaining Big Threat and Luring More German Recruits. Islamic State militants will be able to mount operations in Iraq "for the foreseeable future" despite US-led air strikes and efforts by Iraqi security forces to regain territory, Germany's BND foreign intelligence agency said.

German intelligence also sounded the alarm about a rising number of Islamist militants inside Germany ready to join IS in Iraq and Syria and warned of an increased risk of violent clashes on German streets between rival radical groups.

Islamic State (IS) has seized swathes of territory in Iraq and Syria this year, declared an Islamic 'caliphate' and has executed or driven away Shi'ite Muslims, Christians and other groups that do not share their radical version of Sunni Islam.

In a statement on Tuesday, BND said IS was still able to operate successfully in the western Iraqi province of Anbar and outside Baghdad and was working to convince more Iraqi Sunnis to turn against the US-led coalition fighting against it. [Read more: Reuters/28October2014]

Czech Secret Service Sees 'Extremely High' Number of Russian Spies. Russia deployed an "extremely high" number of intelligence officers at its Czech embassy last year, the NATO member country's secret service said in an annual report released on Monday.

The reported increase in spying comes as relations between Russia and the West have worsened, culminating in the Ukraine crisis that began a year ago with street demonstrations against pro-Russian president Viktor Yanukovich.

Czech spy-watchers have long warned about Russian intelligence services activities in the central European country, a member of the European Union, which is popular with Russians who often travel to and buy property in the country.

The Security Information Service (BIS) said Russian and Chinese spies in the Czech Republic work mostly to use politicians or journalists to extend their influence and secure their countries' economic interests. [Reuters/27October2014]

Sudan: Intelligence Agency Arrests Leading Journalist. Al-Nur Ahmad Al-Nur, a leading Sudanese journalist who is the London-based pan-Arab newspaper Al-Hayat's Sudan correspondent, was arrested by members of the National Intelligence and Security Services (NISS) in Khartoum yesterday evening for reasons that are still unknown.

Al-Nur, who is also a columnist for the Sudanese daily Al-Tigheer, was arrested while on his way to his office and was initially taken to NISS headquarters. He was then transferred to Kober prison, from where he was able to send his brother a text saying he had been arrested. There has been no word from him since then.

"While we do not yet know the reason for Al-Nur's detention, we do know that he had been in the government's sights for several months because of his reporting," Reporters Without Borders deputy programme director Virginie Dangles said.

"The arrest of one of the country's leading journalists is very worrying for freedom of information in Sudan. We demand respect for Al-Nur's right to benefit from the principles of international law that Sudan has accepted. This includes notifying his family of the reason for his arrest. Failing that, he must be released." [Read more: ReporterssansFrontières/24October2014]

US Treasury Raises Profile of Its Unique Intelligence Service. The US Treasury Department, the only finance ministry in the world with its own intelligence service, is raising its public profile to demonstrate the fight against ISIS involves more than bombs.

David Cohen, the Treasury's under secretary for terrorism, has been announcing different sorts of financial sanctions intended to interrupt the flow of funds to a variety of targets, from drug cartels to Iran and now the Islamic State since he was sworn in more than three years ago.

Through that time Treasury has refined the sanctions weapon that operates in the world's payments systems like laser-guided missiles aimed at points where money changes hands, very specific in their effect, sometimes aiming at a single individual.

By sending out its notices to the global banking system, access to the US - without which foreign banks would find it hard to operate - is leveraged into a worldwide enforcement network that uses staff of financial institutions throughout the world as its agents. [Read more: MNI/23October2014]

Ebola Is Big Concern for Intelligence Chief Clapper. Despite escalating turmoil, bloodshed and terrorism threats in various parts of the world, America's intelligence chief has been spending much of his time recently worrying about potential fallout from Africa's Ebola crisis.

James Clapper, the US Director of National Intelligence, revealed his personal focus on the health threat during a speech Monday to a security conference in Washington. "I spend more time and energy on Ebola than most people would think," he said, adding, "It's not the sort of thing we spy on."

But Mr. Clapper, a retired Air Force general, said the virus gripping a trio of countries in western Africa has "clearly gotten our attention" because it has "intelligence implications" as well.

"It is, indeed, as the president has said, a national security issue," Mr. Clapper said. [Read more: Pasztor/WallStreetJournal/27October2014]

China to Streamline Counter-Terrorism Intelligence Gathering. China will set up a national anti-terrorism intelligence system, state media said on Monday, as part of changes to a security law expected to be passed this week after an upsurge in violence in the far western region of Xinjiang.

Hundreds of people have been killed over the past two years in Xinjiang in unrest the government has blamed on Islamists who want to establish a separate state called East Turkestan.

Rights groups and exiles blame the government's repressive policies for stoking resentment among the Muslim Uighur people who call Xinjiang home.

The Xinhua state news agency said changes to the draft security law going through parliament were aimed at improving intelligence gathering and the sharing of information across government departments, while also enhancing international cooperation. [Read more: Reuters/27August2014]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Ex-CIA Officer Running for Congress: 'I've Been in Real Fights'. Once an undercover spy who made his living in the shadows, Will Hurd suddenly finds himself thrust into the national spotlight as he is locked in a tight congressional race with Democratic incumbent Rep. Pete Gallego for Texas' 23rd district.

The Texas Republican and former CIA operative gave the weekly GOP address Saturday morning, calling for voters to "take our government back" in the upcoming midterm elections.

"I want to get this mess in Washington cleaned up once and for all," Hurd said.

"Let's stand together and take our government back from bureaucrats in Washington and put the power where it belongs: in the hands of the people," he added. [Read more: Devaney/TheHill/25October2014]

Undercover in MI6: What's it Like to Work As a Spy? Harry Ferguson is a former MI6 intelligence officer and was an undercover agent for the National Investigation Service (NIS). In 2005, he starred with Mike Baker of the CIA in the BBC2 series Spy and wrote the book accompanying the series: Spy - A Handbook. As well as a frequent commentator on espionage, Ferguson is currently helping to promote the hit US TV series The Blacklist, starring James Spader as a master criminal turned FBI informer.

I was recruited by the secret service during the cold war. It was very much like a [John] le Carré novel. I was in my final year at Oxford University when my tutor came to me one day and said: "What are you thinking of doing with your career?" I told him I was thinking of the police or the army. He stood there and replied: "Have you ever thought of working for your country?" I had no idea what he was talking about, but I just said: "Yeah, sure." After that I got an envelope in my pigeonhole from an anonymous government department inviting me up to London for an interview.

I knew the job wasn't going to be James Bond but I was curious to know more. I knew very little really. I didn't even know the difference between MI5 or MI6. It just hadn't come across my radar at all. But one interview followed on to the next and I was sent on a training course. I thought even if I move on from this, it's got to be a once in a lifetime opportunity and it will be interesting to find out what the job is really about. [Read more: Jenkin/TheGuardian/22October2014]

In Cold War, US Spy Agencies Used 1,000 Nazis. In the decades after World War II, the CIA and other United States agencies employed at least a thousand Nazis as Cold War spies and informants and, as recently as the 1990s, concealed the government's ties to some still living in America, newly disclosed records and interviews show.

At the height of the Cold War in the 1950s, law enforcement and intelligence leaders like J. Edgar Hoover at the F.B.I. and Allen Dulles at the CIA aggressively recruited onetime Nazis of all ranks as secret, anti-Soviet "assets," declassified records show. They believed the ex-Nazis' intelligence value against the Russians outweighed what one official called "moral lapses" in their service to the Third Reich.

The agency hired one former SS officer as a spy in the 1950s, for instance, even after concluding he was probably guilty of "minor war crimes."

And in 1994, a lawyer with the CIA pressured prosecutors to drop an investigation into an ex-spy outside Boston implicated in the Nazis' massacre of tens of thousands of Jews in Lithuania, according to a government official. [Read more: Lichtblau/NYTimes/27October2014]

Sexy CIA TV Pilot Draws Gasps at Gala for Intelligence Community. The annual gala thrown by The OSS Society, the organization that keeps alive the memory of the defunct spy agency, is typically an elite gathering of the highest echelons of the intelligence community. Think of it as Spook Prom - guys in tuxes, lots of toasts, and heartfelt tributes to the late Bill Donovan, the founder of the organization, former head of OSS, and the namesake of the big award given at the bash.

This year's event on Saturday night at the Ritz Carlton ballroom featured something distinctly out of the ordinary: Boos from the audience as a campy video played depicting Donovan being seduced by his secretary-turned-dominatrix, who he murders on-screen.

Things had all been humming along as usual with dinner and speeches - the likes of Oliver North, CIA Director John Brennan and Director of National Intelligence Jim Clapper raising glasses and politely applauding - until midway through the program, when filmmaker Norm Steinberg took to the dais to introduce a pilot TV he had shot featuring a dramatized version of Donovan's life.

Steinberg, who is best known for writing the 1974 flick Blazing Saddles, said he was trying to find a buyer for the nascent series, but if the audience reaction Saturday was any indication, it might be a tough sell. [Read more: Heil/WashingtonPost/27October2014 Also see another report on dinner in Foreign Policy.]


Section III - COMMENTARY

Former NSA Official: Here Are 4 Things Edward Snowden Gets Wildly Wrong About American Spying. As a former ‘research scientist' at the National Security Agency, I feel compelled to respond to James Bamford's exclusive interview with Edward Snowden that appeared in the September issue of Wired magazine. (Unlike Mr. Snowden, I had to get this piece reviewed by the NSA prior to publishing, in order to make sure it doesn't jeopardize any classified information. )

Many of the factual assertions about the NSA and intelligence community that were included in Bamford's article, and previous Snowden "disclosures," are highly questionable from the perspective of someone who's actually been there.

Here are the top four, although to be fair there were so many it was hard to choose: [Read more: Aitel/BusinessInsider/22October2014]

A Note From an Intelligence Insider: Speaking Truth to Power. President Obama's now infamous assertion that the US intelligence community underestimated the threat of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) brought to mind the adage attributed to Sherman Kent, a former professor at Yale recruited into the Office of Strategic Services and widely regarded as the father of CIA's Directorate of Intelligence, that the purpose of intelligence is "to raise the tenor of debate." Much has been debated since the president spoke, in the press, on the Hill and the in the halls of government, regarding the adequacy of the intelligence community's warning, the potential consequences of the rise of ISIL for a strife-torn region and the wider implications for the United States. President Obama clearly felt himself ill-served, and, as a former CIA officer, I can readily imagine the muttering in the halls of Langley and elsewhere about having been thrown under the bus yet again.

So, did we miss the boat or not? Did we or didn't we warn appropriately? Did we or didn't we fully appreciate the strengths and prospects of this particular homicidal Sunni militant group and the limited capacity of neighboring states to respond effectively?

The short answer is I don't know. I worked on Iraq for the better part of ten years, and I have deep familiarity with the analytic story line on that unhappy land, but since retiring from the Agency some months ago, I've had no access to the finished intelligence provided daily to the White House. Could it be that the analysts at Langley and elsewhere didn't see what was afoot? I'm deeply skeptical, but maybe. Could it be that political leaders are aiming to deflect criticism of flawed policymaking? Maybe. It certainly wouldn't be the first time.

That said, it's actually the wrong question to ask. [Read more: Kilbourn/WarOnTheRocks/23October2014]

Counterterrorism Messaging Needs to Move From State to CIA. The State Department is trying hard to counter online propaganda from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant. The information battleground includes Twitter and video messages, terrain that ISIL knows well. In addition to having too little money and too few people, the department is forced to conform to federal rules requiring that its work be identified as coming from the US government.

That seriously downgrades its effectiveness, and instead fuels anti-American hatred among ISIS supporters. Consider the effect on credibility if even the most graphic anti-ISIL video concludes with the US State Department seal.

ISIL's online videos are filled with lies. They rely on a blasphemous interpretation of Islam to lure young fighters into combat against fellow Muslims, and they promise a quick trip to paradise for "martyrs" who throw away their lives. To an outsider, the flimsiness of the ISIL case is apparent, but the online recruiting is done skillfully, combining high-production values with great psychological insight, preying on disaffected young men and women who yearn for more meaningful lives.

A much more effective approach to combat their message would be a bare-knuckles operation: no disclaimers and a product that matches up better against the videos coming from Al Hayat, ISIL's video production arm (the name stolen from the pan-Arab newspaper, Al-Hayat). [Read more: Seib/DefenseOne/27October2014]


Section IV - Upcoming Events


Upcoming AFIO Events


AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

8 November 2014, 1130 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - The Florida Satellite Chapter presents its own Tyler Wasson on Al Qaeda's Network Threat.

The Florida Satellite Chapter presents its own Tyler Wasson. FSC member and recent Henley-Putnam University graduate with the degree of Master of Science in Intelligence Management will discuss his thesis “Al Qaeda’s Collective Network Threat.” Tyler’s work examines the threat posed by AQ’s collective network by reviewing the evolution of AQ’s network structure, evaluating AQ’s network collectiveness and breaking down its network capacity. 

A core, six affiliates and up to thirteen allied groups comprise the Al Qaeda (AQ) network.  The groups that comprise AQ are simultaneously independent and part of a collective network.  They often work together and benefit each other in both defensive and offensive actions that enable al Qaeda to conduct devastating attacks and sustain itself since 1988.  Despite efforts to remove AQ from safe havens, the AQ remnants counter by retreating, regrouping, and reconstituting once allied forces leave.  The collective network enables AQ groups to move into other safe havens, regroup, and sustain itself for over two and a half decades.  To prevent AQ from expanding in sanctuary and having the opportunity to attack the US homeland, this presentation will discuss recommendations on how best to mitigate the AQ threat.  Note: Time will be allocated for questions and answers.

Event location: Eau Gallie Yacht Club, 100 Datura Drive, Indian Harbour Beach, FL 32937. We have been informed that the Eau Gallie Yacht Club has discontinued serving alcoholic beverages to non-members. In the interests of avoiding needless dehydration, the Chapter will be moving future meetings to the Indian River Colony Club.
For reservations and further details, contact Barbara Keith, 1024 Osprey Drive, Melbourne, Florida 32940. Telephone: 321.777.5561, email:bobbie6769@juno.com

Wednesday, 12 November 2014, 11:30 a.m. - Scottsdale, AZ - AFIO Arizona hears from Alan Rodbell, Police Chief of Scottsdale

MEMBERS: PLEASE NOTE THAT we will start THIS TIME sharply at 11:45 am because our guest speaker will need to leave prior to 1PM!!!!!!
GUEST SPEAKER: ALAN RODBELL - Police Chief, City of Scottsdale
Chief Rodbell has been the Police Chief in the City of Scottsdale, Arizona since 2003. He has 36 years of public safety experience, which has taken him through the ranks and multiple levels of responsibility as a line level employee, supervisor, manager, and leader. He came to the city after 25 years serving in the Montgomery County Maryland Department of Policy. He has a B. A. Criminology from the University of Maryland and a Masters degree in Education from McDaniel College, formally Western Maryland College. Chief Rodbell is a graduate of the FBI National Academy in Quantico, Va.
In the years he has served in Scottsdale, Rodbell has successfully completed a workforce study, enabling the successful full staffing of his department, an award winning Strategic Planning process and has been involved in leading the first Photo Enforcement study on a state highway.
Under his leadership, Scottsdale has achieved double digit reductions in crime making Scottsdale one of the safest cities in Arizona. In the October issue of Parent Magazine, the City was recognized as the best city in the country to raise children, complete with an A+ grade for public safety, and most recently, Law Street Media has named Scottsdale the 5th safest city in the U.S.
Chief Rodbell sits on two State Boards, appointed by the Governor, the Arizona Policy Officer Standards and Training Board, and the Homeland Security, Central Regional Advisory Council. In 2013, Chief Rodbell received the NAACP Law Enforcement Award for his work with the community from the East Valley NAACP.
Chief Rodbell was recently appointed to the Arizona Peace Officers Memorial Board, by the State's Attorney General.
Chief Rodbell serves as an Executive Board member of the East Valley NAACP and a member of the Arizona Black Law Enforcement Employees Association (A.B.L.E.). The A.B.L.E. Organization honored him with the 2014 Doeg Nelson Supervisor of the Year Award in August.
Chief Rodbell has served as the Acting, Chief of Public Safety. In this capacity, he was responsible for leadership of Police, Fire, Homeland and Municipal Security operations for the City. Under his leadership, the City has combined various support services that have traditionally supported two departments into one, saving millions of taxpayer dollars.
Today, Chief Rodbell is responsible as the Chief of Police for the City of Scottsdale, now recognized as the fifth safest large city by recent FBI Crime Reports
LOCATION: McCORMICK RANCH GOLF COURSE
(7505 McCormick Parkway, Scottsdale AZ 85258 ~ Phone 480.948.0260)
RSVP: simone@afioaz.org

Friday, 14 November 2014 - Tysons Corner, VA - US Representative Mike Rogers, Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, addresses us as he leaves this important national security post, as does outgoing AFIO National President S. Eugene Poteat, former CIA S&T. DNI James Clapper will also speak at this final 2014 AFIO National Luncheon.

US Representative Mike Rogers, Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence;
DNI James Clapper;
and Outgoing President Gene Poteat
will address our group at this final 2014 AFIO National Luncheon.

US Representative Mike Rogers, Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, will frankly discuss the growing threats of ISIS/ISIL, Cyberwar, China, Iran, North Korea, and other challenges to the nation as he leaves this important national security post and ends his 14-year career in Washington.
Outgoing President Gene Poteat will speak on the just released revision of George O'Toole's Honorable Treachery: A History of US Intelligence, Espionage, and Covert Action from the American Revolution to the CIA [GroveAtlantic 2014], and of his more unusual or amusing CIA experiences, as he departs after 15 years leading AFIO;
and James R. Clapper, the Director of National Intelligence, will stop in at this final 2014 AFIO National Luncheon.

Includes special ceremony for the retirement* of AFIO's president of 15 years, S. Eugene Poteat.

Timing: Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Gene Poteat begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Cake-Cutting, Tributes, and Comments for Poteat at 11:45 to noon. Lunch served at noon; DNI James Clapper arrives to make special remarks; HPSCI Chairman Rogers begins his presentation at 1:05 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record

The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.

EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
Register while space available. Register HERE

Thursday, 20 Nov 2014, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO - The Rocky Mountain Chapter presents Robert Olislagers speak on“Terrorism and Intelligence sharing in the Air Domain.” 

Robert Olisalgers is returning from the Intelligence National Security Alliance Conference in DC and will be discussing Terrorism and Intelligence sharing in the Air Domain. 

This event will be held at The Inn at Palmer Divide, 443 S Highway 105 Palmer Lake, CO, Exit 161 westbound off I-25, West on Highway 105.  Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net

Monday, 8 December 2014, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro Chapter discusses "Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century."

Four Star General Eugene Habiger, USAF(Ret), former Commander in Chief US Strategic Command (35 years) was responsible for national security & nuclear operations. He also served 150 combat missions in Vietnam.
He will be discussing with us: Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century.
SPACE IS LIMITED TO 90. Registration for this important event is on a first come basis.
Capacity is 90 attendees maximum so Reservations are required. You must cancel prior to Thursday December 4th or payment will be due.
Location: Society of Illustrators building: 128 E 63rd St, NYC, 3rd floor.
Time: Registration 5:30 PM, Meeting Start 6:00 PM
Cost: $50/person only by pre-registration. Payable at the door only, cash or check. Buffet dinner following talk/Q&A. Cash bar.
Register with Jerry Goodwin 646-717-3776 or by email: afiometro@gmail.com

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events


Other Upcoming Events

Wednesday, 29 October 2014, 10:30 am - Washington, DC - Digital Soft Power: The Frontline of Defense in the War Against Extremism
A conference featuring Matthew Daniels, J.D., Ph.D., Founder of The Center for Human Rights and International Affairs, Adjunct Professor, The Institute of World Politics
General Richard Myers (USAF, Ret.), Former Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff,
The Honorable William S. Sessions, Former Director, Federal Bureau of Investigation
and Dr. John Lenczowski, Founder and President, The Institute of World Politics, Former Director of European and Soviet Affairs, NSC
10:30 AM Remarks
11:00 AM Discussion
11:30 AM Light Refreshments .
Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036
For Parking, consult this map.
RSVP: Register here or contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

Thursday, 30 October 2014, 1 pm - McLean, VA - IAFIE Luncheon honors Jack Davis

Luncheon at 1 pm.; program starts at 2 pm and should end by 2:45 pm; short business meeting for IAFIE members to follow. You do not need to be a member to participate in the program!
Please join them in honoring the recipient of IAFIE’s first-ever Lifetime Achievement Award, Jack Davis, who will offer remarks about his legendary career in the field of intelligence analysis and be interviewed by two other luminaries who nominated him for this prestigious award, Dr. Roger George of National War College/Georgetown University and Dr. Jim Bruce of RAND.
Jack Davis is commended for his service as:
- Long-time CIA analyst and officially recognized Agency “Trailblazer”
- Founding instructor of the Sherman Kent School of Intelligence Analysis
- Creator of key structured analytic techniques and the Alternative Analysis Database
- Designer of the seminal course “Intelligence Successes and Failures”
- Initiator of “Friends of Analysis” online network
- Key translator of the scientific method
- National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
Event hosted by the Washington Area Chapter of the International Association for Intelligence Education. Title of event: “Jack Davis Day”
Event location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Dr, McLean, VA 22101 (Tel: (703) 893-7777)
Dr. Joe Gordon, IAFIE President, will also discuss the 2014 annual conference held at Mercyhurst University in Erie, PA, and preview the 2015 conference.
Cost: $30.00 for Italian luncheon spread, served family style, including appetizers, house salad, two pastas, and entrée, plus iced tea, coffee, or soft drinks (alcoholic beverages and desserts not included; must be purchased individually); you must pay by check or cash—no credit cards, please!
RSVP to Chapter Chair, Dr. Bill Spracher, at William.Spracher@dodiis.mil or call (202) 231-8462, or Chapter Program Chair, Mr. Julian Meade, at Julian.Meade@dodiis.mil or call (202) 231-3339, no later than COB Monday, October 27.

3-4 November 2014 - Lexington, VA - The Enduring Legacy: Leadership and National Security Affairs During the Ronald Reagan Era

Virginia Military Institute presents this 2-day conference on “The Enduring Legacy: Leadership and National Security Affairs during the Ronald Reagan Era” bringing together scholars and national security professionals to discuss strategy, policy, and leadership during the Reagan administration.

It features a keynote address by former NATO commander Admiral James Stavridis, USN (ret.), and a dinner presentation by former U.S. ambassador to the Soviet Union Jack F. Matlock, Jr.

In addition, seven panels of historians and former Reagan administration officials will examine aspects of the Reagan presidency―and the connections between the Cold War and contemporary national security affairs. Panel topics will include:
•The Leadership of Ronald Reagan
•The Organization and Function of the National Security Establishment
•The Soviet Union and the United States
•Reagan and World: The Americas
•Reagan and the World: The Middle East and Africa
•Reagan and the World: The Great Powers
•The Reagan Legacy

Panelists to include Mr. Lou Cannon, author of President Reagan: The Role of a Lifetime, Dr. Archie Brown of Oxford University, Dr. Beth Fischer of the University of Toronto, Dr. Kyle Longley of Arizona State University, Dr. James Graham Wilson of the Department of State, Dr. Ronald Granieri of the Office of the Secretary of Defense and Dr. David Crist of The Joint Staff.
Fees: Attendee Rates Regular Rates (August 16 - October 17) $245; Late Rates (From October 18) $310. Full-Time Students - $65. (Registration rates include all conference sessions and meals, and coffee service throughout.)
REGISTER now.

Tuesday, 04 November 2014, 12pm - Washington, DC - Michael Warner on The Rise and Fall of Intelligence: An International Security History at the International Spy Museum

Book Signing: In his sweeping history of the development of professional, institutionalized intelligence Michael Warner examines the implications of the fall of the state monopoly on espionage today and beyond. As a historian for the Department of Defense and formerly for the Central Intelligence Agency and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Warner is uniquely qualified to discuss the birth of professional intelligence in Europe at the beginning of the twentieth century and the subsequent rise of US intelligence during the Cold War, as well as how intelligence agencies used the struggle against terrorism and the digital revolution to improve capabilities in the 2000s. Join Warner as he examines how states and other entities use intelligence to create, exploit, and protect secret advantages against others, and how technological advancement and ideological competition drive intelligence. Learn how this technology along with sociopolitical changes has led to the loss by larger states of their monopoly on intelligence skills and capabilities, making it possible for private organizations and even individuals to unearth secrets and influence global events.
Tickets: Free! No registration required. Visitwww.spymuseum.org

Wednesday, 5 November 2014, 4:30pm - Washington, DC - "Iran's Strategic Penetration of Latin America" by editor Joseph Humire, at the Institute of World Politics

In recent years, significant attention has focused upon the Islamic Republic of Iran's nuclear ambitions, and the threat they pose to the United States and the West. Far less well understood, however, has been the phenomenon of Iran's regional advance in America's own hemisphere-an intrusion that has both foreign policy and national security implications for the United States and its allies. In this collection, noted specialists and regional experts examine the various facets of Iran's contemporary presence in Central and South America, and detail what the Islamic Republic's growing geopolitical footprint south of the U.S. border signifies, both for Iran and for the United States.

While serving as the Director of Institute Relations at the Atlas Economic Research Foundation, Joseph Humire began developing the Center for a Secure Free Society (SFS) network by running programs around the world focused on promoting security and defense issues to the global free market community. In 2012, SFS spun-off from Atlas into its new home at the International Freedom Educational Center, where Mr. Humire now serves as the Executive Director.

Mr. Humire is an eight-year veteran of the United States Marine Corps having served combat tours in Iraq and Liberia, as well as taking part in the first multinational training exercise in Latin America and the Caribbean. After leaving the U.S. military, Mr. Humire studied Economics at George Mason University, which is renowned for the quality of its economic scholars. Mr. Humire's blend of military experience coupled with his free market education offers a unique perspective to global security issues, as he focuses on the nexus between security, defense and economic freedom.

As a rising star in the U.S. foreign policy and national security community, Mr. Humire has testified before the U.S. Congress and the Canadian Parliament on issues related to regional security in the Western Hemisphere. Moreover, Mr. Humire has published in Fox News, the Miami Herald and the Washington Times and has a regular column in the Huffington Post. He has featured scholarly articles in the Small Wars Journal and the Journal of International Security Affairs and appears regularly on major Spanish-language broadcasts throughout the hemisphere, to include CNN Español, Sun News Network (Canada), Nuestra Tele Noticias NTN-24 (Colombia), Ahora con Oscar Haza on Mega TV (Miami), and the Foro Inter-Americano of Voice of America (Washington D.C.).

In the private sector, Mr. Humire is the co-founder of the Cordoba Group International LLC, a strategic consulting firm that offers premier research and analytical services to U.S. and international clients, and is the co-editor of the forthcoming book Iran's Strategic Penetration of Latin America published by Lexington Books in 2014

Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
For Parking, consult this map.
RSVP: Register here or contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

Saturday, 8 November 2014, 6:45 p.m. - Henderson, NV - The Nevada Aerospace Hall of Fame honors four Inductees including a former CIA Official, John Parangosky.

The Nevada Aerospace Hall of Fame has selected four individuals this year for induction. These individuals all have contributed significantly to aviation history and, in one case, US National Security. That individual is: John Parangosky (a.k.a. Thomas P. McIninch) inducted for having brought to fruition some of the world's most sophisticated aerial and space-based technical intelligence collection systems from the mid-1950s through the mid-1970s. In the mid-1950s, Parangosky joined the CIA's highly classified IDEALIST program management, where he participated in all aspects of the U-2's development, flight testing at Groom Lake and early deployments. Parangosky was the CIA’s OXCART program executive officer and program manager, overseeing the A-12's first test flight at Groom Lake on April 30, 1962, its operational certification in November 1965, and deployment overseas as part of operation BLACK SHIELD. In 1967, in recognition of his per-formance and contributions to the A-12 Program, Parangosky received the Distinguished Intelli-gence Medal, one of the CIA's highest awards.
The induction dinner is being held at The Landings Restaurant, Henderson Executive Airport, 3500 Executive Terminal Dr. A no-host social begins at 6 p.m. and dinner is at 6:45 p.m. The induction program begins at 7:30 p.m.
TO REGISTER: Advance reservations and payment must be received by Oct. 31. Cost is $75 per person; dress is business casual. The public is invited but seating is limited; corporate tables are available.

For reservations and payment, contact Robert Friedrichs, Director NVAHOF Director: 702-791-3536; e-mail: robert.friedrichs@nvahof.org  or Patrick Newcomb, NVAHOF Secretary, 702.592.3766, patrick.newcomb@nvahof.org

Monday, 10 November 2014, 5-6 PM - Washington, DC - "The U-2 Incident: Preserving Cold War History, and Honoring Cold War Veterans" at the Institute of World Politics

Francis Gary Powers, Jr., Founder of The Cold War Museum, is the son of downed U-2 pilot Francis Gary Powers. The son seeks to dispel myths about "the U-2 incident" and discuss the importance of preserving Cold War history. This lecture will be in honor of the veterans, such as his father, of the Cold War.
Copies of a new reprint of the 1970 book, Operation Overflight by pilot Francis Gary Powers, will be available for purchase at the event. 
In this edition, Powers presents his account of what happened during that flight which triggered international tensions between the US and USSR after Powers was captured by the Soviets.

Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
For Parking, consult this map.
RSVP: Register here or contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

18 November 2014, 2:30 - 5:30 p.m. - Washington, DC - Col. Wortzel speaks on "Contemporary Chinese Military Strategy" at the Institute of World Politics

"Contemporary Chinese Military Strategy" is the theme of COL Larry M. Wortzel, PhD (USA, Ret.)'s presentation.

Dr. Wortzel is one of the foremost US experts on China and serves on the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. During a 32-year military career, Dr. Wortzel spent 12 years in the Asia-Pacific region, including two tours of duty as a military attaché at in China. Following his retirement from the Army as a colonel in 1999, he was an executive with The Heritage Foundation. At Heritage he was Asian Studies Center Director and Vice President for foreign policy and defense studies. Dr. Wortzel has written or edited numerous books and articles on China.

Event location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036.
For Parking, consult this map.
RSVP: Register here or contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

Friday, 5 December 2014, 8 am - 3:30 pm - Jersey City, NJ - 4th NE Regional Security Education Symposium on "Investing in America’s Security: Policy/Resource Issues" at New Jersey City University

The Professional Security Studies Department at New Jersey City University will hold its 4th Northeast Regional Security Education Symposium on Friday, December 5, 2014 from 8 am – 3:30 pm. The topic of this year’s Symposium is "Investing in America’s Security: Policy/Resource Issues."
The Symposium’s keynote address will be delivered by Ambassador (Retired) Clay Constantinou. Featured speakers include Joseph Picciano, P.E., Deputy Director, New Jersey Office of Homeland Security & Preparedness; Hon. Michael Balboni, President and Managing Director of RedLand Strategies, Inc. and Former New York State Senator and Deputy Secretary of Public Safety; and Dr. Michael J. Chumer, Research Professor, NJIT and Academic Advisor, NJCU D.Sc.
Students pursuing their D.Sc. degree will present posters overviewing their research and the program’s faculty will hold a panel discussion.
RSVP: Reserve your spot and purchase a ticket by calling Ms. Denise Melendez at 201-200-2275, or by sending a check payable to: New Jersey City University to NJCU Professional Security Studies Department, 2039 Kennedy Blvd., Jersey City, NJ 07305-1597. Only a limited number of tickets are available at the door on the day of the Symposium.
Symposium attendance is only $30 per person which includes continental breakfast and lunch. Over 150 students and security professionals are expected to be in attendance (bachelors, masters, and doctorate).
Questions to: JOHN W. COLLINS, JR., CPP, Ed.D., Chairperson, Professor, and DSc Program Coordinator at jcollins2@njcu.edu.


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