Weekly Intelligence Notes #04-02
2
8 January 2002

WIN 04-02 dtd 28 Jan 2002

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are produced by Roy Jonkers for non-profit educational uses by AFIO members and ISIS associates. Don Harvey contributes articles to the WINs.

C O N T E N T S of this WIN

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 SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

     Senior CIA & USMC Veterans Join NYPD

     Things Happen -- An Assassination

     Things Happen -- The Planted Leak

     Things Happen -- The Headquarters Fire

 

SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

     Pakistan Airlift from Afghanistan

     DOD Defense Budget FY 2003

     Homeland Security Office

 

SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE

     Computer Crime Attorneys Wanted

     Kidnapped?  GPS to the Rescue

     White House Cyber Security Strategy

     FedCIRC Prepares Free Security Tools

     Security Costs Soaring

 

SECTION IV - BOOKS AND SOURCES

     Intelligence and Counterintelligence

     GPS Vulnerability

     The XXI Century Encyclopedia

 

SECTION V - LETTERS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS

     Sam Halpern

     Science and the War On Terrorism

     Request for Assistance on Hanssen Damage Assessment

     CHICOM Plane Bugging - A Letter

     Intelligence Novel - Request for Assistance

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SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE


SENIOR CIA & USMC VETERANS JOIN NYPD -- David Cohen, former CIA (35 years) and former Deputy Director for Operations (DO), has been appointed to the new post of 'Deputy Commissioner for Intelligence' in the new York Police Department. He has been charged with placing new emphasis on investigating terrorism, international crime, drug trafficking and money laundering, as well as sharing more information with the C.I.A., the Federal Bureau of Investigation and other law enforcement agencies around the country and the world.

            The NYPD has also created another new position, 'Deputy Commissioner for Counterterrorism.' Lieutenant General Frank Libutti, USMC (retired) has accepted this post. Both will report to the chief of police, Commissioner Frank Kelly. (Jonkers) (NYT 25Jan02 // F. Cooper) http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/25/nyregion/25POLI.html?pagewanted=print

THINGS HAPPEN -- AN ASSASSINATION -- Just before 10am on Thursday, January 24th in Beirut, Elie Hobeika drove his blue Range Rover from his home on Marroukoz Street with his three bodyguards, Dmitri Ajram, Walid Zein and Faris Suedan, when a white Mercedes 280, parked in a basement garage level with the road, blew up. An estimated 100 kilos of explosives blasted Hobeika's vehicle across the narrow highway, killing all four men instantly. This was no simple murder. It needed at least four men to assassinate Hobeika -- one outside his home 100 meters away to alert the bombers, another to have guarded the car bomb, two more to have "line of sight" and press the detonation switch. Charbel Moussalem, whose sister was wounded on his apartment balcony, says "Elie Hobeika often drove down this road to his office . . . Not every day. But we knew him." So did the assassins.

            Hobeika, the man who led his Christian Phalangist murderers into the Palestinian refugee camps at Sabra and Chatila some 19 years ago, allegedly with the encouragement or at the behest of the invading Israeli army forces, was dead -- to the jubilation of thousands of Palestinians. "Our blood was not in vain," they screamed yesterday in the refugee camp of Bourj el-Barajneh. Perhaps the murder was long-delayed Palestinian revenge. But in this area of Christian east Beirut, Hizbollah militia men or Syrian agents would have a hard task to set up such a murderous ambush. More likely it was a "targeted killing," which is how the Israelis describe their death squad assassinations of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza.

By a remarkable coincidence, the former Lebanese Phalangist militia leader and government minister was killed two days after he agreed to give evidence against Israeli Prime Minister Sharon in a Belgian court, which is seeking to try the Israeli leader as a war criminal for the murder of up to 1,700 Palestinian civilians in the Sabra and Chatila refugee camps in September 1982. Less than two days before the killing, at 5pm on Tuesday, to be exact, Hobeika had met two Belgian senators, Josy Dubie and Vincent van Quickenborne, in east Beirut, agreeing to be a witness at any trial for the Sabra and Chatila massacre. The meeting was supposed to be secret: Hobeika reportedly told the Belgians he had been threatened with death, but it was leaked to the Lebanese press. That might have been Hobeika's death certificate.

No tears need be shed for Hobeika, a blood-soaked war criminal. As for Sharon and his policies and actions, readers will make their own judgments. (Jonkers) (Beirut, 25 January 2002 //R. Fisk)

THINGS HAPPEN -- THE PLANTED LEAK -- Two intelligence items published in mid-January by the New York Times, were reportedly based on "classified reports, which were provided" to the paper. They described Iran's support to a notorious terrorist, Imad Mugniyah, and Iran's attempts to provide Stinger missiles to terrorists. The bulk of the data in the stories dates back a number of years; the reason for the current interest appears to be the implication of Mugniyah in the recent seizure of an arms shipment from Iran to the Palestinians.

            One of the reports in the paper addresses the history of Iranian Revolutionary Guards purchases in Afghanistan of American-built Stinger antiaircraft missiles in 1994 to be turned over to the Lebanese-based Islamic Jihad terrorists. These Stingers were part of the reported 200 Stingers turned over to the Afghans but not fired before the Russians marched out of the country. The Stingers were found to be defective and eventually returned to the Afghan supplier. The second news story detailed the activities of Imad Mugniyah, a Lebanese and a leader in the Hezbollah guerrilla group as well as the Islamic Jihad. Mugniyah's anti-American violence includes: bombings of the American embassy and Marine barracks in Beirut in 1983; torture and murder of the CIA station chief in Beirut in 1984; possible role in the bombing of Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia in 1996; and the hijacking in 1985 of a TWA flight in which an American was killed and 39 Americans were held hostage. Direct Revolutionary Guards support for several of these attacks has been reported.

            These reports are unusual in the current "no leaks will be tolerated" administration; if the trend continues in the intelligence world, a useful descriptor may become SLARID (senior level authorized release of intelligence data) reporting. (Harvey) (NY Times 12 & 17 Jan '02 by James Risen)

THINGS HAPPEN - THE HEADQUARTERS FIRE -- The Shahid-E-Millat building in Islamabad caught fire on Jan. 15, destroying hundreds of records. The building housed the offices of the Pakistani Interior Ministry, including the headquarters of the Pakistan Intelligence Service ( ISI), and is the location of files on Islamic militants in the country. The fire, which began on the top floor of the 16-floor building, may have been set deliberately -- possibly by ISI agents to protect several Islamic networks from being rolled up in the crackdown ordered by Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf. The Pakistani leader has banned five extremist groups linked to attacks in Kashmir and India. Whodunit? (Jonkers) (B. Gertz backgrounder)

SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

PAKISTAN AIRLIFT FROM AFGHANISTAN -- As reported in a previous WIN, there were unconfirmed reports in November 2001 of an aerial evacuation of Pakistanis from the fighting near Kunduz in northern Afghanistan. The reports were denied in Washington and Karachi. Seymour Hersh has written a piece that gives more credibility to the evacuation.

            He cites American intelligence officials and high-ranking military officers as saying that Pakistanis were indeed flown to safety, in a series of nighttime airlifts that were approved by the US Administration. Why should this have been approved?
            Pakistan's leader, General Pervez Musharraf, had risked his standing with the religious fundamentalists, and perhaps his life, by endorsing the American attack on Afghanistan and the American support of the Northern Alliance. At the time of Kunduz, his decision looked like an especially dangerous one. The initial American aim in Afghanistan had been NOT been to eliminate the Taliban's presence there entirely but to undermine the regime and Al Qaeda while leaving intact so-called moderate Taliban elements that would play a role in a new postwar government. This would insure that Pakistan would not end up with a regime on its border dominated by the Northern Alliance.

            By mid-November, however, it was clear, however, that the Northern Alliance would quickly sweep through Afghanistan. There were fears that once the Northern Alliance took Kunduz, there would be wholesale killings of the defeated fighters, especially the foreigners. Musharraf then reportedly won American support for the airlift by warning that the humiliation of losing hundreds

            Just as Pakistan supported the Taliban in Afghanistan, Pakistan's arch-rival India has supported the Northern Alliance. Operatives in India's main external intelligence unit (The New Yorker Mag 28Jan 02 ///Seymour Hersh) http://www.newyorker.com/PRINTABLE/?fact/020128fa_FACT
(ANNALS OF NATIONAL SECURITY - THE GETAWAY //Issue of 2002-01-28)


DOD DEFENSE BUDGET FY 2003 -- The 2003 DoD budget calls for more than $48 billion in new defense spending for a total of $379 billion. It includes funding to win the war against terrorism and provide for homeland defense, transform the U.S. military into a 21st century fighting force, and improve quality of life for our men and women in uniform .

Ø      Winning the War Against Terrorism

  • The war against terrorism requires a commitment to new technologies, enhanced intelligence gathering and homeland defense. Funding is included for:

ü      Counter-terrorism & force protection

ü      Intelligence gathering

ü      Continued air patrols over the United States

ü      Upgrades in munitions, mobility and communications

ü      A reserve fund for recovery in the event of future attacks

 

Ø      Transforming the U.S. Military

  • The budget allows DoD to make changes and innovations necessary to meet 21st Century threats, including weapons, technology and new ways of organizing and thinking to make the U.S. armed forces more lethal and agile. The budget includes investments in the following:

ü      The development of a system that seamlessly links communications, intelligence and surveillance operations - allowing troops and commanders real-time access to information during complex and unconventional conflicts.

ü      Unmanned vehicles that track and destroy the enemy without putting American lives at risk.

ü      Continued development of precision weapons and other high-tech weaponry that can shape and dominate an unconventional battlefield while minimizing damage to non-military targets.

ü      Continued missile defense research and development to defend Americans, our troops and allies against weapons of mass destruction.

 

Ø      Quality of Life Improvements for Men & Women in Uniform

  • . To recruit and retain the best and the brightest for military service, the '03 budget includes:

ü      A military pay increase

ü      Improvements to military housing

ü      A funding increase for military health care

(Jonkers) (DOD /PublicAffairs (703 697 1254), 25 Jan 02)

 

HOMELAND SECURITY OFFICE -- The new office, operating out of the White House under former Governor Tom Ridge, has a broad scope that includes intelligence responsibilities. The announced top priorities of the Office include:

(1)   Intelligence and Information -- a National Center has been set up to analyze and share data, and to coordinate responses during a crisis

(2)   Secure Borders - on land, air and sea.

(3)   Protection from Bioterrorism -- planning to respond to future attacks.

(4)   Quick Response -- ensure that "first responders" are properly trained and supplied

(5)   Threat Alert system -- when implemented, it will have various levels of alert, as in the military.

(Jonkers) (Parade 27 Jan 02, p. 5)

SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE

COMPUTER CRIME ATTORNEYS WANTED -- The U.S. Justice Department has begun soliciting hundreds of resumes from attorneys skilled in computer crime and intellectual property law in an effort to keep pace with a growing caseload of cyber crime prosecutions. The Justice Department "is seeking experienced attorneys to fill positions in its Computer Crime & Intellectual Property Section," the agency said in a notice recently posted on its Web site. (Levine 29 Jan 02)

http://www.newsbytes.com/news/02/174007.html

http://www.cybercrime.gov/March2002.htm

KIDNAPPED?? GPS TO THE RESCUE -- Foreign executives and other individuals who are frequent kidnapping targets in Latin America will soon be able to use 'implantable' ID chips and personal GPS devices in an attempt to thwart their abductors. Applied Digital Solutions announced Thursday it had reached an agreement with a distributor to sell its VeriChip and Digital Angel products in three South American countries.
http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,50004,00.html


WHITE HOUSE CYBER SECURITY STRATEGY -- The White House will avoid calling for legislative edicts when it rolls out its sweeping national cybersecurity "strategy" later this year, a senior Bush administration official said today. Speaking at a technology conference here, White House Director of Critical Infrastructure Protection Paul Kurtz said that the cybersecurity strategy which is due out June - would include extensive input from private-sector contributors.(Levine 25 Jan02)
http://www.newsbytes.com/news/02/173967.html

FedCIRC PREPARES FREE SECURITY TOOLS -- Working with its second year of appropriated funding, the Federal Computer Incident Response Center is preparing a range of free security tools for agencies over the next year. Within the next two weeks, vendors will finish submitting proposals for an automatic patch dissemination system, which is intended to make it easier for security managers to handle the abundance of security patches available for commercial software, said Sallie McDonald, assistant commissioner for information assurance and critical infrastructure protection at the General Services Administration's Federal Technology Service.
http://www.fcw.com/fcw/articles/2002/0121/web-circ-01-25-02.asp

SECURITY COSTS SOARING --
Cities across the United States are expected to spend an additional $2.6 billion on security through the end of 2002, according to a survey released Jan. 23 by the U.S. Conference of Mayors. According to projections based on the survey of nearly 200 cities, officials spent an additional $525 million on security costs from Sept. 11 through Dec. 31, 2001, and are expected to spend $2.1 billion more by the end of this year. (Levine 24 Jan 02)
http://www.fcw.com/geb/articles/2002/0121/web-mayors-01-24-02.asp
http://www.newsbits.net/search.html

SECTION IV - BOOKS AND SOURCES

INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTERINTELLIGENCE, by Jack Morris (AFIO member), The Palmer Press, Ca. 2001 (ISBN 0-912479-01-11) http://thepalmerpress.com . AFIO member David Jimenez recommends the book, including some forty articles by noted authors on topics ranging from the Battle of Little Big Horn to contemporary military attaches, and a comparison of the security of the USS Maine in Cuba in 1898 and the USSS Cole in Yemen. Also included are articles by AFIO members Lawrence Sulc (Intelligence, Counterintelligence and Security) and Frederick Martins (The Use, Misuse and Abuse of Intelligence). (D. Jimenez)

GPS VULNERABILITY -- A long-delayed Department of Transportation study found that the Global Positioning System satellite network is vulnerable to jamming and other forms of disruption, and should therefore not be used as the sole basis for aircraft navigation. The report, entitled "Vulnerability Assessment of the Transportation Infrastructure:  Relying on the Global Positioning System," is available in ADOBE ACROBAT format at:
http://www.fas.org/spp/military/program/asat/gpstrans.pdf

The XXI CENTURY ENCYCLOPEDIA, by Nikolai Spassky (ed), Arms and Technology Publishing House, Moscow. (In the US, available from TommX, Inc., Riverview Professional Plaza, 65 Mechanic St., Suite 205, Red Bank, NJ 07701 @$495 per volume plus S&H) The ten volume series cover, in great detail, armament systems, part of Russia's Arms and Technologies series. The first three volumes are now available, including Vol I - Strategic Nuclear Forces, Vol II - Rocket and Artillery Armament of Ground Forces, and Vol III - Naval Weapons . For researchers, analysts. (DJ)

SECTION V - LETTERS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS

SAM HALPERN -- We are delighted to report that our friend and colleague, the venerable Sam Halpern, member of the AFIO Board of Directors, has turned the corner and is recovering from a near-fatal attack of peritonitis. Sam served with the OSS in WWII and retired from CIA in 1974. He is the only one of AFIO's original founding members still on the Board of Directors and still active in pursuit of the association's objectives. (RJ)

SCIENCE AND THE WAR ON TERRORISM -- DARPA and SOCOM are hosting a by-invitation only conference in March 2002 called "Scientists Helping America" to explore innovative approaches to a variety of military needs from signature reduction to directed energy weapons. See the conference announcement and application information here: http://safe.sysplan.com/scihelpamerica/ad.html

REQUEST FOR ASSISTANCE ON HANSSEN DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FROM PRIOR COLLEAGUES -- the Damage Assessment Team needs to establish details of Hanssen¹s access to classified information, but would also be interested in information on the full range of his official and unofficial activities, including his computer skills, relationships with others, and potential motivation. Anyone who remembers contact with Hanssen, and has not already reported that information to the FBI, call toll free at 1-866-819-5319. The team will arrange interviews to handle all classified information. (Poteat)

Len W. writes on CHICOM PLANE BUGGING -- Your piece on the bugging of the Chinese President's airplane seems to imply that American Intelligence had no business doing the bugging. But in reality, if they had not installed the bugs they would have been derelict. The fact that they were caught is a black mark on their capabilities, but there is no question that the bugging was their duty as operatives of American Intelligence. I seem to recall that American Intelligence bugged the limousine given to Premier Brezhnev, and that Soviet Intelligence bugged the gift eagle that was hung on the wall of the American Ambassador in Moscow. AFIO seems to have a tendency to focus on the analysis, administration, organization, and bureaucracy of American Intelligence to the neglect of the operators on the ground tasked with the collection of secrets.

Editors' Response: Thank you for your opinion Len. Always welcome. We took it as obvious and a given that we support intelligence collection by all possible means--except the stupid ones that cost more than the likely return. And if we do not focus on substance of collection, it is because, with some 85 years of combined service 'in the business' between us, we do not give away secrets, sources or methods. (DH/RJ)

INTELLIGENCE NOVEL - Alan Swenson writes: I have been asked by Macmillan to write on intelligence. It will be in the form of a novel, but my purpose is to depict intelligence in a positive light. Any assistance any of your members may wish to give, in the form of personal anecdotal material, will be useful and appreciated. Tel: 207 985 3216. Email: aswenson@loa.com  

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