AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #09-19 dated 5 March 2019

To view this edition of the Weekly Notes online, use the following link.

[Editors' Note are now below the CONTENTS] REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

Section III - COMMENTARY

Section IV - Research Request, Jobs, Obituaries

Research Request

Jobs

Obituaries

Section V - Events

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others

For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events 

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors: ec, po, mh, km, gh, mk, rd, fm, kc, jm, mr, jg, th, ed, and fwr. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles and commentary.
CAVEATS: IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link. You will need your LOGIN NAME and your PASSWORD.


Gifts appropriate for intelligence officers, colleagues, recruitments, agents, advisors, and family.

The AFIO Store has following new items ready for quick shipment:

NEW: Long and Short-Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo

Show your support for AFIO with our new Polo Shirts. Be the first to buy these new, high quality, subtle heathered grey shirts of shrink and wrinkle resistant fine cotton with a soft yet substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal. Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues, family, and friends. Only $45 each including shipping.
Sizes of (M) men or (W) women shirts; Small, Medium, Large, XL, XXL, and XXXL. At this time all orders will arrive as Short Sleeve shirts.
You may pay by check or credit card. Complete your order online here or mail an order along with payment to: AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Ste 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Phone orders at 703-790-0320.
If interested in other shirt colors or sleeve lengths, contact Annette at: annettej@afio.com.


NEW: Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. (We left out all that lead-based glaze and hidden toxins in those mugs made in China being sold by other organizations). Also sturdy enough to sit on desk to hold pens, cards, paperclips, and candy.

This handsome large, heavy USA-made ceramic mug is dishwasher-safe with a glazed seal. $35 per mug includes shipping. Order this and other store items online here.


     

NCMF 2019 Spring Cryptologic Program Featuring Mr. C. Eric Estberg on Berlin Daze

Wednesday, 27 March 2019, 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD

PDF of full program and agenda here

The National Cryptologic Museum Foundation's 2019 Spring Cryptologic Program features C. Eric "Rick" Estberg, author of the book Berlin Daze. Following his presentation, a book signing and lunch will take place from 1145 to 1300. Books will be available for purchase for $20. Learn more about Mr. Estberg, his presentation, and his book below.

Berlin Daze recounts dozens of Estberg's adventures and unique experiences over a seven-year period in walled West Berlin, as an Army NCO and an NSA civilian. As a "Cold Warrior" he served literally on the front lines, separated by only a few miles from hundreds of thousands of Soviet and East German soldiers. Unlike others who spent much of a career in those days simply training for some possible future crisis, Rick actually lived his real-world mission, day-in and day-out, along with hundreds of others of talented, dedicated military and civilian intelligence specialists.

Registration: The registration fee includes lunch. It is $25 for members and guests. To register now online follow this link.

Or you may mail-in your registration fee by check to NCMF, PO Box 1682, Fort George G. Meade, MD 20755-9998. Include names of self and your guests. For more details, please call the NCMF office at 301-688-5436. ***Deadline for registration is 25 March 2019.*****

Event Location: CACI Inc., Maryland Conference Center, 2720 Technology Dr, Annapolis Junction, MD 20755. Google map link here.

More about this event, about the author or book, is here.

Additional information or questions can be handled at NCMF Office at cryptmf@aol.com or call 301-688-5436


New and Forthcoming Books of the Week

To Catch a Spy: The Art of Counterintelligence
by James M. Olson
(Georgetown University Press, Apr 2019)

The United States is losing the counterintelligence war. Foreign intelligence services, particularly those of China, Russia, and Cuba, are recruiting spies in our midst and stealing our secrets and cutting-edge technologies. Olson, former chief of CIA counterintelligence, offers a wake-up call for the American public and also a guide for how our country can do a better job of protecting its national security and trade secrets. Olson takes the reader into the arcane world of counterintelligence as he lived it during his thirty-year career in the CIA. After an overview of what the Chinese, Russian, and Cuban spy services are doing to the United States, Olson explains the nitty-gritty of the principles and methods of counterintelligence. Readers will learn about specific aspects of counterintelligence such as running double-agent operations and surveillance. The book also analyzes twelve actual case studies to illustrate why people spy against their country, the tradecraft of counterintelligence, and where counterintelligence breaks down or succeeds. A "lessons learned" section follows each case study.

"The author, America's counterintelligence guru, has crafted a remarkable, indispensable book rich in heartbreaking detail and sharp analysis—serving as a clarion call for a stronger response to the unrelenting, sophisticated, and successful foreign espionage assault on our nation." —Henry A. Crumpton, a 24 year veteran of the CIA's Clandestine Service

"Olson has written a primer on the world of espionage that is so thoughtful and carefully laid out it makes you wonder how we got along without a book like this before. The lay reader will learn how spying really works. The intelligence professional will discover how to make it work better. What you read in the papers about espionage isn't necessarily wrong, it's just missing half the story. Here's the other half." —Joe Weisberg, Creator/Executive Producer, The Americans

"Jim Olson has written an extraordinary book. It is impossible to put down—To Catch a Spy stands with the best of John le Carre. But it isn't fiction. Worried about Russian hacking and election interference? It's worse than you think. As a career Foreign Service Officer, I have had the privilege of working with the men and women of our intelligence community. There are no finer people or greater patriots. I know what risks they take and the price they sometimes pay. Jim Olson stands in that proud tradition." —Ryan Crocker, Former U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Syria, Kuwait, and Lebanon,

Book may be ordered here.


The Uninhabitable Earth: What Climate Change Means
by David Wallace-Wells
(Tim Duggan Books, Apr 2019)

"The threat from climate change is more total than from the bomb. It is also more pervasive." A closely argued look at what may be a turning point in human existence.
Almost every major moment of "evolutionary reset" in Earth's history has been precipitated by climate change produced by an overproduction of greenhouse gases—and there is now more carbon in the air than at any point in the last 15 million years, leading him to open, grimly, with the warning, "It is worse, much worse, than you think."
So it is, and even if the author allows that we have the tools we need to stop transformative climate change, from carbon taxes to carbon capture and a conversion to renewable energy, we lack anything like the political or economic will to alter our course. The results will be catastrophic, from untold millions of environmental refugees to summers that, even in Scandinavia, will be accompanied by killer heat waves. Wallace-Wells rightly muses over the fact that, for all our devotion to end-of-the-world scenarios in science-fiction books and films, too many of us continue to believe that the scientists warning of these dire matters are "simply crying wolf." Witness the sitting president, who considers himself too smart to believe that the climate is changing and that there's still plenty of time to do something about it. There's not, Wallace-Wells writes, leaving us with only a few alternatives, ranging from the hope that some technological miracle can be ginned up to the darker impulse to "normalize climate suffering at the same pace we accelerate it...forgetting all that we had ever said about the absolute moral unacceptability of the conditions of the world we are passing through in the present tense, and blithely."
If you weren't alarmed already, Wallace-Wells sounds the tocsin of toxicity. An urgent, necessary book. —Kirkus

Book may also be ordered here.


Literary Analysis of Spy Fiction

Our Man Down in Havana: The Story Behind Graham Greene's Cold War Spy Novel
by Christopher Hull PhD
(Pegasus Books, Mar 2019)

"'Spying is eternal,' opines George Smiley in one of John Le Carré's thrillers. Fiction or not, he is right. While technical intelligence in today's digital world floods agencies with too much intelligence, the need for 'humint'―spies―remains as strong as ever. In the dirty, corrupt world of exploiting other human beings: traitors; idealists; or just plain greedy; reality offers a darker picture. Christopher Hull's Our Man Down in Havana dissects Graham Greene's classic satire on spies with forensic skill, exposing the rotten heart of the CIA's 'wilderness of mirrors.' An excellent book for intelligence professionals and the general reader alike. Read it and ponder—sometimes fact is stranger than fiction." —Colonel John Hughes-Wilson, author of A Brief History of the Cold War and The Secret State.

"Hull minutely examines the plot, characters, context, creation, reception, filming, and afterlife of Greene's 1958 satirical novel, Our Man in Havana. Drawing on Greene's published and unpublished writings; studies and biographies of Greene; abundant archival material; and his own 17 visits to Cuba, Hull sets Greene's life amid Cuba's tumultuous history. A biography notable for its deep research."—Kirkus Reviews

"Richly detailed and packed with insight not just into the historical context of the novel and film, but also into the creative process itself."
—Matthew Parker, author of Goldeneye: Where Bond Was Born

Book may be ordered here.




Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Russia Begins Research Into New Intelligence Satellites.  Russia must create advanced military space satellites and certain research and development in this field is already in progress, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said on Tuesday.

"Our task is to create modern satellites capable of providing still more accurate intelligence and map data. With this in mind we are conducting certain research and development. Progress in the work is on the agenda today," Shoigu said during a distance conference at the Defense Ministry on Tuesday.

He recalled that in his message to the Federal Assembly Russian President Vladimir Putin said that cardinal changes in the field of communication, navigation and remote sensing of the Earth required a dramatic increase in the capabilities of the satellite cluster. [Read more:  TASS/5March2019]

Italy's Intelligence Agency Warns of Rise in Racist Attacks.  Italy's intelligence agency has warned in a briefing to the country's parliament that attacks on migrants and minorities could rise in the run-up to May's European elections.

The number of racially motivated attacks have risen sharply in Italy, tripling between 2017 and 2018, when the far-right League entered government in coalition with the anti-establishment Five Star Movement.

The report from the security intelligence department, which coordinates and submits information collected by the Italian secret services to the prime minister, said racism and xenophobia were among the threats the country could face in 2019. It said there was "a real risk of an increase in episodes of intolerance towards foreigners".  [Read more:  Tondo/TheGuardian/28February2019]

France Wants to Keep Ties to U.K. Intelligence, Brexit or Not.  U.K. intelligence services will remain fundamental to European security regardless of Brexit, a senior official from the French president's office said.

Both British and European intelligence services are committed to continuing their close cooperation and information-sharing even after the U.K. leaves the European Union, the official said, asking not to be named in line with presidential protocol.

The countries face a similar array of threats, especially from terrorists, according to the official. [Read more:  Fouquet/Bloomberg/4March2019]

Defense Intelligence Agency Director Focuses on Leadership, Public Service at 2019 INSA Achievement Awards.  "There may be a dark path ahead with the re-emergence of great-power competition and great risk than we have seen in our time, and so the role of the I-C has never been more important in preventing and, if necessary, helping win the next war."

You could hear a pin drop when the Defense Intelligence Agency Director Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley, Jr. uttered those words at the 2019 Intelligence and National Security Alliance Achievement Awards, Feb. 21, in Washington, D.C.

Every year, INSA presents six awards commemorating new and emerging leaders in the realms of industry, military, academia, government and homeland security, with a special category for mentors. And every year, DIA makes its presence known. This year was no different.  [Read more:  Jackson/DIA/1March2019]

Air Force Merging Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Staffs with Cyber Operations Staffs to Forge More Nimble, Effective Team.  The Air Force is merging its headquarters staffs to integrate intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance with cyber effects operations efforts to enable coordinated Title 10 and Title 50 actions across the range of military operations, while elevating chief information officer roles and responsibilities.

In laymen's terms, the Air Force is realigning the staffs and streamlining oversight, policy and guidance functions to create greater integration and effectiveness to be more competitive in the increasingly contested warfighting domains. At the same time, this realignment enables the CIO to better focus on statutory CIO responsibilities.

The current National Defense Strategy is driving the requirements and priorities. Combining the functions of cyber effects operations, warfighter communications and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance will break down barriers and enable greater coordination across the range of military operations.

The new arrangement establishes a single deputy chief of staff for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance and cyber effects operations (AF/A2/6) which will streamline oversight, policy and guidance.  [Read more:  USAF/1March2019]


Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

The Overlooked Timeliness Metric for Security Clearances.  Unless you've been living under a rock for the past two years, chances are good that you've heard a thing or two about the security clearance backlog.

The backlog has been the subject of numerous news articles, congressional hearings, and plenty of well-founded hand-wringing within cleared industry. But for all the attention devoted to shortening background investigation timelines, there is another problem lurking below the surface that has barely received a glance: obscene delays in adjudicating appeals of initial denials and revocations.

The length of time required to appeal a denial or revocation varies considerably among federal agencies. Some, like the National Security Agency, adjudicate first and second-level appeals on average in 60-90 days respectively; others, like the Central Intelligence Agency, take years to do exactly the same thing.

Here are the habitual worst oenders based on our experience handling hundreds of appeals each year across government:
 [Read more:  Bigley/ClearanceJobs/5March2019]

Social and Behavioral Sciences for the Intelligence Community.  The social and behavioral sciences (SBS) offer an essential contribution to the mission of the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC), a mission that requires an understanding of what human beings do, how, and why, says a new report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. The report - A Decadal Survey of the Social and Behavioral Sciences: A Research Agenda for Advancing Intelligence Analysis - recommends that the IC make sustained collaboration with researchers in the social and behavioral sciences a key priority as it develops research objectives for the coming decade.

The report provides guidance for the development of a 10-year research agenda and identifies key opportunities for SBS research to strengthen intelligence analysis. The integration of SBS research will help the IC in taking advantage of technological advances that support intelligence analysis and in preparing for new risks from technologically based activities and communications around the world. Targeted, interdisciplinary research offers the potential for stronger intelligence assessments, tools and technologies optimally designed for human use and human-machine interaction, and optimal readiness to confront evolving security threats.  [Read more:  AAAS/5March2019]

Taylor Swift's Album Release Date, As Deciphered Like A CIA Operative.  To a dedicated Swiftie, an Instagram post from Taylor Swift isn't just a photo. It's a puzzle. What hidden messages are embedded into this square? What is Swift really trying to tell us? In addition to song lyrics and cryptic messages on her website, Instagram is a key medium in the wry, unceasing dialogue-in-secrets carried out between the pop star and her fans.

Over the past week, the rumors of TS7, the designated codename for Swift's yet unannounced seventh album, reached an all-time high - thanks to a few posts involving palm trees, numerical patterns, and a very suspect official 2019 calendar with a stamp placed on April 13.

When it comes to deciphering Swift's intentions from afar, her fans have a stellar track rate. Back in 2017, fans predicted the Reputation album announcement. As fans themselves joke, "Swifties work harder than the FBI - and they use techniques that might make an FBI agent proud."

But so far, the TS7 clues are more subtle than the Reputation release, for which Swift wiped her Instagram entirely and started over fresh (and snakey). With that challenge in mind, we spoke to Aliza Bran of the International Spy Museum to decipher Swift's recent behavior through the lens of an actual intelligence agent - and determine whether these posts really indicate whether TS7 is imminent.  [Read more:  Nicolaou/Refinery29/2019]

The CIA Officer Who Became a Visionary Art Collector.  Serious art collecting is never just about buying and selling. Engaging with a rich community of creative people and passionate scholars is often far more enticing for collectors than potential profits. For Richard Brown Baker, a major collector of 20th century art, the New York art world was so thrilling that, after leaving a post at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), he devoted most of the rest of his life to the city's art community. When he died in 2002 at age 89, he left behind one of the country's greatest collections - and thousands of pages reflecting on his beloved milieu.

Baker was an obsessive diaristwho funneled his thwarted writing ambitions into journals that recorded the parties he attended, artworks he bought, and studios he visited. Now housed at Yale University (with copies at the Museum of Modern Art and the Rhode Island Historical Society), Baker's papers reveal what curator Jennifer Farrell called, in the 2011 book Get There First, Decide Promptly: The Richard Brown Baker Collection of Postwar Art, "a unique record of twentieth-century American social, political, and cultural history as perceived by one individual who had a Zelig-like ability to be present during notable events and to encounter both famous and infamous historical and cultural figures." (A footnote for this description reveals that Baker once met Adolf Hitler, in 1934.) Ultimately, Baker's story suggests that beyond giving charitably and supporting emerging artists, collectors can be positive forces in the art world by being astute observers and recorders of history�as it happens, opening to opening, studio visit to dinner party.

Baker was born in 1912 to a wealthy Rhode Island family with collecting in its genes. His mother and sister collected stamps, and his parents accumulated antiques. Baker himself began with pennies and pocket watches. At age 11, he started writing journals. After graduating from Yale in 1935, Baker eventually settled in Washington, D.C. Throughout the 1940s, he worked as a research analyst for the Office of Strategic Services (forerunner of the CIA) and the Office of Intelligence Research of the Department of State, then as a foreign affairs officer.  [Read more:  Cohen/Artsy/4March2019]

How the Cincinnati FBI Cracked the Chinese Spy Case at GE Aviation.  He was an obvious target for Chinese spies.

The GE Aviation engineer was deeply involved in the design and analysis of new commercial jet engines, a technology at the top of the shopping lists of Chinese intelligence operatives.

It took the spies only a few months to get him to accept their offer: A $3,500 fee paid in U.S. currency, and free travel, lodging and meals for a one-hour presentation in China.

"That really is Espionage 101. We've seen numerous cases of the Chinese extending these invitations to targets," said Scott Stewart, who investigated the actions of foreign intelligence as a longtime State Department special agent.  [Read more:  Cheatham/WCPO/4March2019]

In Moscow Treason Trial, A Major Scandal For Russian Security Agency.  It is the biggest scandal to hit Russia's powerful Federal Security Service (FSB) in years.

At issue is the agency's cybersecurity unit, which had been at the forefront of Russia's efforts to fight cybercrime.

The unit, called the Center for Information Security, had working partnerships with the FBI and other Western agencies, cooperating in cracking down on things like spammers, child pornography, cyberextortion, and other issues. Its deputy director, Colonel Sergei Mikhailov, was widely believed to have been responsible for dismantling a pernicious cybercrime operation in the late 2000s.

Now the center could be an embarrassment for the FSB -- and possibly even a national-security concern.  [Read more:  Eckel/RFERL/27February2019]

To Woo a Skeptical Trump, Intelligence Chiefs Talk Economics Instead of Spies.  Intelligence officials who brief the president have warned him about Chinese espionage in bottom-line business terms. They have used Black Sea shipping figures to demonstrate the effect of Russia's aggression in Ukraine. And they have filled the daily threat briefing with charts and graphs of economic data.

In an effort to accommodate President Trump, who has attacked them publicly as "na�ve" and in need of going "back to school," the nation's intelligence agencies have revamped their presentations to focus on subjects their No. 1 customer wants to hear about - economics and trade.

Intelligence officers, steeped in how Mr. Trump views the world, now work to answer his repeated question: Who is winning? What the president wants to know, according to former officials, is what country is making more money or gaining a financial advantage.

While the professionals do not criticize Mr. Trump's focus, they do question whether those interests are crowding out intelligence on threats like terrorism and the maneuvers of traditional adversaries, developments with foreign militaries or geopolitical events with international implications.  [Read more:  Barnes&Schmidt/NYTimes/3March2019]



Section III - COMMENTARY

Getting Space Right is Both a National Security and an Economic Question.  Moscow continues to develop counterspace capabilities. Last November, Norway reported that Russia was blocking GPS signals during a local exercise. If Russia can do that on a tactical level, you better believe they can do it on a strategic level.

Admittedly, neither one of us appreciated how fundamental space is to how we live and work until we served on the House Intelligence Committee.

We quickly learned that America no longer owns space. We operate there along with every other space-capable nation, including adversaries like China and Russia. We learned that they are doing everything in their power to interfere with our operations. We learned that future wars will take place in space.

And we quickly realized the grim truth that we aren't ready. [Read more:  Rogers&Ruppersberger/SpaceNews/2March2019]


Section IV - Research Request, Jobs, Obituaries

Research Request

Do You Have Views or Pet Peeves On Crafting Better Spy Thrillers or Espionage-Themed Movies?

I'm putting together Spycraft for Thriller Writers: How to Write Spy Novels and Movies Accurately and Not Be Laughed at by Real-Life Spies
What are your pet peeves about how we are portrayed in spy-fi?  What are the glaring errors you consistently see?  What oddities of language do we use that get garbled?  What else should I include in such a book?
Thanks in advance for your counsel. Replies to: Ed Mickolus at edmickolus@hotmail.com

Jobs

Assistant Professor of Intelligence and National Security Studies - Tenure Track - at Coastal Carolina University

The College of Humanities and Fine Arts at Coastal Carolina University invites applications for a tenure-track position as Assistant Professor of Intelligence and National Security Studies beginning August 2019. Preference will be given to applicants with specializations related to intelligence communication and research, with particular interests in intelligence writing and briefing skills, open source intelligence collection and intelligence-policymaker relations. The ability to offer courses in other areas such as research methods, international negotiations, security studies, homeland security, emergency management, or counter-narcotics would also be of interest. Prior professional work experience in the field of intelligence is welcome, but not required.

Candidates are required to have a Ph.D. in Political Science or other relevant field by the time of appointment. The successful candidate will teach undergraduate courses in the field, as well as support the continued growth and development of the Intelligence and National Security Studies program. Prior experience with distance learning would be beneficial.

Direct Link: http://jobs.coastal.edu/hr/postings/6675

POC: Jonathan Smith, Search Committee Chair (jonsmith@coastal.edu)

FireEye Jobs Available are as follows:

Job Title:

Senior Consultant - Cyber Defense

Company:

FireEye, Inc.

Experience:

7 to 20 years

Salary:

Full Time

Job Location:

Alexandria, VA

 

Senior Consultant Cyber Defense Alexandria, VA, USA Full time Company Description FireEye is the leader in intelligence led security as a service. Working as a seamless, scalable extension of customer security operations, FireEye offers a single platform that blends innovative security technologies, nation state grade threa...


Job Title:

Associate Security Consultant - Entry Level 2019

Company:

FireEye, Inc.

Experience:

Open

Salary:

Full Time

Job Location:

Alexandria, VA

 

Associate Security Consultant Entry Level 2019 Alexandria, VA Full time Company Description FireEye is the leader in intelligence led security as a service. Working as a seamless, scalable extension of customer security operations, FireEye offers a single platform that blends innovative security technologies, nation state g...


Obituaries

Charles McCarry, CIA Officer Who Became a Preeminent Spy Novelist, Dies at 88.  Charles McCarry spent almost 10 years in the CIA as an undercover officer, operating alone as he roamed throughout Africa, Europe and Asia in the 1950s and 1960s. He never carried a gun. He didn't kill anyone.

He was in the agency when the Berlin Wall went up in 1961. He was in and out of Vietnam. He was at an airport in Congo in 1963, when a Belgian priest told him about the assassination of President John F. Kennedy. He always went by an assumed name and never lived in the same countries in which he worked.

After he resigned from the CIA to become a writer, Mr. McCarry used many of those elements in the novel that many consider his masterpiece, "The Tears of Autumn." But when he turned in his manuscript, it was initially rejected by his publisher.

"Where's the car chase? Where's the torture scene? Where's the sex? Where's the good Russian?" the publisher demanded, as Mr. McCarry recalled in a 1988 essay for The Washington Post. "Do you call this a thriller?"

The publisher gave Mr. McCarry a best-selling novel to study. A month later, Mr. McCarry submitted his manuscript again - without so much as changing a comma. This time, it was accepted.  [Read more:  Schudel/WashingtonPost/28February2019]

Former German Foreign Minister Klaus Kinkel Dies at 82.  Klaus Kinkel, Germany's foreign minister from 1992 to 1998 and a former head of the country's foreign intelligence agency, has died. He was 82.

Kinkel's Free Democratic Party, which he led from 1993 to 1995, announced his death on Tuesday without giving further details.

Kinkel led Germany's foreign intelligence service, the BND, from 1979 to 1982. He served as justice minister in Chancellor Helmut Kohl's Cabinet after German reunification before succeeding Hans-Dietrich Genscher as foreign minister when Genscher ended his 18-year stint in the job.

Current Foreign Minister Heiko Maas wrote on Twitter that Kinkel "contributed a great deal to the reunited Germany finding its place in the world and living in peace and respect with its neighbors."  [AP/5March2019]



AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Thursday, 14 March 2019, 11:30 a.m. - 1:30 p.m. - Scottsdale, AZ - AFIO AZ Chapter hosts Dr Gary Marchant discussing "Artificial Intelligence - Current Applications and Concern."

Artificial intelligence (AI) has recently had a resurgence in attention and applications due to recent innovations in machine learning and deep learning. This presentation will describe the recent advances in AI and why they are important, and will describe some current applications of AI across various industry and social sectors. It will also describe some of the concerns about Ai in terms of potential bias, safety, technological unemployment, national security and international competiveness.
Professor Marchant's research interests include the use of genetic information in environmental regulation, risk and the precautionary principle, legal aspects of personalized medicine, and regulation of emerging technologies such as nanotechnology, neuroscience and biotechnology. He teaches courses in Environmental Law, Law, Science & Technology, Genetics and the Law, Biotechnology: Science, Law and Policy, and Nanotechnology Law & Policy. Professor Marchant has served on two National Research Council committees, has been the principal investigator on several major grants, and has organized numerous academic conferences on law and science issues.

TO ATTEND: RSVP no later than 72 hours ahead of time. And if you have to cancel or find you cannot attend, the chapter is charged for no-shows. A charge can be avoid if we receive word of your cancellation more than 72 hours before day of event.
BADGES: many have a permanent, regular badge. If you do not, email Simone at simone@afioaz.org with the information you would like on your badge (Full Name and Past Career Title/Affiliated Organization ~ should you wish). The cost with a magnetic strip is $8.
For reservations or questions, email Simone at either of these: simone@4smartphone.net, or simone@afioaz.org; or call and leave a message on 602.570.6016.
REMEMBER: If you are bringing a guest, send the full name.
Location: Best Western Thunderbird Suites, 7515 E Butherus Dr, Scottsdale, AZ 85260
Luncheon fee: $18 pp
RSVP - to simone@afioaz.org.

Thursday, 21 March 2019, 11:30 AM - Colorado Springs - The AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter hosts Steve Maffeo, discussing "Intelligence in the Nelson Era."

In today's world of satellites and electronic eavesdropping, it's hard to appreciate the difficulties in collecting, analyzing, and disseminating secret intelligence two centuries ago. This presentation, based upon the speaker's first book Most Secret and Confidential: Intelligence in the Age of Nelson, gives a close look at the methods used to obtain and analyze secret material and deliver it to operational forces during the Great Age of Fighting Sail. The British experience from 1793 to 1815 is the main focus, but it also includes French and American activity. In addition, it examines how commanders used the information to develop strategy and tactics and win�or sometimes lose�battles. And, it informs on how Vice Admiral Lord Nelson and his associates dealt with intelligence obstacles and how the outcomes affected their own futures and, in some cases, the history of the modern world.

Steve Maffeo retired in 2008 as a Navy captain � after 30 years (both enlisted and commissioned) in the Colorado Army National Guard, the U.S. Navy, and the U.S. Naval Reserve. His last three assignments were as the commanding officer of reserve shore-based units supporting the Office of Naval Intelligence, the Joint Intelligence Center Pacific, and the National Defense Intelligence College. Steve then retired in 2015 as the Associate Library Director at the U.S. Air Force Academy. He holds a B.A. (English) from the University of Colorado; an M.A. (Library Science) from the University of Denver; and an M.S. (Strategic Intelligence) from the U.S. National Defense Intelligence College. His civilian career was for the most part as a library administrator. He's worked at Martin-Marietta Aerospace, the University of Northern Colorado; the U.S. Naval War College; and the Aurora (Colo.) Public Library.
Steve has published several journal and encyclopedia articles as well as four books: Most Secret and Confidential: Intelligence in the Age of Nelson; Seize, Burn, or Sink: The Thoughts and Words of Vice Admiral Lord Nelson; The Perfect Wreck: "Old Ironsides" and HMS Java�A Story of 1812; and U.S. Navy Codebreakers, Linguists, and Intelligence Officers against Japan: 1910-1941.

For more information and to reserve a seat, please contact Steve at steve13507@gmail.com.

9-10 May 2019 - Washington DC and McLean VA - HOLD THE DATE for AFIO 2019 Symposium

Details to follow. Symposium/Convention hotel will be DoubleTree Hilton. Call (703) 893-2100 to register and ask for AFIO SYMPOSIUM rate. Buses will depart early on the morning of the 9th for downtown D.C. location, so best if out-of-area attendees stay overnight on May 8.

Monday, 13 May 2019, 5:30 p.m. - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro hosts Jeff McCausland, University Professor and CBS National Security Consultant

Dr. Jeff McCausland, a visiting professor of International Security Studies at Dickinson College (Carlisle, PA) serves as a national security consultant for CBS radio and television. He routinely does analysis for CBS on issues such as Iraq, European security, arms control, or related questions of national security policy. He is currently involved in a project for the National Nuclear Security Administration focused on nuclear weapons in South Asia and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. Dr. McCausland is also the founder and CEO of Diamond6 Leadership and Strategy, LLC.

Location: Society of Illustrators, 128 E 63rd St (between Park and Lexington), New York, NY 10065.
Timing: Registration starts at 5:30 pm, Speaker presentation starts at 6 pm. Fee: $50/person. Payment at the door only. Cash or check. Full dinner, cash bar.
RSVP: Strongly recommended that you RSVP to ensure space at event. Call or Email Chapter President Jerry Goodwin at afiometro@gmail.com or 646-717-3776.

Wednesday 18 September 2018, 5:30 p.m. - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter hosts Larry Loftis, on SOE Hero, Odette Sansom, in his book Code Name: Lise

Larry Loftis is the author of Code Name: Lise�The True Story of the Woman Who Became WWII's Most Highly Decorated Spy, the story of Odette Sansom (1912-1995), a Frenchwoman living in England, wife of an Englishman and mother of 3 daughters, who was recruited into Britain's Special Operations Executive (SOE) to conduct espionage in France during WW II with her commander, and yet-to-be second husband, Peter Churchill. Leaving her daughters in a convent school and with relatives, she joined the rigorous training program, becoming proficient with a wide range of weapons, learning the fine points of spycraft, and perfecting her new identity with the code name Lise. In France she proved herself fearless. Hunted by the Germans, in 1943, Odette and Peter were captured, imprisoned, and tortured. Loftis describes Odette's ordeal in grisly detail. Two lies saved her: She pretended that she and Peter were married (they would be after the war) and that Peter was related to Winston Churchill. In defeat, the Gestapo hoped to use her as a bargaining chip.

Location: Society of Illustrators, 128 E 63rd St (between Park and Lexington), New York, NY 10065.
Timing: Registration starts at 5:30 pm, Speaker presentation starts at 6 pm. Fee: $50/person. Payment at the door only. Cash or check. Full dinner, cash bar.
RSVP: Strongly recommended that you RSVP to ensure space at event. Call or Email Chapter President Jerry Goodwin at afiometro@gmail.com or 646-717-3776.



Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others

Wednesday, 6 March 2019, 7:30 - 8:45 pm - McLean, VA - "How to Identify Jihadi-Salafists Through Ideology, Practices, and Methodology" - presentation by Dr Habeck at the Westminster Institute

Dr. Mary Habeck, Senior Fellow, FPRI, lectures on al-Qaeda and ISIS, as well as on military strategy and history, at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, Georgetown University, and American University.

Her recent monograph for the Heritage Foundation is titled The U.S. Must Identify Jihadi-Salafists through Their Ideology, Practices, and Methodology-and Isolate Them. She is the author of Knowing the Enemy: Jihadist Ideology and the War on Terror (Yale, 2005) and three forthcoming sequels, Attacking America: Al-Qa'ida's Grand Strategy; Managing Savagery: Al-Qa'ida's Military and Political Strategies; and Fighting the Enemy: The U.S. and its War against al-Qa'ida.

She is also a Senior Fellow with the Foreign Policy Research Institute. From 2005-2013 she was an Associate Professor in Strategic Studies at SAIS, teaching courses on extremism, military history, and strategic thought. Before moving to SAIS, Dr. Habeck taught American and European military history in Yale's history department, 1994-2005. She received her PhD in history from Yale in 1996, an MA in international relations from Yale in 1989, and a BA in international studies, Russian, and Spanish from Ohio State in 1987.
Dr. Habeck was appointed by President Bush to the Council on the Humanities at the National Endowment for the Humanities (2006-2013), and in 2008-2009 she was the Special Advisor for Strategic Planning on the National Security Council staff.

Times: Come early to enjoy reception at 7 p.m. Program begins at 7:30 p.m.
Where: Westminster Institute, 6729 Curran St, McLean, VA 22101
Questions: Robert R. Reilly, Director, The Westminster Institute, Call 703-288-2885 or email him at br@westminster-institute.org
No fee to attend. RSVP here.

18 March 2019, noon - 2 pm - Washington, DC - "Talking to a Former Terrorist: American Al-Qaeda Bryant Neal Viñas" at the International Spy Museum

Bryant Neal Viñas, 'American Al-Qaeda' tells his story at the new, expanded International Spy Museum at their new location in L'Enfant Plaza.

In 2009, Bryant Neal Vi�as, an American born in New York to a family of Catholic Hispanic immigrants, pleaded guilty on charges of conspiracy to murder U.S. citizens, and for providing material support to Al-Qaeda. The media referred to him as 'American Al-Qaeda' and reported his intriguing journey from the New York suburbs to Pakistan to attack U.S. military forces in Afghanistan. Vi�as proceeded to cooperate with law enforcement and intelligence officials, in what has been described as a "treasure trove" of valuable information about the inner-workings of the Al-Qaeda network. What was the nature of Vi�as's radicalization? How does a Western-born jihadist get through terrorist training in Pakistan?

Participants: Bryant Neal Vi�as, Former American Al-Qaeda member; Mitchell Silber, Former Director of Intelligence Analysis, NYPD; Christopher Costa, COL, USA (Ret.), Executive Director, International Spy Museum, Former Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Counter-terrorism � National Moderator: Peter Bergen, Vice President, Global Studies & Fellows, New America

Event Location: The "Expanded" International Spy Museum, 700 L'Enfant Plaza SW, Washington, DC 20024. Directions or Map Location here.

Register Here.

Wednesday, 27 March 2019, 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD - NCMF 2019 Spring Cryptologic Program Featuring Mr. C. Eric Estberg on Berlin Daze

The National Cryptologic Museum Foundation's 2019 Spring Cryptologic Program features C. Eric "Rick" Estberg, author of the book Berlin Daze. Following his presentation, a book signing and lunch will take place from 1145 to 1300. Books will be available for purchase for $20. Learn more about Mr. Estberg, his presentation, and his book below.

Berlin Daze recounts dozens of Estberg's adventures and unique experiences over a seven-year period in walled West Berlin, as an Army NCO and an NSA civilian. As a "Cold Warrior" he served literally on the front lines, separated by only a few miles from hundreds of thousands of Soviet and East German soldiers. Unlike others who spent much of a career in those days simply training for some possible future crisis, Rick actually lived his real-world mission, day-in and day-out, along with hundreds of others of talented, dedicated military and civilian intelligence specialists.

Registration: The registration fee includes lunch. It is $25 for members and guests. To register now online follow this link.

View the full printed invitation and agenda here as a PDF.

Or you may mail-in your registration fee by check to NCMF, PO Box 1682, Fort George G. Meade, MD 20755-9998. Include names of self and your guests. For more details, please call the NCMF office at 301-688-5436. ***Deadline for registration is 25 March 2019.*****

Event Location: CACI Inc., Maryland Conference Center, 2720 Technology Dr, Annapolis Junction, MD 20755. Google map link here.

More about this event, about the author or book, is here.

Additional information or questions can be handled at NCMF Office at cryptmf@aol.com or call 301-688-5436.

16 May 2019, 6 pm - Washington, DC - "Night of Heroes Gala 2019" by the PENFED Foundation

The PENFED Foundation hosts their impressive annual "Night of Heroes Gala 2019" at the beautiful Mandarin Oriental, 330 Maryland Ave SW, Washington, DC 20024. This year marks the 15th annual gala honoring our unsung heroes ― military children. Each year, the PenFed Foundation raises more than $1.5 million for military heroes through this hallmark event. Last year's event sold out and raised $2.5 million! Do not miss your opportunity to support Military Heroes.

6 pm General Reception and Silent Auction; 7 pm Dinner Program; After Dinner - Dessert Reception. To learn more...or to register.


Gift Suggestions:

AFIO's Guide to the Study of IntelligenceAFIO's 788-page Guide to the Study of Intelligence. Peter C. Oleson, Editor, also makes a good gift. View authors and table of contents here.

Perfect for professors, students, those considering careers in intelligence, and current/former officers seeking to see what changes are taking place across a wide spectrum of intelligence disciplines. AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence helps instructors teach about the large variety of subjects that make up the field of intelligence. This includes secondary school teachers of American History, Civics, or current events and undergraduate and graduate professors of History, Political Science, International Relations, Security Studies, and related topics, especially those with no or limited professional experience in the field. Even those who are former practitioners are likely to have only a limited knowledge of the very broad field of intelligence, as most spend their careers in one or two agencies at most and may have focused only on collection or analysis of intelligence or support to those activities.
For a printed, bound copy, it is $95 which includes Fedex shipping to a CONUS (US-based) address.
To order for shipment to a US-based CONUS address, use this online form,

To order multiple copies or for purchases going to AK, HI, other US territories, or other countries call our office at 703-790-0320 or send email to afio@afio.com to hear of shipment fees.

Order the Guide from the AFIO's store at this link.

The Guide is also available directly from Amazon at this link.

MousepadAFIO's Intelligence Community Mousepads are a great looking addition to your desk...or as a gift for others.
Made in USA. Click image for larger view.

These 2017 mousepads have full color seals of all 18 members of the US Intelligence Community on this 8" round, slick surface, nonskid, rubber-backed mouse pad with a darker navy background, brighter, updated seals. Also used, by some, as swanky coasters. Price still only $20.00 for 2 pads [includes shipping to US address. Foreign shipments - we will contact you with quote.] Order MOUSEPADS here.

Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers.

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs:

a) IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list. If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words: REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's or author's listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019. AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com


About AFIO | Membership Renewal | Change of Address | Upcoming Events | Chapter Locations | Corporate/Institutional Memberships | Careers in Intelligence Booklet | Guide to the Study of Intelligence | Intelligencer Journal | Weekly Intelligence Notes | To Make A Donation | AFIO Store | Member-Only Section | Code of Ethics | Home Page

Click here to return to top.